for complete access.
All Games Sunday, September 27, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Celtics
47%107
113
5
Heat
53%108
125
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
111.9101109.0
MIA logo MIA
123.810194.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:18.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.9CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point fadeaway jump shot113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.9CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse dunk (Tyler Herro assists)113
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.9CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)113
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.5CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)110
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.5CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)110
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.5CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound108
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)108
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point cutting layup (Jaylen Brown assists)108
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jayson Tatum assists)106
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)102
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23CelticsCeltics defensive rebound102
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:25HeatJayson Tatum blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)102
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound102
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 3:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point layup102
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 3:04CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound102
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 3:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot102
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 3:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses technical free throw 1 of 1102
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler technical foul102
1.2%
112
98.8%
Q4 - 3:09CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 3:19CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot102
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot102
3.0%
112
97.0%
Q4 - 3:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
3.9%
110
96.1%
Q4 - 3:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot102
4.3%
110
95.7%
Q4 - 3:56CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound102
5.5%
110
94.5%
Q4 - 3:56HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 2 of 2102
5.2%
110
94.8%
Q4 - 3:56HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
4.4%
110
95.6%
Q4 - 3:56CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)102
5.1%
109
94.9%
Q4 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
5.2%
109
94.8%
Q4 - 4:16CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot102
5.8%
109
94.2%
Q4 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup102
7.4%
109
92.6%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)102
10.1%
107
89.9%
Q4 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
14.4%
107
85.6%
Q4 - 5:00CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)102
25.5%
104
74.5%
Q4 - 5:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound102
27.9%
104
72.1%
Q4 - 5:14CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot102
30.0%
104
70.0%
Q4 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
35.3%
104
64.7%
Q4 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
37.2%
103
62.8%
Q4 - 5:31CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
31.8%
103
68.2%
Q4 - 5:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kemba Walker assists)102
34.9%
103
65.1%
Q4 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)100
28.2%
103
71.8%
Q4 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
35.6%
101
64.4%
Q4 - 6:07CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot100
38.0%
101
62.0%
Q4 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
43.7%
101
56.3%
Q4 - 6:16CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
45.4%
100
54.6%
Q4 - 6:30CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot100
57.4%
98
42.6%
Q4 - 6:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk97
43.6%
98
56.4%
Q4 - 6:53HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound97
50.1%
96
49.9%
Q4 - 6:53CelticsKemba Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 297
51.2%
96
48.8%
Q4 - 6:53CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 297
56.5%
96
43.5%
Q4 - 6:53HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)96
55.4%
96
44.6%
Q4 - 7:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound96
50.9%
96
49.1%
Q4 - 7:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
48.5%
96
51.5%
Q4 - 7:25HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound96
43.2%
96
56.8%
Q4 - 7:26CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot96
45.5%
96
54.5%
Q4 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot96
50.9%
96
49.1%
Q4 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
56.8%
94
43.2%
Q4 - 7:56CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot96
59.1%
94
40.9%
Q4 - 8:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)96
62.3%
94
37.7%
Q4 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
73.3%
91
26.7%
Q4 - 8:27CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot96
74.8%
91
25.2%
Q4 - 8:36CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound96
78.0%
91
22.0%
Q4 - 8:38CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot96
74.8%
91
25.2%
Q4 - 8:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 296
78.1%
91
21.9%
Q4 - 8:48HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 296
78.7%
90
21.3%
Q4 - 8:48CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
74.9%
90
25.1%
Q4 - 9:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running finger roll layup96
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)94
72.1%
90
27.9%
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
66.8%
90
33.2%
Q4 - 9:36CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot94
68.5%
90
31.5%
Q4 - 9:41CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound94
72.1%
90
27.9%
Q4 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup94
70.6%
90
29.4%
Q4 - 9:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 294
66.8%
90
33.2%
Q4 - 9:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 293
65.9%
90
34.1%
Q4 - 9:54HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)92
64.9%
90
35.1%
Q4 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)92
60.7%
90
39.3%
Q4 - 10:04HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass)92
60.7%
90
39.3%
Q4 - 10:05HeatHeat offensive rebound92
55.1%
90
44.9%
Q4 - 10:05HeatGrant Williams blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot92
59.0%
90
41.0%
Q4 - 10:30CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)92
55.1%
90
44.9%
Q4 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)90
49.6%
90
50.4%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk90
54.5%
88
45.5%
Q4 - 11:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)88
49.1%
88
50.9%
Q4 - 11:28CelticsKemba Walker makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
43.8%
88
56.2%
Q4 - 11:47CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound86
38.5%
88
61.5%
Q4 - 11:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot86
37.0%
88
63.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
33.6%
88
66.4%
Q3 - 0:03.6HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound86
34.5%
88
65.5%
Q3 - 0:04.4CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot86
35.8%
88
64.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup86
38.9%
88
61.1%
Q3 - 0:46.6CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running dunk86
44.1%
86
55.9%
Q3 - 0:48.5HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)84
38.9%
86
61.1%
Q3 - 1:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 184
34.3%
86
65.7%
Q3 - 1:00HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)83
33.2%
86
66.8%
Q3 - 1:04CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound81
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q3 - 1:05HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup81
25.6%
86
74.4%
Q3 - 1:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup81
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q3 - 1:27CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound79
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q3 - 1:28CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot79
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q3 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup79
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q3 - 2:04CelticsKemba Walker makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)79
23.8%
84
76.2%
Q3 - 2:25CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound76
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q3 - 2:26HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot76
17.1%
84
82.9%
Q3 - 2:49CelticsBrad Wanamaker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)76
15.2%
84
84.8%
Q3 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)76
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q3 - 3:25CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)76
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q3 - 3:34CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound74
18.9%
82
81.1%
Q3 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
18.0%
82
82.0%
Q3 - 3:53HeatHeat defensive rebound74
16.1%
82
83.9%
Q3 - 3:54CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot74
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q3 - 4:20HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
19.8%
82
80.2%
Q3 - 4:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
25.1%
79
74.9%
Q3 - 4:29CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point jump shot74
26.3%
79
73.7%
Q3 - 4:37CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound74
29.0%
79
71.0%
Q3 - 4:38HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot74
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 4:59CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 274
25.1%
79
74.9%
Q3 - 4:59CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 1 of 273
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 4:59HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)72
23.7%
79
76.3%
Q3 - 4:59CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound72
22.5%
79
77.5%
Q3 - 5:00CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point stepback jump shot72
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q3 - 5:18HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)72
23.4%
79
76.6%
Q3 - 5:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound72
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q3 - 5:33CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot72
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q3 - 5:53HeatJae Crowder makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)72
33.1%
76
66.9%
Q3 - 5:57HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound72
36.4%
74
63.6%
Q3 - 5:57CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point putback layup72
37.7%
74
62.3%
Q3 - 5:58CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound72
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q3 - 5:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup72
37.7%
74
62.3%
Q3 - 6:10CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound72
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q3 - 6:11HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot72
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q3 - 6:15HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound72
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 6:17HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot72
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q3 - 6:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup72
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 6:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 170
33.4%
74
66.6%
Q3 - 6:45Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)69
32.6%
74
67.4%
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)69
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 7:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot69
33.3%
72
66.7%
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
30.4%
72
69.6%
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 267
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 7:38CelticsGordon Hayward shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q3 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
33.3%
70
66.7%
Q3 - 7:51CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point cutting layup67
34.4%
70
65.6%
Q3 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating bank jump shot67
37.5%
70
62.5%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
40.4%
68
59.6%
Q3 - 8:26CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot67
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 8:37CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound67
44.5%
68
55.5%
Q3 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup67
43.3%
68
56.7%
Q3 - 8:58HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound67
40.4%
68
59.6%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot67
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 9:09HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)67
44.2%
68
55.8%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
40.3%
68
59.7%
Q3 - 9:17CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating bank jump shot67
40.3%
68
59.7%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound65
37.3%
68
62.7%
Q3 - 9:28HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot65
36.2%
68
63.8%
Q3 - 9:38CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q3 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q3 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup65
36.2%
68
63.8%
Q3 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q3 - 9:52CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot65
34.8%
68
65.2%
Q3 - 10:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
37.6%
68
62.4%
Q3 - 10:12HeatHeat defensive rebound65
43.8%
65
56.2%
Q3 - 10:12CelticsJae Crowder blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving floating jump shot65
45.0%
65
55.0%
Q3 - 10:27HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)65
47.7%
65
52.3%
Q3 - 10:39CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point tip layup65
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q3 - 10:39CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound63
51.2%
62
48.8%
Q3 - 10:40CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point hook shot63
48.4%
62
51.6%
Q3 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound63
51.2%
62
48.8%
Q3 - 10:55HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot63
50.0%
62
50.0%
Q3 - 11:12HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound63
47.4%
62
52.6%
Q3 - 11:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup63
48.5%
62
51.5%
Q3 - 11:20CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound63
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 11:20HeatJae Crowder misses three point stepback jump shot63
49.9%
62
50.1%
Q3 - 11:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)63
47.4%
62
52.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
41.0%
62
59.0%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 260
41.2%
61
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.7CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Loose ball) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)60
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatHeat offensive rebound60
41.6%
61
58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.8HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup60
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q2 - 0:05.1CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)60
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q2 - 0:09.7HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)60
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q2 - 0:12.1HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)60
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q2 - 0:29.9HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound60
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot60
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q2 - 0:42.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)60
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q2 - 0:54.8CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving finger roll layup60
47.9%
59
52.1%
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)58
43.8%
59
56.2%
Q2 - 1:27CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)58
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q2 - 1:41HeatJae Crowder makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)56
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q2 - 1:56CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup56
48.2%
55
51.8%
Q2 - 2:05CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound54
44.5%
55
55.5%
Q2 - 2:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot54
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q2 - 2:20CelticsCeltics defensive rebound54
44.5%
55
55.5%
Q2 - 2:21HeatJae Crowder misses two point jump shot54
43.5%
55
56.5%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsKemba Walker makes three point pullup jump shot54
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q2 - 2:55CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound51
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q2 - 2:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup51
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q2 - 3:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)51
33.3%
55
66.7%
Q2 - 3:19CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound48
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q2 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot48
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q2 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)48
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q2 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)48
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q2 - 3:46HeatJae Crowder makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)48
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q2 - 3:55CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Loose ball) (Jae Crowder draws the foul)48
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 3:55HeatHeat defensive rebound48
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 3:55CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
31.6%
53
68.4%
Q2 - 4:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound48
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q2 - 4:07HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot48
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 4:16CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)48
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q2 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)48
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q2 - 4:49CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point driving floating jump shot48
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q2 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot46
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q2 - 5:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot46
36.3%
49
63.7%
Q2 - 5:38HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
34.2%
49
65.8%
Q2 - 5:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk44
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q2 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)42
36.7%
46
63.3%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)42
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
32.2%
46
67.8%
Q2 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 240
32.7%
45
67.3%
Q2 - 6:28CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 6:50HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound40
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point cutting layup40
34.9%
44
65.1%
Q2 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)40
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound40
39.5%
42
60.5%
Q2 - 7:29CelticsKemba Walker misses two point pullup jump shot40
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)40
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q2 - 7:48CelticsEnes Kanter makes two point putback layup40
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 7:51CelticsEnes Kanter offensive rebound38
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 7:51CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving dunk38
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 8:08HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)38
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q2 - 8:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)38
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 8:41CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound35
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 8:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot35
34.2%
40
65.8%
Q2 - 8:47CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 8:47HeatHeat offensive rebound35
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot35
34.2%
40
65.8%
Q2 - 8:56HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound35
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 8:59CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot35
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)35
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound35
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 9:08CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point layup35
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 9:18CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound35
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 9:19HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot35
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 9:37HeatSolomon Hill defensive rebound35
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 9:39CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot35
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 9:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 135
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 9:55CelticsBrad Wanamaker shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
35.4%
39
64.6%
Q2 - 10:09CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)35
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)32
35.2%
37
64.8%
Q2 - 10:45CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)32
37.3%
35
62.7%
Q2 - 10:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)30
35.2%
35
64.8%
Q2 - 11:16CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)30
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 11:21CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound27
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 11:22CelticsBrad Wanamaker misses three point jump shot27
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 11:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound27
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 11:30HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot27
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 11:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound27
31.2%
33
68.8%
Q2 - 11:39CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot27
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)27
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q1 - 0:01.5CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound27
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q1 - 0:02.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot27
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0CelticsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)27
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q1 - 0:35.1HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q1 - 0:46.7CelticsBrad Wanamaker personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)24
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q1 - 0:51.6HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound24
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q1 - 0:52.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot24
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q1 - 1:02CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound24
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup24
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q1 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound24
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q1 - 1:10CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point driving floating jump shot24
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q1 - 1:25HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)24
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q1 - 1:53CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Brad Wanamaker assists)24
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q1 - 2:10HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)21
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q1 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsEnes Kanter misses two point floating jump shot21
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q1 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot21
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q1 - 2:56CelticsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)21
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 3:15HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 3:28CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)18
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 4:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Gordon Hayward assists)18
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 4:14HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)16
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 4:24CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound16
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 4:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 4:47HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsEnes Kanter misses regular free throw 2 of 216
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsEnes Kanter makes regular free throw 1 of 216
39.3%
19
60.7%
Q1 - 4:47HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Enes Kanter draws the foul)15
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsEnes Kanter offensive rebound15
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 4:48CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot15
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot15
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 5:24CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point pullup jump shot15
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 5:37CelticsCeltics offensive rebound15
42.2%
17
57.8%
Q1 - 5:38CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot15
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 5:53HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
42.2%
17
57.8%
Q1 - 6:09CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)15
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)12
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 6:49CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)12
44.1%
12
55.9%
Q1 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot9
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 7:14CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)9
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 7:24HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)6
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 7:32CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)6
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot4
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:59CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds step)4
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:05HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 24
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 8:05HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 24
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsKemba Walker shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)4
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 8:14HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound4
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:15CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot4
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 8:28CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound4
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:28HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot4
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot4
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 8:45CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot4
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 8:53CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 24
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:53CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 23
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 8:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)2
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:13CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound2
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 9:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:23HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound2
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 9:24CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot2
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot2
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 9:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot2
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)2
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Daniel Theis draws the foul)2
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 10:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Kemba Walker assists)2
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 10:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot0
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 10:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 20
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 20
39.2%
3
60.8%
Q1 - 10:49CelticsKemba Walker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:50CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot0
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 10:57CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:08CelticsCeltics offensive rebound0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 11:09CelticsJae Crowder blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 20
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 20
42.6%
1
57.4%
Q1 - 11:16CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:23HeatHeat defensive rebound0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:24CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:43HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00Daniel Theis vs. Bam Adebayo (Jae Crowder gains possession)0
43.9%
0
56.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
19
26
73%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
BOS
9
27
33%
MIA
15
29
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
15
22.5
46
33%
49%
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
Free Throws
BOS
12
15
80%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2672%13.0 / 18
J. Tatum2444%12.0 / 27
M. Smart2045%10.0 / 22
K. Walker2059%10.0 / 17
G. Hayward1250%6.0 / 12
D. Theis675%3.0 / 4
E. Kanter350%1.5 / 3
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
B. Wanamaker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3280%16.0 / 20
J. Butler2250%11.0 / 22
T. Herro1968%9.5 / 14
D. Robinson1594%7.5 / 8
A. Iguodala15125%7.5 / 6
G. Dragic1350%6.5 / 13
J. Crowder950%4.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
91
+16
-10
107
MIA
89
+5
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
113.2
BOS 111.9
MIA 123.8 +11.9
Pace
95.9
96.2
BOS 109.0 +14.9
MIA 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.0
BOS 13.2 +2.1
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
53.7%
BOS 51.0%
MIA 64.4% +13.4%
TO %
13.5%
12.7%
BOS 8.7% +2.9%
MIA 11.6%
ORB %
21.0%
19.2%
BOS 25.5% +19.0%
MIA 6.5%
FTrt
28.5
32.2
BOS 15.2
MIA 32.5 +17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
66.0%
BOS 60.5%
MIA 66.7% +6.2%
STL %
6.8%
7.1%
BOS 6.9% +1.0%
MIA 5.9%
BLK %
9.9%
7.9%
BOS 3.8%
MIA 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
57.0%
BOS 52.8%
MIA 66.5% +13.7%
Rim FG%
63.2%
62.0%
BOS 73.1% +2.3%
MIA 70.8%
Mid FG%
43.6%
45.0%
BOS 33.3%
MIA 51.7% +18.4%
3P %
34.1%
35.9%
BOS 32.6%
MIA 48.1% +15.5%
FT %
81.6%
82.5%
BOS 80.0%
MIA 84.6% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
28.7%
BOS 26.3%
MIA 30.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
28.0%
BOS 27.3% +9.0%
MIA 36.3%
3P Att. %
42.9%
43.3%
BOS 46.5% +12.7%
MIA 33.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points113125
Rebounds4240
Assists2630
Steals76
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2113
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)2 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)38 (4)
Field Goals43-9945-80
At-the-Rim FG19-2617-24
Midrange FG9-2715-29
2-Point FG28-5332-53
3-Point FG15-4613-27
Free Throws12-1522-26
Fast Break Pts113
2nd Chance Pts161
Points in Paint4848
Pts off Turnovers1810
Bench Points1734
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

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2 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 23
43.9
24
44%
7
11
2
1
2
1
1
6
3-4
75%
6-16
38%
3-10
30%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 24
40.4
26
72%
8
4
3
0
2
0
2
6
3-3
100%
7-10
70%
3-7
43%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 27
35.7
20
45%
8
2
2
0
2
5
4
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
4-13
31%
Kemba Walker
#8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 30
35.0
20
59%
2
5
0
0
1
5
0
2
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
3-10
30%
Daniel Theis
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28
21.6
6
75%
7
1
0
0
0
6
3
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 31
32.4
12
50%
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 22
10.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
#11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28
7.6
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 23
3.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Javonte Green
#43 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Carsen Edwards
#4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tremont Waters
#51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vincent Poirier
#77 · C · 7'0" 255 · 27
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Romeo Langford
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Surgery
Tacko Fall
#99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
53%
42
26
7
2
10
21
13
29
12-15
80%
28-53
53%
15-46
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.