FinalWin Prob.pScore
1245%105
113
1455%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.29491.2
IND logo IND
109.89294.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:07.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.3PacersT.J. Warren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.1PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.7PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.7PacersPacers offensive rebound111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.7PacersAndre Iguodala blocks Malcolm Brogdon's three point jump shot111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.4PacersPacers offensive rebound111
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:47.4PacersAndre Iguodala blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point driving layup111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.7HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot111
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 1:14PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.1%
101
0.9%
Q4 - 1:14PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.2%
100
0.8%
Q4 - 1:14HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Edmond Sumner draws the foul)109
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 1:16PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound109
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 1:19HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup109
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 1:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 1:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 1:35HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)109
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 1:47HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup109
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 1:56PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 2:04PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup107
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot107
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 2:46Jump ball. Jimmy Butler vs. T.J. Warren (Tyler Herro gains possession)104
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 2:53PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound104
96.9%
95
3.1%
Q4 - 2:55HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup104
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
98.2%
95
1.8%
Q4 - 3:05PacersT.J. Warren misses two point driving layup104
97.9%
95
2.1%
Q4 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot104
97.0%
95
3.0%
Q4 - 3:35PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
90.0%
95
10.0%
Q4 - 3:41PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)101
90.2%
95
9.8%
Q4 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)101
93.1%
93
6.9%
Q4 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)101
95.2%
93
4.8%
Q4 - 4:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound101
95.3%
93
4.7%
Q4 - 4:09PacersJimmy Butler blocks T.J. Warren's two point jump shot101
94.7%
93
5.3%
Q4 - 4:27PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound101
93.2%
93
6.8%
Q4 - 4:31HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot101
94.0%
93
6.0%
Q4 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound101
95.4%
93
4.6%
Q4 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot101
94.0%
93
6.0%
Q4 - 4:55HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound101
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 4:58PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot101
94.9%
93
5.1%
Q4 - 5:20HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)101
90.7%
93
9.3%
Q4 - 5:27PacersT.J. Warren turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)98
83.8%
93
16.2%
Q4 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot98
78.6%
93
21.4%
Q4 - 6:05PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)96
70.4%
93
29.6%
Q4 - 6:19HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot96
80.6%
90
19.4%
Q4 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 6:41PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot94
74.4%
90
25.6%
Q4 - 6:54HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)94
69.7%
90
30.3%
Q4 - 7:08HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
67.8%
90
32.2%
Q4 - 7:28PacersAaron Holiday makes three point jump shot91
56.0%
90
44.0%
Q4 - 7:32PacersAaron Holiday offensive rebound91
67.9%
87
32.1%
Q4 - 7:34PacersBam Adebayo blocks Doug McDermott's two point driving hook shot91
72.4%
87
27.6%
Q4 - 7:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup91
67.9%
87
32.1%
Q4 - 7:51HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound89
62.6%
87
37.4%
Q4 - 7:54HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot89
57.4%
87
42.6%
Q4 - 7:57HeatHeat offensive rebound89
62.6%
87
37.4%
Q4 - 7:57HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup89
57.4%
87
42.6%
Q4 - 8:07HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound89
60.6%
87
39.4%
Q4 - 8:09PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround hook shot89
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 8:11PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound89
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 8:14PacersDoug McDermott misses three point running pullup jump shot89
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 8:17PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound89
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup89
56.4%
87
43.6%
Q4 - 8:33PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Loose ball) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)89
60.7%
87
39.3%
Q4 - 8:33HeatHeat defensive rebound89
60.7%
87
39.3%
Q4 - 8:33PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
58.9%
87
41.1%
Q4 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot89
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 8:59HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound87
48.3%
87
51.7%
Q4 - 9:02HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot87
43.5%
87
56.5%
Q4 - 9:16PacersJustin Holiday turnover (offensive foul)87
47.9%
87
52.1%
Q4 - 9:16PacersJustin Holiday offensive foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)87
41.7%
87
58.3%
Q4 - 9:32HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)87
41.7%
87
58.3%
Q4 - 9:43PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)85
36.3%
87
63.7%
Q4 - 9:55PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound85
41.7%
85
58.3%
Q4 - 9:58HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot85
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 10:23PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot85
47.8%
85
52.2%
Q4 - 10:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)85
53.3%
83
46.7%
Q4 - 10:48HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot85
53.3%
83
46.7%
Q4 - 11:09PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (JaKarr Sampson assists)83
47.3%
83
52.7%
Q4 - 11:15PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound83
58.1%
80
41.9%
Q4 - 11:17HeatGoran Dragic misses two point cutting layup83
59.7%
80
40.3%
Q4 - 11:24HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
63.2%
80
36.8%
Q4 - 11:27PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup bank jump shot83
61.7%
80
38.3%
Q4 - 11:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)83
58.2%
80
41.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
52.8%
80
47.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound81
52.3%
80
47.7%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point pullup jump shot81
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q3 - 0:03.3HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound81
52.3%
80
47.7%
Q3 - 0:03.3PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot81
50.8%
80
49.2%
Q3 - 0:25.8PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound81
47.4%
80
52.6%
Q3 - 0:29.6HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot81
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q3 - 0:41.7PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot81
52.3%
80
47.7%
Q3 - 0:53.7PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound81
57.6%
78
42.4%
Q3 - 0:56.1HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot81
59.1%
78
40.9%
Q3 - 1:15PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup81
61.6%
78
38.4%
Q3 - 1:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 281
65.9%
76
34.1%
Q3 - 1:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 280
64.9%
76
35.1%
Q3 - 1:32PacersT.J. Warren shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)80
67.9%
76
32.1%
Q3 - 1:51PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point running layup80
66.1%
76
33.9%
Q3 - 1:56PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound80
70.2%
74
29.8%
Q3 - 2:00HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot80
71.5%
74
28.5%
Q3 - 2:22PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point pullup jump shot80
72.7%
74
27.3%
Q3 - 2:33HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)80
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q3 - 2:47HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot80
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q3 - 2:58PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)78
76.3%
71
23.7%
Q3 - 3:13HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)78
78.0%
69
22.0%
Q3 - 3:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup78
78.0%
69
22.0%
Q3 - 3:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
75.1%
69
24.9%
Q3 - 3:46HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot76
72.6%
69
27.4%
Q3 - 4:08PacersJustin Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)76
73.9%
69
26.1%
Q3 - 4:20HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)76
76.6%
67
23.4%
Q3 - 4:40PacersT.J. Warren makes two point driving floating jump shot73
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q3 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 273
73.6%
65
26.4%
Q3 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 272
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q3 - 4:51PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q3 - 5:10PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)72
72.8%
65
27.2%
Q3 - 5:21PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound72
78.6%
62
21.4%
Q3 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot72
79.4%
62
20.6%
Q3 - 5:48PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)72
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q3 - 5:48PacersPacers offensive rebound72
78.6%
62
21.4%
Q3 - 5:48PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving floating jump shot72
80.5%
62
19.5%
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Goran Dragic assists)72
77.3%
62
22.7%
Q3 - 6:19HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound70
74.7%
62
25.3%
Q3 - 6:22PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot70
73.8%
62
26.2%
Q3 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk70
71.6%
62
28.4%
Q3 - 6:43PacersMyles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)68
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q3 - 7:05PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound68
63.9%
62
36.1%
Q3 - 7:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 168
64.4%
62
35.6%
Q3 - 7:07PacersEdmond Sumner shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)68
67.0%
62
33.0%
Q3 - 7:11PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)65
57.1%
62
42.9%
Q3 - 7:21PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot65
57.1%
62
42.9%
Q3 - 7:36HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
60.4%
60
39.6%
Q3 - 8:02PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)62
53.4%
60
46.6%
Q3 - 8:22PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound62
60.1%
57
39.9%
Q3 - 8:23HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup62
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 8:37HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound62
64.0%
57
36.0%
Q3 - 8:40PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot62
62.8%
57
37.2%
Q3 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
60.1%
57
39.9%
Q3 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 261
59.6%
57
40.4%
Q3 - 9:00PacersMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
59.0%
57
41.0%
Q3 - 9:06PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 260
56.2%
57
43.8%
Q3 - 9:06PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 260
56.6%
56
43.4%
Q3 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)60
53.4%
56
46.6%
Q3 - 9:25PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound60
55.9%
56
44.1%
Q3 - 9:29HeatJae Crowder misses three point pullup jump shot60
57.1%
56
42.9%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 9:44PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot60
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup60
55.3%
56
44.7%
Q3 - 10:16PacersT.J. Warren makes two point layup (Myles Turner assists)58
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 10:23PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound58
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 10:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot58
56.5%
54
43.5%
Q3 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
59.2%
54
40.8%
Q3 - 10:32PacersBam Adebayo blocks T.J. Warren's two point putback layup58
58.1%
54
41.9%
Q3 - 10:34PacersT.J. Warren offensive rebound58
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 10:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup58
58.1%
54
41.9%
Q3 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 258
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 257
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q3 - 10:58PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)56
53.9%
54
46.1%
Q3 - 11:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound56
52.0%
54
48.0%
Q3 - 11:08PacersAaron Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot56
50.9%
54
49.1%
Q3 - 11:10PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound56
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot56
49.6%
54
50.4%
Q3 - 11:40PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (T.J. Warren assists)56
52.0%
54
48.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
55.2%
52
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound56
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup56
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q2 - 0:03.8PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running dunk (T.J. Warren assists)56
57.5%
52
42.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (T.J. Warren steals)56
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 0:27.5PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)56
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q2 - 0:29.7PacersJustin Holiday offensive rebound56
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 0:31.8PacersT.J. Warren misses two point driving floating jump shot56
63.1%
50
36.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 256
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 255
61.1%
50
38.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
60.6%
50
39.4%
Q2 - 0:55.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q2 - 0:57.6PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup54
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 254
55.2%
50
44.8%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 253
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 1:16PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q2 - 1:29PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 252
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q2 - 1:29PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 252
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q2 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)52
51.5%
48
48.5%
Q2 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)52
55.2%
48
44.8%
Q2 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
50.8%
48
49.2%
Q2 - 2:00PacersT.J. Warren misses two point stepback jump shot50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q2 - 2:20HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (T.J. Warren steals)50
48.1%
48
51.9%
Q2 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound50
51.1%
48
48.9%
Q2 - 2:39PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q2 - 2:41PacersEdmond Sumner offensive rebound50
48.1%
48
51.9%
Q2 - 2:46PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q2 - 2:53PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound50
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot50
49.1%
48
50.9%
Q2 - 3:16PacersT.J. Warren turnover (traveling)50
50.7%
48
49.3%
Q2 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)50
47.5%
48
52.5%
Q2 - 3:35PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)48
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q2 - 3:40PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)48
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q2 - 3:45PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound48
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q2 - 3:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot48
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 4:05HeatHeat defensive rebound48
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q2 - 4:07PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot48
43.8%
48
56.2%
Q2 - 4:13PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound48
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q2 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot48
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q2 - 4:29PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)48
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q2 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot48
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 4:56PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround hook shot (T.J. Warren assists)46
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 245
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q2 - 5:11PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot44
45.3%
43
54.7%
Q2 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 5:28PacersBam Adebayo blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point driving layup44
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)44
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 5:55PacersMyles Turner turnover (traveling)44
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 6:12HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 244
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 6:12HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 243
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q2 - 6:12PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)42
43.6%
43
56.4%
Q2 - 6:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound42
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 6:16PacersMyles Turner misses two point alley-oop layup42
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 6:30PacersPacers defensive rebound42
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q2 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
40.0%
43
60.0%
Q2 - 6:50PacersJaKarr Sampson turnover (offensive foul)42
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 6:50PacersJaKarr Sampson offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)42
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 7:06HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)42
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q2 - 7:19PacersJustin Holiday turnover39
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 7:32HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)39
32.4%
43
67.6%
Q2 - 7:52PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)37
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 7:56PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound37
32.3%
41
67.7%
Q2 - 8:00HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot37
33.1%
41
66.9%
Q2 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
34.9%
41
65.1%
Q2 - 8:14PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 2 of 237
34.5%
41
65.5%
Q2 - 8:14PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 237
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 8:14HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)37
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 8:24PacersPacers defensive rebound37
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 8:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot37
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 8:43PacersJustin Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)37
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 9:02HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)37
41.8%
37
58.2%
Q2 - 9:07PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)35
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 9:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup35
37.1%
37
62.9%
Q2 - 9:33HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound33
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 9:37PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point jump shot33
34.2%
37
65.8%
Q2 - 10:01HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)33
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q2 - 10:09HeatHeat offensive rebound30
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 10:09HeatJustin Holiday blocks Goran Dragic's two point running layup30
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 10:11HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 10:13PacersJaKarr Sampson misses two point driving hook shot30
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 10:20PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound30
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 10:24HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving hook shot30
27.3%
37
72.7%
Q2 - 10:37PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)30
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 10:55HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)30
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 11:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound27
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q2 - 11:11PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot27
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 11:16PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound27
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 11:19HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot27
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 11:37PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point layup27
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound27
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot27
29.6%
33
70.4%
Q1 - 0:22.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q1 - 0:27.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot27
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q1 - 0:44.2HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 227
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q1 - 0:44.2HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 226
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q1 - 0:44.2PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)25
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q1 - 1:02PacersT.J. Warren makes two point driving floating jump shot25
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q1 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (T.J. Warren steals)25
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q1 - 1:22PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving layup25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q1 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)25
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q1 - 1:55PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)22
29.0%
29
71.0%
Q1 - 2:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (JaKarr Sampson steals)22
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 2:18PacersT.J. Warren makes two point running pullup jump shot22
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 2:24PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound22
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot22
38.0%
24
62.0%
Q1 - 2:39PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 222
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 2:39PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 222
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q1 - 2:39HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)22
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 221
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 2:52PacersEdmond Sumner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 2:59HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound20
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 3:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot20
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 3:13PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound20
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot20
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 3:26PacersEdmond Sumner personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 3:28PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 220
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 3:28PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 220
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 3:28HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)20
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 3:28PacersPacers defensive rebound20
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 3:39HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound20
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 3:43PacersT.J. Warren misses two point jump shot20
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 3:58HeatJae Crowder makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)20
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 4:09PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point running layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)18
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 4:12PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound18
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup18
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 4:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 218
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 218
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)18
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk18
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:58PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)16
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 5:08PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound16
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot16
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 5:27PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 216
43.5%
16
56.5%
Q1 - 5:27PacersVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 216
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 5:27HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)16
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 5:40HeatJae Crowder turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)16
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 5:56HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound16
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 5:57PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround jump shot16
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 6:09PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound16
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 6:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot16
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 6:23HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound16
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 6:25PacersT.J. Warren misses two point pullup jump shot16
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)16
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (T.J. Warren steals)16
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 6:58PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup (Myles Turner assists)16
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot16
48.6%
12
51.4%
Q1 - 7:22PacersAaron Holiday personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)14
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 7:32PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)14
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)14
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 7:59PacersT.J. Warren makes three point pullup jump shot12
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)12
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 8:21PacersVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)10
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 8:33PacersT.J. Warren offensive rebound10
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:37PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot10
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 8:40PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound10
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:40PacersJimmy Butler blocks Aaron Holiday's two point driving layup10
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 8:44PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound10
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 9:05PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Holiday assists)10
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 9:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound10
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 9:18HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 110
50.4%
5
49.6%
Q1 - 9:18PacersVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 9:39PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 28
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 9:39PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 28
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 9:39HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)8
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:48HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)8
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 9:56PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 28
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:56PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 28
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)8
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot5
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 10:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound5
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 10:22PacersVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot5
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 10:26PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound5
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 10:46PacersT.J. Warren makes two point cutting layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)5
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 11:07PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound5
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 11:10HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 15
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:10PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:12HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound3
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 11:14PacersVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup3
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:40HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)3
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Jae Crowder gains possession)0
42.9%
0
57.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.9%
IND
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
30
63%
IND
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
8
16
50%
IND
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
IND
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
20
25
80%
IND
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2870%14.0 / 20
G. Dragic2460%12.0 / 20
B. Adebayo1753%8.5 / 16
T. Herro1568%7.5 / 11
J. Crowder867%4.0 / 6
D. Robinson638%3.0 / 8
D. Jones675%3.0 / 4
K. Olynyk563%2.5 / 4
A. Iguodala467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon2248%11.0 / 23
T. Warren2261%11.0 / 18
J. Holiday11138%5.5 / 4
J. Sampson1083%5.0 / 6
M. Turner938%4.5 / 12
A. Holiday975%4.5 / 6
E. Sumner660%3.0 / 5
T. McConnell550%2.5 / 5
V. Oladipo450%2.0 / 4
D. McDermott338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+11
-9
96
IND
79
+10
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.9%
IND
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
104.7
MIA 120.2 +10.4
IND 109.8
Pace
96.2
96.3
MIA 91.2
IND 94.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 15.8
IND 15.2 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
53.0%
MIA 57.4% +3.5%
IND 53.9%
TO %
12.7%
15.1%
MIA 8.9% +6.0%
IND 14.9%
ORB %
19.2%
13.8%
MIA 16.7%
IND 19.4% +2.7%
FTrt
32.2
25.2
MIA 30.9 +2.0
IND 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
61.6%
MIA 55.0%
IND 61.1% +6.1%
STL %
7.1%
9.5%
MIA 8.5% +0.9%
IND 7.6%
BLK %
7.9%
11.6%
MIA 13.5% +4.8%
IND 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
55.4%
MIA 58.9% +2.2%
IND 56.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.7%
MIA 63.3% +6.2%
IND 57.1%
Mid FG%
45.0%
43.8%
MIA 50.0% +8.3%
IND 41.7%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 37.1%
IND 41.7% +4.6%
FT %
82.5%
77.8%
MIA 80.0%
IND 86.4% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
32.4%
MIA 37.0% +0.2%
IND 36.8%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
27.7%
MIA 19.8% +11.8%
IND 31.6%
3P Att. %
43.3%
39.9%
MIA 43.2% +11.6%
IND 31.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points113101
Rebounds3537
Assists2222
Steals87
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (2)
Fouls1723
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)30 (3)
Field Goals40-8136-76
At-the-Rim FG19-3016-28
Midrange FG8-1610-24
2-Point FG27-4626-52
3-Point FG13-3510-24
Free Throws20-2519-22
Fast Break Pts1412
2nd Chance Pts143
Points in Paint4240
Pts off Turnovers2312
Bench Points3035
Biggest Lead128

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
37.0
28
70%
3
4
4
2
4
3
0
3
10-12
83%
6-13
46%
2-2
100%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 23
34.8
17
53%
10
6
0
3
0
2
4
6
3-4
75%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
34.0
24
60%
6
5
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
4-9
44%
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30
25.0
8
67%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
23.9
6
38%
3
1
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-1
0%
0-0
-
2-8
25%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
33.6
15
68%
3
4
1
0
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
24.9
4
67%
1
0
0
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
13.5
5
63%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
13.2
6
75%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Personal
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
59%
35
22
8
7
9
17
6
29
20-25
80%
27-46
59%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.