FinalWin Prob.pScore
833%106
101
467%112
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
109.89286.6
DEN logo DEN
102.194100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.101
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:01.3SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.3SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.3NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Take) (Derrick White draws the foul)99
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:02.1NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)99
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 0:06.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 299
92.9%
96
7.1%
Q4 - 0:06.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 298
91.7%
96
8.3%
Q4 - 0:06.9NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)97
90.1%
96
9.9%
Q4 - 0:06.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound97
81.9%
96
18.1%
Q4 - 0:09.4NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot97
73.5%
96
26.5%
Q4 - 0:13.3NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound97
54.0%
96
46.0%
Q4 - 0:16.6SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot97
61.0%
96
39.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0SpursDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound97
72.9%
96
27.1%
Q4 - 0:29.1SpursDerrick White misses two point stepback jump shot97
55.9%
96
44.1%
Q4 - 0:50.2NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (LaMarcus Aldridge steals)97
66.3%
96
33.7%
Q4 - 0:55.7NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound97
47.7%
96
52.3%
Q4 - 0:57.7NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot97
59.8%
96
40.2%
Q4 - 1:09SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)97
45.8%
96
54.2%
Q4 - 1:32NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)97
58.5%
96
41.5%
Q4 - 1:36NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound97
68.4%
94
31.6%
Q4 - 1:39NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot97
75.9%
94
24.1%
Q4 - 1:57NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound97
67.6%
94
32.4%
Q4 - 2:00SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot97
71.1%
94
28.9%
Q4 - 2:09NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 297
78.3%
94
21.7%
Q4 - 2:09NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 297
79.6%
93
20.4%
Q4 - 2:09SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)97
81.1%
92
18.9%
Q4 - 2:24SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot97
82.4%
92
17.6%
Q4 - 2:35SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound95
78.6%
92
21.4%
Q4 - 2:39NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot95
74.7%
92
25.3%
Q4 - 2:51SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
62.8%
92
37.2%
Q4 - 3:04NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 195
75.3%
92
24.7%
Q4 - 3:04SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)95
76.1%
91
23.9%
Q4 - 3:04SpursRudy Gay turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)95
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 3:04SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound95
91.7%
89
8.3%
Q4 - 3:06NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point floating jump shot95
90.3%
89
9.7%
Q4 - 3:23SpursPatty Mills makes two point stepback jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)95
86.1%
89
13.9%
Q4 - 3:40SpursSpurs defensive rebound93
75.9%
89
24.1%
Q4 - 3:40NuggetsGary Harris misses two point finger roll layup93
73.7%
89
26.3%
Q4 - 4:03NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound93
68.8%
89
31.2%
Q4 - 4:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point hook shot93
71.4%
89
28.6%
Q4 - 4:30NuggetsGary Harris makes two point stepback jump shot93
77.1%
89
22.9%
Q4 - 4:47SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)93
82.7%
87
17.3%
Q4 - 5:03SpursDerrick White defensive rebound90
64.9%
87
35.1%
Q4 - 5:05NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point stepback jump shot90
62.5%
87
37.5%
Q4 - 5:31SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot90
56.9%
87
43.1%
Q4 - 5:51NuggetsGary Harris makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)88
49.2%
87
50.8%
Q4 - 5:59NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound88
64.9%
84
35.1%
Q4 - 6:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
63.2%
84
36.8%
Q4 - 6:27NuggetsGary Harris makes two point stepback bank jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)88
68.7%
84
31.3%
Q4 - 6:41SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point driving floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)88
74.0%
82
26.0%
Q4 - 6:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Gary Harris assists)86
68.9%
82
31.1%
Q4 - 7:15SpursBryn Forbes makes three point stepback jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)86
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q4 - 7:31NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)83
59.4%
80
40.6%
Q4 - 7:46NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound83
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q4 - 7:49SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot83
72.9%
77
27.1%
Q4 - 8:03SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound83
73.7%
77
26.3%
Q4 - 8:05NuggetsTorrey Craig misses regular free throw 2 of 283
73.0%
77
27.0%
Q4 - 8:05NuggetsTorrey Craig misses regular free throw 1 of 283
69.9%
77
30.1%
Q4 - 8:05SpursBryn Forbes shooting foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)83
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 8:20SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot83
68.5%
77
31.5%
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 281
63.1%
77
36.9%
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 281
64.1%
76
35.9%
Q4 - 8:41SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)81
65.2%
75
34.8%
Q4 - 9:05SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Davis Bertans assists)81
66.1%
75
33.9%
Q4 - 9:24SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
61.1%
75
38.9%
Q4 - 9:25NuggetsMalik Beasley misses regular free throw 1 of 179
60.2%
75
39.8%
Q4 - 9:25SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)79
56.2%
75
43.8%
Q4 - 9:38SpursBryn Forbes makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)79
66.3%
73
33.7%
Q4 - 9:54SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound77
61.1%
73
38.9%
Q4 - 9:57NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point floating jump shot77
59.3%
73
40.7%
Q4 - 10:06NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound77
53.5%
73
46.5%
Q4 - 10:08SpursDavis Bertans misses regular free throw 3 of 377
54.3%
73
45.7%
Q4 - 10:08SpursDavis Bertans makes regular free throw 2 of 377
58.4%
73
41.6%
Q4 - 10:08SpursDavis Bertans makes regular free throw 1 of 376
57.5%
73
42.5%
Q4 - 10:08NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)75
56.6%
73
43.4%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)75
48.3%
73
51.7%
Q4 - 10:36NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound75
59.2%
70
40.8%
Q4 - 10:39SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
60.9%
70
39.1%
Q4 - 10:57NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving floating jump shot75
64.9%
70
35.1%
Q4 - 11:08SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 275
68.1%
68
31.9%
Q4 - 11:08SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 274
67.4%
68
32.6%
Q4 - 11:08NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)74
71.1%
68
28.9%
Q4 - 11:20NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)74
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q4 - 11:28SpursPatty Mills makes two point stepback jump shot74
63.3%
68
36.7%
Q4 - 11:33NuggetsTorrey Craig personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)72
58.2%
68
41.8%
Q4 - 11:40NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)72
58.2%
68
41.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
58.3%
68
41.7%
Q3 - 0:01.4NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound72
51.6%
68
48.4%
Q3 - 0:01.4SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot72
53.1%
68
46.9%
Q3 - 0:08.4NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point driving floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)72
56.6%
68
43.4%
Q3 - 0:29.2NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound72
61.8%
66
38.2%
Q3 - 0:30.8SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point driving floating jump shot72
63.2%
66
36.8%
Q3 - 0:46.8SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound72
66.4%
66
33.6%
Q3 - 0:47.7NuggetsMalik Beasley misses regular free throw 2 of 272
65.8%
66
34.2%
Q3 - 0:47.7NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 1 of 272
62.5%
66
37.5%
Q3 - 0:47.7SpursDavis Bertans shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)72
63.4%
65
36.6%
Q3 - 0:50.6NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound72
66.5%
65
33.5%
Q3 - 0:53.7SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot72
67.9%
65
32.1%
Q3 - 1:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)72
68.8%
65
31.2%
Q3 - 1:38SpursRudy Gay makes two point fadeaway jump shot72
72.8%
63
27.2%
Q3 - 1:47SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound70
68.9%
63
31.1%
Q3 - 1:47NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point tip layup70
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 1:47NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound70
64.5%
63
35.5%
Q3 - 1:47NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point cutting layup70
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 1:54SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)70
64.6%
63
35.4%
Q3 - 2:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving reverse layup70
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 2:15NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound70
70.3%
61
29.7%
Q3 - 2:18NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot70
73.1%
61
26.9%
Q3 - 2:23SpursRudy Gay personal foul (Loose ball) (Paul Millsap draws the foul)70
70.4%
61
29.6%
Q3 - 2:23NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound70
70.4%
61
29.6%
Q3 - 2:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot70
73.2%
61
26.8%
Q3 - 2:44SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)70
70.5%
61
29.5%
Q3 - 3:02SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound68
65.4%
61
34.6%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot68
64.1%
61
35.9%
Q3 - 3:20SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup68
61.0%
61
39.0%
Q3 - 3:20SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound66
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 3:23SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point driving reverse layup66
53.8%
61
46.2%
Q3 - 3:28SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound66
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 3:30NuggetsDavis Bertans blocks Will Barton's two point driving floating jump shot66
55.6%
61
44.4%
Q3 - 3:36NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound66
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 3:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point fadeaway jump shot66
53.8%
61
46.2%
Q3 - 3:50SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound66
57.1%
61
42.9%
Q3 - 3:53NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot66
55.6%
61
44.4%
Q3 - 4:00NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound66
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 4:04SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot66
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Will Barton assists)66
55.7%
61
44.3%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound66
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsGary Harris misses two point pullup jump shot66
62.5%
59
37.5%
Q3 - 5:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)66
58.3%
59
41.7%
Q3 - 5:19SpursSpurs defensive rebound64
54.6%
59
45.4%
Q3 - 5:21NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot64
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 5:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 5:35SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point pullup jump shot64
51.6%
59
48.4%
Q3 - 5:41NuggetsGary Harris personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)64
54.6%
59
45.4%
Q3 - 5:55SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound64
54.7%
59
45.3%
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsDeMar DeRozan blocks Will Barton's two point layup64
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
49.0%
59
51.0%
Q3 - 6:14SpursDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 164
49.6%
59
50.4%
Q3 - 6:14NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)64
52.1%
59
47.9%
Q3 - 6:18SpursDerrick White defensive rebound62
45.5%
59
54.5%
Q3 - 6:21NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot62
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 6:26SpursRudy Gay turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)62
41.3%
59
58.7%
Q3 - 6:27SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound62
45.5%
59
54.5%
Q3 - 6:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 6:45SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound62
45.5%
59
54.5%
Q3 - 6:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot62
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 6:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 7:00SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 7:21SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound62
44.8%
59
55.2%
Q3 - 7:23NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot62
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 7:41NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound62
40.5%
59
59.5%
Q3 - 7:44SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point stepback jump shot62
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 8:02SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound62
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 8:05NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot62
43.0%
59
57.0%
Q3 - 8:08NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound62
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 8:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point tip layup62
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 8:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound62
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 8:14SpursBryn Forbes misses two point floating jump shot62
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 8:34NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (out of bounds lost ball)62
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 8:55NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 8:57SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point putback layup62
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 8:58SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound62
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 9:00SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot62
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 9:12NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving finger roll layup62
43.2%
59
56.8%
Q3 - 9:21NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 9:27SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot62
47.7%
57
52.3%
Q3 - 9:43NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)62
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 9:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 262
57.4%
54
42.6%
Q3 - 9:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses regular free throw 1 of 261
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 9:55NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)61
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q3 - 10:03NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)61
56.5%
54
43.5%
Q3 - 10:05SpursDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)61
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q3 - 10:09SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound61
56.5%
54
43.5%
Q3 - 10:15NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot61
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 10:33NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound61
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q3 - 10:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
53.8%
54
46.2%
Q3 - 10:54NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 161
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 10:54SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)61
57.4%
53
42.6%
Q3 - 11:01SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)61
61.7%
51
38.3%
Q3 - 11:11NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
65.1%
51
34.9%
Q3 - 11:36SpursDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot61
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 11:44SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound59
58.8%
51
41.2%
Q3 - 11:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot59
57.7%
51
42.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
55.2%
51
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1SpursSpurs offensive rebound59
56.8%
51
43.2%
Q2 - 0:00.1SpursJakob Poeltl misses three point jump shot59
55.2%
51
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup59
56.8%
51
43.2%
Q2 - 0:15.3SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving floating jump shot59
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q2 - 0:32.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)57
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q2 - 0:47.7SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)57
61.0%
47
39.0%
Q2 - 1:03NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point putback layup55
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 1:05NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound55
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 1:06NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot55
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q2 - 1:20SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)55
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 1:39NuggetsWill Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)52
52.8%
45
47.2%
Q2 - 1:55SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point pullup jump shot52
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 2:02SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound50
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:05NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot50
51.5%
43
48.5%
Q2 - 2:16SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)50
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q2 - 2:24NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)50
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:37SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)50
55.6%
41
44.4%
Q2 - 2:45NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving finger roll layup47
49.5%
41
50.5%
Q2 - 2:48NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound47
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 2:51NuggetsJakob Poeltl blocks Will Barton's two point running reverse layup47
54.7%
39
45.3%
Q2 - 2:57NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound47
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 3:00SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot47
53.5%
39
46.5%
Q2 - 3:08NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)47
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 3:22NuggetsGary Harris makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)47
54.2%
39
45.8%
Q2 - 3:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
56.7%
37
43.3%
Q2 - 3:36SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving floating jump shot47
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsGary Harris makes two point driving reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)47
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 4:14SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving layup47
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 4:27SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound45
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 4:32NuggetsGary Harris misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 4:46SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)45
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q2 - 4:46SpursDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound45
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 4:47SpursWill Barton blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point fadeaway jump shot45
56.5%
35
43.5%
Q2 - 5:07NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot45
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 5:21SpursBryn Forbes makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)45
60.1%
33
39.9%
Q2 - 5:25NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (bad pass) (Rudy Gay steals)43
57.8%
33
42.2%
Q2 - 5:40SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point alley-oop layup (Rudy Gay assists)43
54.7%
33
45.3%
Q2 - 5:59NuggetsGary Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Monte Morris assists)41
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 6:08SpursDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)41
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 6:17SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound41
56.9%
31
43.1%
Q2 - 6:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point putback layup41
55.9%
31
44.1%
Q2 - 6:19NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound41
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 6:23NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot41
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 6:37SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)41
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 6:37NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound41
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 6:37SpursDerrick White misses two point layup41
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 6:56SpursDerrick White defensive rebound41
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 7:00NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot41
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 7:12SpursDerrick White makes two point stepback jump shot41
52.8%
31
47.2%
Q2 - 7:24NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)39
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (out of bounds lost ball)39
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 7:55SpursBryn Forbes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
47.7%
31
52.3%
Q2 - 8:17NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 2 of 237
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 8:17NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 1 of 237
45.3%
30
54.7%
Q2 - 8:17SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)37
45.8%
29
54.2%
Q2 - 8:27SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 237
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 8:27SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 236
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 8:27NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)35
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 8:34SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound35
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 8:37NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point pullup jump shot35
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 9:03SpursDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)35
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 9:17NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)33
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)33
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 9:46SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)33
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q2 - 9:58NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)31
39.4%
27
60.6%
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound31
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point jump shot31
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 10:21SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot31
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q2 - 10:38NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point driving bank jump shot (Monte Morris assists)29
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q2 - 10:53SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Davis Bertans assists)29
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q2 - 11:05SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound27
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot27
39.8%
22
60.2%
Q2 - 11:28SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup27
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q2 - 11:47NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 225
36.1%
22
63.9%
Q2 - 11:47NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 225
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q2 - 11:47SpursDavis Bertans shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)25
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 0:02.3NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound25
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 0:02.3NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot25
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 0:07.6SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 2 of 225
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 0:07.6SpursMarco Belinelli misses regular free throw 1 of 224
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 0:07.6NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)24
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)24
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 0:24.3SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound24
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 0:25.8NuggetsTorrey Craig misses two point putback layup24
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 0:27.2NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound24
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 0:27.2NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point hook shot24
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound24
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 0:32.2NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot24
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 0:37.6SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup24
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 0:37.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound22
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 0:37.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point tip dunk22
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 0:38.7SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound22
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 0:41.9SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot22
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 0:55.4SpursDavis Bertans defensive rebound22
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 0:56.6NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 222
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 0:56.6NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 222
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 0:56.6SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Loose ball) (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)22
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 0:56.6NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound22
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 0:58.3SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point pullup jump shot22
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 1:19NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 222
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 1:19NuggetsWill Barton misses regular free throw 1 of 222
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 1:19SpursDavis Bertans shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)22
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 1:34SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)22
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 1:47NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point jump shot19
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 1:49NuggetsMalik Beasley offensive rebound19
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 1:50NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point pullup jump shot19
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:10SpursRudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)19
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 2:19SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound17
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 2:22NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot17
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound17
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 2:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround jump shot17
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (inbound)17
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 2:54SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point driving finger roll layup17
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 3:04SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound15
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:07NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot15
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 3:20NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound15
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 3:22SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot15
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 3:36SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound15
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:38NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup15
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 4:02SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 215
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 4:02SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 214
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 4:02NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)13
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 4:08SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound13
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 4:11NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot13
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 4:13NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound13
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 4:16NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot13
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 4:20NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound13
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 4:22SpursRudy Gay misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
21.4%
17
78.6%
Q1 - 4:51NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)13
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 5:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point fadeaway jump shot13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:27NuggetsWill Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)11
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound11
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 5:46SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point stepback jump shot11
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 6:08NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating jump shot11
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 6:15NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound11
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 6:18SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot11
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 6:36NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)11
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 6:36NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Charge) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)11
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 6:46SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)11
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 7:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot11
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 7:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 29
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 7:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 29
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 7:22SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)9
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 7:22NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound9
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:22NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point hook shot9
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 7:31NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound9
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:35SpursPatty Mills misses two point floating jump shot9
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 7:42SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound9
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 7:44NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot9
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:46NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound9
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:48NuggetsPatty Mills blocks Jamal Murray's three point pullup jump shot9
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 8:14SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)9
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 8:23SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound6
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 8:26NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 8:33SpursWill Barton blocks Bryn Forbes's two point pullup jump shot6
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 8:39SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound6
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 8:43NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:54NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 8:56SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot6
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 9:27NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound6
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 9:29SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 26
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 9:29SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 26
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:29NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)5
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 9:36SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound5
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:38NuggetsWill Barton misses regular free throw 2 of 25
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 9:38NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 25
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 9:38SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)5
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 9:51SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup5
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 10:12NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 13
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 10:12SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)3
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 10:28SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)3
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:32SpursDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:34SpursGary Harris blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point jump shot0
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Paul Millsap assists)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:03NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:16SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:18NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:24NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:24SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point tip layup0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:24SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:25SpursDerrick White misses two point cutting layup0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:36SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:40NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:44SpursDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 12:00Jakob Poeltl vs. Nikola Jokic (Derrick White gains possession)0
27.7%
0
72.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.3%
DEN
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
8
16
50%
DEN
14
25
56%
Midrange
SAS
25
52
48%
DEN
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
DEN
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
Free Throws
SAS
14
20
70%
DEN
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan1843%9.0 / 21
D. White1673%8.0 / 11
L. Aldridge1536%7.5 / 21
B. Forbes1583%7.5 / 9
R. Gay1478%7.0 / 9
M. Belinelli840%4.0 / 10
J. Poeltl660%3.0 / 5
D. Bertans583%2.5 / 3
P. Mills467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2071%10.0 / 14
J. Murray1737%8.5 / 23
W. Barton1544%7.5 / 17
P. Millsap1267%6.0 / 9
N. Jokić1050%5.0 / 10
M. Beasley1071%5.0 / 7
T. Craig660%3.0 / 5
M. Plumlee433%2.0 / 6
M. Morris217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+11
-11
92
DEN
84
+17
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.3%
DEN
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
114.0
SAS 109.8 +7.7
DEN 102.1
Pace
93.1
93.0
SAS 86.6
DEN 100.2 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
SAS 16.6
DEN 14.4 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
49.6%
SAS 52.4% +6.9%
DEN 45.5%
TO %
8.6%
9.6%
SAS 10.7%
DEN 9.2% +1.5%
ORB %
24.4%
27.4%
SAS 23.3%
DEN 26.0% +2.7%
FTrt
27.0
27.9
SAS 24.1
DEN 27.3 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
60.1%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 67.6% +17.6%
STL %
5.0%
5.9%
SAS 4.3%
DEN 8.5% +4.2%
BLK %
6.7%
7.4%
SAS 6.7% +2.3%
DEN 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.6%
SAS 54.3% +6.8%
DEN 47.5%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.3%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 56.0% +6.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.2%
SAS 48.1%
DEN 48.6% +0.5%
3P %
33.8%
34.4%
SAS 46.7% +25.3%
DEN 21.4%
FT %
77.0%
78.2%
SAS 70.0% +3.3%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.7%
38.5%
SAS 19.3%
DEN 28.4% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
45.0%
30.7%
SAS 62.7%
DEN 39.8% +22.9%
3P Att. %
23.3%
30.8%
SAS 18.1%
DEN 31.8% +13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points10196
Rebounds4746
Assists2025
Steals48
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (0)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals40-8337-88
At-the-Rim FG8-1614-25
Midrange FG25-5217-35
2-Point FG33-6831-60
3-Point FG7-156-28
Free Throws14-2016-24
Fast Break Pts20
2nd Chance Pts717
Points in Paint3248
Pts off Turnovers88
Bench Points3122
Biggest Lead124

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
39.3
18
43%
12
6
0
1
4
1
3
9
6-8
75%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
33.9
15
36%
8
1
1
0
0
3
5
3
3-4
75%
6-18
33%
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
30.1
15
83%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
27.8
16
73%
3
5
1
0
4
3
0
3
2-3
67%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
24.3
6
60%
6
0
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
26.8
14
78%
6
1
1
0
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
21.2
4
67%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
19.7
5
83%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
17.0
8
40%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#28 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
47
20
4
4
11
17
10
37
14-20
70%
33-68
49%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.