FinalWin Prob.pScore
851%107
109
1549%106
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.29898.8
IND logo IND
103.19796.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:12.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.7PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.7PacersPacers offensive rebound109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.1PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.9HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.9PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.4HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.1HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.8PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.9PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:58.9PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22PacersT.J. Warren turnover (offensive foul)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22PacersT.J. Warren offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)108
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:32PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound108
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot108
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:54PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:54PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)108
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:00PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound108
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:04HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)108
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound105
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 2:56PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot105
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 3:05HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)105
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 3:05HeatHeat offensive rebound105
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 3:08HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot105
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 3:31PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)105
98.4%
94
1.6%
Q4 - 3:44PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound105
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 3:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot105
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 3:50HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound105
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 3:52HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot105
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 4:09PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot105
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 4:13PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound105
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot105
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound105
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 4:32PacersT.J. Warren misses two point jump shot105
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 4:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)105
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound103
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 5:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot103
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 5:17HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)103
97.7%
91
2.3%
Q4 - 5:27PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound103
97.7%
91
2.3%
Q4 - 5:30HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot103
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 5:53PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds step)103
98.4%
91
1.6%
Q4 - 6:09HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)103
96.7%
91
3.3%
Q4 - 6:16HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound100
94.4%
91
5.6%
Q4 - 6:19HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot100
93.0%
91
7.0%
Q4 - 6:36PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot100
94.4%
91
5.6%
Q4 - 6:46HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)100
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)100
95.7%
88
4.3%
Q4 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
94.6%
88
5.4%
Q4 - 7:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot98
94.1%
88
5.9%
Q4 - 7:34HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup98
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 7:45PacersVictor Oladipo personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)96
91.2%
88
8.8%
Q4 - 7:54PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)96
91.2%
88
8.8%
Q4 - 8:10HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)96
91.6%
86
8.4%
Q4 - 8:25PacersDoug McDermott makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)96
93.4%
86
6.6%
Q4 - 8:39HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot96
94.8%
84
5.2%
Q4 - 8:43HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
91.7%
84
8.3%
Q4 - 8:45PacersAaron Holiday misses two point driving layup93
91.1%
84
8.9%
Q4 - 8:51PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound93
89.5%
84
10.5%
Q4 - 8:54HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving reverse layup93
90.2%
84
9.8%
Q4 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound93
90.6%
84
9.4%
Q4 - 9:08PacersJustin Holiday misses regular free throw 3 of 393
90.3%
84
9.7%
Q4 - 9:08PacersJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 393
88.7%
84
11.3%
Q4 - 9:08PacersJustin Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 393
89.1%
83
10.9%
Q4 - 9:08HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)93
87.0%
83
13.0%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 293
90.5%
83
9.5%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 292
90.3%
83
9.7%
Q4 - 9:20PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)91
90.0%
83
10.0%
Q4 - 9:24HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound91
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot91
86.5%
83
13.5%
Q4 - 9:30PacersAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)91
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 9:38HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Holiday steals)91
85.6%
83
14.4%
Q4 - 10:00PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (JaKarr Sampson assists)91
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 10:19HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)91
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 10:45PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)88
84.5%
81
15.5%
Q4 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Doug McDermott steals)88
87.2%
79
12.8%
Q4 - 11:11PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)88
88.3%
79
11.7%
Q4 - 11:19PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)88
88.4%
79
11.6%
Q4 - 11:21PacersPacers offensive rebound88
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 11:21PacersAndre Iguodala blocks Aaron Holiday's two point driving layup88
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 11:42PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound88
90.5%
77
9.5%
Q4 - 11:46HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot88
91.0%
77
9.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q3 - 0:00.4HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound88
91.1%
77
8.9%
Q3 - 0:02.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot88
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q3 - 0:27.1PacersT.J. Warren makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)88
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q3 - 0:36.5PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound88
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q3 - 0:38.3HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 288
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q3 - 0:38.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 288
93.7%
75
6.3%
Q3 - 0:38.3PacersJaKarr Sampson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
93.4%
75
6.6%
Q3 - 0:53.5HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
92.7%
75
7.3%
Q3 - 0:57.2PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot87
92.3%
75
7.7%
Q3 - 1:11HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)87
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q3 - 1:13PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)87
91.8%
75
8.2%
Q3 - 1:23PacersVictor Oladipo defensive rebound87
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q3 - 1:26HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot87
90.7%
75
9.3%
Q3 - 1:47PacersT.J. Warren makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)87
91.9%
75
8.1%
Q3 - 2:12HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)87
92.0%
73
8.0%
Q3 - 2:16PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)85
90.8%
73
9.2%
Q3 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)85
88.9%
73
11.1%
Q3 - 2:48PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (JaKarr Sampson assists)82
85.1%
73
14.9%
Q3 - 3:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot82
88.1%
70
11.9%
Q3 - 3:41PacersVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)79
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 3:54PacersPacers defensive rebound79
86.1%
68
13.9%
Q3 - 3:54HeatJustin Holiday blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup79
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q3 - 4:07PacersT.J. Warren makes two point running layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)79
87.3%
68
12.7%
Q3 - 4:10PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound79
88.8%
66
11.2%
Q3 - 4:12HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup79
89.4%
66
10.6%
Q3 - 4:27PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point stepback jump shot79
90.7%
66
9.3%
Q3 - 4:51HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)79
93.0%
63
7.0%
Q3 - 5:03PacersJustin Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)76
89.7%
63
10.3%
Q3 - 5:06PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound76
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 5:08HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot76
88.6%
63
11.4%
Q3 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 5:30PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot76
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 276
88.1%
63
11.9%
Q3 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 275
87.8%
63
12.2%
Q3 - 5:43PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
87.6%
63
12.4%
Q3 - 5:53PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Victor Oladipo assists)74
86.4%
63
13.6%
Q3 - 6:00PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound74
88.1%
61
11.9%
Q3 - 6:02HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot74
87.7%
61
12.3%
Q3 - 6:11PacersAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)74
88.9%
61
11.1%
Q3 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)74
87.2%
61
12.8%
Q3 - 6:37PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving layup72
85.5%
61
14.5%
Q3 - 6:45PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound72
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q3 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 7:00PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)72
88.9%
59
11.1%
Q3 - 7:00HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound72
88.9%
59
11.1%
Q3 - 7:00PacersT.J. Warren misses two point floating jump shot72
88.4%
59
11.6%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
86.4%
59
13.6%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 271
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 7:18PacersT.J. Warren shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
85.8%
59
14.2%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound70
84.7%
59
15.3%
Q3 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup70
83.2%
59
16.8%
Q3 - 7:21HeatHeat offensive rebound70
84.7%
59
15.3%
Q3 - 7:24HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot70
83.2%
59
16.8%
Q3 - 7:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound70
84.7%
59
15.3%
Q3 - 7:37PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot70
84.1%
59
15.9%
Q3 - 7:56HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating jump shot70
82.5%
59
17.5%
Q3 - 8:05HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound68
80.1%
59
19.9%
Q3 - 8:06PacersT.J. Warren misses two point pullup jump shot68
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 8:18HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
77.3%
59
22.7%
Q3 - 8:23PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)66
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 8:33PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 266
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 8:33PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 266
75.3%
58
24.7%
Q3 - 8:33HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)66
75.6%
57
24.4%
Q3 - 8:38PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound66
77.3%
57
22.7%
Q3 - 8:41PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot66
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 9:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)66
76.6%
57
23.4%
Q3 - 9:11HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound63
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 9:12PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot63
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 9:26HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup63
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 9:37PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)61
65.3%
57
34.7%
Q3 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot61
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q3 - 10:02PacersAaron Holiday makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)59
68.0%
54
32.0%
Q3 - 10:21HeatJae Crowder makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)59
73.3%
51
26.7%
Q3 - 10:41PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 157
70.9%
51
29.1%
Q3 - 10:41HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)57
71.2%
50
28.8%
Q3 - 10:53HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
75.9%
48
24.1%
Q3 - 11:04HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q3 - 11:05PacersAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot54
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q3 - 11:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
67.4%
48
32.6%
Q3 - 11:49PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (T.J. Warren assists)51
61.4%
48
38.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q2 - 0:00.8PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound51
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q2 - 0:02.5HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving bank jump shot51
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q2 - 0:11.7PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 251
66.5%
46
33.5%
Q2 - 0:11.7PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 251
67.1%
45
32.9%
Q2 - 0:11.7HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)51
67.7%
44
32.3%
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
70.1%
44
29.9%
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 250
69.7%
44
30.3%
Q2 - 0:30.3PacersJaKarr Sampson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 0:33.7PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
66.5%
44
33.5%
Q2 - 0:45.6PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound49
64.4%
44
35.6%
Q2 - 0:47.1HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 149
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 0:47.1PacersMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 0:58.7HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
60.6%
44
39.4%
Q2 - 1:01PacersJaKarr Sampson misses two point driving layup47
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (JaKarr Sampson steals)47
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 1:20HeatHeat defensive rebound47
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 1:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup47
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)47
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound44
50.8%
44
49.2%
Q2 - 1:45HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving reverse layup44
49.5%
44
50.5%
Q2 - 2:05PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)44
51.5%
44
48.5%
Q2 - 2:19HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (offensive foul)44
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 2:19HeatAndre Iguodala offensive foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)44
60.4%
41
39.6%
Q2 - 2:33PacersT.J. Warren makes two point driving floating jump shot44
60.4%
41
39.6%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 144
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 2:40PacersVictor Oladipo technical foul44
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 2:40PacersPacers offensive rebound44
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 2:40PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup44
65.2%
39
34.8%
Q2 - 2:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)44
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 3:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 3:09PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot41
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 341
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 340
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 339
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 3:23PacersVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q2 - 3:43PacersT.J. Warren makes two point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)38
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 3:46PacersPacers offensive rebound38
51.1%
37
48.9%
Q2 - 3:47PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup38
53.3%
37
46.7%
Q2 - 4:00PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound38
51.1%
37
48.9%
Q2 - 4:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot38
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 4:18PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds step)38
54.0%
37
46.0%
Q2 - 4:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound38
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup38
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 4:27PacersT.J. Warren turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)38
54.0%
37
46.0%
Q2 - 4:51HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
51.2%
37
48.8%
Q2 - 5:07PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting layup (T.J. Warren assists)36
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 5:15PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound36
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 5:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot36
52.1%
35
47.9%
Q2 - 5:38PacersAaron Holiday makes two point floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)36
54.3%
35
45.7%
Q2 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)36
56.5%
33
43.5%
Q2 - 6:10HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound36
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 6:11PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup36
58.5%
33
41.5%
Q2 - 6:27HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)36
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 6:35PacersAaron Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot33
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 6:53HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 7:11PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)30
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q2 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)30
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q2 - 7:32PacersJaKarr Sampson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 7:42PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)28
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 7:42PacersPacers offensive rebound28
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 7:43PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup28
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 8:04PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound28
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 8:07HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot28
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 8:13HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 8:15PacersKelly Olynyk blocks Doug McDermott's two point layup28
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 8:30PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound28
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup28
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 8:35HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 8:36PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot28
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 8:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup28
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 9:06PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point tip layup26
41.4%
30
58.6%
Q2 - 9:06PacersJaKarr Sampson offensive rebound26
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 9:10PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot26
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 9:16PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound26
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot26
44.5%
28
55.5%
Q2 - 9:33PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point floating jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)26
46.2%
28
53.8%
Q2 - 9:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 226
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 9:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 225
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 9:44PacersDoug McDermott shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)24
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q2 - 9:52PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)24
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 10:07PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point cutting dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)24
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 10:12PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound24
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 10:14HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running finger roll layup24
49.3%
24
50.7%
Q2 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound24
51.1%
24
48.9%
Q2 - 10:20PacersBam Adebayo blocks Edmond Sumner's two point driving layup24
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q2 - 10:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)24
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 10:54PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)22
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q2 - 11:02PacersPacers offensive rebound22
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 11:02PacersAndre Iguodala blocks Edmond Sumner's three point jump shot22
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:07HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)22
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 11:18HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound22
46.1%
24
53.9%
Q2 - 11:21PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot22
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:28HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)22
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 11:44HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound22
46.1%
24
53.9%
Q2 - 11:46PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot22
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.6PacersDoug McDermott turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)22
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 0:10.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 222
44.1%
24
55.9%
Q1 - 0:10.6HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 221
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 0:10.6PacersJaKarr Sampson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)21
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound21
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0PacersJaKarr Sampson misses two point jump shot21
43.1%
24
56.9%
Q1 - 0:47.1PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 0:50.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot21
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 0:57.3HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound21
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q1 - 1:00PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
43.1%
24
56.9%
Q1 - 1:10PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound21
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q1 - 1:13HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot21
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 1:22HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound21
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 1:25PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point jump shot21
43.3%
24
56.7%
Q1 - 1:42PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound21
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q1 - 1:44HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 121
42.3%
24
57.7%
Q1 - 1:44PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)21
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 1:59PacersJustin Holiday makes two point tip layup19
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 1:59PacersJustin Holiday offensive rebound19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 2:04PacersJustin Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot19
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 2:21HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 2:27HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound19
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 2:28PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot19
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 2:43PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 2:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot19
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q1 - 3:05PacersT.J. Warren makes two point running layup (Victor Oladipo assists)19
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q1 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)19
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 3:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound19
48.6%
20
51.4%
Q1 - 3:25PacersJustin Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot19
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 3:37PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound19
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 3:38HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot19
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 4:00PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot19
48.6%
20
51.4%
Q1 - 4:13PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound19
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 4:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot19
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 4:24HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound19
55.2%
17
44.8%
Q1 - 4:25PacersT.J. Warren misses three point pullup jump shot19
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)19
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 4:55PacersT.J. Warren makes two point layup16
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 4:57PacersT.J. Warren offensive rebound16
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 4:59PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point running dunk16
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)16
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:08PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)16
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 5:08PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)16
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound16
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot16
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 5:40PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 216
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 5:40PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 216
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 5:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)16
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 5:51PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound16
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 5:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 216
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 5:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 216
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 5:53PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)15
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 6:09PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)15
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 6:29PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound15
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 6:32HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot15
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 6:45PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)15
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 6:49PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound15
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 6:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot15
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 7:05PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)15
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)15
57.8%
10
42.2%
Q1 - 7:25HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound15
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:27PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot15
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball)15
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:54PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 215
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:54PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 215
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)15
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 8:06PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound15
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 8:06HeatMyles Turner blocks Jae Crowder's three point turnaround jump shot15
60.4%
9
39.6%
Q1 - 8:08HeatHeat offensive rebound15
61.7%
9
38.3%
Q1 - 8:11HeatJustin Holiday blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot15
60.4%
9
39.6%
Q1 - 8:33PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point turnaround hook shot15
61.7%
9
38.3%
Q1 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot15
63.2%
7
36.8%
Q1 - 8:57PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 213
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 8:57PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 213
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)13
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 9:03PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound13
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 9:05HeatJae Crowder misses regular free throw 2 of 213
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 9:05HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 213
62.5%
6
37.5%
Q1 - 9:05PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)12
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 9:18PacersVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot12
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 9:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)12
64.6%
3
35.4%
Q1 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound10
63.3%
3
36.7%
Q1 - 9:50PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot10
62.7%
3
37.3%
Q1 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)10
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:00PacersPacers offensive rebound10
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:01PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot10
62.5%
3
37.5%
Q1 - 10:15HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)10
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 210
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJae Crowder misses regular free throw 1 of 29
60.8%
3
39.2%
Q1 - 10:22PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)9
62.1%
3
37.9%
Q1 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound9
61.3%
3
38.7%
Q1 - 10:29PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot9
60.7%
3
39.3%
Q1 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)9
59.4%
3
40.6%
Q1 - 10:52PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 11:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)6
54.1%
3
45.9%
Q1 - 11:08HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound3
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 11:10HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot3
49.2%
3
50.8%
Q1 - 11:21PacersAaron Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. Warren assists)3
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
54.1%
0
45.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Goran Dragic gains possession)0
50.5%
0
49.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.2%
IND
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
21
48%
IND
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
8
20
40%
IND
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
IND
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
19
28
68%
IND
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson24133%12.0 / 9
G. Dragic2056%10.0 / 18
J. Butler1856%9.0 / 16
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
J. Crowder1056%5.0 / 9
B. Adebayo744%3.5 / 8
A. Iguodala788%3.5 / 4
K. Olynyk770%3.5 / 5
D. Jones125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo2261%11.0 / 18
M. Brogdon1747%8.5 / 18
M. Turner17106%8.5 / 8
T. Warren1447%7.0 / 15
A. Holiday1267%6.0 / 9
J. Sampson867%4.0 / 6
J. Holiday660%3.0 / 5
D. McDermott225%1.0 / 4
T. McConnell225%1.0 / 4
E. Sumner0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+10
-16
92
IND
81
+11
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.2%
IND
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
104.7
MIA 111.2 +8.1
IND 103.1
Pace
96.2
96.3
MIA 98.8 +2.6
IND 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 14.6 +0.4
IND 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
53.0%
MIA 59.2% +7.3%
IND 51.9%
TO %
12.7%
15.1%
MIA 16.1%
IND 15.9% +0.2%
ORB %
19.2%
13.8%
MIA 17.1% +6.6%
IND 10.5%
FTrt
32.2
25.2
MIA 36.8 +12.1
IND 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
61.6%
MIA 75.0% +5.6%
IND 69.4%
STL %
7.1%
9.5%
MIA 9.2%
IND 12.4% +3.2%
BLK %
7.9%
11.6%
MIA 8.5%
IND 17.1% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
55.4%
MIA 59.2% +4.9%
IND 54.3%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.7%
MIA 47.6%
IND 53.8% +6.2%
Mid FG%
45.0%
43.8%
MIA 40.0%
IND 47.6% +7.6%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 51.4% +16.1%
IND 35.3%
FT %
82.5%
77.8%
MIA 67.9%
IND 80.0% +12.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
32.4%
MIA 27.6%
IND 32.1% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
27.7%
MIA 26.3%
IND 25.9% +0.4%
3P Att. %
43.3%
39.9%
MIA 46.1% +4.1%
IND 42.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points109100
Rebounds4138
Assists2725
Steals912
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)16 (1)
Fouls1523
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)4 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals36-7636-81
At-the-Rim FG10-2114-26
Midrange FG8-2010-21
2-Point FG18-4124-47
3-Point FG18-3512-34
Free Throws19-2816-20
Fast Break Pts89
2nd Chance Pts1314
Points in Paint3440
Pts off Turnovers1722
Bench Points3018
Biggest Lead165

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
37.9
18
56%
7
6
2
0
5
0
2
5
6-8
75%
3-10
30%
2-3
67%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 23
32.2
7
44%
5
4
2
1
0
4
0
5
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
32.0
20
56%
3
6
0
0
4
4
1
2
0-1
0%
7-14
50%
2-4
50%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
25.3
24
133%
2
2
1
0
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
-
7-8
88%
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30
24.3
10
56%
8
3
1
0
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
34.7
15
44%
5
3
1
0
1
2
0
5
4-6
67%
1-6
17%
3-8
38%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
28.4
7
88%
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
12.9
1
25%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
12.3
7
70%
7
0
0
1
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Personal
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
41
27
9
4
16
15
7
34
19-28
68%
18-41
44%
18-35
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.