FinalWin Prob.pScore
734%106
111
366%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
119.49390.4
LAL logo LAL
114.99496.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
98.3%
108
1.7%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
98.0%
108
2.0%
Q4 - 0:01.6LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)109
97.6%
108
2.4%
Q4 - 0:02.2LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)109
93.8%
108
6.2%
Q4 - 0:05.5LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound109
58.2%
108
41.8%
Q4 - 0:07.1LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot109
74.6%
108
25.4%
Q4 - 0:16.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
51.9%
108
48.1%
Q4 - 0:16.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
48.5%
108
51.5%
Q4 - 0:16.8LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
44.5%
108
55.5%
Q4 - 0:21.8LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback layup107
32.7%
108
67.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound107
49.8%
106
50.2%
Q4 - 0:23.9LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot107
67.1%
106
32.9%
Q4 - 0:46.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
48.9%
106
51.1%
Q4 - 0:46.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
46.5%
106
53.5%
Q4 - 0:46.7LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)105
43.7%
106
56.3%
Q4 - 0:58.2LakersLeBron James makes two point putback layup105
34.8%
106
65.2%
Q4 - 0:58.2LakersLeBron James offensive rebound105
47.8%
104
52.2%
Q4 - 0:59.5LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup105
59.8%
104
40.2%
Q4 - 1:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot105
45.7%
104
54.3%
Q4 - 1:34LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 1103
34.2%
104
65.8%
Q4 - 1:34HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)103
37.3%
103
62.7%
Q4 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)103
57.1%
101
42.9%
Q4 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
47.3%
101
52.7%
Q4 - 2:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot101
42.3%
101
57.7%
Q4 - 2:36LakersLeBron James defensive rebound101
31.3%
101
68.7%
Q4 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot101
35.9%
101
64.1%
Q4 - 2:52LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
45.9%
101
54.1%
Q4 - 2:52LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
48.6%
100
51.4%
Q4 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)101
51.9%
99
48.1%
Q4 - 2:58HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Loose ball) (Markieff Morris draws the foul)101
53.1%
99
46.9%
Q4 - 2:58LakersLakers offensive rebound101
53.1%
99
46.9%
Q4 - 2:59LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot101
63.0%
99
37.0%
Q4 - 3:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)101
52.8%
99
47.2%
Q4 - 3:35LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
34.5%
99
65.5%
Q4 - 3:39LakersAlex Caruso turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
34.5%
99
65.5%
Q4 - 3:42LakersLakers offensive rebound98
26.2%
99
73.8%
Q4 - 3:42LakersJimmy Butler blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup98
31.8%
99
68.2%
Q4 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Duncan Robinson assists)98
26.0%
99
74.0%
Q4 - 4:17HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound96
20.0%
99
80.0%
Q4 - 4:18LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point tip layup96
18.1%
99
81.9%
Q4 - 4:18LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound96
14.3%
99
85.7%
Q4 - 4:19LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot96
18.1%
99
81.9%
Q4 - 4:39LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound96
14.2%
99
85.8%
Q4 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot96
15.8%
99
84.2%
Q4 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound96
19.9%
99
80.1%
Q4 - 4:54LakersAnthony Davis misses three point pullup jump shot96
18.0%
99
82.0%
Q4 - 5:08HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)96
15.8%
99
84.2%
Q4 - 5:08HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)96
21.0%
99
79.0%
Q4 - 5:28LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk (Danny Green assists)96
21.0%
99
79.0%
Q4 - 5:32HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)96
26.6%
97
73.4%
Q4 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound96
33.9%
97
66.1%
Q4 - 5:39LakersDanny Green misses three point stepback jump shot96
31.6%
97
68.4%
Q4 - 5:53LakersLeBron James defensive rebound96
26.6%
97
73.4%
Q4 - 5:54HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup bank jump shot96
28.7%
97
71.3%
Q4 - 6:20LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)96
33.8%
97
66.2%
Q4 - 6:43LakersLakers defensive rebound96
47.1%
94
52.9%
Q4 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot96
49.7%
94
50.3%
Q4 - 6:51LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 296
55.6%
94
44.4%
Q4 - 6:51LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 296
56.8%
93
43.2%
Q4 - 6:51HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)96
58.1%
92
41.9%
Q4 - 6:54LakersLeBron James defensive rebound96
61.9%
92
38.1%
Q4 - 6:55HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot96
64.3%
92
35.7%
Q4 - 7:08HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound96
66.3%
92
33.7%
Q4 - 7:11LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot96
64.2%
92
35.8%
Q4 - 7:21LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound96
59.2%
92
40.8%
Q4 - 7:22HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot96
61.5%
92
38.5%
Q4 - 7:32LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Alex Caruso assists)96
66.5%
92
33.5%
Q4 - 7:44HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot96
71.6%
90
28.4%
Q4 - 8:06LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 293
57.6%
90
42.4%
Q4 - 8:06LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 293
58.6%
89
41.4%
Q4 - 8:06HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)93
59.7%
88
40.3%
Q4 - 8:14LakersDanny Green defensive rebound93
63.6%
88
36.4%
Q4 - 8:15HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot93
65.4%
88
34.6%
Q4 - 8:37LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)93
69.4%
88
30.6%
Q4 - 8:42LakersLeBron James defensive rebound93
79.0%
85
21.0%
Q4 - 8:43HeatAnthony Davis blocks Jimmy Butler's three point pullup jump shot93
80.3%
85
19.7%
Q4 - 9:05LakersLeBron James turnover (offensive foul)93
80.9%
85
19.1%
Q4 - 9:05LakersLeBron James offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)93
76.6%
85
23.4%
Q4 - 9:10LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound93
76.6%
85
23.4%
Q4 - 9:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot93
78.0%
85
22.0%
Q4 - 9:19LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
80.9%
85
19.1%
Q4 - 9:23LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)93
80.9%
85
19.1%
Q4 - 9:41LakersLeBron James defensive rebound93
76.8%
85
23.2%
Q4 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot93
78.1%
85
21.9%
Q4 - 9:52LakersAlex Caruso personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)93
81.0%
85
19.0%
Q4 - 10:17LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot93
79.1%
85
20.9%
Q4 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 293
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q4 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 292
84.9%
82
15.1%
Q4 - 10:31LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
84.1%
82
15.9%
Q4 - 10:48LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
82.7%
82
17.3%
Q4 - 10:50LakersLeBron James defensive rebound91
79.1%
82
20.9%
Q4 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving dunk91
80.3%
82
19.7%
Q4 - 11:10LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (out of bounds step)91
81.0%
82
19.0%
Q4 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)91
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 11:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound88
69.2%
82
30.8%
Q4 - 11:42LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving layup88
67.8%
82
32.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
64.5%
82
35.5%
Q3 - 0:02.5HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound88
67.1%
82
32.9%
Q3 - 0:02.5LakersBam Adebayo blocks Rajon Rondo's two point driving layup88
65.8%
82
34.2%
Q3 - 0:09.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)88
62.7%
82
37.3%
Q3 - 0:28.6LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 286
57.7%
82
42.3%
Q3 - 0:28.6LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 286
58.5%
81
41.5%
Q3 - 0:28.6HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)86
59.4%
80
40.6%
Q3 - 0:37.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 186
62.8%
80
37.2%
Q3 - 0:37.2LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)85
62.4%
80
37.6%
Q3 - 0:55.8LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 282
47.6%
80
52.4%
Q3 - 0:55.8LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 282
48.4%
79
51.6%
Q3 - 0:55.8HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)82
49.3%
78
50.7%
Q3 - 0:56.9LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound82
52.9%
78
47.1%
Q3 - 0:59.4LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot82
56.3%
78
43.7%
Q3 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)82
51.4%
78
48.6%
Q3 - 1:23HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound82
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q3 - 1:24LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot82
54.9%
78
45.1%
Q3 - 1:41LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound82
51.5%
78
48.5%
Q3 - 1:42HeatAnthony Davis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving reverse layup82
53.0%
78
47.0%
Q3 - 1:58LakersAlex Caruso turnover (offensive foul)82
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q3 - 1:58LakersAlex Caruso offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
51.5%
78
48.5%
Q3 - 2:04HeatJae Crowder turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)82
49.7%
78
50.3%
Q3 - 2:13HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound82
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q3 - 2:15LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot82
53.3%
78
46.7%
Q3 - 2:19LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound82
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q3 - 2:21LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot82
53.3%
78
46.7%
Q3 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)82
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q3 - 2:28HeatHeat offensive rebound82
54.9%
78
45.1%
Q3 - 2:28HeatKyle Kuzma blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup82
51.4%
78
48.6%
Q3 - 2:47LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 282
54.9%
78
45.1%
Q3 - 2:47LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 282
56.1%
77
43.9%
Q3 - 2:47HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)82
53.0%
77
47.0%
Q3 - 3:01HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 182
53.5%
77
46.5%
Q3 - 3:01LakersRajon Rondo shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)81
52.5%
77
47.5%
Q3 - 3:18HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound78
40.8%
77
59.2%
Q3 - 3:19LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point tip layup78
39.4%
77
60.6%
Q3 - 3:19LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound78
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 3:20LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving floating jump shot78
39.4%
77
60.6%
Q3 - 3:33HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)78
36.2%
77
63.8%
Q3 - 3:40LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound78
36.2%
77
63.8%
Q3 - 3:41HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot78
37.6%
77
62.4%
Q3 - 4:01LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)78
40.1%
77
59.9%
Q3 - 4:03LakersLeBron James offensive rebound78
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q3 - 4:04LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot78
46.9%
75
53.1%
Q3 - 4:10LakersLeBron James defensive rebound78
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q3 - 4:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot78
45.0%
75
55.0%
Q3 - 4:28LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Rajon Rondo assists)78
48.4%
75
51.6%
Q3 - 4:36LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound78
52.0%
73
48.0%
Q3 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot78
53.5%
73
46.5%
Q3 - 4:59HeatHeat defensive rebound78
56.9%
73
43.1%
Q3 - 4:59LakersRajon Rondo misses three point stepback jump shot78
55.4%
73
44.6%
Q3 - 5:25HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)78
51.4%
73
48.6%
Q3 - 5:43LakersLeBron James makes three point stepback jump shot78
55.7%
73
44.3%
Q3 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup78
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q3 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
58.0%
70
42.0%
Q3 - 6:07LakersDanny Green misses two point pullup jump shot76
56.8%
70
43.2%
Q3 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)76
54.1%
70
45.9%
Q3 - 6:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound73
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot73
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 1 of 173
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 6:41LakersDwight Howard flagrant 1 (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
46.0%
70
54.0%
Q3 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound70
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q3 - 6:41HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot70
32.9%
70
67.1%
Q3 - 7:03LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point pullup jump shot70
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 7:26HeatJae Crowder turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)70
41.7%
67
58.3%
Q3 - 7:51HeatHeat defensive rebound70
45.8%
67
54.2%
Q3 - 7:55LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot70
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 8:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot70
41.4%
67
58.6%
Q3 - 8:29LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 2 of 268
38.4%
67
61.6%
Q3 - 8:29LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 1 of 268
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 8:29HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)68
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q3 - 8:29LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound68
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 8:31LakersDwight Howard misses two point tip layup68
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q3 - 8:32LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound68
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 8:33LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot68
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q3 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)68
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound66
38.4%
65
61.6%
Q3 - 8:51HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup66
35.6%
65
64.4%
Q3 - 9:05LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)66
37.5%
65
62.5%
Q3 - 9:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)66
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 9:45LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)63
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 10:02LakersLakers defensive rebound63
43.2%
59
56.8%
Q3 - 10:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point reverse layup63
44.4%
59
55.6%
Q3 - 10:11LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q3 - 10:26LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (LeBron James assists)63
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q3 - 10:32HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)63
53.6%
56
46.4%
Q3 - 10:43LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
57.6%
56
42.4%
Q3 - 11:09HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 11:32LakersDanny Green turnover (out of bounds step)60
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 11:37LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound60
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot60
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q2 - 0:01.1HeatJimmy Butler makes three point turnaround jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)60
42.6%
56
57.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0LakersAnthony Davis makes three point pullup jump shot57
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q2 - 0:42.6HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 0:54.7LakersRajon Rondo makes regular free throw 2 of 254
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 0:54.7LakersRajon Rondo makes regular free throw 1 of 254
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q2 - 0:54.7HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Rajon Rondo draws the foul)54
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q2 - 1:00LakersLeBron James defensive rebound54
39.5%
51
60.5%
Q2 - 1:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot54
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q2 - 1:16LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving finger roll layup54
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJae Crowder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)54
45.7%
49
54.3%
Q2 - 1:42LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Rajon Rondo assists)52
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q2 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 252
45.7%
47
54.3%
Q2 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 251
45.2%
47
54.8%
Q2 - 1:54LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 2:04LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)50
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 2:10HeatJae Crowder turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Davis steals)50
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q2 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound50
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 2:32LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 150
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 2:32HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)50
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 2:36LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound50
50.4%
43
49.6%
Q2 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup50
51.3%
43
48.7%
Q2 - 2:53LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running finger roll layup (Rajon Rondo assists)50
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 2:59LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound50
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 3:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
57.4%
41
42.6%
Q2 - 3:24LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup50
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 3:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point putback layup50
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 3:41HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound48
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 3:42HeatJae Crowder misses two point running jump shot48
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 3:48LakersRajon Rondo turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)48
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 248
54.7%
39
45.3%
Q2 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 247
54.4%
39
45.6%
Q2 - 3:59LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)46
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 4:16LakersAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)46
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q2 - 4:25LakersLeBron James defensive rebound46
56.3%
36
43.7%
Q2 - 4:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound46
59.1%
36
40.9%
Q2 - 4:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot46
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 4:46LakersAnthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)46
59.1%
36
40.9%
Q2 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)46
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 5:23LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot44
52.1%
36
47.9%
Q2 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot44
49.9%
36
50.1%
Q2 - 6:05LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)42
46.9%
36
53.1%
Q2 - 6:11LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound42
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup42
52.7%
33
47.3%
Q2 - 6:17HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound42
54.9%
33
45.1%
Q2 - 6:18LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot42
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 242
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 241
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 6:33LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
53.0%
33
47.0%
Q2 - 6:41LakersDanny Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 6:41HeatHeat offensive rebound41
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 6:41HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot41
50.1%
33
49.9%
Q2 - 7:01LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)41
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 7:21LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound41
56.2%
30
43.8%
Q2 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot41
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 7:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound41
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 7:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot41
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 7:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 7:40LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot41
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q2 - 7:45LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound41
56.2%
30
43.8%
Q2 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup41
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound41
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 7:50HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot41
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 8:00HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound41
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 8:01LakersDanny Green misses two point driving floating jump shot41
57.6%
30
42.4%
Q2 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 141
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 8:18LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 8:30LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 238
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q2 - 8:30LakersKyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 1 of 238
51.5%
29
48.5%
Q2 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)38
49.6%
29
50.4%
Q2 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)38
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q2 - 8:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound36
48.4%
29
51.6%
Q2 - 8:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot36
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 9:12LakersLeBron James makes two point alley-oop layup (Alex Caruso assists)36
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 9:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
50.0%
27
50.0%
Q2 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q2 - 9:35LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot34
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 9:51HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)34
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 9:58HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound31
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q2 - 9:59LakersAndre Iguodala blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving layup31
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 10:20HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (LeBron James draws the foul)31
37.7%
27
62.3%
Q2 - 10:20LakersLakers defensive rebound31
37.7%
27
62.3%
Q2 - 10:20HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point driving bank jump shot31
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 10:33LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)31
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q2 - 10:47LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)31
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q2 - 11:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Andre Iguodala assists)31
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 11:20LakersAlex Caruso turnover (out of bounds lost ball)29
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q2 - 11:25HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)29
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q2 - 11:29LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)27
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 11:46HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot27
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 0:20.2LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound25
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q1 - 0:21.4HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot25
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q1 - 0:38.5LakersLeBron James makes two point tip layup25
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q1 - 0:38.5LakersLeBron James offensive rebound25
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 0:39.4LakersAlex Caruso misses two point cutting layup25
36.1%
22
63.9%
Q1 - 0:53.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)25
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 0:58.9HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 1:00LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot22
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 1:08HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)22
29.0%
22
71.0%
Q1 - 1:28LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point running layup (Rajon Rondo assists)22
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 1:31LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound22
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:32HeatAnthony Davis blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup22
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 1:43HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound22
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 1:44LakersAnthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot22
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:52LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound22
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:53HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot22
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 2:07LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot22
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 2:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot22
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 2:47HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound20
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 2:48LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround bank hook shot20
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 3:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 3:28HeatHeat defensive rebound17
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 3:28LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot17
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 3:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point tip layup17
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 3:55HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound15
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 3:56HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot15
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 4:00LakersDwight Howard turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 215
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 214
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 4:01LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:17HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound13
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 4:18LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point stepback jump shot13
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 4:41LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound13
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot13
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 5:06LakersAnthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot13
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 5:30HeatJae Crowder makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 5:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 5:38LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving layup11
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 5:45LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound11
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup11
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 6:04LakersLeBron James makes two point running reverse layup11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 6:10LakersLeBron James defensive rebound11
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJae Crowder misses two point cutting layup11
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound11
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 6:31LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot11
24.5%
14
75.5%
Q1 - 6:50LakersLakers defensive rebound11
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot11
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 7:05LakersAnthony Davis makes two point running alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)11
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)11
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 7:24LakersAnthony Davis makes two point tip layup11
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 7:24LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:25LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point cutting finger roll layup11
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 7:32HeatJimmy Butler technical foul (Double)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:32LakersDwight Howard technical foul (Double)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:32HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:47LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:48HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot11
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 7:50HeatHeat offensive rebound11
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 7:50HeatDanny Green blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot11
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 8:06LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 111
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:06HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)11
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 8:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 8:35HeatHeat defensive rebound8
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:37LakersLeBron James misses two point layup8
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 8:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot8
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 9:04LakersDanny Green makes two point jump shot6
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 9:19HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)6
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 9:47LakersAnthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)4
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:49HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)4
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:59LakersLeBron James makes two point driving bank jump shot4
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 10:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 24
28.9%
3
71.1%
Q1 - 10:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 23
28.6%
3
71.4%
Q1 - 10:20LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
28.4%
3
71.6%
Q1 - 10:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 10:37LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot2
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)2
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)2
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 11:06LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)2
27.3%
3
72.7%
Q1 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)2
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Dwight Howard (LeBron James gains possession)0
27.3%
0
72.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.3%
LAL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
24
54%
LAL
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
11
26
42%
LAL
5
15
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
LAL
14
21.0
38
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
21
22
95%
LAL
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3576%17.5 / 23
D. Robinson2681%13.0 / 16
K. Nunn1464%7.0 / 11
B. Adebayo1346%6.5 / 14
T. Herro1250%6.0 / 12
J. Crowder1142%5.5 / 13
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4087%20.0 / 23
A. Davis2874%14.0 / 19
K. Caldwell-Pope1653%8.0 / 15
D. Green850%4.0 / 8
K. Kuzma732%3.5 / 11
R. Rondo425%2.0 / 8
A. Caruso350%1.5 / 3
D. Howard250%1.0 / 2
M. Morris0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+12
-13
92
LAL
79
+15
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.3%
LAL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
116.2
MIA 119.4 +4.5
LAL 114.9
Pace
96.2
97.1
MIA 90.4
LAL 96.8 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.3
MIA 15.9
LAL 14.9 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
56.1%
MIA 54.2%
LAL 54.9% +0.7%
TO %
12.7%
14.9%
MIA 12.3% +1.8%
LAL 14.1%
ORB %
19.2%
26.1%
MIA 23.7%
LAL 31.6% +7.9%
FTrt
32.2
29.3
MIA 26.5 +0.9
LAL 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
62.4%
MIA 68.4% +13.1%
LAL 55.3%
STL %
7.1%
8.3%
MIA 7.5%
LAL 10.6% +3.1%
BLK %
7.9%
10.9%
MIA 6.8%
LAL 10.0% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
58.0%
MIA 60.3% +2.9%
LAL 57.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
69.2%
MIA 54.2%
LAL 65.5% +11.3%
Mid FG%
45.0%
41.3%
MIA 42.3% +9.0%
LAL 33.3%
3P %
35.9%
35.4%
MIA 42.4% +5.6%
LAL 36.8%
FT %
82.5%
75.8%
MIA 95.5% +9.8%
LAL 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
35.7%
MIA 28.9%
LAL 35.4% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
23.6%
MIA 31.3%
LAL 18.3% +13.0%
3P Att. %
43.3%
40.7%
MIA 39.8%
LAL 46.3% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points111108
Rebounds3541
Assists2621
Steals710
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals38-8338-82
At-the-Rim FG13-2419-29
Midrange FG11-265-15
2-Point FG24-5024-44
3-Point FG14-3314-38
Free Throws21-2218-21
Fast Break Pts425
2nd Chance Pts1516
Points in Paint3242
Pts off Turnovers2014
Bench Points1414
Biggest Lead115

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
47.2
35
76%
12
11
5
1
3
2
5
7
12-12
100%
10-16
63%
1-3
33%
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30
39.8
11
42%
3
1
0
0
3
5
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-9
22%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 23
37.9
13
46%
4
4
0
1
3
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
37.0
26
81%
5
2
1
0
1
3
1
4
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 21
30.6
12
50%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
2-3
67%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
27.7
14
64%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
19.8
0
0%
6
2
1
1
1
5
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Torn Plantar Fascia
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
35
26
7
3
13
19
9
26
21-22
95%
24-50
48%
14-33
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.