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All Games Thursday, September 17, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Heat
33%104
106
2
Celtics
67%110
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.89492.0
BOS logo BOS
107.49496.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:04.9CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)106
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.2%
101
0.8%
Q4 - 0:07.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
99.0%
101
1.0%
Q4 - 0:07.4CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
98.8%
101
1.2%
Q4 - 0:10.6CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)104
97.2%
101
2.8%
Q4 - 0:12.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
96.7%
101
3.3%
Q4 - 0:15.1CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot104
94.6%
101
5.4%
Q4 - 0:23.6HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)104
84.7%
101
15.3%
Q4 - 0:26.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound104
93.5%
101
6.5%
Q4 - 0:30.5HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot104
86.5%
101
13.5%
Q4 - 0:49.4CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)104
88.1%
101
11.9%
Q4 - 0:57.1HeatGoran Dragic makes two point stepback jump shot104
95.3%
98
4.7%
Q4 - 1:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)102
89.3%
98
10.7%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJae Crowder makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)102
95.0%
95
5.0%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)100
92.2%
95
7.8%
Q4 - 1:32CelticsCeltics offensive rebound100
85.8%
95
14.2%
Q4 - 1:33CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot100
89.9%
95
10.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot100
84.9%
95
15.1%
Q4 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound97
69.1%
95
30.9%
Q4 - 2:06CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot97
64.8%
95
35.2%
Q4 - 2:21HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 297
53.4%
95
46.6%
Q4 - 2:21HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 296
51.2%
95
48.8%
Q4 - 2:21CelticsKemba Walker shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)95
48.5%
95
51.5%
Q4 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
46.8%
95
53.2%
Q4 - 2:40CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point fadeaway jump shot95
41.5%
95
58.5%
Q4 - 3:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup95
31.5%
95
68.5%
Q4 - 3:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 293
25.8%
95
74.2%
Q4 - 3:17CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 293
27.8%
94
72.2%
Q4 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)93
21.9%
94
78.1%
Q4 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)93
25.6%
94
74.4%
Q4 - 3:44CelticsKemba Walker turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)91
19.7%
94
80.3%
Q4 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
14.0%
94
86.0%
Q4 - 4:25CelticsKemba Walker makes three point pullup jump shot89
10.3%
94
89.7%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound89
18.9%
91
81.1%
Q4 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot89
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk89
26.0%
91
74.0%
Q4 - 5:17CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound89
32.7%
89
67.3%
Q4 - 5:23HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot89
35.1%
89
64.9%
Q4 - 5:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup89
40.9%
89
59.1%
Q4 - 5:38CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound89
48.6%
87
51.4%
Q4 - 5:39CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot89
54.6%
87
45.4%
Q4 - 5:48CelticsCeltics defensive rebound89
48.6%
87
51.4%
Q4 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot89
51.3%
87
48.7%
Q4 - 5:55HeatHeat offensive rebound89
57.3%
87
42.7%
Q4 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot89
51.3%
87
48.7%
Q4 - 6:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 6:07CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving floating bank jump shot89
52.0%
87
48.0%
Q4 - 6:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)89
46.2%
87
53.8%
Q4 - 6:27HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)89
54.7%
87
45.3%
Q4 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)89
54.7%
87
45.3%
Q4 - 6:54HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)89
46.3%
87
53.7%
Q4 - 7:19CelticsKemba Walker makes three point stepback jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)89
52.5%
87
47.5%
Q4 - 7:46HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup89
64.8%
84
35.2%
Q4 - 8:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup87
56.6%
84
43.4%
Q4 - 8:10CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound87
62.7%
82
37.3%
Q4 - 8:14HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot87
64.5%
82
35.5%
Q4 - 8:22HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
68.5%
82
31.5%
Q4 - 8:25CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot87
66.8%
82
33.2%
Q4 - 8:31HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)87
62.8%
82
37.2%
Q4 - 8:46CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound87
62.8%
82
37.2%
Q4 - 8:49HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot87
64.7%
82
35.3%
Q4 - 8:58CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
68.7%
82
31.3%
Q4 - 8:58HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound87
68.7%
82
31.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot87
62.4%
82
37.6%
Q4 - 9:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound87
66.4%
82
33.6%
Q4 - 9:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot87
62.4%
82
37.6%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 387
66.5%
82
33.5%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 387
67.4%
81
32.6%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 387
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q4 - 9:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)87
64.1%
80
35.9%
Q4 - 9:32CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound87
71.4%
80
28.6%
Q4 - 9:36CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup87
74.9%
80
25.1%
Q4 - 9:42CelticsBrad Wanamaker defensive rebound87
71.4%
80
28.6%
Q4 - 9:47HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot87
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q4 - 9:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound87
76.3%
80
23.7%
Q4 - 9:56CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup87
74.9%
80
25.1%
Q4 - 10:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 187
69.6%
80
30.4%
Q4 - 10:08Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)87
70.8%
79
29.2%
Q4 - 10:18HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Take) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)87
74.2%
79
25.8%
Q4 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)87
74.3%
79
25.7%
Q4 - 10:26HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound87
78.5%
79
21.5%
Q4 - 10:28HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup87
75.6%
79
24.4%
Q4 - 10:38CelticsBrad Wanamaker turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)87
78.5%
79
21.5%
Q4 - 10:43HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)87
74.3%
79
25.7%
Q4 - 11:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 284
63.4%
79
36.6%
Q4 - 11:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 284
64.6%
78
35.4%
Q4 - 11:07HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)84
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 11:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)84
68.4%
77
31.6%
Q4 - 11:35HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound84
72.8%
77
27.2%
Q4 - 11:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot84
71.5%
77
28.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
68.5%
77
31.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound84
68.5%
77
31.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot84
71.6%
77
28.4%
Q3 - 0:04.2HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup84
66.4%
77
33.6%
Q3 - 0:21.5CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)82
61.6%
77
38.4%
Q3 - 0:21.5CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)82
56.9%
77
43.1%
Q3 - 0:26.8HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point fadeaway bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)82
56.9%
77
43.1%
Q3 - 0:31.3HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound79
46.5%
77
53.5%
Q3 - 0:35.2HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot79
43.2%
77
56.8%
Q3 - 0:49.6HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
46.6%
77
53.4%
Q3 - 0:51.8CelticsBrad Wanamaker misses regular free throw 2 of 279
45.9%
77
54.1%
Q3 - 0:51.8CelticsBrad Wanamaker makes regular free throw 1 of 279
41.9%
77
58.1%
Q3 - 0:51.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Brad Wanamaker draws the foul)79
42.4%
76
57.6%
Q3 - 1:08HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup bank jump shot79
45.5%
76
54.5%
Q3 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
40.9%
76
59.1%
Q3 - 1:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot77
39.5%
76
60.5%
Q3 - 1:36CelticsCeltics offensive rebound77
36.2%
76
63.8%
Q3 - 1:36CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving layup77
39.5%
76
60.5%
Q3 - 1:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)77
36.2%
76
63.8%
Q3 - 2:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound74
27.9%
76
72.1%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsKemba Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 274
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 274
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q3 - 2:14HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)74
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound74
27.5%
75
72.5%
Q3 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q3 - 2:25HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound74
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q3 - 2:27HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot74
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q3 - 2:30HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound74
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q3 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot74
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 274
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 274
32.4%
74
67.6%
Q3 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)74
33.2%
73
66.8%
Q3 - 3:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound74
35.3%
73
64.7%
Q3 - 3:09HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 174
35.9%
73
64.1%
Q3 - 3:09CelticsBrad Wanamaker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
38.4%
73
61.6%
Q3 - 3:24CelticsKemba Walker makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Brad Wanamaker assists)72
31.7%
73
68.3%
Q3 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Brad Wanamaker steals)72
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 3:48HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound72
39.8%
71
60.2%
Q3 - 3:51CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot72
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q3 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)72
34.5%
71
65.5%
Q3 - 4:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
31.4%
71
68.6%
Q3 - 4:32CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot70
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 170
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q3 - 4:50CelticsEnes Kanter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
26.6%
71
73.4%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)67
21.6%
71
78.4%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)67
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 5:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound65
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q3 - 5:18HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot65
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound65
16.9%
71
83.1%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point cutting layup65
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 5:43HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 165
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 5:43CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)64
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q3 - 5:51Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Daniel Theis (Jimmy Butler gains possession)61
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Kemba Walker steals)61
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 6:19CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 261
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 6:19CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 261
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)61
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)61
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 7:04CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)59
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 7:09CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound59
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 7:12HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot59
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 7:28CelticsKemba Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jae Crowder assists)59
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 8:04CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 8:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 257
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 8:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 257
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 8:07HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)57
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 8:17CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 8:20HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot57
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 8:34CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 8:34HeatHeat defensive rebound57
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 8:35CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Daniel Theis's two point driving layup57
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 8:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)54
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)54
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 9:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 254
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 9:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 253
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 9:09CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 9:12CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Jae Crowder steals)52
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 9:26CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound52
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot52
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 9:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 152
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 9:43HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)52
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 10:00HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)52
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 10:13CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot49
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 10:22CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound49
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 10:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 10:31CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)49
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 10:42CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup49
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 10:48CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 10:51HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot49
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 11:17CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)49
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)49
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q2 - 0:00.4CelticsCeltics offensive rebound47
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot47
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q2 - 0:09.1HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)47
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q2 - 0:20.5CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q2 - 0:34.8HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound45
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q2 - 0:37.8CelticsBrad Wanamaker misses three point jump shot45
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)45
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q2 - 1:10HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound43
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 1:14CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround jump shot43
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 1:26HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)43
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q2 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 1:52CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot43
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 2:12CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound43
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot43
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q2 - 2:31CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)43
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q2 - 2:40CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound43
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsKemba Walker misses two point pullup jump shot43
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 3:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot43
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 3:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)41
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q2 - 3:33HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)41
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 3:35CelticsCeltics defensive rebound41
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 3:35HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot41
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 3:37HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound41
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 3:40CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot41
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 3:52CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound41
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 3:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup41
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 4:12CelticsKemba Walker makes two point running layup41
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 4:15CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound41
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 4:17HeatKemba Walker blocks Duncan Robinson's three point pullup jump shot41
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 4:30CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)41
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 4:44CelticsKemba Walker makes two point stepback jump shot41
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot41
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point cutting layup (Kemba Walker assists)39
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 5:42HeatJae Crowder turnover (offensive foul)39
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 5:42HeatJae Crowder offensive foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)39
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 5:55CelticsKemba Walker makes two point running layup39
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 6:00CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound39
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 6:04HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup jump shot39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 6:11CelticsKemba Walker makes two point jump shot39
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 6:13CelticsKemba Walker offensive rebound39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot39
16.8%
46
83.2%
Q2 - 6:19CelticsKemba Walker offensive rebound39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup39
16.8%
46
83.2%
Q2 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point putback layup39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound37
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 6:53CelticsEnes Kanter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 7:07CelticsEnes Kanter makes regular free throw 1 of 137
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 7:07HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Enes Kanter draws the foul)37
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 7:07CelticsEnes Kanter offensive rebound37
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 7:08CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup37
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 7:16CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound37
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 7:19HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot37
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 7:37CelticsGrant Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)37
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 8:07HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound35
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 8:10CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot35
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 8:26HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup35
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 8:37CelticsBrad Wanamaker makes three point pullup jump shot33
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 8:46CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound33
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 8:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot33
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 9:04CelticsBrad Wanamaker makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)33
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 9:12CelticsBrad Wanamaker defensive rebound33
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting finger roll layup33
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 9:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup33
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 9:32CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound33
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot33
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 9:41CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot33
25.6%
35
74.4%
Q2 - 10:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)33
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 10:23CelticsEnes Kanter makes two point layup (Jayson Tatum assists)30
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 10:30CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound30
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 10:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot30
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 10:44CelticsBrad Wanamaker turnover (offensive foul)30
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 10:44CelticsBrad Wanamaker offensive foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)30
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 10:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)30
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 11:02HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound28
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 11:05CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot28
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound28
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 11:21HeatMarcus Smart blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving reverse layup28
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 11:40CelticsEnes Kanter makes two point layup (Brad Wanamaker assists)28
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 11:45HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)28
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 228
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 228
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)28
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating jump shot28
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q1 - 0:30.5CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot26
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q1 - 0:35.5CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound26
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 0:38.9HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot26
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 0:43.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound26
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 0:46.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot26
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 0:59.3CelticsCeltics defensive rebound26
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 1:01HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot26
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 1:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup26
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 1:19CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound26
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 1:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q1 - 1:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)26
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q1 - 1:55HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)26
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 2:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound26
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q1 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup26
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)26
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 2:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 226
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 2:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 225
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 2:22CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q1 - 2:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound24
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:29CelticsDuncan Robinson blocks Semi Ojeleye's two point layup24
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 2:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)24
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 2:49HeatHeat offensive rebound21
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 2:49HeatJayson Tatum blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving floating jump shot21
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot21
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 3:13CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound21
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 3:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot21
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 3:22HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound21
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q1 - 3:25CelticsDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot21
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 3:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup21
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 3:47CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)19
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 3:59CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound19
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 4:02HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 119
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 4:02CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)19
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 4:20CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)17
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 4:28CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound17
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup17
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound17
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 4:50CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point jump shot17
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 5:02CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound17
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot17
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:20HeatHeat offensive rebound17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:21HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot17
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:33CelticsSemi Ojeleye misses three point jump shot17
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 5:38CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound17
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot17
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 5:54CelticsEnes Kanter turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)17
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 6:11CelticsEnes Kanter defensive rebound17
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 6:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot17
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 6:32CelticsEnes Kanter makes two point driving layup (Jaylen Brown assists)17
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 6:42HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Kemba Walker steals)17
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 6:48CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)17
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 7:00HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot17
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 7:14CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Romeo Langford assists)14
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 214
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 213
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 7:29CelticsKemba Walker shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot12
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 7:40CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound12
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:43HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running finger roll layup12
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 7:46CelticsKemba Walker turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)12
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 8:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)12
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 8:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 8:33CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Kemba Walker assists)9
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 8:40CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound9
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot9
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 8:50CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)9
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)9
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)9
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 9:20CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound9
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot9
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:33CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot9
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 9:50HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)9
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
29.5%
5
70.5%
Q1 - 9:58HeatJae Crowder misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
27.6%
5
72.4%
Q1 - 10:39CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 23
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 10:39CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 1 of 23
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)3
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 11:09CelticsKemba Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
23.4%
3
76.6%
Q1 - 11:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot0
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsKemba Walker makes three point pullup jump shot0
23.4%
3
76.6%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Daniel Theis (Kemba Walker gains possession)0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
BOS
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
24
75%
BOS
15
23
65%
Midrange
MIA
8
23
35%
BOS
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
43
33%
49%
BOS
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
12
14
86%
BOS
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2563%12.5 / 20
B. Adebayo2166%10.5 / 16
D. Robinson1875%9.0 / 12
J. Butler1450%7.0 / 14
J. Crowder1250%6.0 / 12
T. Herro1142%5.5 / 13
K. Olynyk542%2.5 / 6
K. Nunn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2357%11.5 / 20
J. Tatum2166%10.5 / 16
J. Brown2166%10.5 / 16
M. Smart1450%7.0 / 14
E. Kanter9113%4.5 / 4
B. Wanamaker788%3.5 / 4
D. Theis650%3.0 / 6
S. Ojeleye0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+14
-9
99
BOS
74
+10
-20
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
BOS
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
112.0
MIA 112.8 +5.3
BOS 107.4
Pace
96.2
95.9
MIA 92.0
BOS 96.0 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIA 15.6
BOS 15.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
52.7%
MIA 52.2%
BOS 56.9% +4.7%
TO %
12.7%
13.5%
MIA 10.3% +9.2%
BOS 19.5%
ORB %
19.2%
21.0%
MIA 23.9% +5.7%
BOS 18.2%
FTrt
32.2
28.5
MIA 15.6
BOS 33.3 +17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
58.7%
MIA 67.5% +14.7%
BOS 52.8%
STL %
7.1%
6.8%
MIA 11.7% +6.4%
BOS 5.3%
BLK %
7.9%
9.9%
MIA 4.5%
BOS 6.4% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
56.1%
MIA 53.5%
BOS 60.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
63.2%
MIA 75.0% +9.8%
BOS 65.2%
Mid FG%
45.0%
43.6%
MIA 34.8%
BOS 52.4% +17.6%
3P %
35.9%
34.1%
MIA 32.6%
BOS 35.7% +3.1%
FT %
82.5%
81.6%
MIA 85.7% +6.5%
BOS 79.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
30.1%
MIA 26.7%
BOS 31.9% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
27.0%
MIA 25.6% +3.6%
BOS 29.2%
3P Att. %
43.3%
42.9%
MIA 47.8% +8.9%
BOS 38.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points106101
Rebounds3841
Assists2719
Steals115
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)20 (0)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals40-9036-72
At-the-Rim FG18-2415-23
Midrange FG8-2311-21
2-Point FG26-4726-44
3-Point FG14-4310-28
Free Throws12-1419-24
Fast Break Pts1013
2nd Chance Pts1611
Points in Paint4446
Pts off Turnovers2610
Bench Points1616
Biggest Lead817

BOXSCORE

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5 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jae Crowder
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30
36.2
12
50%
4
2
3
0
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
35.9
14
50%
4
3
4
0
1
2
1
3
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 23
35.3
21
66%
10
4
2
1
2
4
3
7
1-2
50%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
34.3
25
63%
3
5
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
3-7
43%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
32.3
18
75%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
6-12
50%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
32.1
11
42%
9
5
1
0
3
2
4
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-8
13%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
12.7
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
5
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
8.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
7.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
5.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pubic Bone; Stress Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
38
27
11
2
9
19
11
27
12-14
86%
26-47
55%
14-43
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.