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All Games Sunday, April 24, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Heat
44%107
110
11
Hawks
56%110
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
126.48788.6
ATL logo ATL
97.78886.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound110
100%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.5HawksJalen Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.9HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.1HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.5HawksKevin Knox II misses three point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.4HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HawksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14HawksGorgui Dieng defensive rebound105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33HawksJalen Johnson turnover (offensive goaltending)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55HawksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17HawksGorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25HawksGorgui Dieng defensive rebound103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 1103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28HawksSkylar Mays personal foul (Away from play) (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48HawksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Skylar Mays assists)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Take) (Skylar Mays draws the foul)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Skylar Mays steals)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19HawksKevin Knox II misses three point jump shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Gorgui Dieng draws the foul)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53HawksJalen Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16HawksTrae Young technical foul (Double)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16HeatVictor Oladipo technical foul (Double)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01HawksClint Capela defensive rebound96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 296
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 296
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)95
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 5:30HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:10HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)95
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 195
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:28HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30HeatMax Strus offensive rebound92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:46HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:58HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:15HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 192
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound89
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 7:32HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup89
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 7:35HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound89
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 7:40HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot89
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 7:44HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound89
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot89
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 8:08HeatHeat defensive rebound89
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:09HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot89
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)89
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 8:39HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting layup (Delon Wright assists)87
99.3%
67
0.7%
Q4 - 8:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup87
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 8:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound85
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 8:57HeatJohn Collins blocks Victor Oladipo's two point layup85
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:01HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)85
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 9:24HeatMax Strus makes three point stepback jump shot85
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 9:45HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot82
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 10:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)82
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 10:20HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point driving layup80
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q4 - 10:39HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound80
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot80
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 10:51HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound80
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q4 - 10:55HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot80
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 11:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound80
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q4 - 11:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 11:24HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point stepback jump shot80
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q4 - 11:37HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound80
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 11:42HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot80
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q3 - 0:03.9HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)80
97.0%
61
3.0%
Q3 - 0:26.8HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 277
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 0:26.8HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 277
95.8%
60
4.2%
Q3 - 0:26.8HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)77
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 0:37.4HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)77
96.4%
59
3.6%
Q3 - 0:56.7HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point reverse layup (Trae Young assists)74
94.8%
59
5.2%
Q3 - 1:02HawksTrae Young defensive rebound74
94.7%
57
5.3%
Q3 - 1:06HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot74
95.1%
57
4.9%
Q3 - 1:20HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound74
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 1:22HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point putback layup74
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 1:23HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound74
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 1:26HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot74
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 1:31HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound74
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 1:33HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot74
95.1%
57
4.9%
Q3 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 1:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot74
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 2:02HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup74
93.7%
57
6.3%
Q3 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
92.8%
57
7.2%
Q3 - 2:27HawksDelon Wright misses regular free throw 2 of 272
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 2:27HawksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 272
91.7%
57
8.3%
Q3 - 2:27HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)72
92.0%
56
8.0%
Q3 - 2:37HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)72
92.7%
56
7.3%
Q3 - 2:37HeatHeat offensive rebound72
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 2:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot72
93.1%
56
6.9%
Q3 - 2:40HeatHeat offensive rebound72
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 2:40HeatDelon Wright blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup72
93.1%
56
6.9%
Q3 - 3:01HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (offensive foul)72
93.3%
56
6.7%
Q3 - 3:01HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)72
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 3:01HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound72
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 3:04HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot72
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 3:11HeatMax Strus personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)72
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 3:15HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound72
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 3:19HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot72
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 3:37HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound72
92.0%
56
8.0%
Q3 - 3:42HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 3:55HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
93.3%
56
6.7%
Q3 - 4:15HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot72
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 4:34HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (offensive foul)69
88.3%
56
11.7%
Q3 - 4:34HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)69
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 4:38HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound69
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 4:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot69
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 5:02HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup69
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 5:11HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound69
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 5:14HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot69
89.2%
54
10.8%
Q3 - 5:20HawksTrae Young misses technical free throw 1 of 169
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q3 - 5:20HeatP.J. Tucker technical foul69
89.2%
54
10.8%
Q3 - 5:20HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)69
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q3 - 5:37HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting dunk (Delon Wright assists)69
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q3 - 5:51HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup69
91.6%
52
8.4%
Q3 - 6:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound67
89.4%
52
10.6%
Q3 - 6:08HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot67
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 6:23HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot67
87.7%
52
12.3%
Q3 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
86.2%
52
13.8%
Q3 - 6:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot65
85.6%
52
14.4%
Q3 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 265
84.1%
52
15.9%
Q3 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 7:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
83.5%
52
16.5%
Q3 - 7:20HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)63
81.2%
52
18.8%
Q3 - 7:27HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)63
78.4%
52
21.6%
Q3 - 7:31HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound60
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot60
71.0%
52
29.0%
Q3 - 7:58HawksTrae Young turnover (offensive foul)60
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 7:58HawksTrae Young offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)60
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)60
69.3%
52
30.7%
Q3 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Clint Capela draws the foul)60
72.8%
52
27.2%
Q3 - 8:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound60
72.8%
52
27.2%
Q3 - 8:29HawksJohn Collins misses regular free throw 2 of 260
72.4%
52
27.6%
Q3 - 8:29HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 260
70.4%
52
29.6%
Q3 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)60
71.0%
51
29.0%
Q3 - 8:40HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound60
72.3%
51
27.7%
Q3 - 8:43HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot60
73.3%
51
26.7%
Q3 - 8:59HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)60
75.6%
51
24.4%
Q3 - 9:09HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)60
79.4%
48
20.6%
Q3 - 9:09HawksHawks defensive rebound60
79.4%
48
20.6%
Q3 - 9:12HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot60
80.2%
48
19.8%
Q3 - 9:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 260
81.9%
48
18.1%
Q3 - 9:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 260
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q3 - 9:31HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)60
82.7%
46
17.3%
Q3 - 9:41HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)60
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q3 - 9:42HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound57
79.7%
46
20.3%
Q3 - 9:44HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup57
77.9%
46
22.1%
Q3 - 9:58HawksJohn Collins makes two point driving floating jump shot57
79.7%
46
20.3%
Q3 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q3 - 10:29HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound55
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 10:33HawksKevin Huerter misses two point pullup jump shot55
78.1%
44
21.9%
Q3 - 10:45HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound55
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q3 - 10:48HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot55
77.1%
44
22.9%
Q3 - 11:05HawksJohn Collins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)55
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Clint Capela draws the foul)55
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q3 - 11:38HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)55
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
82.2%
41
17.8%
Q2 - 0:00.4HawksHawks offensive rebound55
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q2 - 0:00.4HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot55
82.6%
41
17.4%
Q2 - 0:06.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup55
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q2 - 0:27.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound53
79.1%
41
20.9%
Q2 - 0:30.5HawksTrae Young misses two point running layup53
78.6%
41
21.4%
Q2 - 0:35.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
77.4%
41
22.6%
Q2 - 0:47.9HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound51
74.5%
41
25.5%
Q2 - 0:48.9HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup51
73.9%
41
26.1%
Q2 - 0:48.9HawksClint Capela offensive rebound51
72.5%
41
27.5%
Q2 - 0:53.4HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot51
73.9%
41
26.1%
Q2 - 1:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup51
72.0%
41
28.0%
Q2 - 1:29HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q2 - 1:54HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 249
66.7%
41
33.3%
Q2 - 1:54HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 248
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q2 - 1:54HawksJohn Collins personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)47
65.3%
41
34.7%
Q2 - 1:54HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound47
62.8%
41
37.2%
Q2 - 1:56HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot47
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 2:09HeatHeat defensive rebound47
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 2:11HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point stepback jump shot47
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 2:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter offensive rebound47
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 2:16HawksKevin Huerter misses two point stepback jump shot47
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 2:35HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)47
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 2:42HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound44
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 2:44HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot44
52.8%
41
47.2%
Q2 - 2:56HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound44
50.7%
41
49.3%
Q2 - 3:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot44
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 3:14HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound44
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q2 - 3:17HawksKevin Huerter misses regular free throw 2 of 244
52.9%
41
47.1%
Q2 - 3:17HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 244
50.9%
41
49.1%
Q2 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)44
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 3:17HawksHawks defensive rebound44
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 3:19HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot44
53.8%
40
46.2%
Q2 - 3:40HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)44
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 3:58HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Max Strus assists)44
61.4%
37
38.6%
Q2 - 4:03HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound41
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 4:07HawksClint Capela misses two point hook shot41
54.6%
37
45.4%
Q2 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 240
52.2%
37
47.8%
Q2 - 4:29HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q2 - 4:43HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound39
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 4:44HawksDelon Wright misses two point tip layup39
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 4:44HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound39
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q2 - 4:49HawksJohn Collins misses two point driving hook shot39
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup39
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 5:21HeatMax Strus defensive rebound37
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 5:26HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot37
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot37
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 5:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 5:52HeatHeat offensive rebound35
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 5:52HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot35
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 6:04HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound35
39.1%
37
60.9%
Q2 - 6:06HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 2 of 235
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 6:06HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 1 of 235
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 6:06HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)35
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 6:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 135
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 6:23HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)34
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q2 - 6:23HawksJohn Collins turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)32
33.4%
37
66.6%
Q2 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 231
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 6:25HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)31
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 6:35HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound31
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 6:37HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot31
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 6:47HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup31
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 7:03HawksDelon Wright makes two point driving reverse layup29
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 7:05HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound29
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 7:08HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot29
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 7:27HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound29
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot29
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 7:40HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 7:40HeatHeat offensive rebound29
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running pullup jump shot29
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 7:43HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound29
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 7:47HawksJimmy Butler blocks Bogdan Bogdanovic's two point pullup jump shot29
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 7:53HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)29
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Gabe Vincent assists)29
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 8:07HawksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 227
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 8:07HawksDelon Wright misses regular free throw 1 of 227
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 8:07HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)27
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 8:13HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound27
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot27
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 8:39HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Huerter assists)27
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)27
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 9:03HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound27
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 9:26HawksDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 127
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 9:26HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)27
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 9:26HawksDanilo Gallinari offensive rebound27
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 9:29HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot27
37.9%
29
62.1%
Q2 - 9:48HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound27
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 10:08HawksDelon Wright makes three point pullup bank jump shot27
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 10:29HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound27
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 10:46HeatHeat defensive rebound27
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 10:47HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot27
45.4%
26
54.6%
Q2 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk27
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound25
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 11:15HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot25
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q2 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound25
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 11:43HawksDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot25
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HawksHawks offensive rebound25
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot25
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 0:15.8HawksHawks defensive rebound25
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 0:15.8HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving dunk25
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q1 - 0:28.6HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound25
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q1 - 0:30.5HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 2 of 225
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 0:30.5HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 1 of 225
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 0:30.5HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)25
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 225
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 224
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q1 - 0:45.3HawksBogdan Bogdanovic shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 0:58.9HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)24
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q1 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)24
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 1:04HawksBogdan Bogdanovic offensive rebound24
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 1:08HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot24
44.8%
23
55.2%
Q1 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 223
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 1:21HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 1:27HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)22
40.8%
23
59.2%
Q1 - 1:35HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound22
38.8%
23
61.2%
Q1 - 1:39HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup22
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 1:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)22
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q1 - 2:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound22
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot22
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound22
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 2:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot22
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 2:36HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 222
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 2:36HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 222
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 2:36HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)22
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 2:52HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound22
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 2:56HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot22
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
50.0%
19
50.0%
Q1 - 3:03HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point stepback jump shot22
49.0%
19
51.0%
Q1 - 3:08HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound22
47.2%
19
52.8%
Q1 - 3:11HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot22
49.0%
19
51.0%
Q1 - 3:21HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 122
47.2%
19
52.8%
Q1 - 3:21HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)21
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 3:36HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound19
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 3:39HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot19
42.4%
19
57.6%
Q1 - 4:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)19
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound17
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 4:10HawksKevin Huerter misses three point running jump shot17
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 4:14HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound17
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup17
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 4:26HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)17
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 4:48HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)17
42.7%
16
57.3%
Q1 - 4:54HeatMax Strus offensive rebound15
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 4:58HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot15
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 5:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound15
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 5:07HawksClint Capela misses two point alley-oop layup15
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 5:15HawksClint Capela defensive rebound15
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot15
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 5:28HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound15
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 5:31HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot15
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 5:42HeatHeat defensive rebound15
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 5:43HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot15
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 5:57HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)15
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 6:13HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)15
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 6:20HawksTrae Young personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)12
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 6:29HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)12
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 6:37HawksClint Capela defensive rebound12
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot12
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 6:48HawksJohn Collins misses two point pullup jump shot12
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 7:07HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)12
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 7:30HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point stepback jump shot9
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 29
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 28
36.7%
11
63.3%
Q1 - 7:49HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 8:03HawksTrae Young makes three point pullup jump shot7
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 8:08HawksClint Capela defensive rebound7
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 8:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot7
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 8:16HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound7
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 8:19HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot7
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 8:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)7
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)7
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk7
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot5
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 9:11HawksClint Capela makes two point driving hook shot5
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:13HawksClint Capela offensive rebound5
44.3%
3
55.7%
Q1 - 9:15HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot5
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot5
44.3%
3
55.7%
Q1 - 9:38HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 9:38HeatHeat offensive rebound3
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup3
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot3
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 10:11HawksKevin Huerter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:27HawksHawks defensive rebound3
40.5%
3
59.5%
Q1 - 10:28HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot3
41.1%
3
58.9%
Q1 - 10:51HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)3
42.5%
3
57.5%
Q1 - 11:05HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:18HawksKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot0
41.7%
0
58.3%
Q1 - 11:35HawksClint Capela defensive rebound0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:38HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Clint Capela (Heat gains possession)0
42.3%
0
57.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
26
62%
ATL
9
14
64%
Midrange
MIA
11
24
46%
ATL
6
19
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
42
31%
46%
ATL
15
22.5
42
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
ATL
11
20
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3669%18.0 / 26
B. Adebayo1458%7.0 / 12
P. Tucker1488%7.0 / 8
M. Strus1238%6.0 / 16
G. Vincent1161%5.5 / 9
V. Oladipo630%3.0 / 10
T. Herro317%1.5 / 9
C. Martin325%1.5 / 6
D. Robinson3-0.0 / 0
D. Dedmon3150%1.5 / 1
H. Highsmith3150%1.5 / 1
O. Yurtseven2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Hunter2480%12.0 / 15
K. Knox12100%6.0 / 6
J. Collins1161%5.5 / 9
T. Young941%4.5 / 11
D. Gallinari950%4.5 / 9
D. Wright744%3.5 / 8
K. Huerter425%2.0 / 8
B. Bogdanović425%2.0 / 8
O. Okongwu467%2.0 / 3
C. Capela225%1.0 / 4
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
G. Dieng0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+20
-6
101
ATL
73
+13
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
104.5
MIA 126.4
ATL 97.7 +28.7
Pace
93.7
93.2
MIA 88.6 +2.1
ATL 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.3
MIA 16.3 +0.4
ATL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
51.3%
MIA 50.5% +0.5%
ATL 50.0%
TO %
12.8%
17.6%
MIA 6.5% +8.7%
ATL 15.2%
ORB %
23.2%
21.3%
MIA 33.3% +8.3%
ATL 25.0%
FTrt
25.3
28.1
MIA 22.8
ATL 26.7 +3.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
54.1%
MIA 55.0%
ATL 60.0% +5.0%
STL %
8.9%
6.2%
MIA 9.2% +6.9%
ATL 2.3%
BLK %
8.2%
5.1%
MIA 3.0%
ATL 6.0% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
55.1%
MIA 53.9% +3.9%
ATL 50.0%
Rim FG%
65.3%
64.1%
MIA 61.5%
ATL 64.3% +2.8%
Mid FG%
41.1%
45.2%
MIA 45.8% +14.2%
ATL 31.6%
3P %
31.3%
32.6%
MIA 31.0%
ATL 35.7% +4.7%
FT %
80.4%
78.2%
MIA 81.0% +26.0%
ATL 55.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
23.5%
MIA 28.3% +9.6%
ATL 18.7%
Mid Att. %
28.5%
31.7%
MIA 26.1%
ATL 25.3% +0.8%
3P Att. %
40.8%
44.8%
MIA 45.7%
ATL 56.0% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points11086
Rebounds4841
Assists2218
Steals82
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)15 (0)
Fouls2321
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)30 (4)
Field Goals40-9230-75
At-the-Rim FG16-269-14
Midrange FG11-246-19
2-Point FG27-5015-33
3-Point FG13-4215-42
Free Throws17-2111-20
Fast Break Pts80
2nd Chance Pts2610
Points in Paint4826
Pts off Turnovers2510
Bench Points2336
Biggest Lead278

BOXSCORE

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9 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
36.5
36
69%
10
4
4
1
0
1
3
7
11-12
92%
11-19
58%
1-2
50%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
35.6
12
38%
5
3
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-14
29%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
29.7
14
58%
8
1
0
0
1
4
4
4
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
P.J. Tucker
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
27.8
14
88%
8
3
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
27.4
11
61%
3
4
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
23.1
6
30%
8
4
0
0
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
21.1
3
17%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-5
0%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
19.0
3
25%
2
0
1
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
9.3
3
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
3.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
3.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
3.4
3
150%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
54%
48
22
8
1
6
23
15
33
17-21
81%
27-50
54%
13-42
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.