FinalWin Prob.pScore
1531%103
87
669%110
99
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
92.69492.7
MIA logo MIA
104.29596.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.87
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:03.7HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound87
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:09.2PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.2HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.2HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.2PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Take) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)87
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.3PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)87
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.2HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.2HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.2PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.3PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.2PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Take) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.8PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup87
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 1:33PacersTyler Herro blocks Victor Oladipo's two point driving layup87
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 1:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)87
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 1:58PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 287
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 1:58PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 286
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 1:58HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)85
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 2:01HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)85
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 2:18HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound85
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 2:20PacersT.J. Warren misses two point pullup jump shot85
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup85
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 2:45HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound85
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 2:49HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot85
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 3:01HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound85
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 3:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot85
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound85
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 3:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot85
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 3:36PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 1 of 185
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)84
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 3:41PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound81
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 3:44HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot81
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 3:53HeatHeat offensive rebound81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 3:53HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point cutting layup81
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 4:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 4:07PacersBam Adebayo blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point driving finger roll layup81
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 4:36PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup81
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 4:36PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound79
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 4:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving finger roll layup79
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 4:59HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)79
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 5:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound79
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 5:16PacersJimmy Butler blocks T.J. Warren's two point running pullup jump shot79
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 5:19PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound79
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 5:23HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup79
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 5:37PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 1 of 179
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)78
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 5:54HeatGoran Dragic makes two point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)76
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 6:10PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)76
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 6:25HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 6:43PacersT.J. Warren makes two point floating jump shot73
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 6:45PacersT.J. Warren offensive rebound71
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 6:47PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup71
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)71
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound71
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 6:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot71
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 7:11PacersT.J. Warren misses three point pullup jump shot71
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 7:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)71
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 7:41HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound71
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 7:44PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot71
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 7:51HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)71
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 8:09HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot71
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q4 - 8:20HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound71
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 8:23PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot71
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot71
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 8:58PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 171
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q4 - 8:58HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)70
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 9:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 267
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 9:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 267
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q4 - 9:14PacersT.J. Warren shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)67
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q4 - 9:17HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound67
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q4 - 9:20PacersJustin Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q4 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic makes two point reverse layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)67
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 10:04PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (Justin Holiday assists)67
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q4 - 10:13HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)65
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q4 - 10:26PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)65
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q4 - 10:32PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound62
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q4 - 10:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot62
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q4 - 10:39HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound62
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q4 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q4 - 10:58HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound62
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q4 - 11:01PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot62
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 11:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound62
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 11:18HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point running layup62
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 11:22PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)62
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q4 - 11:31PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound62
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup62
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 11:39HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound62
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q4 - 11:41PacersDoug McDermott misses two point driving finger roll layup62
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.62
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.4HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup62
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 0:01.8HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 0:04.7HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot62
13.1%
68
86.9%
Q3 - 0:14.9PacersAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 0:30.4HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)62
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 0:37.3PacersT.J. Warren turnover (offensive foul)62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 0:37.3PacersT.J. Warren offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)62
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound62
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 0:51.9HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot62
13.0%
68
87.0%
Q3 - 1:03PacersEdmond Sumner personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)62
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 1:05PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)62
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 1:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot62
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 1:30PacersJaKarr Sampson misses two point floating jump shot62
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 1:47PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound62
19.8%
66
80.2%
Q3 - 1:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
18.9%
66
81.1%
Q3 - 2:05PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point stepback jump shot62
17.1%
66
82.9%
Q3 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)59
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 2:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 2:45PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot59
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 2:46PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound59
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup59
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound59
15.2%
64
84.8%
Q3 - 3:04PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup59
15.9%
64
84.1%
Q3 - 3:14PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound59
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot59
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 3:31PacersMyles Turner makes two point finger roll layup (T.J. Warren assists)59
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 3:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound57
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 3:41HeatJae Crowder misses two point bank jump shot57
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 4:04PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)57
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:04PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)57
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup57
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound57
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:28PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot57
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 257
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 257
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q3 - 4:39PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 5:01PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)57
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)54
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 5:25PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)54
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 5:47PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Take) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)51
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 5:53PacersT.J. Warren makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)51
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 6:19HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot49
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 6:38PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)49
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 6:56HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)47
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 6:56PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound47
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 6:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup47
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 7:05HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound47
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 7:07PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving finger roll layup47
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 7:28PacersPacers defensive rebound47
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 7:28HeatMyles Turner blocks Jae Crowder's two point cutting finger roll layup47
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 7:37PacersT.J. Warren turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)47
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 247
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 247
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 7:51PacersT.J. Warren shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)47
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 7:59HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound47
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 8:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot47
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 8:12PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot47
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 8:31PacersPacers defensive rebound47
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot47
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 8:50PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive goaltending)47
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 9:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)47
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 9:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 9:19PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point stepback jump shot47
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 9:32PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound47
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 9:51PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point running pullup jump shot47
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 9:55PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound47
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 10:00HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot47
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 10:10PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot47
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 10:24HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)45
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 10:40HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound45
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 10:43PacersT.J. Warren misses two point driving floating jump shot45
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q3 - 10:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)45
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 11:14PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)45
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 11:40HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)42
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.42
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatHeat offensive rebound42
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot42
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 0:01.7HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound42
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 0:05.8PacersT.J. Warren misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 0:19.9PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound42
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 0:23.7HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot42
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 0:42.6PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point running jump shot (T.J. Warren assists)42
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 0:47.7HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)39
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 0:54.5PacersT.J. Warren turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)39
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup39
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 1:30PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 239
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 1:30PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 238
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 1:30HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)38
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 1:41PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound38
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 1:44HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot38
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q2 - 1:53HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound38
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 1:57PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot38
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 2:09HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup38
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 2:31PacersT.J. Warren makes two point stepback jump shot38
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 2:48PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound36
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 2:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot36
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 3:02PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point floating jump shot36
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)36
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)36
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 3:22HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound36
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 3:26PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot36
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 3:47HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)36
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 3:51HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound36
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 3:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating bank jump shot36
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)36
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 4:26HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound36
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot36
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 4:54PacersVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)36
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 5:15PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound34
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 5:20HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot34
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 5:35PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 234
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 5:35PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 234
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 5:35HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)33
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk33
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point reverse layup33
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 6:01PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)33
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:21HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)30
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 6:31HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 6:34PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 6:54HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound30
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 6:57PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting finger roll layup30
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 7:12HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)30
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 7:22HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q2 - 7:26PacersAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot30
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 7:35PacersPacers offensive rebound30
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 7:35PacersAndre Iguodala blocks Myles Turner's two point driving layup30
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 7:50PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound30
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 7:53HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 8:15PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround hook shot30
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q2 - 8:32HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround jump shot28
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 8:41PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)28
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point tip dunk28
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound28
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 8:54HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup28
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q2 - 9:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound28
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 9:07PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 228
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 9:07PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 228
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 9:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)28
33.7%
26
66.3%
Q2 - 9:16HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)28
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 9:37PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup28
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 9:37PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound26
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q2 - 9:40PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot26
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q2 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)26
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q2 - 10:11PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup26
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q2 - 10:11PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound24
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 10:12PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving finger roll layup24
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q2 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)24
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 10:40PacersVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot24
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q2 - 11:03HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot22
26.1%
23
73.9%
Q2 - 11:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound22
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q2 - 11:14PacersDoug McDermott misses three point stepback jump shot22
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)22
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHeat offensive rebound22
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q2 - 11:37HeatMyles Turner blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup22
29.4%
21
70.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q1 - 0:01.2PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point floating jump shot22
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 0:13.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 0:13.7HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 220
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 0:13.7PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)20
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 0:31.9PacersJaKarr Sampson turnover (traveling)20
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 0:48.9PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound20
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot20
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound20
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 1:00PacersT.J. Warren misses two point turnaround jump shot20
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 1:06PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound20
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot20
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 1:24PacersT.J. Warren turnover (out of bounds lost ball)20
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 1:32HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (discontinue dribble)20
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 1:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 1:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot20
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 1:49HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point tip layup20
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 1:49HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound20
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 1:54HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving floating jump shot20
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 2:10PacersEdmond Sumner personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)20
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 2:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot20
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 2:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)18
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 2:46PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)18
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 3:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound18
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 3:04PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot18
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 3:16PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound18
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot18
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 3:37PacersT.J. Warren makes two point floating jump shot (JaKarr Sampson assists)18
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 3:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound16
27.5%
16
72.5%
Q1 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup16
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound16
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 3:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup16
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 4:01PacersJaKarr Sampson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)16
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 4:08PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving finger roll layup16
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 4:20HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)16
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 4:30HeatJae Crowder makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Goran Dragic assists)16
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 4:42PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot16
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 4:52PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound16
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 4:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot16
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 5:09PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)16
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 5:22PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:24HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot13
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:34HeatGoran Dragic misses two point tip layup13
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:34HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound13
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:36HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot13
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound13
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:47PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot13
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 5:57PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot13
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 6:06PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)13
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:21PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot13
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)13
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound13
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 6:45HeatMyles Turner blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving finger roll layup13
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 6:57PacersVictor Oladipo makes two point driving reverse layup (T.J. Warren assists)13
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 7:00PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound11
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 7:06PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot11
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 7:12PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound11
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 7:14HeatJae Crowder misses three point fadeaway jump shot11
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 7:30PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)11
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot8
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 8:00PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (back court violation)8
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 8:09HeatJae Crowder makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)8
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 8:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:15PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot8
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)8
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 8:55HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound8
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:58PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot8
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 9:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:23PacersT.J. Warren misses two point floating jump shot8
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)8
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Charge) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)8
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:54PacersVictor Oladipo makes two point driving finger roll layup8
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 10:02PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound6
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 10:04HeatJustin Holiday blocks Jimmy Butler's two point cutting layup6
29.9%
3
70.1%
Q1 - 10:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound6
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 10:17PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point turnaround jump shot6
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 10:26PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound6
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot6
29.9%
3
70.1%
Q1 - 10:48PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)6
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 10:54PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound6
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
29.9%
3
70.1%
Q1 - 11:12PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (T.J. Warren assists)6
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 11:30HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 11:47PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)3
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Malcolm Brogdon gains possession)0
25.8%
0
74.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.2%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
22
55%
MIA
20
36
56%
Midrange
IND
7
21
33%
MIA
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
MIA
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
Free Throws
IND
7
11
64%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo2563%12.5 / 20
M. Turner2258%11.0 / 19
T. Warren2162%10.5 / 17
M. Brogdon1341%6.5 / 16
J. Holiday330%1.5 / 5
D. McDermott338%1.5 / 4
A. Holiday0-0.0 / 2
J. Sampson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2350%11.5 / 23
T. Herro1657%8.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1441%7.0 / 17
K. Olynyk1161%5.5 / 9
J. Crowder1056%5.0 / 9
K. Nunn758%3.5 / 6
J. Butler650%3.0 / 6
D. Robinson528%2.5 / 9
A. Iguodala583%2.5 / 3
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+6
-15
85
MIA
82
+20
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.2%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
113.2
IND 92.6 +11.7
MIA 104.2
Pace
96.3
96.2
IND 92.7
MIA 96.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
IND 15.5
MIA 15.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
53.7%
IND 50.0% +1.6%
MIA 48.4%
TO %
15.1%
12.7%
IND 15.0%
MIA 12.6% +2.4%
ORB %
13.8%
19.2%
IND 10.4%
MIA 37.0% +26.6%
FTrt
25.2
32.2
IND 13.8
MIA 15.4 +1.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.6%
66.0%
IND 60.6% +0.6%
MIA 60.0%
STL %
9.5%
7.1%
IND 8.5% +0.1%
MIA 8.4%
BLK %
11.6%
7.9%
IND 9.8% +0.5%
MIA 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
57.0%
IND 51.2% +2.7%
MIA 48.5%
Rim FG%
56.7%
62.0%
IND 54.5%
MIA 55.6% +1.1%
Mid FG%
43.8%
45.0%
IND 33.3%
MIA 48.0% +14.7%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
IND 37.8% +11.1%
MIA 26.7%
FT %
77.8%
82.5%
IND 63.6%
MIA 78.6% +15.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
28.7%
IND 27.5%
MIA 39.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
28.0%
IND 26.3% +1.2%
MIA 27.5%
3P Att. %
39.9%
43.3%
IND 46.3% +13.3%
MIA 33.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8799
Rebounds3460
Assists2024
Steals88
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1612
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)43 (0)
Field Goals33-8040-91
At-the-Rim FG12-2220-36
Midrange FG7-2112-25
2-Point FG19-4332-61
3-Point FG14-378-30
Free Throws7-1111-14
Fast Break Pts97
2nd Chance Pts1016
Points in Paint3050
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points341
Biggest Lead513

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28
43.5
25
63%
8
5
5
0
4
3
0
8
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
5-11
45%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24
42.0
22
58%
14
0
1
5
2
3
4
10
2-6
33%
7-10
70%
2-6
33%
#1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27
39.8
21
62%
5
4
0
0
4
5
1
4
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
3-6
50%
#7 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 28
39.8
13
41%
4
7
1
0
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-11
27%
2-5
40%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31
38.4
3
30%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
12.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 29
8.2
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'8" 216 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#88 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
#10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
34
20
8
6
15
16
5
29
7-11
64%
19-43
44%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.