FinalWin Prob.pScore
944%107
110
1456%109
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.09488.2
ATL logo ATL
119.49399.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound110
2.5%
111
97.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot110
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 0:05.5HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot110
29.3%
111
70.7%
Q4 - 0:09.8HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound110
59.2%
109
40.8%
Q4 - 0:12.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot110
67.7%
109
32.3%
Q4 - 0:35.6HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound110
76.5%
109
23.5%
Q4 - 0:39.0HawksKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot110
68.0%
109
32.0%
Q4 - 0:54.2HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)110
53.9%
109
46.1%
Q4 - 1:03HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)107
27.5%
109
72.5%
Q4 - 1:03HeatHeat offensive rebound107
27.5%
109
72.5%
Q4 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot107
19.1%
109
80.9%
Q4 - 1:22HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
29.1%
109
70.9%
Q4 - 1:22HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
30.1%
108
69.9%
Q4 - 1:22HeatMax Strus personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)107
31.4%
107
68.6%
Q4 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot107
39.5%
107
60.5%
Q4 - 1:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 1104
21.3%
107
78.7%
Q4 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)104
23.4%
106
76.6%
Q4 - 1:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound104
39.6%
104
60.4%
Q4 - 1:43HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot104
48.7%
104
51.3%
Q4 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
38.6%
104
61.4%
Q4 - 2:26HawksTrae Young makes three point pullup jump shot104
53.9%
104
46.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)104
71.1%
101
28.9%
Q4 - 2:48HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound101
54.1%
101
45.9%
Q4 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot101
43.3%
101
56.7%
Q4 - 2:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound101
52.5%
101
47.5%
Q4 - 3:05HawksTyler Herro blocks Trae Young's two point driving floating jump shot101
48.5%
101
51.5%
Q4 - 3:09HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound101
39.2%
101
60.8%
Q4 - 3:12HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup101
43.2%
101
56.8%
Q4 - 3:33HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
50.2%
101
49.8%
Q4 - 3:33HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)101
51.1%
100
48.9%
Q4 - 3:38HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound101
66.7%
98
33.3%
Q4 - 3:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot101
69.4%
98
30.6%
Q4 - 3:50HawksTrae Young personal foul (Loose ball) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)101
74.9%
98
25.1%
Q4 - 3:50HeatHeat offensive rebound101
74.9%
98
25.1%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot101
69.6%
98
30.4%
Q4 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound101
75.2%
98
24.8%
Q4 - 4:17HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot101
73.0%
98
27.0%
Q4 - 4:24HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound101
67.3%
98
32.7%
Q4 - 4:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving reverse layup101
70.0%
98
30.0%
Q4 - 4:49HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)101
75.5%
98
24.5%
Q4 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot101
82.7%
95
17.3%
Q4 - 5:16HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound98
72.1%
95
27.9%
Q4 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup98
67.0%
95
33.0%
Q4 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
72.2%
95
27.8%
Q4 - 5:30HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot98
70.0%
95
30.0%
Q4 - 5:36HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound98
64.7%
95
35.3%
Q4 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot98
67.1%
95
32.9%
Q4 - 6:07HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)98
70.1%
95
29.9%
Q4 - 6:12HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound98
79.8%
92
20.2%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop dunk98
81.5%
92
18.5%
Q4 - 6:31HawksDelon Wright makes two point tip layup98
85.0%
92
15.0%
Q4 - 6:31HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound98
87.7%
90
12.3%
Q4 - 6:33HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot98
90.1%
90
9.9%
Q4 - 6:57HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)98
87.8%
90
12.2%
Q4 - 7:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point driving layup (Kevin Huerter assists)98
88.9%
90
11.1%
Q4 - 7:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot98
91.0%
88
9.0%
Q4 - 7:49HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot96
89.1%
88
10.9%
Q4 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot96
91.7%
85
8.3%
Q4 - 8:14HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip layup94
89.7%
85
10.3%
Q4 - 8:14HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound94
91.7%
83
8.3%
Q4 - 8:18HawksDewayne Dedmon blocks Bogdan Bogdanovic's two point driving reverse layup94
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 8:24HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound94
91.8%
83
8.2%
Q4 - 8:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
92.3%
83
7.7%
Q4 - 8:49HawksDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)94
93.6%
83
6.4%
Q4 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 9:19HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)91
92.5%
80
7.5%
Q4 - 9:33HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound91
92.6%
80
7.4%
Q4 - 9:36HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point jump shot91
92.0%
80
8.0%
Q4 - 9:52HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)91
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 9:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound89
88.6%
80
11.4%
Q4 - 9:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot89
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q4 - 10:15HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 289
87.1%
80
12.9%
Q4 - 10:15HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 1 of 289
87.6%
79
12.4%
Q4 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)89
85.5%
79
14.5%
Q4 - 10:29HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)89
89.4%
79
10.6%
Q4 - 10:36HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound87
84.5%
79
15.5%
Q4 - 10:39HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot87
82.0%
79
18.0%
Q4 - 11:00HawksKevin Huerter makes two point turnaround jump shot87
84.5%
79
15.5%
Q4 - 11:09HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound87
85.7%
77
14.3%
Q4 - 11:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot87
86.5%
77
13.5%
Q4 - 11:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
88.1%
77
11.9%
Q4 - 11:28HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot87
87.4%
77
12.6%
Q4 - 11:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)87
85.7%
77
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
83.0%
77
17.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound85
81.6%
77
18.4%
Q3 - 0:01.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot85
79.4%
77
20.6%
Q3 - 0:02.9HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound85
81.6%
77
18.4%
Q3 - 0:05.9HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot85
79.4%
77
20.6%
Q3 - 0:22.7HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 285
81.6%
77
18.4%
Q3 - 0:22.7HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 285
82.0%
76
18.0%
Q3 - 0:22.7HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)85
82.3%
75
17.7%
Q3 - 0:27.3HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound85
84.5%
75
15.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot85
85.3%
75
14.7%
Q3 - 0:36.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 0:39.6HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot85
86.3%
75
13.7%
Q3 - 0:45.4HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)85
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q3 - 0:45.4HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Delon Wright draws the foul)85
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 0:55.4HawksDelon Wright makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)85
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 1:12HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 285
87.6%
73
12.4%
Q3 - 1:12HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 284
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q3 - 1:12HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)84
88.7%
73
11.3%
Q3 - 1:12HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound84
87.9%
73
12.1%
Q3 - 1:13HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot84
86.2%
73
13.8%
Q3 - 1:24HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound84
87.9%
73
12.1%
Q3 - 1:27HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 184
87.6%
73
12.4%
Q3 - 1:27HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)84
86.0%
73
14.0%
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)84
89.6%
71
10.4%
Q3 - 1:43HeatHeat offensive rebound84
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q3 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup84
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q3 - 2:00HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)84
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q3 - 2:13HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)84
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q3 - 2:13HeatHeat offensive rebound84
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q3 - 2:14HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup84
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q3 - 2:37HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (traveling)84
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q3 - 2:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 184
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q3 - 2:48HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
92.6%
68
7.4%
Q3 - 2:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
90.2%
68
9.8%
Q3 - 3:01HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot81
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q3 - 3:17HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)81
87.3%
68
12.7%
Q3 - 3:20HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)79
85.6%
68
14.4%
Q3 - 3:22HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)79
83.0%
68
17.0%
Q3 - 3:33HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)79
83.0%
68
17.0%
Q3 - 3:43HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
80.8%
68
19.2%
Q3 - 3:45HawksJohn Collins misses two point alley-oop dunk77
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q3 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 277
77.5%
68
22.5%
Q3 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
76.9%
68
23.1%
Q3 - 3:59HawksBogdan Bogdanovic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
76.1%
68
23.9%
Q3 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
73.8%
68
26.2%
Q3 - 4:11HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point jump shot75
72.6%
68
27.4%
Q3 - 4:23HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 275
69.9%
68
30.1%
Q3 - 4:23HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 274
69.1%
68
30.9%
Q3 - 4:23HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)73
68.1%
68
31.9%
Q3 - 4:32HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
66.9%
68
33.1%
Q3 - 4:48HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound73
62.4%
68
37.6%
Q3 - 4:51HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot73
63.8%
68
36.2%
Q3 - 4:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
67.0%
68
33.0%
Q3 - 4:59HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot73
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q3 - 5:19HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
61.8%
68
38.2%
Q3 - 5:37HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound71
58.3%
68
41.7%
Q3 - 5:40HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point jump shot71
57.1%
68
42.9%
Q3 - 6:09HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)71
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
46.3%
68
53.7%
Q3 - 6:15HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot68
43.3%
68
56.7%
Q3 - 6:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
46.3%
68
53.7%
Q3 - 6:22HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving finger roll layup68
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q3 - 6:41HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)68
42.1%
68
57.9%
Q3 - 6:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound65
35.2%
68
64.8%
Q3 - 6:47HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot65
34.0%
68
66.0%
Q3 - 7:06HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)65
31.5%
68
68.5%
Q3 - 7:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)63
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 7:27HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)63
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)63
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (John Collins draws the foul)63
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 7:53HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)63
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 8:06HeatMax Strus personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)63
34.9%
65
65.1%
Q3 - 8:25HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)63
34.9%
65
65.1%
Q3 - 8:39HeatMax Strus defensive rebound61
32.2%
65
67.8%
Q3 - 8:43HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot61
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 8:52HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound61
28.6%
65
71.4%
Q3 - 8:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot61
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 9:18HawksKevin Huerter makes two point running dunk (Trae Young assists)61
32.3%
65
67.7%
Q3 - 9:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)61
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 9:27HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)61
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot61
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 9:58HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
32.3%
63
67.7%
Q3 - 9:58HeatHeat offensive rebound59
32.3%
63
67.7%
Q3 - 10:00HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot59
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 10:18HawksTrae Young personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 10:21HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 10:32HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot59
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q3 - 10:53HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
29.3%
63
70.7%
Q3 - 10:58HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 11:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving layup56
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q3 - 11:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk56
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 11:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup54
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 11:42HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound54
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 11:45HawksJohn Collins misses two point alley-oop dunk54
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatHeat offensive rebound54
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatBogdan Bogdanovic blocks Jimmy Butler's three point pullup jump shot54
23.3%
61
76.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q2 - 0:08.7HawksJohn Collins misses two point driving layup54
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q2 - 0:29.8HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)54
22.7%
61
77.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 251
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 251
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)51
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q2 - 0:42.8HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)51
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q2 - 0:45.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q2 - 0:50.9HawksJimmy Butler blocks Trae Young's two point driving layup49
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q2 - 0:59.1HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)49
16.5%
59
83.5%
Q2 - 1:00HeatHeat offensive rebound49
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot49
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q2 - 1:26HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)49
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q2 - 1:35HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound49
23.5%
56
76.5%
Q2 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup49
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q2 - 1:47HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 249
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q2 - 1:47HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 249
25.2%
55
74.8%
Q2 - 1:47HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)49
25.5%
54
74.5%
Q2 - 1:58HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 149
28.3%
54
71.7%
Q2 - 1:58HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)48
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q2 - 2:02HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound46
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q2 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot46
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q2 - 2:15HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot (Trae Young assists)46
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q2 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)46
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 2:46HeatHeat defensive rebound44
23.7%
52
76.3%
Q2 - 2:47HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot44
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q2 - 3:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)44
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q2 - 3:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 3:24HawksTrae Young misses three point running pullup jump shot41
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q2 - 3:27HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound41
16.6%
52
83.4%
Q2 - 3:30HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot41
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 3:42HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)41
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 4:03HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)41
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q2 - 4:22HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)38
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q2 - 4:37HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound38
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q2 - 5:02HawksTrae Young makes three point running pullup jump shot38
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 5:06HawksTrae Young defensive rebound38
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot38
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 5:31HawksDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Danilo Gallinari assists)38
31.9%
43
68.1%
Q2 - 5:37HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound38
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 5:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot38
34.7%
41
65.3%
Q2 - 5:53HawksDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 238
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 5:53HawksDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 238
37.1%
40
62.9%
Q2 - 5:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)38
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 6:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)38
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 6:21HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (offensive foul)36
37.0%
39
63.0%
Q2 - 6:21HawksDe'Andre Hunter offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)36
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 6:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)36
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound34
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 6:43HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point pullup jump shot34
31.2%
39
68.8%
Q2 - 6:56HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound34
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 6:59HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot34
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 7:23HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point dunk (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)34
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 334
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 333
34.1%
37
65.9%
Q2 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 332
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 7:33HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)31
33.4%
37
66.6%
Q2 - 7:47HawksDelon Wright makes two point running reverse layup31
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)31
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
34.5%
35
65.5%
Q2 - 8:05HawksDelon Wright misses regular free throw 1 of 131
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 8:05HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)31
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:05HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound31
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 8:07HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot31
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)31
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 8:22HawksHawks offensive rebound31
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 8:23HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)31
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 8:49HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)31
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)31
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 9:25HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)28
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 9:37HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (kicked ball violation)28
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 9:47HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 9:51HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point running pullup jump shot28
41.0%
29
59.0%
Q2 - 9:55HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Huerter steals)28
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 9:59HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point tip layup28
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 9:59HawksBogdan Bogdanovic offensive rebound28
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q2 - 10:03HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot28
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 10:20HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)28
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q2 - 10:31HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)26
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 10:50HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)26
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 10:58HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound26
46.7%
24
53.3%
Q2 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot26
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q2 - 11:17HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 226
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 11:17HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 226
49.2%
23
50.8%
Q2 - 11:17HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)26
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q2 - 11:36HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)26
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 11:49HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (offensive foul)24
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 11:49HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)24
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound24
48.9%
22
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot24
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 0:11.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound24
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q1 - 0:14.6HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot24
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 0:33.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)24
46.3%
22
53.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)22
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 0:44.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound22
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot22
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 0:54.4HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 0:57.5HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot22
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 1:09HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)22
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 1:24HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point turnaround bank jump shot22
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 1:30HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound22
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q1 - 1:32HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 1:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup (Trae Young assists)22
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 1:51HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound22
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 1:52HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point putback layup22
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 1:52HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound22
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 1:58HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point cutting layup22
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 2:01HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 2:05HawksTrae Young misses two point driving finger roll layup22
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 2:13HawksTrae Young defensive rebound22
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 2:16HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q1 - 2:34HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 222
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 2:34HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 222
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 2:34HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)22
51.1%
17
48.9%
Q1 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)22
52.8%
17
47.2%
Q1 - 2:38HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound22
52.8%
17
47.2%
Q1 - 2:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot22
53.6%
17
46.4%
Q1 - 2:51HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 122
55.2%
17
44.8%
Q1 - 2:51HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)22
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)22
58.8%
14
41.2%
Q1 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 3:20HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot20
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 3:30HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound20
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot20
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 4:00HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)20
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
58.2%
12
41.8%
Q1 - 4:27HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound18
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 4:30HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot18
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 4:41HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound18
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 4:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup18
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 4:55HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Trae Young assists)18
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)18
57.6%
10
42.4%
Q1 - 5:15HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)15
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 5:27HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds step)15
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 5:36HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (back court violation)15
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 5:36HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)15
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)15
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 6:00HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)13
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 6:00HeatHeat offensive rebound13
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot13
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 6:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound13
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 6:44HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot13
48.8%
10
51.2%
Q1 - 6:54HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)13
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 7:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
47.8%
10
52.2%
Q1 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler makes clear path free throw 2 of 213
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler makes clear path free throw 1 of 212
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 7:10HawksTrae Young clear path foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
48.7%
10
51.3%
Q1 - 7:10HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)11
48.4%
10
51.6%
Q1 - 7:24HawksTrae Young defensive rebound11
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 7:26HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot11
43.9%
10
56.1%
Q1 - 7:49HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot11
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 7:54HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound11
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot11
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 8:05HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point fadeaway jump shot11
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 8:19HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound11
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 8:22HeatJimmy Butler misses three point running jump shot11
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 8:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 8:29HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot11
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 8:44HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot11
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 8:58HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)8
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 9:04HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound8
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:07HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 9:26HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)8
47.2%
6
52.8%
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 18
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 9:47HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:55HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot5
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 10:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:22HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point layup3
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 10:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)3
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:58HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot1
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)1
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:16HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound1
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:19HawksJohn Collins misses two point floating jump shot1
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:38HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound1
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:41HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 3 of 31
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 11:41HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 31
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:41HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 30
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:41HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. John Collins (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
43.0%
0
57.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
ATL
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
ATL
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
11
21
52%
ATL
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
45
31%
47%
ATL
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
14
17
82%
ATL
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2460%12.0 / 20
J. Butler2050%10.0 / 20
M. Strus2071%10.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1359%6.5 / 11
P. Tucker1179%5.5 / 7
D. Dedmon750%3.5 / 7
K. Lowry643%3.0 / 7
D. Robinson660%3.0 / 5
G. Vincent325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young2463%12.0 / 19
B. Bogdanović1853%9.0 / 17
D. Hunter1761%8.5 / 14
K. Huerter1346%6.5 / 14
D. Wright13108%6.5 / 6
D. Gallinari1169%5.5 / 8
O. Okongwu9113%4.5 / 4
J. Collins650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+22
-14
102
ATL
82
+6
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
ATL
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
104.5
MIA 117.0
ATL 119.4 +2.3
Pace
93.7
93.2
MIA 88.2
ATL 99.5 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.3
MIA 16.3
ATL 14.5 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
51.3%
MIA 51.6%
ATL 58.8% +7.2%
TO %
12.8%
17.6%
MIA 13.0%
ATL 11.0% +2.0%
ORB %
23.2%
21.3%
MIA 26.2% +13.4%
ATL 12.8%
FTrt
25.3
28.1
MIA 18.3
ATL 26.3 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
54.1%
MIA 73.2% +17.1%
ATL 56.1%
STL %
8.9%
6.2%
MIA 6.4% +1.0%
ATL 5.4%
BLK %
8.2%
5.1%
MIA 6.3%
ATL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
55.1%
MIA 53.9%
ATL 63.1% +9.2%
Rim FG%
65.3%
64.1%
MIA 59.3%
ATL 66.7% +7.4%
Mid FG%
41.1%
45.2%
MIA 52.4%
ATL 54.2% +1.8%
3P %
31.3%
32.6%
MIA 31.1%
ATL 37.5% +6.4%
FT %
80.4%
78.2%
MIA 82.4% +1.4%
ATL 81.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
23.5%
MIA 29.0%
ATL 30.0% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
28.5%
31.7%
MIA 22.6% +7.4%
ATL 30.0%
3P Att. %
40.8%
44.8%
MIA 48.4% +8.4%
ATL 40.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points110111
Rebounds4536
Assists3023
Steals65
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2320
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (11)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals41-9341-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2716-24
Midrange FG11-2113-24
2-Point FG27-4829-48
3-Point FG14-4512-32
Free Throws14-1717-21
Fast Break Pts109
2nd Chance Pts2611
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers1720
Bench Points4040
Biggest Lead1611

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
40.6
20
50%
10
8
2
1
2
0
4
6
3-3
100%
7-15
47%
1-5
20%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
35.0
13
59%
11
5
3
0
3
2
2
9
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
33.1
11
79%
7
4
0
0
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
29.1
20
71%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
22.9
6
43%
4
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
33.5
24
60%
7
4
0
1
3
3
0
7
0-0
-
6-11
55%
4-11
36%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
17.7
3
25%
1
3
1
0
3
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
14.4
6
60%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
13.0
7
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
54%
45
30
6
3
14
23
11
34
14-17
82%
27-48
56%
14-45
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.