FinalWin Prob.pScore
435%103
107
365%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
110.39789.8
SAS logo SAS
113.49786.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
OT1 - 0:00.0HOU107
0%
110
100%
OT1 - 0:15.0SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)107
6.4%
110
93.6%
OT1 - 0:15.0SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2107
7.6%
109
92.4%
OT1 - 0:16.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
5.4%
109
94.6%
OT1 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot107
7.6%
109
92.4%
OT1 - 0:30.0SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)107
17.9%
109
82.1%
OT1 - 0:47.0HOUAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)107
49.1%
106
50.9%
OT1 - 0:56.0SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)104
21.9%
106
78.1%
OT1 - 1:17HOUAldridge STEAL (1 STL)104
45.8%
103
54.2%
OT1 - 1:28SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
60.5%
103
39.5%
OT1 - 1:28SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
63.3%
102
36.7%
OT1 - 1:31HOUSimmons STEAL (3 STL)104
70.0%
101
30.0%
OT1 - 1:40HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
79.7%
101
20.3%
OT1 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot104
76.7%
101
23.3%
OT1 - 2:00HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)104
68.9%
101
31.1%
OT1 - 2:13SASAldridge Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T8)101
47.6%
101
52.4%
OT1 - 2:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
31.9%
101
68.1%
OT1 - 2:33HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot101
36.5%
101
63.5%
OT1 - 2:59SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)101
46.5%
101
53.5%
OT1 - 3:12SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)101
32.4%
101
67.6%
OT1 - 3:13SASMISS Mills 15' Jump Shot101
42.2%
101
57.8%
OT1 - 3:25SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
32.3%
101
67.7%
OT1 - 3:27SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
42.3%
101
57.7%
OT1 - 3:45SASSPURS Rebound101
34.2%
101
65.8%
OT1 - 3:47SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot101
40.7%
101
59.3%
OT1 - 4:01SASSPURS Rebound101
34.2%
101
65.8%
OT1 - 4:01HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
37.0%
101
63.0%
OT1 - 4:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)101
43.9%
101
56.1%
OT1 - 4:21SASMISS Simmons 4' Floating Jump Shot101
40.8%
101
59.2%
OT1 - 4:27HOUSimmons STEAL (2 STL)101
34.2%
101
65.8%
OT1 - 4:46HOURockets Rebound101
44.0%
101
56.0%
OT1 - 4:46SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2101
42.6%
101
57.4%
OT1 - 4:46SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2101
36.2%
101
63.8%
OT1 - 4:58SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Capela: Tip to Mills101
34.1%
101
65.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P6.T13)101
29.5%
101
70.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)101
54.1%
101
45.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)101
64.5%
99
35.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)100
62.5%
99
37.5%
Q4 - 1:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
49.9%
99
50.1%
Q4 - 1:02SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)99
32.7%
99
67.3%
Q4 - 1:02SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot99
44.4%
99
55.6%
Q4 - 1:03SASMISS Leonard 2' Finger Roll Layup99
44.3%
99
55.7%
Q4 - 1:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)99
32.4%
99
67.6%
Q4 - 1:19HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot99
36.9%
99
63.1%
Q4 - 1:37SASAldridge 2' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)99
46.5%
99
53.5%
Q4 - 1:53HOUBeverley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)99
57.3%
97
42.7%
Q4 - 2:17SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)99
70.0%
97
30.0%
Q4 - 2:33HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)99
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 2:59SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
67.2%
94
32.8%
Q4 - 2:59SASMISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 296
68.6%
93
31.4%
Q4 - 3:14HOUHarden Driving Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)96
63.6%
93
36.4%
Q4 - 3:25HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)94
57.7%
93
42.3%
Q4 - 3:26SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
53.1%
93
46.9%
Q4 - 3:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
43.0%
93
57.0%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot94
46.0%
93
54.0%
Q4 - 4:03SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (16 PTS)94
53.3%
93
46.7%
Q4 - 4:04SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)94
61.9%
91
38.1%
Q4 - 4:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
68.2%
91
31.8%
Q4 - 4:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)94
61.9%
91
38.1%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
68.3%
91
31.7%
Q4 - 4:24SASSPURS Rebound94
62.1%
91
37.9%
Q4 - 4:25HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.0%
91
35.0%
Q4 - 4:37HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)94
71.2%
91
28.8%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Aldridge 7' Turnaround Jump Shot94
68.6%
91
31.4%
Q4 - 4:57HOUWilliams Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)94
62.2%
91
37.8%
Q4 - 5:17HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
66.7%
91
33.3%
Q4 - 5:18SASMISS Leonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot94
64.2%
91
35.8%
Q4 - 5:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)94
58.5%
91
41.5%
Q4 - 5:34HOUMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
61.1%
91
38.9%
Q4 - 5:40HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
66.9%
91
33.1%
Q4 - 5:40SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
64.4%
91
35.6%
Q4 - 5:44SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)94
58.6%
91
41.4%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
64.4%
91
35.6%
Q4 - 5:57HOUWilliams Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)94
58.6%
91
41.4%
Q4 - 6:03HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
49.0%
91
51.0%
Q4 - 6:03SASMISS Aldridge 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup92
46.3%
91
53.7%
Q4 - 6:22SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
40.3%
91
59.7%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
43.0%
91
57.0%
Q4 - 6:30HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
49.0%
91
51.0%
Q4 - 6:31SASMISS Aldridge 9' Hook Shot92
46.4%
91
53.6%
Q4 - 6:50HOUHarden 7' Floating Jump Shot (29 PTS)92
40.4%
91
59.6%
Q4 - 7:01HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
34.1%
91
65.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot90
32.1%
91
67.9%
Q4 - 7:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 7:21HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 290
28.4%
91
71.6%
Q4 - 7:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
32.7%
91
67.3%
Q4 - 7:42SASGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)89
28.2%
91
71.8%
Q4 - 7:58SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)89
22.3%
91
77.7%
Q4 - 7:58SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
26.3%
91
73.7%
Q4 - 8:16SASSPURS Rebound89
23.4%
91
76.6%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot89
26.7%
91
73.3%
Q4 - 8:28SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
23.4%
91
76.6%
Q4 - 8:29HOUMISS Beverley 8' Floating Jump Shot89
24.8%
91
75.2%
Q4 - 8:49HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
28.3%
91
71.7%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
26.7%
91
73.3%
Q4 - 9:10HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 9:10HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
23.0%
91
77.0%
Q4 - 9:25HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 9:26SASMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot87
18.5%
91
81.5%
Q4 - 9:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
16.0%
91
84.0%
Q4 - 9:36HOUMISS Beverley 21' Pullup Jump Shot87
17.1%
91
82.9%
Q4 - 9:55SASAldridge 14' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)87
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 10:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 10:14HOUMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.4%
89
74.6%
Q4 - 10:25HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
28.8%
89
71.2%
Q4 - 10:27SASMISS Gasol 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot87
27.3%
89
72.7%
Q4 - 10:57HOUGordon 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)87
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 11:16HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
20.9%
89
79.1%
Q4 - 11:18SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot85
19.8%
89
80.2%
Q4 - 11:25SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
17.4%
89
82.6%
Q4 - 11:26HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
18.4%
89
81.6%
Q4 - 11:38SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)85
20.9%
89
79.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU85
28.9%
86
71.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound85
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Capela 69' 3PT Jump Bank Shot85
30.3%
86
69.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)85
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)85
43.4%
83
56.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASLeonard 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (22 PTS) (Green 3 AST)85
48.5%
83
51.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
53.7%
81
46.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
57.2%
81
42.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)85
53.7%
81
46.3%
Q3 - 1:02HOURockets Rebound82
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q3 - 1:02HOULee BLOCK (1 BLK)82
39.3%
81
60.7%
Q3 - 1:14SASLee Dunk (6 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)82
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q3 - 1:36SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)82
47.4%
79
52.6%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.9%
79
51.1%
Q3 - 1:59SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
52.4%
79
47.6%
Q3 - 1:59SASLeonard 1' Tip Layup Shot (20 PTS)82
52.4%
79
47.6%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Leonard 4' Floating Jump Shot82
58.4%
77
41.6%
Q3 - 2:16HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)82
55.1%
77
44.9%
Q3 - 2:23SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)79
46.3%
77
53.7%
Q3 - 2:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q3 - 2:27SASMISS Green 1' Driving Layup79
44.8%
77
55.2%
Q3 - 2:36SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
41.4%
77
58.6%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot79
42.9%
77
57.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)79
45.8%
77
54.2%
Q3 - 3:15HOUAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)79
50.0%
75
50.0%
Q3 - 3:23HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
54.7%
75
45.3%
Q3 - 3:24SASMISS Simmons 1' Driving Layup79
53.3%
75
46.7%
Q3 - 3:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
50.0%
75
50.0%
Q3 - 3:34HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
51.4%
75
48.6%
Q3 - 3:51SASMills 1' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)79
54.7%
75
45.3%
Q3 - 4:14HOUAnderson 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)79
57.3%
73
42.7%
Q3 - 4:14HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q3 - 4:15HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot77
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q3 - 4:16HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q3 - 4:17HOUMISS Gordon Driving Finger Roll Layup77
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q3 - 4:39SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T4)77
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q3 - 4:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
48.9%
73
51.1%
Q3 - 4:45HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
50.4%
73
49.6%
Q3 - 5:06SASAldridge 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)77
52.8%
73
47.2%
Q3 - 5:21HOUAnderson Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)77
56.5%
71
43.5%
Q3 - 5:37SASSimmons Dunk (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)75
52.8%
71
47.2%
Q3 - 5:43HOUMills STEAL (1 STL)75
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 5:53SASSimmons 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)75
61.0%
69
39.0%
Q3 - 6:12HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)75
62.9%
67
37.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)72
55.5%
67
44.5%
Q3 - 6:25HOULeonard STEAL (2 STL)72
51.3%
67
48.7%
Q3 - 6:36SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
55.6%
67
44.4%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 272
56.0%
66
44.0%
Q3 - 6:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 6:40HOUMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Bank Shot72
56.6%
66
43.4%
Q3 - 7:01SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)72
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 7:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
65.1%
63
34.9%
Q3 - 7:03SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
67.9%
63
32.1%
Q3 - 7:16HOUGordon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)72
65.2%
63
34.8%
Q3 - 7:24HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 7:26SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot70
60.9%
63
39.1%
Q3 - 7:35SASSPURS Rebound70
57.9%
63
42.1%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Leonard 9' Hook Shot70
60.9%
63
39.1%
Q3 - 7:56HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)70
57.9%
63
42.1%
Q3 - 8:24SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q3 - 8:31HOUCapela Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)67
57.2%
60
42.8%
Q3 - 8:34HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
54.1%
60
45.9%
Q3 - 8:34HOUMISS Gordon 7' Floating Jump Shot65
51.0%
60
49.0%
Q3 - 8:56SASLeonard Reverse Layup (14 PTS)65
54.1%
60
45.9%
Q3 - 9:03SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
55.9%
58
44.1%
Q3 - 9:05HOULeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)65
57.0%
58
43.0%
Q3 - 9:26SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)65
59.7%
58
40.3%
Q3 - 9:46HOUCapela 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)65
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 9:50HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q3 - 9:50HOUMISS Ariza 3' Finger Roll Layup63
49.9%
58
50.1%
Q3 - 9:57HOURockets Rebound63
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q3 - 9:57HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
49.9%
58
50.1%
Q3 - 10:04HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:06SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 10:21HOUGordon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)63
47.8%
58
52.2%
Q3 - 10:21HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:21HOUGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)63
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 10:29HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Leonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot63
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 10:39SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
47.8%
58
52.2%
Q3 - 10:39HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 10:43HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:45HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
49.0%
58
51.0%
Q3 - 10:55HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 11:12HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)63
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 11:20HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 11:25SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS Aldridge 3PT Jump Shot60
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 11:46SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q3 - 11:48HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS60
40.5%
58
59.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound60
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 44' 3PT Jump Bank Shot60
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 260
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASLeonard 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)59
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASSPURS Rebound59
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASMISS Simmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup59
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUCapela 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)59
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0HOURockets Rebound57
36.3%
56
63.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
36.3%
56
63.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASMISS Simmons 19' Pullup Jump Shot57
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q2 - 1:03SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q2 - 1:04SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup57
35.5%
56
64.5%
Q2 - 1:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q2 - 1:12HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot57
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q2 - 1:33SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
35.9%
56
64.1%
Q2 - 1:33SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
36.4%
55
63.6%
Q2 - 1:47HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
40.5%
54
59.5%
Q2 - 1:47HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
40.0%
54
60.0%
Q2 - 2:02SASGinobili Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)55
36.3%
54
63.7%
Q2 - 2:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q2 - 2:11HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot55
40.2%
52
59.8%
Q2 - 2:29SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)55
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q2 - 2:43HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)55
39.5%
52
60.5%
Q2 - 2:43HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)54
39.1%
52
60.9%
Q2 - 2:46HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Aldridge 2' Putback Layup53
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 2:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot53
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 3:06HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)53
33.0%
52
67.0%
Q2 - 3:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
28.3%
52
71.7%
Q2 - 3:19SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 150
28.0%
52
72.0%
Q2 - 3:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q2 - 3:19SASMISS Green 5' Floating Jump Shot50
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q2 - 3:31HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)50
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q2 - 3:57SASAldridge 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q2 - 4:11HOUAnderson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)48
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 4:15HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 4:17HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot46
26.4%
48
73.6%
Q2 - 4:36SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 4:36SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 246
28.4%
47
71.6%
Q2 - 4:39SASSPURS Rebound46
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q2 - 4:40SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup46
29.6%
47
70.4%
Q2 - 4:54HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)46
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q2 - 5:07SASLee 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)44
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 5:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Aldridge 10' Turnaround Hook Shot44
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 5:23HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)44
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 5:46SASLeonard 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 6:04HOUHarden 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)44
32.3%
43
67.7%
Q2 - 6:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 6:12SASMISS Lee Layup42
29.6%
43
70.4%
Q2 - 6:28HOUGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q2 - 6:51SASLee 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)42
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 7:14HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
32.4%
41
67.6%
Q2 - 7:18HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 7:20SASMISS Leonard 1' Driving Reverse Layup39
27.5%
41
72.5%
Q2 - 7:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 7:42HOULeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)39
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 8:02SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
28.0%
41
72.0%
Q2 - 8:16HOUGordon 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 8:30HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 8:30SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 8:42HOUWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 9:00SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)35
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 9:23HOUCapela 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)35
29.8%
35
70.2%
Q2 - 9:33HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 9:33SASMISS Leonard Dunk33
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 9:38HOUSimmons STEAL (1 STL)33
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 9:45HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 9:46SASMISS Simmons 1' Finger Roll Layup33
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 10:03HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 10:03HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 10:13HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 10:16SASMISS Gasol 18' Jump Bank Shot31
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 10:33HOUAnderson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)31
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 10:52SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)29
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 11:14SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 11:15HOUMISS Capela 6' Hook Shot29
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 11:34HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMISS Leonard 2' Driving Reverse Layup29
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P2.T2)29
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)29
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 229
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 229
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0HOURockets Rebound29
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Williams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup29
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup29
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q1 - 1:16HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)29
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q1 - 1:24HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q1 - 1:25SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 127
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q1 - 1:32SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q1 - 1:32HOUMISS Ariza 2' Layup27
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q1 - 1:50SASSimmons 4' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)27
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q1 - 2:09HOUWilliams 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)27
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 2:24HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q1 - 2:25SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot25
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 2:50HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)25
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 3:08SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 3:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 3:22HOUMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 222
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 3:22HOUMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 222
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 3:34HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q1 - 3:35SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 3:51HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)22
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 4:13HOURockets Rebound19
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 4:15SASMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q1 - 4:35HOUHarden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 4:54HOURockets Rebound16
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q1 - 4:54HOUMISS Williams 18' Pullup Jump Shot16
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 5:17SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 5:17SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 5:20HOULeonard STEAL (1 STL)16
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 5:29SASSimmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)16
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 5:50HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)16
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 5:56HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 5:58SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 6:05SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 6:05HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 6:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 6:15SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 6:37HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 6:37HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 6:51SASMills 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)11
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q1 - 7:03SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 7:03HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 7:15SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 7:15SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 7:29SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 7:30HOUMISS Gordon 12' Pullup Jump Shot11
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 7:38HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 7:39SASMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot11
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 7:56HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)11
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 8:17SASLeonard 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)9
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 8:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 8:25HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot9
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 8:31HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS Harden 8' Floating Jump Shot9
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 8:48SASGasol 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 9:07HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)9
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 9:12SASAldridge 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)6
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 9:38HOUHarden 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)6
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 9:54SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)3
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 9:57SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 9:58SASMISS Aldridge 16' Pullup Jump Shot3
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 10:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Aldridge 17' Pullup Jump Shot3
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 10:21SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:21HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot3
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:37SASGasol Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)3
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 10:53SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.1%
3
71.9%
Q1 - 10:56HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 11:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Aldridge 20' Pullup Jump Shot3
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 11:19HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)3
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 11:40SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)0
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Capela: Tip to Mills0
28.2%
0
71.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 54.0%
SAS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
27
67%
SAS
23
41
56%
Midrange
HOU
4
11
36%
SAS
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
16
24.0
48
33%
50%
SAS
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
Free Throws
HOU
15
21
71%
SAS
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3361%16.5 / 27
P. Beverley2091%10.0 / 11
R. Anderson1973%9.5 / 13
E. Gordon1137%5.5 / 15
T. Ariza945%4.5 / 10
C. Capela950%4.5 / 9
L. Williams630%3.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2248%11.0 / 23
P. Mills2059%10.0 / 17
L. Aldridge1838%9.0 / 24
D. Green1667%8.0 / 12
J. Simmons1240%6.0 / 15
M. Ginobili1250%6.0 / 12
D. Lee675%3.0 / 4
P. Gasol440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
82
+16
-15
98
SAS
90
+24
-7
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 54.0%
SAS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
114.0
HOU 110.3
SAS 113.4 +3.1
Pace
96.2
92.7
HOU 89.8 +3.9
SAS 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.2
HOU 16.0 +0.7
SAS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.2%
HOU 53.5% +7.4%
SAS 46.1%
TO %
13.5%
12.7%
HOU 14.4%
SAS 6.6% +7.8%
ORB %
22.7%
29.2%
HOU 20.9%
SAS 32.1% +11.2%
FTrt
30.4
27.7
HOU 24.4 +2.1
SAS 22.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.4%
53.3%
HOU 55.3%
SAS 57.1% +1.8%
STL %
8.0%
8.3%
HOU 4.1%
SAS 7.2% +3.1%
BLK %
7.4%
9.5%
HOU 7.1%
SAS 13.2% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.9%
HOU 54.0% +6.6%
SAS 47.4%
Rim FG%
57.1%
60.8%
HOU 66.7% +10.6%
SAS 56.1%
Mid FG%
41.2%
41.0%
HOU 36.4% +8.8%
SAS 27.6%
3P %
33.3%
35.0%
HOU 33.3%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
78.9%
77.3%
HOU 71.4% +6.2%
SAS 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
34.8%
HOU 31.4%
SAS 39.8% +8.4%
Mid Att. %
15.8%
37.0%
HOU 12.8% +15.4%
SAS 28.2%
3P Att. %
45.2%
28.2%
HOU 55.8% +23.8%
SAS 32.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points107110
Rebounds4752
Assists2124
Steals47
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8642-103
At-the-Rim FG18-2723-41
Midrange FG4-118-29
2-Point FG22-3831-70
3-Point FG16-4811-33
Free Throws15-2115-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'3" 215 · 28
43.6
11
37%
6
3
0
0
2
2
1
5
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
1-6
17%
G · 6'5" 220 · 28
43.4
33
61%
10
10
1
1
9
4
1
9
7-8
88%
7-9
78%
4-15
27%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
41.7
20
91%
5
1
0
0
2
5
2
3
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
F · 6'8" 215 · 32
40.4
9
45%
8
1
1
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
C · 6'10" 256 · 23
34.0
9
50%
11
1
1
3
0
4
3
8
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
36.0
19
73%
6
1
0
0
1
5
2
4
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
G · 6'1" 175 · 31
25.9
6
30%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 21
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23
· 6'2" 175 · 33
F · 6'7" 218 · 22
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
#42 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'3" 170 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
107
54%
47
21
4
5
15
0
9
38
15-21
71%
22-38
58%
16-48
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.