FinalWin Prob.pScore
349%109
104
951%110
115
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
104.0100102.9
MIA logo MIA
116.29997.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:24.7LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving floating bank jump shot104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.7HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound102
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.9LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot102
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.6LakersRajon Rondo shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)102
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk (Rajon Rondo assists)102
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 1:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot100
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 1:30HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound100
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 1:31LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot100
2.4%
107
97.6%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
4.3%
107
95.7%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
4.6%
106
95.4%
Q4 - 1:47LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)100
5.0%
105
95.0%
Q4 - 2:11LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)100
6.3%
105
93.7%
Q4 - 2:27LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound97
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 2:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot97
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 2:45LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)97
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 2:50LakersLeBron James defensive rebound97
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 2:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
3.4%
105
96.6%
Q4 - 3:09HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound97
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 3:10LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot97
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
3.9%
105
96.1%
Q4 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 297
4.1%
104
95.9%
Q4 - 3:19LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)97
4.4%
103
95.6%
Q4 - 3:41LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 297
8.3%
103
91.7%
Q4 - 3:41LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 296
7.7%
103
92.3%
Q4 - 3:41HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)95
7.1%
103
92.9%
Q4 - 3:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
6.0%
103
94.0%
Q4 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound95
8.0%
101
92.0%
Q4 - 4:05LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot95
8.9%
101
91.1%
Q4 - 4:23LakersLeBron James defensive rebound95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot95
10.1%
101
89.9%
Q4 - 4:40LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
7.7%
101
92.3%
Q4 - 4:42LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound95
11.2%
101
88.8%
Q4 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup95
10.0%
101
90.0%
Q4 - 5:02HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound95
10.3%
101
89.7%
Q4 - 5:03LakersJimmy Butler blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point tip layup95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 5:03LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound95
13.9%
101
86.1%
Q4 - 5:04LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point tip layup95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 5:04LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound95
13.9%
101
86.1%
Q4 - 5:05LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 5:07LakersAlex Caruso offensive rebound95
13.9%
101
86.1%
Q4 - 5:09LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup95
13.8%
101
86.2%
Q4 - 5:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 295
17.9%
99
82.1%
Q4 - 5:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 1 of 294
17.1%
99
82.9%
Q4 - 5:41HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)94
21.1%
99
78.9%
Q4 - 5:47LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound94
18.1%
99
81.9%
Q4 - 5:48HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point floating jump shot94
16.6%
99
83.4%
Q4 - 6:13LakersLeBron James turnover (traveling)94
15.6%
99
84.4%
Q4 - 6:29HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)94
20.6%
99
79.4%
Q4 - 6:42LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)94
25.0%
97
75.0%
Q4 - 7:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
18.4%
97
81.6%
Q4 - 7:27HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound91
27.1%
94
72.9%
Q4 - 7:28LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot91
29.0%
94
71.0%
Q4 - 7:36LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound91
33.6%
94
66.4%
Q4 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot91
31.5%
94
68.5%
Q4 - 7:48LakersRajon Rondo turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)91
27.0%
94
73.0%
Q4 - 8:03HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
34.1%
94
65.9%
Q4 - 8:15LakersLeBron James turnover (traveling)91
46.2%
91
53.8%
Q4 - 8:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot91
52.6%
91
47.4%
Q4 - 8:44LakersRajon Rondo personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
58.8%
89
41.2%
Q4 - 8:56LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving layup91
58.8%
89
41.2%
Q4 - 9:03LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound89
52.4%
89
47.6%
Q4 - 9:04LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot89
48.0%
89
52.0%
Q4 - 9:10LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound89
52.4%
89
47.6%
Q4 - 9:11HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot89
50.5%
89
49.5%
Q4 - 9:30LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)89
46.1%
89
53.9%
Q4 - 9:42HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)86
34.8%
89
65.2%
Q4 - 9:42HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)86
29.3%
89
70.7%
Q4 - 9:55LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)86
29.3%
89
70.7%
Q4 - 10:19HeatJae Crowder makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)83
21.9%
89
78.1%
Q4 - 10:31HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
25.9%
87
74.1%
Q4 - 10:32LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot83
27.3%
87
72.7%
Q4 - 10:48HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving bank jump shot83
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 11:05LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 183
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 11:05HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)82
34.6%
85
65.4%
Q4 - 11:16LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound80
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point layup80
25.4%
85
74.6%
Q4 - 11:38HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
22.6%
85
77.4%
Q4 - 11:39LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot80
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q3 - 0:02.9LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup80
24.1%
85
75.9%
Q3 - 0:21.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 278
20.3%
85
79.7%
Q3 - 0:21.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 278
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q3 - 0:21.3LakersRajon Rondo shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q3 - 0:34.4LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)78
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q3 - 0:46.8LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound75
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q3 - 0:47.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot75
16.3%
83
83.7%
Q3 - 0:54.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q3 - 0:55.1LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot75
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q3 - 1:05LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound75
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q3 - 1:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot75
17.7%
83
82.3%
Q3 - 1:30LakersAnthony Davis makes two point tip dunk75
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 1:30LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound73
13.4%
83
86.6%
Q3 - 1:31LakersAlex Caruso misses two point running layup73
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q3 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)73
13.4%
83
86.6%
Q3 - 1:50LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q3 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q3 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound71
12.2%
81
87.8%
Q3 - 2:35LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving bank hook shot71
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q3 - 2:48LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound71
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q3 - 2:48LakersAlex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 271
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q3 - 2:48LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 271
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q3 - 2:48HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)70
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q3 - 2:55HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)70
12.4%
81
87.6%
Q3 - 3:11LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)70
17.8%
78
82.2%
Q3 - 3:11LakersLakers offensive rebound70
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q3 - 3:11LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving layup70
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 270
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 270
21.1%
77
78.9%
Q3 - 3:35LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
18.7%
77
81.3%
Q3 - 3:40HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound70
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q3 - 3:41LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot70
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q3 - 3:50LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound70
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q3 - 3:51HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot70
22.7%
77
77.3%
Q3 - 4:10LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 270
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q3 - 4:10LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 269
20.8%
77
79.2%
Q3 - 4:10HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)68
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q3 - 4:22HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)68
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q3 - 4:32LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)68
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q3 - 4:40HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)66
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup66
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 4:58LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving bank hook shot66
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 5:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot64
22.7%
72
77.3%
Q3 - 5:35LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup64
25.3%
70
74.7%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
22.6%
70
77.4%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
23.0%
69
77.0%
Q3 - 5:51LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 6:12LakersDanny Green makes regular free throw 2 of 262
26.1%
68
73.9%
Q3 - 6:12LakersDanny Green makes regular free throw 1 of 261
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 6:12HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Danny Green draws the foul)60
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 6:33LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound60
23.4%
68
76.6%
Q3 - 6:34HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound60
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 6:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 2 of 260
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 6:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 260
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 6:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)59
22.3%
68
77.7%
Q3 - 6:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)59
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q3 - 7:06LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dwight Howard assists)59
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 7:10LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound57
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 7:11LakersDanny Green misses two point driving floating jump shot57
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 7:25LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound57
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 7:26HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot57
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 7:44LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)57
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 7:54HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)54
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 7:58LakersDanny Green defensive rebound54
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 7:59HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup jump shot54
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 8:11HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound54
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot54
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 8:21LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving layup54
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 8:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point running reverse layup (Jae Crowder assists)54
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound54
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 8:36LakersJimmy Butler blocks Anthony Davis's two point putback layup54
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 8:37LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound54
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 8:39LakersLeBron James misses two point running layup54
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 8:43LakersLeBron James defensive rebound54
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 8:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot54
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 9:06LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)54
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 9:06HeatHeat defensive rebound54
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 9:07LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot54
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 9:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 9:34LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot54
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 9:47LakersLeBron James defensive rebound54
22.3%
63
77.7%
Q3 - 9:48HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot54
21.5%
63
78.5%
Q3 - 9:56HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound54
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 9:57LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot54
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 10:15HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)54
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 10:22LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)54
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound54
25.1%
61
74.9%
Q3 - 10:40LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot54
26.1%
61
73.9%
Q3 - 11:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 11:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound54
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q3 - 11:22LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot54
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)54
37.8%
58
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q2 - 0:00.3LakersLakers offensive rebound54
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q2 - 0:00.3LakersRajon Rondo misses two point tip layup54
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 0:00.8LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound54
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q2 - 0:01.7LakersJR Smith misses three point jump shot54
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 254
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 254
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0LakersLeBron James personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)54
38.5%
56
61.5%
Q2 - 0:30.9LakersJR Smith makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)54
41.7%
56
58.3%
Q2 - 0:51.4HeatSolomon Hill makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)51
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q2 - 0:58.5LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot51
41.6%
53
58.4%
Q2 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Andre Iguodala assists)48
35.1%
53
64.9%
Q2 - 1:39LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 248
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 1:39LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 247
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 1:39HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)46
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup46
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 2:09HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound46
39.0%
49
61.0%
Q2 - 2:10LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot46
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q2 - 2:27LakersJR Smith defensive rebound46
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 2:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
41.0%
49
59.0%
Q2 - 2:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
39.0%
49
61.0%
Q2 - 2:37LakersJR Smith misses three point jump shot46
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJae Crowder makes two point driving finger roll layup46
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 3:10LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup46
44.9%
47
55.1%
Q2 - 3:19HeatJae Crowder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 3:24HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound44
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q2 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot44
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 3:35LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 244
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q2 - 3:35LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 243
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)42
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q2 - 3:48HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 4:03LakersMarkieff Morris makes two point cutting dunk (LeBron James assists)42
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)40
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 4:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound40
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 4:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot40
38.9%
44
61.1%
Q2 - 4:33LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 140
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 4:33HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)39
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q2 - 4:41HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (JR Smith steals)37
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 4:47HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound37
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 4:48LakersDuncan Robinson blocks LeBron James's two point tip layup37
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 4:48LakersLeBron James offensive rebound37
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 4:49LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point driving layup37
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 5:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)37
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 5:28LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)37
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 5:28LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)37
37.7%
42
62.3%
Q2 - 5:36LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound37
37.6%
42
62.4%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot37
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound37
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 5:50LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot37
35.6%
42
64.4%
Q2 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot37
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 6:12HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound37
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 6:14LakersRajon Rondo misses three point stepback jump shot37
41.0%
40
59.0%
Q2 - 6:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 237
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 6:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 237
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 6:32LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 6:39LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)37
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 6:43LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound37
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 6:46LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot37
46.2%
38
53.8%
Q2 - 6:51HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)37
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 7:00LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (offensive foul)37
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 7:00LakersKyle Kuzma offensive foul (Charge) (Jae Crowder draws the foul)37
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot37
48.3%
38
51.7%
Q2 - 7:21LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
50.8%
36
49.2%
Q2 - 7:36HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)37
53.5%
36
46.5%
Q2 - 7:46LakersDanny Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 7:46HeatHeat offensive rebound37
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 7:46HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot37
60.2%
33
39.8%
Q2 - 8:00LakersAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)37
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 8:04HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Rajon Rondo draws the foul)34
53.3%
33
46.7%
Q2 - 8:16HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)34
53.3%
33
46.7%
Q2 - 8:27LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Rajon Rondo assists)34
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 232
53.3%
31
46.7%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 232
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 8:34LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)32
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 8:46LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)32
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q2 - 9:00HeatJae Crowder makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)29
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 9:11HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound29
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q2 - 9:13LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot29
51.3%
28
48.7%
Q2 - 9:25HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)29
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 9:38LakersDanny Green defensive rebound29
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 9:38HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot29
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q2 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound29
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q2 - 9:45LakersLeBron James misses two point driving dunk29
51.3%
28
48.7%
Q2 - 9:52LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound29
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 9:53HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround hook shot29
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q2 - 10:09LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 129
50.4%
28
49.6%
Q2 - 10:09HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)28
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 10:13LakersLeBron James defensive rebound26
45.8%
28
54.2%
Q2 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot26
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 10:22LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)26
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 10:27LakersLeBron James defensive rebound26
45.8%
28
54.2%
Q2 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot26
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 10:37HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound26
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 10:38LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot26
44.0%
28
56.0%
Q2 - 11:02HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point cutting dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)26
45.6%
28
54.4%
Q2 - 11:18HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound26
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q2 - 11:19LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot26
48.8%
26
51.2%
Q2 - 11:22HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)26
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 11:28LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)26
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q2 - 11:35LakersLeBron James defensive rebound23
43.3%
26
56.7%
Q2 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup23
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)23
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:19.7LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound20
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 0:20.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:44.6LakersMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 3 of 320
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q1 - 0:44.6LakersMarkieff Morris misses regular free throw 2 of 319
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 0:44.6LakersMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 319
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:44.6HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)18
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 0:54.1HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 218
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:54.1HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 218
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 0:54.1LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)18
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 1:07LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)18
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q1 - 1:20LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound15
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q1 - 1:21HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot15
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q1 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
29.0%
24
71.0%
Q1 - 1:36LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot15
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q1 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q1 - 2:02LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Loose ball) (Solomon Hill draws the foul)15
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q1 - 2:02HeatHeat offensive rebound15
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q1 - 2:03HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot15
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q1 - 2:21LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)15
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q1 - 2:40LakersLakers defensive rebound12
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 2:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot12
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 2:43HeatHeat offensive rebound12
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 2:43HeatLeBron James blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup12
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 2:48LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)12
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 2:56LakersLeBron James defensive rebound12
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 2:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot12
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 3:08LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 212
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 3:08LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 211
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 3:08HeatSolomon Hill shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)10
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 3:11HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)10
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 3:28LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 210
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 3:28LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 29
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 3:28HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)9
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 3:33LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound9
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 3:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup9
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 3:54LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot9
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 4:16HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 29
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 4:16HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 29
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 4:16LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)9
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 4:27HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 4:28LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point pullup jump shot9
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 4:33HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 4:48LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)9
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 4:48LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup9
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 5:14LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 5:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 29
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 5:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 29
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 5:26LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)9
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 5:37LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 5:44LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound9
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 5:54LakersAnthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Meyers Leonard steals)9
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 6:12LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound9
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot9
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 6:20LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot9
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 6:45LakersDanny Green defensive rebound9
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot9
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 7:00LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 29
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 7:00LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 28
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 7:00HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)8
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 7:06LakersLeBron James defensive rebound8
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 7:07HeatJae Crowder misses two point fadeaway jump shot8
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 7:19LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)8
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 7:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)8
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 7:34LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)8
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 7:58LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 8:13HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 8:25LakersDwight Howard makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)8
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)6
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 8:41HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 8:55LakersDanny Green turnover (out of bounds step)6
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:58LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound6
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 8:59LakersDanny Green misses two point driving hook shot6
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 9:07HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)6
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 9:14LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound6
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 9:15HeatLeBron James blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving hook shot6
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 9:36HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound6
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 9:37LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot6
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 9:56HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 10:10LakersLeBron James makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)6
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 10:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk4
50.1%
4
49.9%
Q1 - 10:51HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound4
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 10:51LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 14
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:51HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)4
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Howard steals)2
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 11:09LakersDwight Howard turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 11:52LakersDwight Howard makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)2
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Howard vs. Meyers Leonard (LeBron James gains possession)0
50.0%
0
50.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
14
23
61%
MIA
13
17
76%
Midrange
LAL
6
14
43%
MIA
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
14
21.0
42
33%
50%
MIA
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
LAL
22
29
76%
MIA
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2566%12.5 / 19
M. Morris1968%9.5 / 14
K. Kuzma1968%9.5 / 14
A. Davis1575%7.5 / 10
A. Caruso857%4.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope536%2.5 / 7
D. Howard4100%2.0 / 2
R. Rondo425%2.0 / 8
J. Smith350%1.5 / 3
D. Green214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler4074%20.0 / 27
T. Herro1745%8.5 / 19
K. Olynyk1777%8.5 / 11
D. Robinson1350%6.5 / 13
J. Crowder1250%6.0 / 12
M. Leonard7117%3.5 / 3
K. Nunn467%2.0 / 3
S. Hill3150%1.5 / 1
A. Iguodala250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
81
+13
-19
94
MIA
87
+6
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.2
113.2
LAL 104.0
MIA 116.2 +12.2
Pace
97.1
96.2
LAL 102.9 +4.9
MIA 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.0
LAL 14.0 +0.7
MIA 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.1%
53.7%
LAL 51.9%
MIA 58.8% +6.9%
TO %
14.9%
12.7%
LAL 17.9%
MIA 12.6% +5.3%
ORB %
26.1%
19.2%
LAL 24.4% +15.8%
MIA 8.6%
FTrt
29.3
32.2
LAL 36.7 +7.9
MIA 28.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
66.0%
LAL 67.6% +6.6%
MIA 61.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.1%
LAL 8.0%
MIA 8.1% +0.1%
BLK %
10.9%
7.9%
LAL 4.3%
MIA 8.1% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.0%
57.0%
LAL 55.3%
MIA 61.2% +5.9%
Rim FG%
69.2%
62.0%
LAL 60.9%
MIA 76.5% +15.6%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.0%
LAL 42.9%
MIA 55.2% +12.3%
3P %
35.4%
35.9%
LAL 33.3%
MIA 35.3% +2.0%
FT %
75.8%
82.5%
LAL 75.9%
MIA 91.3% +15.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
28.7%
LAL 29.1% +7.9%
MIA 21.3%
Mid Att. %
23.6%
28.0%
LAL 17.7% +18.5%
MIA 36.3%
3P Att. %
40.7%
43.3%
LAL 53.2% +10.7%
MIA 42.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes23.324.3
Points104115
Rebounds4337
Assists2325
Steals88
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (1)
Fouls2223
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals34-7941-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2313-17
Midrange FG6-1416-29
2-Point FG20-3729-46
3-Point FG14-4212-34
Free Throws22-2921-23
Fast Break Pts159
2nd Chance Pts65
Points in Paint3452
Pts off Turnovers1721
Bench Points5326
Biggest Lead414

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36
39.2
25
66%
10
8
0
2
8
2
1
9
6-9
67%
8-11
73%
1-5
20%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28
33.0
15
75%
5
3
2
0
5
4
2
3
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
#1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28
29.2
5
36%
3
1
1
0
0
4
0
3
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33
16.7
2
14%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
#39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
14.5
4
100%
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35
27.9
4
25%
8
5
2
0
2
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27
26.1
8
57%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
25.0
19
68%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 25
22.9
19
68%
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
1
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
4-8
50%
#21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35
5.5
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35
#18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
43
23
8
2
19
22
11
32
22-29
76%
20-37
54%
14-42
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.