FinalWin Prob.pScore
240%105
103
460%108
92
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.39688.2
HOU logo HOU
95.896105.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU103
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUJump Ball Beverley vs. Mills: Tip to Ariza103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUMISS Capela 2' Alley Oop Layup103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Green 3 AST)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T15)100
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)100
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:04SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)100
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:10HOUMISS Beverley 2' Driving Layup99
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 1:17SASGasol Foul Turnover (P4.T20)99
98.9%
90
1.1%
Q4 - 1:29HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (43 PTS)99
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 1:35SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)99
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 1:35SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 1:42HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (40 PTS)97
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 1:50HOUROCKETS Rebound97
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 2:04SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Leonard 4' Driving Layup97
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 2:19HOUHarden 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Capela 3 AST)97
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 2:26SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P3.T19)97
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28HOUMISS Gordon 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)97
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:38SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:38SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)95
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:52SASSpurs Rebound94
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:52HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot94
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 3:14SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)94
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:36HOUCapela 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)91
96.2%
82
3.8%
Q4 - 3:58SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 7 AST)91
97.4%
80
2.6%
Q4 - 4:14HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (35 PTS)88
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 4:24HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)88
96.5%
78
3.5%
Q4 - 4:25SASMISS Aldridge 9' Turnaround Hook Shot88
96.9%
78
3.1%
Q4 - 4:36HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)88
97.6%
78
2.4%
Q4 - 4:36HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 4:43SASGordon STEAL (2 STL)88
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 4:59SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 5:00HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 5:11SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)88
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q4 - 5:26HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)85
94.7%
76
5.3%
Q4 - 5:26HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)85
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q4 - 5:37SASAldridge 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)85
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 5:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
94.8%
74
5.2%
Q4 - 5:53HOUMISS Gordon 1' Driving Layup83
94.2%
74
5.8%
Q4 - 6:07SASAldridge 9' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)83
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q4 - 6:27HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)81
87.9%
74
12.1%
Q4 - 6:27HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)81
88.3%
73
11.7%
Q4 - 6:30HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q4 - 6:32HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot81
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 6:45SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)81
90.4%
72
9.6%
Q4 - 6:59SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
84.3%
72
15.7%
Q4 - 7:00SASMISS Aldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
80.8%
72
19.2%
Q4 - 7:17HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
81.6%
72
18.4%
Q4 - 7:17HOUROCKETS Rebound78
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q4 - 7:17HOUMISS Beverley 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot78
80.2%
72
19.8%
Q4 - 7:29SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)78
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q4 - 7:41SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
71.3%
72
28.7%
Q4 - 7:41SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 276
70.7%
72
29.3%
Q4 - 7:50HOUAriza Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)76
72.0%
72
28.0%
Q4 - 8:12SASSimmons 13' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
74.7%
70
25.3%
Q4 - 8:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
69.5%
70
30.5%
Q4 - 8:34HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
67.8%
70
32.2%
Q4 - 8:48HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)74
63.9%
70
36.1%
Q4 - 8:49SASMISS Leonard 14' Pullup Jump Shot74
65.7%
70
34.3%
Q4 - 9:02HOUGordon Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T13)74
67.9%
70
32.1%
Q4 - 9:10HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
62.1%
70
37.9%
Q4 - 9:12SASCapela BLOCK (5 BLK)74
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q4 - 9:38HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)74
68.0%
70
32.0%
Q4 - 9:49HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
72.9%
68
27.1%
Q4 - 9:49SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q4 - 10:08SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
75.8%
68
24.2%
Q4 - 10:09HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot74
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q4 - 10:21HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q4 - 10:22SASMISS Gasol 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot74
72.6%
68
27.4%
Q4 - 10:41SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
75.9%
68
24.1%
Q4 - 10:42HOUMISS Capela 17' Jump Shot74
74.5%
68
25.5%
Q4 - 11:12SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
69.8%
68
30.2%
Q4 - 11:12SASAldridge 1' Layup (19 PTS)74
69.8%
68
30.2%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup72
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q4 - 11:33HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (29 PTS)72
65.2%
68
34.8%
Q4 - 11:47HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q4 - 11:49SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
71.3%
66
28.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU72
74.5%
66
25.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSimmons 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUGordon 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)69
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
63.7%
64
36.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUBeverley 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
68.4%
64
31.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
72.7%
62
27.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 268
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
72.7%
62
27.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
73.4%
61
26.6%
Q3 - 1:02SASGordon STEAL (1 STL)68
74.7%
60
25.3%
Q3 - 1:19HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)68
78.4%
60
21.6%
Q3 - 1:28SASSimmons Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)68
84.2%
57
15.8%
Q3 - 1:49SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
81.6%
57
18.4%
Q3 - 1:50HOUMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
80.7%
57
19.3%
Q3 - 2:03HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
76.2%
57
23.8%
Q3 - 2:04SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot66
77.3%
57
22.7%
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 2:20HOUMISS Williams 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
78.8%
57
21.2%
Q3 - 2:39SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)66
76.4%
57
23.6%
Q3 - 2:47HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 3:02SASMills Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)66
75.3%
57
24.7%
Q3 - 3:02SASMills Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)65
74.7%
57
25.3%
Q3 - 3:02SASMills Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)64
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
68.3%
57
31.7%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMISS Gordon 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot63
67.1%
57
32.9%
Q3 - 3:40SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 3:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)60
55.8%
57
44.2%
Q3 - 4:00SASAldridge 9' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Leonard 6 AST)60
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 4:19HOUCapela 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)58
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q3 - 4:33SASGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T15)58
50.2%
55
49.8%
Q3 - 4:38SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
55.2%
55
44.8%
Q3 - 4:39HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup58
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 4:48HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
50.3%
55
49.7%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 4:54HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
50.3%
55
49.7%
Q3 - 4:54HOUMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot58
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 5:15SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
49.8%
55
50.2%
Q3 - 5:30HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS)56
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q3 - 5:42SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)56
49.8%
53
50.2%
Q3 - 5:42SASSpurs Rebound56
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 5:42SASCapela BLOCK (4 BLK)56
51.2%
53
48.8%
Q3 - 5:50SASSpurs Rebound56
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 5:50SASBeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)56
51.2%
53
48.8%
Q3 - 5:51SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
51.2%
53
48.8%
Q3 - 6:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
53.4%
53
46.6%
Q3 - 6:09HOUHarden 2' Tip Layup Shot (25 PTS)56
53.4%
53
46.6%
Q3 - 6:10HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
60.0%
51
40.0%
Q3 - 6:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
57.1%
51
42.9%
Q3 - 6:21SASMISS Aldridge 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot56
58.4%
51
41.6%
Q3 - 6:40SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 6:40HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 156
60.8%
51
39.2%
Q3 - 7:01HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
67.0%
48
33.0%
Q3 - 7:02HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
69.6%
48
30.4%
Q3 - 7:14SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
67.0%
48
33.0%
Q3 - 7:14SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 255
66.3%
48
33.7%
Q3 - 7:33HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)55
67.5%
48
32.5%
Q3 - 7:48SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)55
73.5%
45
26.5%
Q3 - 8:11HOUHarden Driving Dunk (17 PTS)52
66.9%
45
33.1%
Q3 - 8:20SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)52
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q3 - 8:39SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q3 - 8:39HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
72.2%
43
27.8%
Q3 - 8:58SASLeonard Driving Dunk (17 PTS)52
69.7%
43
30.3%
Q3 - 9:16HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)50
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q3 - 9:24SASAnderson STEAL (1 STL)50
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q3 - 9:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q3 - 9:25SASMISS Murray 3' Driving Layup50
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q3 - 9:41SASSpurs Rebound50
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q3 - 9:41HOUMISS Ariza 6' Jump Shot50
70.8%
41
29.2%
Q3 - 10:02SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
67.3%
41
32.7%
Q3 - 10:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q3 - 10:12HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup47
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q3 - 10:17SASHarden STEAL (3 STL)47
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q3 - 10:26SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q3 - 10:27HOUMISS Beverley 7' Floating Jump Shot47
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q3 - 10:50SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q3 - 11:04SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
53.6%
41
46.4%
Q3 - 11:05HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot45
52.5%
41
47.5%
Q3 - 11:09HOUROCKETS Rebound45
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q3 - 11:10HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup45
52.5%
41
47.5%
Q3 - 11:31SASAldridge 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)45
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q3 - 11:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
46.8%
41
53.2%
Q3 - 11:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound43
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 52' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
52.3%
39
47.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup43
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
50.2%
39
49.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
49.8%
39
50.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)41
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
43.6%
39
56.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup41
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
43.6%
39
56.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASLeonard 2' Layup (8 PTS)41
43.6%
39
56.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
39.4%
39
60.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASMISS Leonard 2' Tip Layup Shot39
37.9%
39
62.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASMISS Leonard 8' Pullup Jump Shot39
37.9%
39
62.1%
Q2 - 1:02HOUHarden 3' Running Layup (13 PTS)39
39.1%
39
60.9%
Q2 - 1:07SASHarden STEAL (2 STL)39
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 1:21SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Nene 3' Driving Layup39
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 1:34HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 1:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 1:50HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 2:09SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 2:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 2:17HOUMISS Beverley 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot37
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 2:40HOUROCKETS Rebound37
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 2:41SASMISS Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot37
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q2 - 3:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 3:02HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 3:09SASAldridge Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)37
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 3:26HOUAriza 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
34.1%
37
65.9%
Q2 - 3:37SASLeonard Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)35
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 3:50HOUAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)33
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 4:00SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)33
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 4:08HOUAriza Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)31
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 4:08SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)31
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 4:32HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)31
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 4:48SASAldridge 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)31
36.5%
31
63.5%
Q2 - 5:02HOUHarden 3' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS)29
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 5:07SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)29
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 5:18HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P3.T7)29
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 5:43HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 5:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 5:57HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.3%
29
61.7%
Q2 - 6:05HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 6:06HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 6:28SASGasol 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)29
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 6:56SASSpurs Rebound27
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 6:58HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot27
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q2 - 7:17SASLee 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)27
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 7:40HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)25
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 7:45HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 7:48HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 7:54SASBeverley STEAL (3 STL)25
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 8:05HOUCapela Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)25
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q2 - 8:22SASMurray 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)25
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q2 - 8:28HOUHarden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 8:40SASBeverley STEAL (2 STL)23
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q2 - 8:59SASSpurs Rebound23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 8:59HOUMISS Williams 3' Driving Reverse Layup23
31.1%
26
68.9%
Q2 - 9:07HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 9:08SASMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:25SASSpurs Rebound23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:27SASCapela BLOCK (3 BLK)23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:37SASSpurs Rebound23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Simmons 1' Layup23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:38SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Simmons 1' Tip Layup Shot23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASMISS Gasol 1' Layup23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:42SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:44SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Simmons 1' Tip Layup Shot23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 9:46SASMISS Leonard 4' Floating Jump Shot23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 10:03HOUWilliams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)23
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q2 - 10:13SASMills 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)23
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 10:35HOUCapela 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)21
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 10:52SASGasol 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Green 2 AST)21
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 11:07SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q2 - 11:08HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q2 - 11:19SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)19
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q2 - 11:40HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)19
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q2 - 11:46HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU19
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot19
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Simmons 16' Pullup Jump Shot19
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 219
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q1 - 1:00HOUMISS Gordon 11' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot19
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASSimmons Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)19
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q1 - 1:32HOUMISS Nene 10' Jump Shot19
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 1:45SASAldridge 3' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)19
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:54SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 1:55HOUMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot17
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 2:03SASSimmons Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 2:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 2:07HOUMISS Williams 21' Step Back Jump Shot17
31.2%
20
68.8%
Q1 - 2:23SASLee 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 2:40HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)15
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 2:50HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
31.9%
17
68.1%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 3:10HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)15
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 3:20HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 3:21SASMISS Leonard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot15
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 3:36SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 3:36HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 3:51HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 3:52SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 4:01SASSpurs Rebound15
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 4:01SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)15
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 4:10SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 4:11HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 4:21HOUROCKETS Rebound15
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 4:21SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 4:32HOUGordon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)15
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 4:43SASMills 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
41.7%
12
58.3%
Q1 - 4:53SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 4:54HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 5:05HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 5:05SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot13
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 5:16HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 5:23HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 5:24SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 5:39HOUHarden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)13
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 5:48HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Aldridge 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 6:11HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 6:11HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:24HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 6:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 6:33HOUMISS Beverley 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot13
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 6:55SASAldridge 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)13
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 7:11HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 7:11HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 7:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 7:19SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot11
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 7:22SASSpurs Rebound11
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 7:22SASCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)11
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 7:28SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 7:28HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
47.5%
5
52.5%
Q1 - 7:42SASGreen Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)11
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 7:46HOUAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 7:50HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 7:51HOUMISS Harden 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot9
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 8:10SASLeonard 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 8:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 8:17HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup7
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 8:28SASGasol 2' Layup (5 PTS)7
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 8:30SASCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)5
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 8:49HOUHarden 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)5
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 8:56HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 8:57HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 9:03HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 9:06HOUMISS Beverley 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot5
39.9%
3
60.1%
Q1 - 9:29HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
38.4%
3
61.6%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 9:45SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.6%
3
59.4%
Q1 - 9:45HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
39.9%
3
60.1%
Q1 - 10:02SASGasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)5
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 10:13SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 10:14HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 10:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Murray 15' Pullup Jump Shot2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 10:47HOUBeverley Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 10:50SASBeverley STEAL (1 STL)2
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 10:58HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 11:01SASLeonard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:03HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup2
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:11HOUROCKETS Rebound2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:12HOUMISS Capela 4' Jump Shot2
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:29SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:39SASSpurs Rebound0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Gasol: Tip to Murray0
36.6%
0
63.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
32
56%
HOU
16
29
55%
Midrange
SAS
12
29
41%
HOU
4
20
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
HOU
12
18.0
39
31%
46%
Free Throws
SAS
16
20
80%
HOU
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2657%13.0 / 23
L. Aldridge2662%13.0 / 21
P. Mills1547%7.5 / 16
P. Gasol1260%6.0 / 10
D. Green1192%5.5 / 6
J. Simmons744%3.5 / 8
D. Lee4100%2.0 / 2
D. Murray220%1.0 / 5
M. Ginobili0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4365%21.5 / 33
T. Ariza1757%8.5 / 15
C. Capela1267%6.0 / 9
E. Gordon941%4.5 / 11
P. Beverley831%4.0 / 13
R. Anderson220%1.0 / 5
Nene18%0.5 / 6
L. Williams0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+20
-20
96
HOU
82
+17
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.0
111.0
SAS 107.3
HOU 95.8 +11.5
Pace
92.7
96.2
SAS 88.2
HOU 105.3 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.5
SAS 16.3
HOU 13.7 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.4%
SAS 50.6% +7.4%
HOU 43.2%
TO %
12.7%
13.5%
SAS 18.1%
HOU 13.5% +4.6%
ORB %
29.2%
22.7%
SAS 32.4% +4.9%
HOU 27.5%
FTrt
27.7
30.4
SAS 23.3 +2.8
HOU 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.3%
52.4%
SAS 59.0% +5.9%
HOU 53.1%
STL %
8.3%
8.0%
SAS 7.3%
HOU 12.5% +5.2%
BLK %
9.5%
7.4%
SAS 16.3% +4.8%
HOU 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.4%
SAS 53.6% +7.6%
HOU 46.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.1%
SAS 56.3% +1.1%
HOU 55.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.2%
SAS 41.4% +21.4%
HOU 20.0%
3P %
35.0%
33.3%
SAS 36.0% +5.2%
HOU 30.8%
FT %
77.3%
78.9%
SAS 80.0%
HOU 88.9% +8.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.9%
SAS 37.2% +4.3%
HOU 33.0%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
15.8%
SAS 33.7%
HOU 22.7% +11.0%
3P Att. %
28.2%
45.2%
SAS 29.1%
HOU 44.3% +15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points10392
Rebounds4939
Assists2317
Steals712
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (8)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)25 (3)
Field Goals39-8632-88
At-the-Rim FG18-3216-29
Midrange FG12-294-20
2-Point FG30-6120-49
3-Point FG9-2512-39
Free Throws16-2016-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
41.1
26
57%
10
7
1
0
3
4
3
7
6-8
75%
7-17
41%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 260 · 32
38.2
26
62%
6
2
0
4
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
12-18
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
35.3
11
92%
4
3
0
2
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 250 · 37
31.2
12
60%
9
4
0
2
4
3
3
6
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 180 · 21
14.3
2
20%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
30.2
15
47%
5
2
2
0
3
2
0
5
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
2-10
20%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
16.5
4
100%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 40
16.1
0
0%
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 195 · 28
14.9
7
44%
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
C · 7'0" 245 · 28
#30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
49
23
7
8
20
0
12
37
16-20
80%
30-61
49%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.