Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Grizzlies	23%	92	103
	3	Spurs	77%	103	116

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	128.8	80	83.7
SAS	141.5	82	78.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-9

SAS

+16

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.0%

SAS

1.27 63.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		103 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:16.0	SAS	Dedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	103 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0	SAS	MISS Bertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot	103 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0	MEM	Harrison 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)	103 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0	MEM	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	101 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0	SAS	MISS Murray 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup	101 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 1:07	MEM	Martin 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baldwin IV 1 AST)	101 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 1:18	MEM	Baldwin IV REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	99 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 1:19	SAS	MISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 2	99 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 1:19	SAS	Murray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	99 0.1%	116 99.9%
Q4 - 1:25	MEM	Baldwin IV Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	99 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 1:25	MEM	Baldwin IV Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	98 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 1:34	SAS	Dedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	97 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 1:34	SAS	MISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 2	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:34	SAS	Dedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:34	SAS	MISS Bertans 3PT Jump Shot	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:49	SAS	Dedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:50	MEM	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:50	MEM	MISS Martin 1' Tip Layup Shot	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:54	MEM	MISS Harrison 1' Layup	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 2:13	SAS	Lee Dunk (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)	97 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 2:32	SAS	Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	97 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	MEM	MISS Ennis III 3PT Jump Shot	97 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:47	SAS	Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	97 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 3:01	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	97 0.2%	109 99.8%
Q4 - 3:02	SAS	MISS Leonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot	97 0.3%	109 99.7%
Q4 - 3:24	SAS	Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	97 0.2%	109 99.8%
Q4 - 3:25	MEM	MISS Gasol 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	97 0.2%	109 99.8%
Q4 - 3:49	SAS	Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	97 0.6%	109 99.4%
Q4 - 4:01	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	97 1.2%	106 98.8%
Q4 - 4:02	MEM	MISS Conley 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	97 1.3%	106 98.7%
Q4 - 4:10	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	97 1.7%	106 98.3%
Q4 - 4:10	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	97 1.8%	105 98.2%
Q4 - 4:13	MEM	Lee STEAL (1 STL)	97 2.4%	104 97.6%
Q4 - 4:35	SAS	Leonard Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (26 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)	97 3.5%	104 96.5%
Q4 - 4:51	MEM	Conley 9' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)	97 4.9%	102 95.1%
Q4 - 4:58	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	95 3.5%	102 96.5%
Q4 - 4:59	MEM	MISS Ennis III 24' 3PT Jump Shot	95 2.7%	102 97.3%
Q4 - 5:20	SAS	Leonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)	95 4.4%	102 95.6%
Q4 - 5:39	MEM	Harrison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	95 5.9%	100 94.1%
Q4 - 5:57	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	92 3.1%	100 96.9%
Q4 - 5:57	SAS	Aldridge Tip Dunk Shot (12 PTS)	92 3.1%	100 96.9%
Q4 - 6:01	SAS	MISS Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot	92 6.3%	98 93.7%
Q4 - 6:21	MEM	Gasol 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)	92 4.9%	98 95.1%
Q4 - 6:42	SAS	Mills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	90 3.8%	98 96.2%
Q4 - 7:02	MEM	Green 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)	90 7.4%	95 92.6%
Q4 - 7:25	SAS	Mills 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	88 5.8%	95 94.2%
Q4 - 7:45	MEM	Green 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ennis III 2 AST)	88 9.4%	92 90.6%
Q4 - 8:08	SAS	Leonard 11' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)	85 6.4%	92 93.6%
Q4 - 8:34	MEM	Gasol 11' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)	85 8.1%	90 91.9%
Q4 - 8:59	SAS	Lee Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	83 6.4%	90 93.6%
Q4 - 9:03	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	83 10.6%	87 89.4%
Q4 - 9:04	SAS	MISS Green 15' Jump Shot	83 12.4%	87 87.6%
Q4 - 9:29	MEM	Carter 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)	83 10.6%	87 89.4%
Q4 - 9:47	SAS	SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	81 8.6%	87 91.4%
Q4 - 9:47	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	81 6.8%	87 93.2%
Q4 - 9:48	SAS	MISS Leonard 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot	81 8.0%	87 92.0%
Q4 - 10:11	MEM	Conley 1' Driving Reverse Layup (24 PTS)	81 7.2%	87 92.8%
Q4 - 10:20	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	79 5.9%	87 94.1%
Q4 - 10:21	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	79 4.7%	87 95.3%
Q4 - 10:22	SAS	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	79 5.5%	87 94.5%
Q4 - 10:37	SAS	SPURS Rebound	79 4.7%	87 95.3%
Q4 - 10:37	SAS	MISS Simmons 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	79 5.5%	87 94.5%
Q4 - 11:05	MEM	Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)	79 5.2%	87 94.8%
Q4 - 11:17	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	76 3.5%	87 96.5%
Q4 - 11:17	MEM	Ginobili BLOCK (1 BLK)	76 3.0%	87 97.0%
Q4 - 11:30	MEM	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	76 3.4%	87 96.6%
Q4 - 11:31	SAS	MISS Aldridge 16' Pullup Jump Shot	76 3.2%	87 96.8%
Q4 - 11:43	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	76 2.8%	87 97.2%
Q4 - 11:44	MEM	MISS Green 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup	76 2.9%	87 97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		76 3.4%	87 96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	76 3.4%	87 96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Mills 15' Running Jump Shot	76 3.2%	87 96.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0	MEM	Conley 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)	76 3.1%	87 96.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0	SAS	Bertans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	73 2.1%	87 97.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0	MEM	Conley Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)	73 3.1%	84 96.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0	MEM	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 2.5%	84 97.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	SAS	MISS Leonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot	71 2.4%	84 97.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0	MEM	Conley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)	71 2.1%	84 97.9%
Q3 - 1:07	MEM	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	69 2.0%	84 98.0%
Q3 - 1:07	SAS	MISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot	69 1.9%	84 98.1%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	Green 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)	69 1.6%	84 98.4%
Q3 - 1:48	SAS	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	66 1.1%	84 98.9%
Q3 - 1:48	SAS	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	66 1.1%	83 98.9%
Q3 - 1:48	SAS	SPURS Rebound	66 1.1%	83 98.9%
Q3 - 1:48	SAS	MISS Ginobili 6' Pullup Bank Shot	66 1.2%	83 98.8%
Q3 - 2:05	SAS	Bertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	66 1.2%	83 98.8%
Q3 - 2:06	MEM	MISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	66 1.3%	83 98.7%
Q3 - 2:20	SAS	Ginobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)	66 1.5%	83 98.5%
Q3 - 2:35	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	66 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 2:54	SAS	Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	63 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q3 - 3:08	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	63 2.0%	78 98.0%
Q3 - 3:08	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	62 1.9%	78 98.1%
Q3 - 3:21	SAS	Mills Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	61 1.7%	78 98.3%
Q3 - 3:28	SAS	Bertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	61 2.4%	75 97.6%
Q3 - 3:30	SAS	MISS Leonard 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	61 2.7%	75 97.3%
Q3 - 3:53	MEM	Ginobili STEAL (3 STL)	61 2.3%	75 97.7%
Q3 - 4:07	SAS	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	61 3.0%	75 97.0%
Q3 - 4:29	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	61 4.1%	72 95.9%
Q3 - 4:29	MEM	MISS Harrison 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	61 4.3%	72 95.7%
Q3 - 4:42	MEM	Ennis III REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 5.0%	72 95.0%
Q3 - 4:43	SAS	MISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 4.7%	72 95.3%
Q3 - 4:53	MEM	Ginobili STEAL (2 STL)	61 4.1%	72 95.9%
Q3 - 5:28	SAS	Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	61 5.2%	72 94.8%
Q3 - 5:52	MEM	Harrison 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	61 7.0%	69 93.0%
Q3 - 6:12	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)	59 6.2%	69 93.8%
Q3 - 6:28	MEM	Gasol 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)	59 5.3%	69 94.7%
Q3 - 6:44	SAS	Aldridge 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)	57 4.6%	69 95.4%
Q3 - 7:06	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	57 5.5%	67 94.5%
Q3 - 7:06	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	56 5.3%	67 94.7%
Q3 - 7:25	SAS	Leonard 6' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)	55 4.8%	67 95.2%
Q3 - 7:37	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	55 5.5%	65 94.5%
Q3 - 7:37	MEM	MISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2	54 5.3%	65 94.7%
Q3 - 7:38	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	54 5.6%	65 94.4%
Q3 - 7:39	MEM	MISS Ennis III 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 5.0%	65 95.0%
Q3 - 7:55	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	54 5.6%	65 94.4%
Q3 - 7:57	SAS	MISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 5.3%	65 94.7%
Q3 - 8:11	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	54 4.9%	65 95.1%
Q3 - 8:12	MEM	MISS Conley 9' Floating Jump Shot	54 5.1%	65 94.9%
Q3 - 8:36	SAS	Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)	54 5.8%	65 94.2%
Q3 - 8:46	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	54 6.5%	63 93.5%
Q3 - 8:47	MEM	MISS Gasol 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	54 6.8%	63 93.2%
Q3 - 9:04	SAS	Lee 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)	54 7.6%	63 92.4%
Q3 - 9:11	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 8.7%	61 91.3%
Q3 - 9:12	MEM	MISS Conley 1' Running Finger Roll Layup	54 9.0%	61 91.0%
Q3 - 9:19	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	54 10.0%	61 90.0%
Q3 - 9:20	SAS	MISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot	54 9.5%	61 90.5%
Q3 - 9:23	SAS	SPURS Rebound	54 8.7%	61 91.3%
Q3 - 9:24	SAS	MISS Parker 2' Driving Layup	54 9.5%	61 90.5%
Q3 - 9:43	MEM	Conley 13' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ennis III 1 AST)	54 8.7%	61 91.3%
Q3 - 9:59	SAS	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	52 7.6%	61 92.4%
Q3 - 9:59	SAS	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	52 7.8%	60 92.2%
Q3 - 10:14	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	52 8.7%	59 91.3%
Q3 - 10:15	MEM	MISS Conley 16' Pullup Jump Shot	52 9.0%	59 91.0%
Q3 - 10:29	MEM	Ennis III REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	52 10.0%	59 90.0%
Q3 - 10:30	SAS	MISS Leonard 7' Hook Shot	52 9.5%	59 90.5%
Q3 - 10:43	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	52 8.7%	59 91.3%
Q3 - 10:59	SAS	Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)	49 6.8%	59 93.2%
Q3 - 11:08	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	49 7.6%	57 92.4%
Q3 - 11:09	MEM	MISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot	49 7.9%	57 92.1%
Q3 - 11:36	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)	49 8.7%	57 91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		49 9.8%	55 90.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MEM	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 11.1%	55 88.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0	SAS	MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot	49 10.8%	55 89.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MEM	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	49 10.2%	55 89.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MEM	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	48 10.0%	55 90.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0	SAS	Leonard 8' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)	47 8.7%	55 91.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0	MEM	Ginobili STEAL (1 STL)	47 10.2%	53 89.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0	MEM	Ennis III REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	47 11.1%	53 88.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0	MEM	Aldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)	47 10.4%	53 89.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	47 11.1%	53 88.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0	MEM	MISS Randolph Tip Layup Shot	47 10.4%	53 89.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	47 11.1%	53 88.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0	MEM	MISS Conley 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup	47 10.4%	53 89.6%
Q2 - 1:04	SAS	Aldridge Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	47 11.2%	53 88.8%
Q2 - 1:23	MEM	Gasol 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)	47 13.2%	51 86.8%
Q2 - 1:29	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 11.2%	51 88.8%
Q2 - 1:30	SAS	MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 11.0%	51 89.0%
Q2 - 1:48	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 10.5%	51 89.5%
Q2 - 1:49	MEM	MISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 10.7%	51 89.3%
Q2 - 2:00	SAS	Mills Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)	45 11.2%	51 88.8%
Q2 - 2:16	MEM	Ennis III 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	45 13.0%	49 87.0%
Q2 - 2:39	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	42 10.3%	49 89.7%
Q2 - 2:39	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	42 10.5%	48 89.5%
Q2 - 2:55	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	42 11.7%	47 88.3%
Q2 - 2:57	MEM	MISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	42 12.0%	47 88.0%
Q2 - 3:16	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42 13.0%	47 87.0%
Q2 - 3:16	SAS	MISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot	42 12.5%	47 87.5%
Q2 - 3:29	MEM	Conley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	42 11.5%	47 88.5%
Q2 - 3:40	SAS	Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)	42 13.0%	47 87.0%
Q2 - 3:56	MEM	Randolph 1' Layup (8 PTS)	42 15.7%	44 84.3%
Q2 - 4:22	SAS	Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)	40 14.2%	44 85.8%
Q2 - 4:46	MEM	Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	40 17.2%	41 82.8%
Q2 - 5:09	SAS	Leonard 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	37 14.2%	41 85.8%
Q2 - 5:26	SAS	SPURS Rebound	37 17.0%	38 83.0%
Q2 - 5:26	SAS	MISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot	37 18.2%	38 81.8%
Q2 - 5:49	MEM	Randolph 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)	37 17.0%	38 83.0%
Q2 - 6:00	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 15.6%	38 84.4%
Q2 - 6:01	SAS	MISS Aldridge Dunk	35 15.2%	38 84.8%
Q2 - 6:16	SAS	SPURS Rebound	35 14.0%	38 86.0%
Q2 - 6:16	MEM	MISS Conley 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	35 14.5%	38 85.5%
Q2 - 6:32	SAS	Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)	35 15.7%	38 84.3%
Q2 - 6:52	MEM	Carter Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)	35 18.4%	35 81.6%
Q2 - 6:52	MEM	Carter Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)	34 18.1%	35 81.9%
Q2 - 6:52	MEM	Carter Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)	33 17.7%	35 82.3%
Q2 - 6:59	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 15.7%	35 84.3%
Q2 - 6:59	SAS	MISS Aldridge 6' Pullup Jump Shot	32 15.2%	35 84.8%
Q2 - 7:19	MEM	Ennis III Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	32 14.2%	35 85.8%
Q2 - 7:23	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)	29 11.9%	35 88.1%
Q2 - 7:32	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 10.8%	35 89.2%
Q2 - 7:32	MEM	MISS Ennis III 3PT Jump Shot	29 11.1%	35 88.9%
Q2 - 7:52	SAS	Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	29 11.9%	35 88.1%
Q2 - 8:01	SAS	SPURS Rebound	29 12.9%	33 87.1%
Q2 - 8:02	SAS	MISS Simmons 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot	29 13.8%	33 86.2%
Q2 - 8:17	MEM	Grizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)	29 13.0%	33 87.0%
Q2 - 8:46	SAS	Aldridge 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	29 14.3%	33 85.7%
Q2 - 9:10	MEM	Selden 10' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)	29 15.4%	31 84.6%
Q2 - 9:37	SAS	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	27 14.2%	31 85.8%
Q2 - 9:54	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 16.7%	28 83.3%
Q2 - 9:55	MEM	MISS Green 3PT Jump Shot	27 17.2%	28 82.8%
Q2 - 10:05	SAS	Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	27 18.5%	28 81.5%
Q2 - 10:23	MEM	Selden 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	27 16.8%	28 83.2%
Q2 - 10:34	MEM	Harrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 15.7%	28 84.3%
Q2 - 10:36	MEM	MISS Randolph 16' Step Back Bank Jump Shot	25 14.7%	28 85.3%
Q2 - 11:02	SAS	Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)	25 15.3%	28 84.7%
Q2 - 11:17	MEM	Randolph 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	25 18.0%	25 82.0%
Q2 - 11:38	SAS	Simmons 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	23 16.7%	25 83.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		23 18.0%	23 82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	23 18.0%	23 82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Bertans 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	23 19.1%	23 80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	Bertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 18.0%	23 82.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0	MEM	MISS Gasol 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	23 18.4%	23 81.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0	MEM	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 19.1%	23 80.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0	SAS	MISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	23 18.7%	23 81.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 18.0%	23 82.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0	SAS	MISS Bertans 3PT Jump Shot	23 18.7%	23 81.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	23 18.0%	23 82.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	22 17.8%	23 82.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0	MEM	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 16.3%	23 83.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAS	MISS Leonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot	21 16.0%	23 84.0%
Q1 - 1:14	MEM	Selden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	21 15.4%	23 84.6%
Q1 - 1:14	MEM	Selden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	20 15.0%	23 85.0%
Q1 - 1:37	SAS	Gasol 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)	19 13.9%	23 86.1%
Q1 - 1:56	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	19 15.4%	21 84.6%
Q1 - 2:11	SAS	Leonard 10' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)	16 12.9%	21 87.1%
Q1 - 2:16	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 14.1%	19 85.9%
Q1 - 2:19	MEM	MISS Conley 15' Pullup Jump Shot	16 14.4%	19 85.6%
Q1 - 2:24	SAS	Leonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	16 15.2%	19 84.8%
Q1 - 2:44	MEM	Gasol 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)	16 14.1%	19 85.9%
Q1 - 2:58	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	14 12.9%	19 87.1%
Q1 - 2:59	MEM	MISS Green 3PT Jump Shot	14 12.3%	19 87.7%
Q1 - 3:23	SAS	Ginobili 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)	14 13.0%	19 87.0%
Q1 - 3:30	SAS	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 14.0%	17 86.0%
Q1 - 3:31	MEM	MISS Gasol 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot	14 14.3%	17 85.7%
Q1 - 3:53	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	14 15.2%	17 84.8%
Q1 - 3:53	SAS	MISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2	14 15.3%	16 84.7%
Q1 - 4:00	SAS	Leonard Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 15.1%	16 84.9%
Q1 - 4:00	SAS	Leonard Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	14 15.3%	15 84.7%
Q1 - 4:00	MEM	Leonard STEAL (1 STL)	14 17.6%	14 82.4%
Q1 - 4:07	SAS	Ginobili 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	14 18.8%	14 81.2%
Q1 - 4:27	MEM	Carter Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)	14 21.3%	11 78.7%
Q1 - 4:40	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	14 23.2%	11 76.8%
Q1 - 4:45	SAS	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 26.1%	8 73.9%
Q1 - 4:45	MEM	MISS Harrison 26' 3PT Jump Shot	14 26.8%	8 73.2%
Q1 - 5:03	MEM	Harrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 26.9%	8 73.1%
Q1 - 5:04	SAS	MISS Parker 8' Pullup Jump Shot	14 26.4%	8 73.6%
Q1 - 5:17	MEM	Harrison 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14 25.2%	8 74.8%
Q1 - 5:30	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	12 23.8%	8 76.2%
Q1 - 5:30	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	12 24.2%	7 75.8%
Q1 - 5:54	MEM	Randolph 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)	12 25.3%	6 74.7%
Q1 - 6:05	MEM	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 23.2%	6 76.8%
Q1 - 6:06	SAS	MISS Aldridge 3PT Jump Shot	10 22.7%	6 77.3%
Q1 - 6:23	MEM	Aldridge STEAL (1 STL)	10 21.7%	6 78.3%
Q1 - 6:43	SAS	Lee Dunk (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)	10 23.2%	6 76.8%
Q1 - 7:05	MEM	Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)	10 23.7%	4 76.3%
Q1 - 7:18	SAS	Leonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	8 22.7%	4 77.3%
Q1 - 7:29	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 21.1%	4 78.9%
Q1 - 7:30	MEM	MISS Randolph 18' Pullup Jump Shot	8 21.6%	4 78.4%
Q1 - 7:50	MEM	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 22.7%	4 77.3%
Q1 - 7:50	SAS	MISS Lee 10' Jump Shot	8 22.2%	4 77.8%
Q1 - 8:10	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 20.9%	4 79.1%
Q1 - 8:12	MEM	MISS Ennis III 1' Reverse Layup	8 21.3%	4 78.7%
Q1 - 8:25	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 22.3%	4 77.7%
Q1 - 8:27	SAS	MISS Aldridge 14' Step Back Jump Shot	8 21.9%	4 78.1%
Q1 - 8:45	MEM	Conley 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)	8 20.9%	4 79.1%
Q1 - 8:53	MEM	MISS Conley Free Throw Technical	5 18.6%	4 81.4%
Q1 - 9:11	SAS	Lee 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)	5 18.5%	4 81.5%
Q1 - 9:15	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	5 19.4%	2 80.6%
Q1 - 9:17	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot	5 20.4%	2 79.6%
Q1 - 9:25	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 19.4%	2 80.6%
Q1 - 9:26	MEM	MISS Carter 12' Pullup Jump Shot	5 19.8%	2 80.2%
Q1 - 9:38	MEM	Ennis III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 20.9%	2 79.1%
Q1 - 9:39	MEM	MISS Randolph 22' Jump Shot	5 19.8%	2 80.2%
Q1 - 9:54	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 20.9%	2 79.1%
Q1 - 9:55	SAS	MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot	5 20.4%	2 79.6%
Q1 - 10:17	MEM	Ennis III Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)	5 19.3%	2 80.7%
Q1 - 10:35	MEM	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 18.3%	2 81.7%
Q1 - 10:36	SAS	MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot	3 18.0%	2 82.0%
Q1 - 10:45	SAS	Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 17.1%	2 82.9%
Q1 - 10:48	MEM	MISS Carter 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	3 17.5%	2 82.5%
Q1 - 11:09	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	3 18.1%	2 81.9%
Q1 - 11:11	MEM	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	3 19.3%	0 80.7%
Q1 - 11:12	SAS	Parker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	3 20.4%	0 79.6%
Q1 - 11:37	MEM	Ennis III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	3 19.3%	0 80.7%
Q1 - 12:00	SAS	Jump Ball Aldridge vs. Gasol: Tip to Randolph	0 17.1%	0 82.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.0%

SAS

1.27 63.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

65%

SAS

78%

Midrange

MEM

48%

SAS

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

13.5

41%

61%

SAS

21.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

MEM

91%

SAS

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Conley	26	72%	13.0 / 18
M. Gasol	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Ennis III	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
V. Carter	10	71%	5.0 / 7
Z. Randolph	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Harrison	9	64%	4.5 / 7
W. Selden	6	100%	3.0 / 3
W. Baldwin IV	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Martin	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	28	74%	14.0 / 19
P. Mills	20	100%	10.0 / 10
T. Parker	16	62%	8.0 / 13
L. Aldridge	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Lee	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Ginobili	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Gasol	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Bertans	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Simmons	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Dedmon	1	50%	0.5 / 1
D. Murray	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-9

SAS

+16

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.0%

SAS

1.27 63.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	111.6 114.0	MEM 128.8 SAS 141.5 +12.7
Pace	84.9 92.7	MEM 83.7 +5.1 SAS 78.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16.8 16.2	MEM 17.2 +1.1 SAS 18.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.0% 51.2%	MEM 57.6% SAS 61.3% +3.7%
TO %	12.2% 12.7%	MEM 10.9% SAS 8.2% +2.7%
ORB %	20.4% 29.2%	MEM 25.0% SAS 30.3% +5.3%
FTrt	26.3 27.7	MEM 30.6 +3.1 SAS 27.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	54.3% 53.3%	MEM 59.5% +4.7% SAS 54.8%
STL %	5.9% 8.3%	MEM 8.8% +0.3% SAS 8.5%
BLK %	4.7% 9.5%	MEM 1.9% SAS 4.0% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.7% 53.9%	MEM 62.0% SAS 63.7% +1.7%
Rim FG%	52.6% 60.8%	MEM 65.2% SAS 77.8% +12.6%
Mid FG%	43.4% 41.0%	MEM 48.1% +6.9% SAS 41.2%
3P %	38.6% 35.0%	MEM 40.9% SAS 50.0% +9.1%
FT %	86.9% 77.3%	MEM 90.9% +9.1% SAS 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.8% 34.8%	MEM 31.9% +9.4% SAS 22.5%
Mid Att. %	35.9% 37.0%	MEM 37.5% +5.0% SAS 42.5%
3P Att. %	31.3% 28.2%	MEM 30.6% SAS 35.0% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	SAS
Possessions	80	82
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	103	116
Rebounds	31	34
Assists	22	23
Steals	7	7
Blocks	1	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (0)	24 (1)
Field Goals	37-72	42-80
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	14-18
Midrange FG	13-27	14-34
2-Point FG	28-50	28-52
3-Point FG	9-22	14-28
Free Throws	20-22	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	40.8	17	61%	5	7	0	0	2	3	1	4	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 30	35.3	26	72%	2	6	4	1	2	1	0	2	4-5	80%	8-13	62%	2-4	50%
Vince Carter G · 6'6" 220 · 40	32.0	10	71%	5	3	0	0	2	2	0	5	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 27	30.8	11	61%	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 36	26.4	9	41%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 27	24.4	11	69%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	23.5	9	64%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Wayne Selden G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23	10.2	6	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 26	10.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	2.2	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 23	2.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Allen #9 · · 6'4" 213 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	62%	31	22	7	1	9	0	8	23	20-22	91%	28-50	56%	9-22	41%

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16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	40.8	17	61%	5	7	0	0	2	3	1	4	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 30	35.3	26	72%	2	6	4	1	2	1	0	2	4-5	80%	8-13	62%	2-4	50%
Vince Carter G · 6'6" 220 · 40	32.0	10	71%	5	3	0	0	2	2	0	5	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 27	30.8	11	61%	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 36	26.4	9	41%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 27	24.4	11	69%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	23.5	9	64%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Wayne Selden G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23	10.2	6	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 26	10.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	2.2	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 23	2.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Allen #9 · · 6'4" 213 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	62%	31	22	7	1	9	0	8	23	20-22	91%	28-50	56%	9-22	41%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'7" 225 · 26	39.3	28	74%	1	6	1	0	2	1	0	1	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 32	37.9	12	43%	9	1	1	1	0	3	3	6	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 35	30.0	16	62%	2	6	1	0	4	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
David Lee C · 6'9" 245 · 34	25.9	11	92%	8	1	1	0	0	3	2	6	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	21.9	3	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 29	21.9	20	100%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	5-7	71%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 40	17.8	10	83%	2	3	3	1	1	2	2	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	16.1	9	75%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	13.8	3	30%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 28	8.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 28	2.2	1	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 21	2.2	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bryn Forbes #11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Anthony #30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	64%	34	23	7	2	7	0	10	24	18-22	82%	28-52	54%	14-28	50%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg

BOXSCORE