FinalWin Prob.pScore
728%101
114
372%109
75
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
123.99279.4
HOU logo HOU
81.592109.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU114
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUB. Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)114
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Dekker 4' Floating Jump Shot114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Harrell 2' Layup114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Forbes 23' Pullup Jump Shot114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUMISS B. Brown 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUROCKETS Rebound114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Taylor 3' Layup114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HOUMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Anderson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Harrell 21' Jump Shot114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49SASForbes 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)114
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58HOUMISS Williams 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Anderson 19' Jump Bank Shot112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26HOUMISS B. Brown 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42SASDedmon 2' Putback Layup (3 PTS)112
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44SASMISS Dedmon 1' Putback Layup110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47SASMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06HOUMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15SASBertans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)110
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Bertans Free Throw 1 of 2109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SASMISS Dedmon Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SASDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SASSpurs Rebound108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39HOUMISS Capela 3' Hook Shot108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Dedmon: Tip to108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56SASMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18SASSpurs Rebound108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18HOUMISS Capela 6' Jump Shot108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27HOUMISS Capela 2' Reverse Layup108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42SASAldridge 2' Layup (34 PTS) (Simmons 4 AST)108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27SASSimmons 22' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57SASAldridge Tip Dunk Shot (32 PTS)104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Gasol 3' Layup102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00SASHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19HOUMISS Capela 3' Layup101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34SASAldridge 1' Cutting Layup Shot (30 PTS) (Green 2 AST)101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19SASSpurs Rebound96
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot96
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 7:36HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)96
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:49SASMurray 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:19HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)94
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:30HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:57HOUBeverley 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)94
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Beverley 9' Floating Jump Shot94
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:16SASMurray 9' Pullup Bank Shot (8 PTS)94
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:27HOUBeverley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)92
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:33HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 9:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 9:54SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:55HOUMISS Harden 3PT Pullup Jump Shot92
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 10:12SASMills 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)92
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 10:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 10:25HOUMISS Dekker 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot90
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 10:42SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 10:42SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 289
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 11:04SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q4 - 11:05HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q4 - 11:13SASMurray 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)89
98.9%
64
1.1%
Q4 - 11:36SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 11:38HOUMISS Williams 17' Fadeaway Jumper87
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q4 - 11:44HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS87
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)87
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASAnderson 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)87
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
97.3%
64
2.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
97.8%
62
2.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Aldridge 1' Cutting Layup Shot85
98.0%
62
2.0%
Q3 - 1:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q3 - 1:04HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 1:05HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
98.0%
60
2.0%
Q3 - 1:05SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot85
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Aldridge 5' Hook Shot85
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 1:20SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q3 - 1:21HOUMISS Ariza 2' Layup85
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 1:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 1:27HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot85
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 1:32SASGordon STEAL (1 STL)85
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 1:46SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q3 - 1:47HOUMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 2:03SASMurray 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)85
97.4%
60
2.6%
Q3 - 2:24HOUWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
97.0%
60
3.0%
Q3 - 2:24HOUWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
97.1%
59
2.9%
Q3 - 2:34SASMurray Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)83
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 2:39HOUAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)81
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 2:51SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)81
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 2:51SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)80
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 3:10HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)79
95.0%
58
5.0%
Q3 - 3:25SASAldridge 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (26 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)79
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q3 - 3:46HOUWilliams 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
95.8%
55
4.2%
Q3 - 3:54HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
96.4%
53
3.6%
Q3 - 3:54SASMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot77
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 4:18SASSpurs Rebound77
96.5%
53
3.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 4:36SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
96.5%
53
3.5%
Q3 - 4:37HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Reverse Layup77
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 4:50SASAldridge 2' Layup (24 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)77
95.8%
53
4.2%
Q3 - 4:58HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T10)75
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 5:06HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
93.2%
53
6.8%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
93.6%
53
6.4%
Q3 - 5:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
94.3%
53
5.7%
Q3 - 5:26HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup75
94.0%
53
6.0%
Q3 - 5:38HOUROCKETS Rebound75
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 5:40SASMISS Green 2' Running Layup75
93.6%
53
6.4%
Q3 - 5:46SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 5:47HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup75
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q3 - 6:00SASMills 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)75
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 6:24HOUHarden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q3 - 6:36SASGasol 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)73
93.3%
50
6.7%
Q3 - 6:53SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 6:53HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 271
92.2%
50
7.8%
Q3 - 6:53HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
91.7%
50
8.3%
Q3 - 7:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 7:12SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Bank Shot71
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 7:31HOUAriza 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beverley 4 AST)71
92.6%
49
7.4%
Q3 - 7:39HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
94.3%
46
5.7%
Q3 - 7:40SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
95.2%
46
4.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Aldridge Tip Dunk Shot71
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q3 - 7:41SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q3 - 8:05HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)71
94.7%
46
5.3%
Q3 - 8:22HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
95.9%
43
4.1%
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Aldridge 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
96.1%
43
3.9%
Q3 - 8:45SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
96.6%
43
3.4%
Q3 - 8:46HOUMISS Capela 6' Turnaround Hook Shot71
96.4%
43
3.6%
Q3 - 8:56HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
95.9%
43
4.1%
Q3 - 8:57HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Reverse Layup71
96.4%
43
3.6%
Q3 - 9:06SASSimmons Cutting Dunk Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)71
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 9:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
94.5%
43
5.5%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot69
94.3%
43
5.7%
Q3 - 9:38SASAldridge 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS) (Mills 7 AST)69
93.7%
43
6.3%
Q3 - 9:54SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q3 - 9:55HOUMISS Capela 5' Hook Shot67
92.5%
43
7.5%
Q3 - 10:12SASAldridge 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)67
90.7%
43
9.3%
Q3 - 10:28SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q3 - 10:28HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 265
89.4%
43
10.6%
Q3 - 10:28HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q3 - 10:38SASGasol 7' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)65
89.5%
42
10.5%
Q3 - 11:00SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
88.2%
42
11.8%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup63
86.3%
42
13.7%
Q3 - 11:17SASAldridge 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)63
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q3 - 11:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
83.5%
42
16.5%
Q3 - 11:37HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot61
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q3 - 11:45HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
81.5%
42
18.5%
Q3 - 11:46HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS61
81.5%
42
18.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound61
83.6%
42
16.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 46' 3PT Jump Shot61
82.2%
42
17.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASAldridge 3' Hook Shot (16 PTS)61
85.7%
39
14.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
83.4%
39
16.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)59
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)59
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASGasol 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)59
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 1:14HOUCapela Dunk (13 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)57
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 1:29SASSimmons 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)57
81.2%
37
18.8%
Q2 - 1:50SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
78.1%
37
21.9%
Q2 - 1:51HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot55
77.8%
37
22.2%
Q2 - 2:08SASAldridge Foul Turnover (P1.T5)55
75.0%
37
25.0%
Q2 - 2:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 2:25HOUMISS Williams 8' Floating Jump Shot55
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 2:38SASGreen 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)55
75.2%
37
24.8%
Q2 - 2:55HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
72.6%
37
27.4%
Q2 - 2:55HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 2:55HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
75.2%
35
24.8%
Q2 - 2:55HOUMISS Capela 2' Cutting Layup Shot53
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 3:13SASMills Foul Turnover (P1.T4)53
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 3:25SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 3:25HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 3:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
72.7%
35
27.3%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Aldridge 23' Fadeaway Jumper53
73.5%
35
26.5%
Q2 - 4:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
73.0%
35
27.0%
Q2 - 4:01HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 253
72.7%
35
27.3%
Q2 - 4:01HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 253
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 4:08SASCapela STEAL (1 STL)53
70.8%
35
29.2%
Q2 - 4:12HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)53
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 4:19HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
70.8%
35
29.2%
Q2 - 4:20SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup53
71.5%
35
28.5%
Q2 - 4:44HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)53
73.2%
35
26.8%
Q2 - 4:59SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)53
77.5%
32
22.5%
Q2 - 5:14SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
74.3%
32
25.7%
Q2 - 5:15HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot51
73.6%
32
26.4%
Q2 - 5:21HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
72.0%
32
28.0%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Gasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot51
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 5:39SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
74.4%
32
25.6%
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 251
72.4%
32
27.6%
Q2 - 5:41SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
73.8%
32
26.2%
Q2 - 5:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
72.2%
32
27.8%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 250
71.9%
32
28.1%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 250
70.2%
32
29.8%
Q2 - 6:00HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
69.8%
32
30.2%
Q2 - 6:01SASMISS Aldridge 9' Step Back Jump Shot50
69.0%
32
31.0%
Q2 - 6:19HOUHarden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 6:37SASSimmons 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)50
74.9%
29
25.1%
Q2 - 6:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
73.3%
29
26.7%
Q2 - 6:54HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 7:10SASAldridge 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)48
69.0%
29
31.0%
Q2 - 7:20HOUAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
66.9%
29
33.1%
Q2 - 7:37HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q2 - 7:38SASMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot46
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 7:47SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 7:48HOUMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 8:09SASMills 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)46
63.4%
29
36.6%
Q2 - 8:13HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)44
61.2%
29
38.8%
Q2 - 8:21HOUROCKETS Rebound44
58.6%
29
41.4%
Q2 - 8:22SASMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot44
59.4%
29
40.6%
Q2 - 8:39HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)44
61.3%
29
38.7%
Q2 - 8:54SASSimmons 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 9:11SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 9:14SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q2 - 9:34SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
62.6%
26
37.4%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
61.8%
26
38.2%
Q2 - 9:46SASMills 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
60.0%
26
40.0%
Q2 - 10:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
54.8%
26
45.2%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
54.0%
26
46.0%
Q2 - 10:18HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 10:18SASMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 139
52.4%
26
47.6%
Q2 - 10:30SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
49.9%
26
50.1%
Q2 - 10:31HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)37
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 11:08SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 11:09HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 11:19SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)34
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q2 - 11:44HOUWilliams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)31
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU31
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0HOUDekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)29
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASAnderson 2' Layup (2 PTS)29
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Murray 1' Tip Layup Shot27
34.9%
21
65.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Murray 1' Layup27
34.9%
21
65.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUDekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)27
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASGreen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 1:07HOUROCKETS Rebound25
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 1:08SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot25
36.9%
18
63.1%
Q1 - 1:29HOUWilliams 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)25
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 1:43SASAldridge 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)25
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 1:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 2:00HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 2:00HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot23
37.5%
16
62.5%
Q1 - 2:01HOUMISS Williams 10' Floating Jump Shot23
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 2:16HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 2:17SASCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)23
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 2:29SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 2:30HOUMISS Anderson 22' Fadeaway Jumper23
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 2:56SASGreen 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)23
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 3:00HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)21
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 3:04HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 3:05SASMISS Lee 9' Turnaround Hook Shot21
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 3:26HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 3:26HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 3:29HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 3:30SASMISS Simmons 3' Driving Layup21
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 3:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 3:44HOUMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot21
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 4:00SASSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)21
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 4:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 4:10HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup18
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASAldridge 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 4:45HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)16
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:11SASSimmons Driving Dunk (4 PTS)16
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 5:32HOUCapela 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)14
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 5:53HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 5:54SASMISS Mills 28' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:18HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 6:18HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 6:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Gasol 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 6:40HOUBeverley 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)14
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 6:43SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)14
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 6:50SASSpurs Rebound14
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 6:54SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 6:56SASMISS Aldridge 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot14
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 7:14HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 7:14HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 214
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 7:30SASGasol 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)14
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 7:39HOUCapela Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 7:42SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)12
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 7:59SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
27.2%
7
72.8%
Q1 - 8:00HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 8:16SASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)10
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 8:32HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 8:32HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 8:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 9:02HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 9:09SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 9:09SASGasol 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)8
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 9:10SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 9:27HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 9:40SASAldridge 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)6
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 9:58SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.3%
5
78.7%
Q1 - 9:59HOUMISS Gordon 2' Running Layup4
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 10:03SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)4
19.8%
5
80.2%
Q1 - 10:18HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)4
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 10:26SASMills 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:41HOUCapela 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:02HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Aldridge 8' Driving Hook Shot2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:38SASAldridge 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Gasol: Tip to Mills0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.3%
HOU
0.82 40.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
36
61%
HOU
8
27
30%
Midrange
SAS
24
38
63%
HOU
1
10
10%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
HOU
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
Free Throws
SAS
7
13
54%
HOU
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3463%17.0 / 27
J. Simmons1869%9.0 / 13
P. Mills1470%7.0 / 10
D. Murray1150%5.5 / 11
D. Green1056%5.0 / 9
P. Gasol1045%5.0 / 11
K. Anderson750%3.5 / 7
D. Dedmon350%1.5 / 3
M. Ginobili220%1.0 / 5
D. Lee250%1.0 / 2
B. Forbes233%1.0 / 3
D. Bertans150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ariza2077%10.0 / 13
C. Capela1542%7.5 / 18
J. Harden1036%5.0 / 14
L. Williams850%4.0 / 8
P. Beverley758%3.5 / 6
E. Gordon633%3.0 / 9
S. Dekker650%3.0 / 6
B. Brown350%1.5 / 3
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 6
I. Taylor0-0.0 / 2
M. Harrell0-0.0 / 2
T. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+18
-7
103
HOU
79
+11
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.3%
HOU
0.82 40.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.0
111.0
SAS 123.9
HOU 81.5 +42.4
Pace
92.7
96.2
SAS 79.4
HOU 109.3 +29.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.5
SAS 18.1
HOU 13.2 +5.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.4%
SAS 55.7% +18.7%
HOU 37.0%
TO %
12.7%
13.5%
SAS 7.3% +6.4%
HOU 13.7%
ORB %
29.2%
22.7%
SAS 34.1% +16.2%
HOU 17.9%
FTrt
27.7
30.4
SAS 13.5
HOU 32.5 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.3%
52.4%
SAS 62.7%
HOU 63.6% +0.9%
STL %
8.3%
8.0%
SAS 8.7% +3.3%
HOU 5.4%
BLK %
9.5%
7.4%
SAS 24.3% +20.2%
HOU 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.4%
SAS 54.3% +13.5%
HOU 40.8%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.1%
SAS 61.1% +31.5%
HOU 29.6%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.2%
SAS 63.2% +53.2%
HOU 10.0%
3P %
35.0%
33.3%
SAS 22.7%
HOU 32.5% +9.8%
FT %
77.3%
78.9%
SAS 53.8%
HOU 72.0% +18.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.9%
SAS 37.5% +2.4%
HOU 35.1%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
15.8%
SAS 39.6%
HOU 13.0% +26.6%
3P Att. %
28.2%
45.2%
SAS 22.9%
HOU 51.9% +29.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes27.820.2
Points11475
Rebounds6037
Assists3214
Steals85
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals51-9622-77
At-the-Rim FG22-368-27
Midrange FG24-381-10
2-Point FG46-749-37
3-Point FG5-2213-40
Free Throws7-1318-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 260 · 32
35.8
34
63%
12
1
1
0
2
3
5
7
2-2
100%
16-26
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 195 · 28
31.5
18
69%
0
4
1
0
1
4
0
0
1-2
50%
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 215 · 30
30.8
10
56%
6
2
2
2
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 250 · 37
29.4
10
45%
11
5
0
3
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
27.3
14
70%
3
7
1
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
G · 6'4" 180 · 21
23.8
11
50%
10
5
2
1
1
2
1
9
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24
20.8
7
50%
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 40
16.7
2
20%
3
4
0
0
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
8.5
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
4.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 28
4.3
3
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
4.3
1
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 35
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · F · 6'7" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
54%
60
32
8
9
7
0
14
46
7-13
54%
46-74
62%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.