FinalWin Prob.pScore
538%106
98
362%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.097101.7
LAL logo LAL
119.69792.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:13.3LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0HeatSolomon Hill misses three point jump shot98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:22.7LakersQuinn Cook makes three point pullup jump shot98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:36.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.3LakersJR Smith personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.6HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.9LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point pullup jump shot96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatJared Dudley blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatSolomon Hill defensive rebound96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25LakersLeBron James defensive rebound96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58HeatSolomon Hill misses three point jump shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11LakersLeBron James makes two point driving reverse layup96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30LakersDanny Green defensive rebound96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 196
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31LakersAlex Caruso shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)96
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HeatSolomon Hill makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving finger roll layup92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45LakersAlex Caruso personal foul (Solomon Hill draws the foul)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01LakersAlex Caruso makes two point cutting finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Tyler Herro's two point running dunk87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29LakersKelly Olynyk blocks Anthony Davis's two point driving layup87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (offensive foul)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03LakersMarkieff Morris offensive foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13LakersLakers offensive rebound83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13LakersJae Crowder blocks Rajon Rondo's two point driving layup83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 282
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 281
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41LakersRajon Rondo offensive rebound81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42LakersKelly Olynyk blocks Anthony Davis's two point layup81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rajon Rondo assists)81
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:29LakersLeBron James defensive rebound81
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot81
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 281
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39HeatSolomon Hill shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)81
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:52HeatSolomon Hill makes two point layup81
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 8:03HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound79
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 8:04LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup79
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 8:23HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)79
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 8:34LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:34LakersAlex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 277
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 8:34HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)77
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 8:59HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:00LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:06LakersLeBron James defensive rebound75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:07HeatSolomon Hill misses three point stepback jump shot75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:33LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)75
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)75
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:12HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound72
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:13LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot72
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)72
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:39LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 11:07LakersMarkieff Morris makes two point layup (Alex Caruso assists)67
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 11:13HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Kuzma steals)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:18LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:21LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:22LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point driving layup67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:32LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:33HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:52LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (offensive foul)67
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:52LakersMarkieff Morris offensive foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LakersLakers offensive rebound67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point pullup jump shot67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.9HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup67
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:15.2HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound65
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:16.2LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot65
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot65
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:49.4LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 265
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:49.4LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 265
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:49.4HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)65
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:49.4LakersLakers offensive rebound65
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:50.6LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot65
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:04LakersAlex Caruso offensive rebound65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:06LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:25LakersLeBron James defensive rebound65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 1:34LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 265
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55LakersAlex Caruso personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:55HeatHeat offensive rebound63
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:56HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot63
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 2:15LakersLeBron James makes two point driving reverse layup63
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 2:31HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 263
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:31HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 262
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:31LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:46HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:47LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point tip layup61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:47LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound61
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 2:49LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point stepback jump shot61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:04LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:05HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:21LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:30LakersLakers offensive rebound61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:31LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:36LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:37HeatAnthony Davis blocks Andre Iguodala's two point pullup jump shot61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:47HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:48LakersRajon Rondo misses three point stepback jump shot61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:13HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup61
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:25LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 2 of 259
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 4:25LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 1 of 259
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 4:25HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)59
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 4:40LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound59
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot59
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 4:49HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound59
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 4:50LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot59
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)59
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 5:21HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound57
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:22LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:40HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 6:04LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Dwight Howard assists)55
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 6:09LakersLeBron James defensive rebound55
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot55
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 6:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound55
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 6:20LakersLeBron James misses two point stepback jump shot55
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 6:29LakersLeBron James defensive rebound55
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 6:50LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot55
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 7:03LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound55
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 255
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 255
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 7:03LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 7:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 3 of 354
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 7:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 354
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 354
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 7:15HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)54
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 7:33LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound54
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 7:34HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot54
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 7:50LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Dwight Howard assists)54
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 7:56LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound54
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 7:57HeatDanny Green blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot54
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 8:04LakersLeBron James personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 8:06HeatJae Crowder misses two point jump shot54
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 8:18LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup54
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 8:29LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound54
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 8:30HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot54
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 8:44LakersLeBron James personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 9:01LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback layup54
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 9:04LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound54
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 9:04LakersJae Crowder blocks Anthony Davis's two point putback layup54
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 9:05LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound54
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 9:06LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot54
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 9:12LakersLeBron James defensive rebound54
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 9:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot54
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 9:24LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 254
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 9:24LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 254
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 9:24HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)54
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 9:26LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound54
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 9:27LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot54
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 9:52HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 10:20LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)51
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 10:40LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound51
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 10:41HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup jump shot51
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 10:55LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 251
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 10:55LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 251
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)51
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)51
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 11:18LakersDanny Green defensive rebound51
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 11:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot51
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 11:29LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)51
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 11:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 151
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 11:47LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q2 - 0:01.5LakersLeBron James defensive rebound48
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q2 - 0:02.5HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot48
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q2 - 0:15.9LakersAnthony Davis makes two point dunk (Alex Caruso assists)48
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q2 - 0:22.4HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)48
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q2 - 0:36.9LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 248
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q2 - 0:36.9LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 248
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q2 - 0:36.9HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)48
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q2 - 0:38.3LakersLeBron James offensive rebound48
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 0:39.6LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup48
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q2 - 0:59.1LakersLeBron James defensive rebound48
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 1:00HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot48
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q2 - 1:15LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Kuzma assists)48
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q2 - 1:28HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)48
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 1:36Jump ball. Jimmy Butler vs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Jimmy Butler gains possession)48
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q2 - 1:40LakersDanny Green defensive rebound48
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 1:41HeatDanny Green blocks Andre Iguodala's two point layup48
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q2 - 1:48LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)48
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q2 - 2:00LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound48
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 2:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot48
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q2 - 2:26HeatHeat defensive rebound48
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q2 - 2:26LakersAndre Iguodala blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup48
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q2 - 2:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 248
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q2 - 2:43HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 247
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 2:43LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 2:55LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds lost ball)47
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q2 - 3:02LakersLeBron James defensive rebound47
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q2 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot47
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 3:17LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup47
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup47
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 3:36LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)45
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q2 - 3:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)45
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 3:53HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound43
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q2 - 3:54LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot43
13.9%
54
86.1%
Q2 - 4:11LakersLakers defensive rebound43
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 4:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot43
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 4:21LakersDanny Green personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 4:31LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 4:41LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound43
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 4:42HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot43
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 5:00LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)43
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 5:20HeatAnthony Davis blocks Goran Dragic's two point floating jump shot43
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 5:36LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)43
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 5:59LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot43
21.9%
49
78.1%
Q2 - 6:15LakersAlex Caruso makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)43
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q2 - 6:24LakersDanny Green defensive rebound43
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 6:25HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot43
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 6:43LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)43
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 6:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)43
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q2 - 7:05LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 7:17LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)43
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
39.1%
41
60.9%
Q2 - 7:39HeatSolomon Hill defensive rebound40
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 7:40LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup40
33.7%
41
66.3%
Q2 - 8:00HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)40
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 8:18LakersAlex Caruso makes two point cutting dunk (LeBron James assists)37
27.9%
41
72.1%
Q2 - 8:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Danny Green steals)37
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:31LakersRajon Rondo personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 8:35HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound37
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 8:36LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot37
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 8:58HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 9:19LakersRajon Rondo makes regular free throw 2 of 234
26.1%
39
73.9%
Q2 - 9:19LakersRajon Rondo makes regular free throw 1 of 234
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 9:19HeatSolomon Hill shooting foul (Rajon Rondo draws the foul)34
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:34HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)34
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 9:38LakersAlex Caruso turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)32
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 9:49LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound32
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot32
24.7%
37
75.3%
Q2 - 10:06LakersRajon Rondo makes three point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)32
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 10:15LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound32
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 10:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup32
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 10:26HeatSolomon Hill defensive rebound32
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 10:27LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point jump shot32
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Andre Iguodala assists)32
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound30
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 10:52LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot30
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 11:07LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound30
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 11:08HeatSolomon Hill misses three point jump shot30
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 11:23LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)30
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 11:48HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup30
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
29.8%
31
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound28
29.8%
31
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot28
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q1 - 0:04.2LakersAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)28
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q1 - 0:27.3LakersLeBron James defensive rebound28
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q1 - 0:28.2HeatAnthony Davis blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point cutting layup28
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0LakersAnthony Davis makes two point layup (LeBron James assists)28
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)28
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound28
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q1 - 0:50.9LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround hook shot28
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q1 - 1:01HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)28
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q1 - 1:16LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 228
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:16LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 228
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q1 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)28
41.4%
24
58.6%
Q1 - 1:26LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound28
42.7%
24
57.3%
Q1 - 1:27HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot28
43.3%
24
56.7%
Q1 - 1:37LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 228
44.5%
24
55.5%
Q1 - 1:37LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 228
44.9%
23
55.1%
Q1 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)28
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 1:37LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound28
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 1:38LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot28
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 1:45LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound28
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 1:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot28
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q1 - 1:59HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
49.1%
22
50.9%
Q1 - 2:00LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup28
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 2:04LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound28
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q1 - 2:08HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound28
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 2:09HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point pullup bank jump shot28
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q1 - 2:23LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 228
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 2:23LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 228
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q1 - 2:23HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)28
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 2:32LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound28
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 2:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
51.8%
20
48.2%
Q1 - 2:47LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving layup (Rajon Rondo assists)28
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 2:56HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)28
55.6%
18
44.4%
Q1 - 3:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)25
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 3:30LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound25
54.6%
15
45.4%
Q1 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup25
55.4%
15
44.6%
Q1 - 3:44LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)25
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 4:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)25
60.2%
12
39.8%
Q1 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
62.6%
12
37.4%
Q1 - 4:09LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot25
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:21HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point tip dunk25
60.3%
12
39.7%
Q1 - 4:21HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound23
58.6%
12
41.4%
Q1 - 4:23HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup jump shot23
56.9%
12
43.1%
Q1 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound23
58.6%
12
41.4%
Q1 - 4:41LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot23
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 4:53LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound23
56.2%
12
43.8%
Q1 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup23
56.9%
12
43.1%
Q1 - 5:14LakersRajon Rondo makes two point stepback jump shot23
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 5:38HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)23
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 5:46LakersDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)20
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 6:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)20
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 6:15LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 6:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup18
48.2%
10
51.8%
Q1 - 6:45LakersDwight Howard turnover (offensive foul)16
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 6:45LakersDwight Howard offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
44.4%
10
55.6%
Q1 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk16
43.5%
10
56.5%
Q1 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 7:05HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot14
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 7:26LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive goaltending)14
42.0%
10
58.0%
Q1 - 7:39HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup14
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 7:50HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound12
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 7:51LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot12
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)12
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 8:16LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point stepback jump shot10
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 8:33HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)10
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:37LakersLeBron James defensive rebound10
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:38HeatDanny Green blocks Goran Dragic's two point pullup jump shot10
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:53LakersLeBron James makes three point stepback jump shot10
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 210
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 9:08LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 9:21LakersAnthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot (LeBron James assists)8
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:23LakersLakers offensive rebound8
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 9:23LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot8
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot8
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
39.9%
3
60.1%
Q1 - 9:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot6
39.3%
3
60.7%
Q1 - 10:07HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)6
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 10:19LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)3
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 10:44HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)3
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:03HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:04LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot0
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:22LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:40LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Dwight Howard (LeBron James gains possession)0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
LAL
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
27
70%
LAL
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIA
8
27
30%
LAL
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
LAL
15
22.5
38
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
11
14
79%
LAL
25
27
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2377%11.5 / 15
K. Nunn1882%9.0 / 11
T. Herro1439%7.0 / 18
J. Crowder1275%6.0 / 8
B. Adebayo836%4.0 / 11
A. Iguodala750%3.5 / 7
G. Dragic638%3.0 / 8
K. Olynyk433%2.0 / 6
S. Hill433%2.0 / 6
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis3465%17.0 / 26
L. James2563%12.5 / 20
K. Caldwell-Pope1354%6.5 / 12
D. Green1169%5.5 / 8
A. Caruso1071%5.0 / 7
M. Morris867%4.0 / 6
R. Rondo744%3.5 / 8
K. Kuzma321%1.5 / 7
Q. Cook3150%1.5 / 1
D. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+7
-8
96
LAL
85
+14
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
LAL
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
116.2
MIA 101.0
LAL 119.6 +18.6
Pace
96.2
97.1
MIA 101.7 +9.1
LAL 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.3
MIA 14.2 +1.4
LAL 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
56.1%
MIA 48.9%
LAL 54.2% +5.3%
TO %
12.7%
14.9%
MIA 7.8% +3.3%
LAL 11.1%
ORB %
19.2%
26.1%
MIA 10.0%
LAL 22.5% +12.5%
FTrt
32.2
29.3
MIA 15.7
LAL 32.1 +16.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
62.4%
MIA 60.5%
LAL 68.4% +7.9%
STL %
7.1%
8.3%
MIA 4.1%
LAL 7.2% +3.1%
BLK %
7.9%
10.9%
MIA 10.9%
LAL 14.8% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
58.0%
MIA 51.0%
LAL 58.6% +7.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
69.2%
MIA 70.4% +9.7%
LAL 60.7%
Mid FG%
45.0%
41.3%
MIA 29.6%
LAL 33.3% +3.7%
3P %
35.9%
35.4%
MIA 31.4%
LAL 39.5% +8.1%
FT %
82.5%
75.8%
MIA 78.6%
LAL 92.6% +14.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
35.7%
MIA 30.3%
LAL 33.3% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
23.6%
MIA 30.3%
LAL 21.4% +8.9%
3P Att. %
43.3%
40.7%
MIA 39.3%
LAL 45.2% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points98116
Rebounds3654
Assists2326
Steals47
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1519
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)45 (1)
Field Goals38-8938-84
At-the-Rim FG19-2717-28
Midrange FG8-276-18
2-Point FG27-5423-46
3-Point FG11-3515-38
Free Throws11-1425-27
Fast Break Pts1210
2nd Chance Pts916
Points in Paint4638
Pts off Turnovers1416
Bench Points4931
Biggest Lead1332

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
33.4
23
77%
2
5
2
0
2
0
0
2
5-5
100%
6-9
67%
2-4
50%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
27.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30
24.5
12
75%
2
0
0
2
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 23
21.2
8
36%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
4-6
67%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
14.8
6
38%
1
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
30.3
14
39%
4
3
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
2-8
25%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
25.4
7
50%
5
6
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
19.8
18
82%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
86%
2-4
50%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
18.1
4
33%
5
4
0
2
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30
18.0
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
7.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pubic Bone; Stress Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
36
23
4
5
8
15
5
31
11-14
79%
27-54
50%
11-35
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.