FinalWin Prob.pScore
1132%97
102
568%103
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.110490.8
TOR logo TOR
92.310497.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
OT1 - 0:00.0TOR102
100%
96
0%
OT1 - 0:04.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)99
99.3%
96
0.7%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T20)99
90.2%
96
9.8%
OT1 - 0:10.0TORValanciunas Cutting Dunk Shot (24 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)99
97.0%
96
3.0%
OT1 - 0:15.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
98.2%
94
1.8%
OT1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 299
98.5%
94
1.5%
OT1 - 0:15.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)99
99.1%
94
0.9%
OT1 - 0:26.0TORCarroll Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Valanciunas 3 AST)98
97.0%
94
3.0%
OT1 - 0:30.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)98
98.1%
92
1.9%
OT1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot98
98.6%
92
1.4%
OT1 - 0:48.0TORRoss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)98
98.4%
92
1.6%
OT1 - 0:51.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)98
96.4%
92
3.6%
OT1 - 0:53.0MIARoss BLOCK (2 BLK)98
96.9%
92
3.1%
OT1 - 1:14TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)98
96.7%
92
3.3%
OT1 - 1:21MIAWade 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
97.6%
90
2.4%
OT1 - 1:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
94.7%
90
5.3%
OT1 - 1:39MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot96
92.4%
90
7.6%
OT1 - 2:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
93.7%
90
6.3%
OT1 - 2:07TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot96
92.5%
90
7.5%
OT1 - 2:22TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
88.7%
90
11.3%
OT1 - 2:22MIAMISS Johnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot96
90.5%
90
9.5%
OT1 - 2:46TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)96
93.8%
90
6.2%
OT1 - 3:03MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)96
86.4%
90
13.6%
OT1 - 3:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
83.0%
90
17.0%
OT1 - 3:28TORMISS Valanciunas 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot94
80.3%
90
19.7%
OT1 - 3:46MIADeng 17' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)94
69.2%
90
30.8%
OT1 - 4:03MIAHeat Rebound92
62.0%
90
38.0%
OT1 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot92
55.2%
90
44.8%
OT1 - 4:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)92
62.3%
90
37.7%
OT1 - 4:21TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Layup92
59.3%
90
40.7%
OT1 - 4:38MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)92
52.3%
90
47.7%
OT1 - 5:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to Deng90
43.8%
90
56.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 289
96.4%
87
3.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)89
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORMISS Ross Free Throw 2 of 289
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
91.2%
87
8.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)89
97.9%
86
2.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)89
97.8%
86
2.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T18)89
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORMISS Ross 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORJoseph 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)87
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIADeng Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)87
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound87
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORMISS Lowry 29' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
98.2%
81
1.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 286
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORMISS Lowry 4' Layup86
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
96.2%
81
3.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0TORMISS Joseph 19' Pullup Jump Shot86
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q4 - 1:03TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 1:08TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
84.4%
79
15.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Dragic 9' Pullup Jump Shot83
86.9%
79
13.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)83
88.7%
79
11.3%
Q4 - 1:27TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot83
86.6%
79
13.4%
Q4 - 1:39TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
78.9%
79
21.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot83
81.5%
79
18.5%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)83
85.6%
79
14.4%
Q4 - 1:56TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
83.6%
79
16.4%
Q4 - 2:17TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
75.7%
79
24.3%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
79.1%
79
20.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)83
85.6%
79
14.4%
Q4 - 2:43TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 183
84.5%
79
15.5%
Q4 - 3:01MIAJohnson 2' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)83
86.4%
77
13.6%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
82.7%
77
17.3%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Johnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot81
76.3%
77
23.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
82.9%
77
17.1%
Q4 - 3:17TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 181
81.8%
77
18.2%
Q4 - 3:24TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper81
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 3:35TORJoseph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)81
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q4 - 3:50MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)81
82.5%
75
17.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound79
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q4 - 4:10TORMISS Lowry 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot79
75.4%
75
24.6%
Q4 - 4:34TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)79
70.0%
75
30.0%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 279
71.2%
75
28.8%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 279
75.0%
75
25.0%
Q4 - 4:54TORValanciunas 3' Alley Oop Layup (22 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)79
78.0%
75
22.0%
Q4 - 5:19TORRAPTORS Rebound79
78.6%
73
21.4%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot79
80.3%
73
19.7%
Q4 - 5:48TORJoseph 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
84.1%
73
15.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)79
87.8%
71
12.2%
Q4 - 6:04TORLowry 2' Layup (4 PTS)79
88.3%
71
11.7%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade 14' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 6:53TORValanciunas 3' Hook Bank Shot (20 PTS)77
88.5%
69
11.5%
Q4 - 7:07TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)77
88.4%
67
11.6%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Winslow 4' Turnaround Bank Shot77
89.3%
67
10.7%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
91.2%
67
8.8%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Dragic 6' Running Jump Shot77
89.3%
67
10.7%
Q4 - 7:19TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)77
91.2%
67
8.8%
Q4 - 7:31TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot77
89.4%
67
10.6%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)77
91.3%
67
8.7%
Q4 - 7:48TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
90.6%
67
9.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
86.4%
67
13.6%
Q4 - 8:34TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
83.1%
67
16.9%
Q4 - 8:51MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)75
86.5%
65
13.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)75
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q4 - 9:06TORMISS Ross 28' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot75
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q4 - 9:13TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)75
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAValanciunas BLOCK (3 BLK)75
85.2%
65
14.8%
Q4 - 9:35TORJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)75
87.3%
65
12.7%
Q4 - 9:50MIADragic 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)75
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
78.9%
65
21.1%
Q4 - 10:06TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
77.7%
65
22.3%
Q4 - 10:22MIADragic 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
74.7%
65
25.3%
Q4 - 10:48TORRoss 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
65.7%
65
34.3%
Q4 - 11:03MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
68.5%
63
31.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
63.9%
63
36.1%
Q4 - 11:24TORMISS Joseph 15' Pullup Jump Shot68
62.4%
63
37.6%
Q4 - 11:47TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
58.7%
63
41.3%
Q4 - 11:47TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
62.4%
63
37.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR68
58.7%
63
41.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound68
58.7%
63
41.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot68
60.5%
63
39.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)68
57.1%
63
42.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot68
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
57.2%
63
42.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot68
58.7%
63
41.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0TORRoss Running Dunk (13 PTS)68
62.2%
63
37.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)68
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 1:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
69.3%
61
30.7%
Q3 - 1:11TORMISS DeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot68
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q3 - 1:33TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
65.0%
61
35.0%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 168
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 1:42TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
55.8%
61
44.2%
Q3 - 1:42TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 1:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Richardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot65
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
62.8%
59
37.2%
Q3 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot65
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 2:24MIADragic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
58.2%
59
41.8%
Q3 - 2:34MIADragic Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)63
53.9%
59
46.1%
Q3 - 2:48TORPatterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)62
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 3:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
43.7%
59
56.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Richardson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot62
45.2%
59
54.8%
Q3 - 3:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 3:28TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot62
47.1%
59
52.9%
Q3 - 3:36TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
43.7%
59
56.3%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot62
45.2%
59
54.8%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 3:52TORMISS Valanciunas 7' Driving Hook Shot62
47.1%
59
52.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIARichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)62
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 4:43TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
39.2%
59
60.8%
Q3 - 4:57TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 4:57TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot60
46.1%
57
53.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)60
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 5:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
38.4%
57
61.6%
Q3 - 5:20TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 5:30TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot58
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
38.4%
57
61.6%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 5:54TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Johnson 12' Driving Hook Shot58
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 6:24TORValanciunas 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)58
37.7%
57
62.3%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWhiteside Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)58
41.1%
55
58.9%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
37.7%
55
62.3%
Q3 - 6:52TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Layup56
36.5%
55
63.5%
Q3 - 7:02TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot56
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q3 - 7:18TORLowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
40.3%
53
59.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q3 - 7:54TORDeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
37.1%
53
62.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIADragic 18' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
39.7%
51
60.3%
Q3 - 8:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
36.7%
51
63.3%
Q3 - 8:16TORMISS Powell 27' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot52
35.5%
51
64.5%
Q3 - 8:39TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 152
33.4%
51
66.6%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
30.1%
51
69.9%
Q3 - 8:43TORMISS DeRozan 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot50
29.0%
51
71.0%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
26.6%
51
73.4%
Q3 - 9:28TORCarroll 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)48
23.8%
51
76.2%
Q3 - 9:31TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
26.5%
49
73.5%
Q3 - 9:32MIAValanciunas BLOCK (2 BLK)48
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q3 - 9:47TORPowell 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)48
29.5%
49
70.5%
Q3 - 10:09MIADeng 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
32.0%
47
68.0%
Q3 - 10:24MIAHeat Rebound46
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q3 - 10:25TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot46
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q3 - 10:35MIACarroll STEAL (2 STL)46
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q3 - 10:46TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)46
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q3 - 10:46TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWhiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)46
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q3 - 11:18TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)44
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
31.5%
43
68.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot41
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORRAPTORS Rebound41
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot41
30.5%
41
69.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIADragic 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)41
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)39
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot39
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
21.1%
41
78.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Layup37
20.6%
41
79.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIADragic 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 1:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 1:37TORMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)35
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 2:11TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot35
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 2:36TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Winslow 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot35
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 2:58TORCarroll 3PT Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)35
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 3:04TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Deng Running Dunk35
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 3:10TORCarroll Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 3:23TORJump Ball Lowry vs. Haslem: Tip to DeRozan35
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Green Driving Reverse Dunk Shot35
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot35
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 3:45TORPatterson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 4:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Deng 19' Pullup Jump Shot35
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 4:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 4:20TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 4:31TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot35
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 4:46TORValanciunas 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)35
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 5:04MIAHaslem 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)35
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 5:09TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)33
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 5:15MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 5:16TORMISS Valanciunas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot33
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 5:32TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Green 20' Pullup Jump Shot33
26.4%
34
73.6%
Q2 - 5:48TORRoss Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)33
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 5:48TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)33
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 5:48TORMISS Ross Free Throw 1 of 333
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 6:02MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)33
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 6:15TORCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)30
26.1%
32
73.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAValanciunas STEAL (2 STL)30
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q2 - 6:34TORMISS Valanciunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot30
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 6:57TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot30
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 7:17TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)30
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAValanciunas STEAL (1 STL)30
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 7:40TORMISS Valanciunas 15' Jump Shot30
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 8:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 8:12MIACarroll BLOCK (1 BLK)27
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 8:25MIAHeat Rebound27
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot27
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 8:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 8:37TORMISS Ross 16' Pullup Jump Shot27
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q2 - 8:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
29.8%
26
70.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAHeat Rebound25
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Dragic 3' Cutting Layup Shot25
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q2 - 9:16TORRoss 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)25
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q2 - 9:39TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q2 - 9:56TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJohnson 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)25
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)23
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q2 - 10:41TORRoss 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAJohnson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
31.3%
20
68.7%
Q2 - 11:25TORRoss 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q2 - 11:43MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot18
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAStoudemire 1' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)18
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot16
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0TORMISS Joseph 17' Pullup Jump Shot16
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 14' Pullup Jump Shot16
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS Patterson 16' Jump Shot16
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 1:10MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 1:26TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T5)13
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)13
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)13
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 2:09TORValanciunas Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)13
20.5%
18
79.5%
Q1 - 2:17TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Deng 2' Hook Bank Shot13
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 2:31TORRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 2:37TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Bank Shot13
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 2:57TORMISS Powell 2' Driving Layup13
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 3:16MIAStoudemire 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)13
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 3:37TORDeRozan 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)11
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 4:00MIADeng 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 4:20TORValanciunas 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)8
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 4:54TORPowell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)6
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 5:17TORValanciunas Driving Dunk (6 PTS)6
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 5:52TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 6:13TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot4
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 6:36TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)4
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 6:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)4
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Dragic 8' Hook Bank Shot4
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 7:10TORMISS Valanciunas 20' Jump Bank Shot4
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 7:20TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Deng 15' Pullup Jump Shot4
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 7:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot4
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 7:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 7:37TORMISS Powell 2' Running Finger Roll Layup4
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 7:42TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 7:56TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAPowell STEAL (1 STL)4
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:21TORMISS Carroll 6' Driving Hook Shot4
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:36TORRAPTORS Rebound4
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:36TORMISS Powell 2' Running Layup4
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:43TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup4
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 9:01TORValanciunas 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)4
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 9:21MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 9:28TORCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)2
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:50TORValanciunas Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)2
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 9:56TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)2
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Dragic 3' Layup2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:08TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:23TORRAPTORS Rebound2
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:23TORMISS Lowry 19' Step Back Jump Shot2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade 17' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
22.1%
3
77.9%
Q1 - 11:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:40TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to Carroll0
25.7%
0
74.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
TOR
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
TOR
19
28
68%
Midrange
MIA
19
55
35%
TOR
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
11
73%
109%
TOR
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
14
21
67%
TOR
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2662%13.0 / 21
D. Wade2455%12.0 / 22
J. Johnson1640%8.0 / 20
J. Richardson1179%5.5 / 6
L. Deng1056%5.0 / 9
H. Whiteside950%4.5 / 9
A. Stoudemire4100%2.0 / 2
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Winslow0-0.0 / 2
G. Green0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Valančiūnas2467%12.0 / 18
D. DeRozan2246%11.0 / 24
T. Ross1963%9.5 / 15
D. Carroll1071%5.0 / 7
C. Joseph1056%5.0 / 9
K. Lowry727%3.5 / 13
N. Powell220%1.0 / 5
P. Patterson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+15
-17
102
TOR
89
+8
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
TOR
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
102.2
MIA 98.1 +5.8
TOR 92.3
Pace
90.2
90.1
MIA 90.8
TOR 97.9 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
MIA 15.9
TOR 14.7 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.3%
MIA 49.4% +1.6%
TOR 47.8%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
MIA 16.9%
TOR 13.6% +3.3%
ORB %
23.0%
25.1%
MIA 22.9% +14.0%
TOR 8.9%
FTrt
26.4
30.1
MIA 23.6 +6.7
TOR 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 30.0%
TOR 47.5% +17.5%
STL %
5.9%
8.2%
MIA 11.5% +1.9%
TOR 9.6%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 5.9%
TOR 7.7% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.0%
MIA 49.5%
TOR 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 56.5%
TOR 67.9% +11.4%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.1%
MIA 34.5%
TOR 40.0% +5.5%
3P %
35.8%
29.8%
MIA 72.7% +48.9%
TOR 23.8%
FT %
76.5%
73.7%
MIA 66.7%
TOR 73.3% +6.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
32.9%
MIA 25.8%
TOR 31.5% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
38.9%
MIA 61.8%
TOR 44.9% +16.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.2%
MIA 12.4%
TOR 23.6% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes27.525.5
Points10296
Rebounds5241
Assists1219
Steals1210
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)17 (3)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals40-8940-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2319-28
Midrange FG19-5516-40
2-Point FG32-7835-68
3-Point FG8-115-21
Free Throws14-2111-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
41.8
16
40%
7
2
2
0
1
2
3
4
2-3
67%
7-17
41%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
41.1
26
62%
6
2
0
0
3
2
0
6
3-5
60%
7-16
44%
3-4
75%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
39.3
9
50%
17
0
2
1
0
3
2
15
3-6
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
39.3
10
56%
4
3
4
0
5
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
37.0
24
55%
6
4
3
2
3
2
0
6
3-3
100%
9-20
45%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
24.4
11
79%
2
0
1
0
2
4
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
21.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
7.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
7.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
5.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
#12 · G · 6'2" 165 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
102
50%
52
12
12
4
17
0
11
41
14-21
67%
32-78
41%
8-11
73%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.