FinalWin Prob.pScore
446%108
102
854%110
96
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
110.99285.5
MIA logo MIA
104.39299.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:01.1HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.9LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.9LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.9HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (LeBron James draws the foul)100
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound100
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.5HeatAnthony Davis blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup100
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.9LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)100
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:31.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)100
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:39.5LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)100
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:00LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound97
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 1:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot97
97.6%
91
2.4%
Q4 - 1:25LakersRajon Rondo makes two point running finger roll layup97
94.1%
91
5.9%
Q4 - 1:37HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)95
89.7%
91
10.3%
Q4 - 1:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound95
95.2%
88
4.8%
Q4 - 1:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot95
96.5%
88
3.5%
Q4 - 2:02LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)95
94.8%
88
5.2%
Q4 - 2:25HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)93
93.1%
88
6.9%
Q4 - 2:39LakersRajon Rondo personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)93
87.3%
88
12.7%
Q4 - 2:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (LeBron James assists)93
85.3%
88
14.7%
Q4 - 3:04LakersLeBron James defensive rebound90
73.9%
88
26.1%
Q4 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot90
70.4%
88
29.6%
Q4 - 3:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound90
61.0%
88
39.0%
Q4 - 3:14LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot90
65.4%
88
34.6%
Q4 - 3:39LakersLeBron James defensive rebound90
69.0%
88
31.0%
Q4 - 3:39HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 290
67.8%
88
32.2%
Q4 - 3:39HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 290
61.6%
88
38.4%
Q4 - 3:39LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)90
62.7%
87
37.3%
Q4 - 3:56HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound90
68.6%
87
31.4%
Q4 - 3:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot90
71.3%
87
28.7%
Q4 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)90
76.9%
87
23.1%
Q4 - 4:37LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 290
82.5%
85
17.5%
Q4 - 4:37LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 289
81.0%
85
19.0%
Q4 - 4:37HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Loose ball) (LeBron James draws the foul)88
79.1%
85
20.9%
Q4 - 4:37LakersLeBron James offensive rebound88
77.0%
85
23.0%
Q4 - 4:38LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
71.6%
85
28.4%
Q4 - 4:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound88
77.1%
85
22.9%
Q4 - 4:48LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot88
71.7%
85
28.3%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)88
73.4%
85
26.6%
Q4 - 5:33LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 288
79.2%
83
20.8%
Q4 - 5:33LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 287
77.7%
83
22.3%
Q4 - 5:33HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)86
75.8%
83
24.2%
Q4 - 5:36LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound86
73.6%
83
26.4%
Q4 - 5:37LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot86
68.6%
83
31.4%
Q4 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)86
73.7%
83
26.3%
Q4 - 6:08LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 186
63.8%
83
36.2%
Q4 - 6:08HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)85
62.0%
83
38.0%
Q4 - 6:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup83
50.5%
83
49.5%
Q4 - 6:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
56.9%
81
43.1%
Q4 - 6:38LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot83
59.4%
81
40.6%
Q4 - 7:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)83
65.0%
81
35.0%
Q4 - 7:26LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)83
74.4%
78
25.6%
Q4 - 7:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)81
69.6%
78
30.4%
Q4 - 7:48HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound81
79.3%
75
20.7%
Q4 - 7:50LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot81
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 8:00LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound81
83.9%
75
16.1%
Q4 - 8:01LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot81
78.7%
75
21.3%
Q4 - 8:22HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)81
81.6%
75
18.4%
Q4 - 8:22HeatHeat offensive rebound81
77.5%
75
22.5%
Q4 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot81
80.4%
75
19.6%
Q4 - 8:47LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot81
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q4 - 9:10HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)79
71.5%
75
28.5%
Q4 - 9:10HeatHeat offensive rebound79
66.1%
75
33.9%
Q4 - 9:11HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving reverse layup79
69.9%
75
30.1%
Q4 - 9:34LakersMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 3 of 379
66.2%
75
33.8%
Q4 - 9:34LakersMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 378
65.1%
75
34.9%
Q4 - 9:34LakersMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 377
63.8%
75
36.2%
Q4 - 9:34HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)76
62.6%
75
37.4%
Q4 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)76
55.1%
75
44.9%
Q4 - 10:15LakersAlex Caruso turnover (out of bounds step)76
65.3%
72
34.7%
Q4 - 10:20LakersLeBron James defensive rebound76
70.4%
72
29.6%
Q4 - 10:21HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point stepback jump shot76
68.9%
72
31.1%
Q4 - 10:38HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound76
65.3%
72
34.7%
Q4 - 10:38LakersKyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 276
66.0%
72
34.0%
Q4 - 10:38LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 276
69.2%
72
30.8%
Q4 - 10:38HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)75
67.9%
72
32.1%
Q4 - 10:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot75
65.5%
72
34.5%
Q4 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
69.0%
70
31.0%
Q4 - 11:04LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot75
70.4%
70
29.6%
Q4 - 11:12LakersLeBron James defensive rebound75
73.4%
70
26.6%
Q4 - 11:13HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround hook shot75
72.2%
70
27.8%
Q4 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound75
69.1%
70
30.9%
Q4 - 11:39LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot75
70.5%
70
29.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
73.5%
70
26.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound75
69.2%
70
30.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot75
72.3%
70
27.7%
Q3 - 0:04.7LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 275
68.1%
70
31.9%
Q3 - 0:04.7LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 274
67.4%
70
32.6%
Q3 - 0:04.7HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)73
66.5%
70
33.5%
Q3 - 0:04.7LakersLakers defensive rebound73
63.3%
70
36.7%
Q3 - 0:06.7HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
61.9%
70
38.1%
Q3 - 0:19.9HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound73
58.7%
70
41.3%
Q3 - 0:21.5LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot73
60.1%
70
39.9%
Q3 - 0:34.5LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound73
63.4%
70
36.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot73
62.0%
70
38.0%
Q3 - 0:47.9LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 273
58.7%
70
41.3%
Q3 - 0:47.9LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 272
57.9%
70
42.1%
Q3 - 0:47.9HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)71
57.0%
70
43.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)71
53.5%
70
46.5%
Q3 - 1:01LakersAlex Caruso offensive rebound71
53.3%
70
46.7%
Q3 - 1:01LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot71
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q3 - 1:14HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point running layup71
53.3%
70
46.7%
Q3 - 1:21HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound71
57.9%
68
42.1%
Q3 - 1:23LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q3 - 1:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 271
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 1:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 271
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q3 - 1:44LakersRajon Rondo personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)71
63.7%
66
36.3%
Q3 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound71
67.0%
66
33.0%
Q3 - 1:53LakersRajon Rondo misses three point pullup jump shot71
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q3 - 2:06HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 271
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q3 - 2:06HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 271
70.5%
65
29.5%
Q3 - 2:06LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)71
71.2%
64
28.8%
Q3 - 2:27LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)71
73.3%
64
26.7%
Q3 - 2:37LakersLeBron James defensive rebound68
66.0%
64
34.0%
Q3 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot68
64.6%
64
35.4%
Q3 - 2:43HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound68
61.3%
64
38.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot68
64.6%
64
35.4%
Q3 - 2:59HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound68
61.3%
64
38.7%
Q3 - 3:00LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot68
62.8%
64
37.2%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
65.1%
64
34.9%
Q3 - 3:32LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)68
60.7%
64
39.3%
Q3 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 265
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 265
53.1%
63
46.9%
Q3 - 3:45LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)65
53.8%
62
46.2%
Q3 - 3:47LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)65
56.4%
62
43.6%
Q3 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)65
61.1%
62
38.9%
Q3 - 4:06LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
60.4%
62
39.6%
Q3 - 4:07HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot65
58.9%
62
41.1%
Q3 - 4:28LakersAnthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot65
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 4:52LakersLeBron James defensive rebound63
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot63
50.7%
62
49.3%
Q3 - 5:16HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound63
47.5%
62
52.5%
Q3 - 5:18LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot63
48.8%
62
51.2%
Q3 - 5:32HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 263
51.8%
62
48.2%
Q3 - 5:32HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 263
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 5:32LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)63
53.7%
60
46.3%
Q3 - 5:35LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)63
55.5%
60
44.5%
Q3 - 5:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
59.8%
60
40.2%
Q3 - 6:16LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 263
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 6:16LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 262
65.1%
57
34.9%
Q3 - 6:16HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)62
67.4%
57
32.6%
Q3 - 6:34LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound62
66.2%
57
33.8%
Q3 - 6:35HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup62
65.1%
57
34.9%
Q3 - 6:44LakersLeBron James makes three point pullup jump shot62
62.5%
57
37.5%
Q3 - 7:07HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)59
54.7%
57
45.3%
Q3 - 7:22LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Anthony Davis assists)59
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 7:32LakersLeBron James defensive rebound57
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot57
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 7:57LakersDanny Green makes two point running dunk (LeBron James assists)57
54.4%
54
45.6%
Q3 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)55
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 8:07LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q3 - 8:09HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)55
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 8:18LakersLeBron James makes three point pullup jump shot55
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q3 - 8:37HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)52
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q3 - 8:39HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
36.2%
54
63.8%
Q3 - 8:40HeatAnthony Davis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point hook shot52
38.9%
54
61.1%
Q3 - 8:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
36.2%
54
63.8%
Q3 - 8:52LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point floating jump shot52
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
39.9%
54
60.1%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 252
40.7%
53
59.3%
Q3 - 9:09LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
41.7%
52
58.3%
Q3 - 9:19LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)52
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 9:34LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound49
36.6%
52
63.4%
Q3 - 9:35HeatJae Crowder misses three point running jump shot49
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q3 - 9:40LakersDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
33.0%
52
67.0%
Q3 - 9:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)49
36.6%
52
63.4%
Q3 - 10:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
39.6%
50
60.4%
Q3 - 10:13LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot49
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 10:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 249
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q3 - 10:28HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 249
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q3 - 10:28LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
41.1%
49
58.9%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
42.9%
49
57.1%
Q3 - 10:35LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot49
44.1%
49
55.9%
Q3 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot49
46.9%
49
53.1%
Q3 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q3 - 11:22LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot49
51.0%
47
49.0%
Q3 - 11:39LakersLeBron James defensive rebound49
53.5%
47
46.5%
Q3 - 11:41HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot49
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q2 - 0:03.7HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot49
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q2 - 0:05.1HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound49
56.8%
45
43.2%
Q2 - 0:06.7HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot49
58.3%
45
41.7%
Q2 - 0:27.6LakersAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)49
56.7%
45
43.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound46
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q2 - 0:40.7HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot46
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 1:02HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound46
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 1:03LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:11HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)46
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 1:11LakersLakers offensive rebound46
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 1:11LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving finger roll layup46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)46
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)46
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 1:25HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound46
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 1:28LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving layup46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:40LakersLakers defensive rebound46
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot46
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 1:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 1:49LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 2:02LakersLakers defensive rebound46
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 2:03HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup46
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 2:09HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound46
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 2:10LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup46
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 2:24LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound46
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 246
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 2:24LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)46
47.3%
44
52.7%
Q2 - 2:38LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)46
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q2 - 2:58LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound43
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 3:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot43
42.7%
44
57.3%
Q2 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q2 - 3:23LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot43
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 3:37LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound43
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 3:40LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot43
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 3:55HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 4:09LakersDanny Green makes two point layup (Rajon Rondo assists)43
49.0%
41
51.0%
Q2 - 4:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Rajon Rondo steals)41
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:17LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
44.3%
41
55.7%
Q2 - 4:40LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound41
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 4:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot41
45.4%
41
54.6%
Q2 - 5:02LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Rajon Rondo assists)41
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 239
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 239
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 5:24LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 5:33HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound39
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 5:35LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot39
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 5:42LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound39
46.4%
39
53.6%
Q2 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot39
45.5%
39
54.5%
Q2 - 6:03LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)39
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 6:05LakersDanny Green offensive rebound36
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 6:06LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot36
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 6:13LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound36
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 6:14HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot36
37.7%
39
62.3%
Q2 - 6:33LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Markieff Morris assists)36
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 6:54HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
33.7%
39
66.3%
Q2 - 7:06LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
31.6%
39
68.4%
Q2 - 7:16HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)34
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 7:16LakersLakers offensive rebound34
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 7:16LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot34
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 7:24LakersLakers offensive rebound34
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 7:25LakersJimmy Butler blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup34
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 7:31LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound34
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 7:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
33.2%
39
66.8%
Q2 - 7:40LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)34
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 234
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 234
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 7:57LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)34
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 8:09HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound34
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 8:10LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot34
34.7%
38
65.3%
Q2 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup34
36.4%
38
63.6%
Q2 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound34
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 8:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving hook shot34
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 8:48LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk34
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 9:01LakersLeBron James defensive rebound32
36.5%
36
63.5%
Q2 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 132
36.1%
36
63.9%
Q2 - 9:01LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
34.7%
36
65.3%
Q2 - 9:06LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 132
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 9:06HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)31
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 9:13LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound29
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 9:14HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot29
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 9:15HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound29
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 9:19HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot29
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 9:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 129
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 9:33LakersAlex Caruso technical foul29
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 9:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 9:37LakersDuncan Robinson blocks Alex Caruso's two point driving layup29
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 9:54HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 10:08LakersAlex Caruso makes two point reverse layup (Markieff Morris assists)29
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot27
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 10:37HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound27
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:39LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot27
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 10:41LakersAlex Caruso offensive rebound27
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q2 - 10:42LakersLeBron James misses two point bank jump shot27
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 11:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)27
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 11:22HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound27
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 11:23LakersLeBron James misses two point layup27
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q2 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 327
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q2 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 327
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q2 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 327
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q2 - 11:44LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)27
51.1%
22
48.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
55.1%
22
44.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot27
57.3%
22
42.7%
Q1 - 0:14.1LakersAlex Caruso makes two point driving finger roll layup27
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q1 - 0:32.4LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound25
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 0:33.9HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot25
56.1%
20
43.9%
Q1 - 0:44.3LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)25
54.9%
20
45.1%
Q1 - 0:59.3LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound22
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 1:00HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point turnaround hook shot22
49.3%
20
50.7%
Q1 - 1:16LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)22
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)22
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q1 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)22
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:47LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 222
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:47LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 221
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 1:47HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)21
49.0%
20
51.0%
Q1 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot21
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 2:21LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 2:39LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound21
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 2:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot21
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound21
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 2:53LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving finger roll layup21
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot21
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 3:16LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)21
53.8%
16
46.2%
Q1 - 3:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot19
52.0%
16
48.0%
Q1 - 3:53LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point stepback jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)19
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 4:11HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)17
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 4:11LakersLakers defensive rebound17
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 4:12HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup17
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 4:22LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)17
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 4:34LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound15
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 4:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup15
46.8%
14
53.2%
Q1 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 4:40LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving floating jump shot15
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 4:47LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound15
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 4:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point stepback jump shot15
46.8%
14
53.2%
Q1 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 5:02LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving bank jump shot15
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 5:07HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)15
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 5:12LakersDanny Green defensive rebound15
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot15
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 5:21LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot15
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 5:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)15
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 5:57LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk15
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)13
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 6:22LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)13
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 6:31HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)10
41.1%
12
58.9%
Q1 - 6:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)10
41.1%
12
58.9%
Q1 - 6:49LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)10
43.1%
10
56.9%
Q1 - 7:06LakersLeBron James defensive rebound10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 7:07HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 7:20LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)10
42.9%
10
57.1%
Q1 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
39.5%
10
60.5%
Q1 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound7
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 7:56LakersAnthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot7
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup7
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 8:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)7
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)5
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)5
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 9:02LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)5
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 15
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:14LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:33LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)5
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 9:37LakersLeBron James offensive rebound2
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:38LakersJae Crowder blocks Dwight Howard's two point layup2
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 9:47LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound2
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot2
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 10:04LakersDwight Howard turnover (3-second violation)2
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:20LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound2
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot2
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot2
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 10:39LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:50HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)2
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:19LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)0
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:41LakersDwight Howard turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:44LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:46LakersAnthony Davis misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Howard vs. Bam Adebayo (LeBron James gains possession)0
44.7%
0
55.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
17
24
71%
MIA
11
18
61%
Midrange
LAL
4
16
25%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
MIA
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
Free Throws
LAL
18
21
86%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2870%14.0 / 20
A. Davis2261%11.0 / 18
K. Caldwell-Pope1563%7.5 / 12
D. Green1063%5.0 / 8
M. Morris950%4.5 / 9
K. Kuzma964%4.5 / 7
A. Caruso770%3.5 / 5
R. Rondo214%1.0 / 7
D. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2255%11.0 / 20
T. Herro2153%10.5 / 20
D. Robinson17106%8.5 / 8
B. Adebayo1575%7.5 / 10
J. Crowder850%4.0 / 8
K. Nunn627%3.0 / 11
K. Olynyk440%2.0 / 5
A. Iguodala350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
77
+13
-15
90
MIA
81
+10
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.2
113.2
LAL 110.9 +6.5
MIA 104.3
Pace
97.1
96.2
LAL 85.5
MIA 99.5 +14.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.0
LAL 16.8
MIA 14.5 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.1%
53.7%
LAL 53.2% +3.2%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.9%
12.7%
LAL 14.5% +0.3%
MIA 14.8%
ORB %
26.1%
19.2%
LAL 23.8% +5.9%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
29.3
32.2
LAL 26.6
MIA 34.7 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
66.0%
LAL 71.4% +15.1%
MIA 56.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.1%
LAL 5.4%
MIA 8.7% +3.3%
BLK %
10.9%
7.9%
LAL 9.3% +1.8%
MIA 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.0%
57.0%
LAL 56.0% +3.3%
MIA 52.7%
Rim FG%
69.2%
62.0%
LAL 70.8% +9.7%
MIA 61.1%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.0%
LAL 25.0%
MIA 40.0% +15.0%
3P %
35.4%
35.9%
LAL 35.9% +1.5%
MIA 34.4%
FT %
75.8%
82.5%
LAL 85.7% +4.9%
MIA 80.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
28.7%
LAL 30.4% +6.4%
MIA 24.0%
Mid Att. %
23.6%
28.0%
LAL 20.3% +13.1%
MIA 33.3%
3P Att. %
40.7%
43.3%
LAL 49.4% +6.7%
MIA 42.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points10296
Rebounds4239
Assists2518
Steals58
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (4)
Fouls1421
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)32 (0)
Field Goals35-7932-75
At-the-Rim FG17-2411-18
Midrange FG4-1610-25
2-Point FG21-4021-43
3-Point FG14-3911-32
Free Throws18-2121-26
Fast Break Pts74
2nd Chance Pts127
Points in Paint3432
Pts off Turnovers1913
Bench Points2713
Biggest Lead95

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28
41.5
22
61%
9
4
1
4
2
2
0
9
4-4
100%
6-12
50%
2-4
50%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36
38.6
28
70%
12
8
1
0
6
2
2
10
10-12
83%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
#1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28
31.6
15
63%
3
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33
20.8
10
63%
2
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
#39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
7.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
30.0
9
50%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35
28.2
2
14%
7
5
1
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27
22.3
7
70%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 25
19.0
9
64%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
56%
42
25
5
4
15
14
10
32
18-21
86%
21-40
53%
14-39
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.