FinalWin Prob.pScore
1045%99
73
1155%101
106
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
78.593105.6
MIA logo MIA
112.89484.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA73
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHALamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kaminsky 2 AST)73
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAMISS Kaminsky 5' Jump Bank Shot70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0CHAHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:09MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:10CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:38CHAMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot70
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)70
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:55CHAMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 2:06CHAGutierrez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Green 18' Turnaround Jump Shot70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 2:29CHAMISS Lamb 19' Step Back Jump Shot70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T9)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 2:46CHAMISS Gutierrez 2' Reverse Layup70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55CHADaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13CHALamb 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49CHAKaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19CHALamb 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)65
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47CHAMISS Lamb 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19CHAGutierrez Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34CHAMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAGreen 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04CHAWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAGreen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32CHAMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45CHADaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Richardson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06MIAGreen 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47CHAMISS Kaminsky 1' Driving Layup57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAGreen 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27CHALin 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Winslow 14' Jump Shot55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWinslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)53
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45CHAHornets Rebound53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46CHAMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10CHAHornets Rebound53
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Green 10' Turnaround Jump Shot53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:23CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS McRoberts 9' Jump Shot53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson 2' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIADragic 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHAMISS Lin 12' Jump Shot53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Lin: Tip to Kaminsky53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:17CHAMISS Lee 17' Pullup Jump Shot53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:27CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:41CHAMISS Kaminsky 3PT Jump Shot53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:53CHAHornets Rebound53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot53
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:20CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:27CHAWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)53
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)53
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot53
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:58CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P2.T8)53
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 3:04CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot53
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:22CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T7)53
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:48CHAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)53
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:52CHAHornets Rebound50
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 3:53CHAWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)50
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)50
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 4:24CHAWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)50
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 4:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 4:51CHAZeller 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)50
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)48
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:14CHALin 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)48
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)46
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 5:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 5:36CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 5:50MIAWade 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)46
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 6:03CHAMISS Walker 17' Fadeaway Jumper46
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIADragic Running Dunk (21 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)46
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJump Ball Johnson vs. Walker: Tip to Dragic46
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)46
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)46
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 7:06CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIADeng Illegal Screen Turnover (P2.T4)46
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 7:34CHABatum 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)46
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 7:43MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)44
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 8:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 8:02CHAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)44
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 8:42CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 8:48CHAHornets Rebound44
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 8:49CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot44
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 9:04CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 244
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 244
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:18CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot44
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:24CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot44
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:37CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 9:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:55CHAMISS Lee 1' Driving Layup44
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 10:20MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)44
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 10:29CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)44
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 10:30CHAHornets Rebound44
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 10:31CHAMISS Lee 1' Driving Layup44
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)44
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound44
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 11:12CHADragic BLOCK (1 BLK)44
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)44
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Johnson 15' Floating Jump Shot44
17.9%
54
82.1%
Q3 - 11:49CHAWalker 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA42
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIADragic 2' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)42
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0CHALee 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)40
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 1:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot40
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 1:17CHAMISS Batum 19' Jump Shot40
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 1:34CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot40
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 1:42CHAMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot40
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)40
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q2 - 2:28CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)40
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 2:44MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)40
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 2:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 2:59CHAMISS Walker 8' Floating Jump Shot40
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 3:17MIADeng 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound40
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Green 1' Layup40
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 3:36CHALee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)40
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 3:48CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot37
27.0%
44
73.0%
Q2 - 4:06CHALee 18' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
25.8%
44
74.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 4:26CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)35
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 4:52MIADragic 2' Running Reverse Layup (13 PTS)35
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
25.7%
42
74.3%
Q2 - 4:58CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)35
26.4%
42
73.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGreen 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)35
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 5:27CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Floating Jump Shot35
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 5:35CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot35
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 5:54CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)35
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 5:54CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)34
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 5:54CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)33
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 6:27CHALee 17' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)32
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 6:39CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 6:53CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot30
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 7:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 7:08CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup30
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 7:13CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot30
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 7:36CHAZeller 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)30
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 7:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
23.4%
38
76.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 8:08CHABatum 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)28
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMcRoberts 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)26
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 8:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 8:35CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Layup Shot26
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 8:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 8:37CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup26
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 8:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Johnson 20' Step Back Jump Shot26
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHEAT Rebound26
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 9:14CHAMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
26.3%
34
73.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMcRoberts 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 10:03CHABatum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 10:12CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q2 - 10:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 10:24CHAMISS Lin 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 10:32CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q2 - 10:58CHALin 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 11:14MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 11:43CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)21
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound18
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 50' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Lin 2' Layup18
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIADragic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHAWinslow STEAL (1 STL)15
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)15
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 1:09CHAMISS Batum 23' Jump Shot15
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 1:25CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot15
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 1:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 1:43CHAMISS Kaminsky 3' Jump Shot15
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 1:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 2:13CHAZeller 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)15
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q1 - 2:34MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 2:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.8%
19
69.2%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound13
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup13
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)13
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot13
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 3:15CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup13
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 3:37MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 3:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 3:43CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot13
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 3:58CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 213
32.8%
19
67.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 213
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot13
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 4:17CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)13
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 5:03CHAKaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)13
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 5:35CHAKaminsky 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
33.4%
15
66.6%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)8
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 5:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper8
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 6:05CHAJefferson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 6:26MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)6
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 6:47CHAWalker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 7:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot4
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 7:22CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJohnson 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:05CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 8:18MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
43.3%
5
56.7%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 24
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 8:28CHAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)4
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 8:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup2
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:05CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Driving Layup2
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:23CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot2
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:56CHALee 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 10:05CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot0
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 10:13CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup0
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:26CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 10:52CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Jump Bank Shot0
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)0
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:27CHAMISS Kaminsky 20' Jump Shot0
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIADeng 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Kaminsky: Tip to Dragic0
43.1%
0
56.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.78 38.8%
MIA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
6
27
22%
MIA
24
30
80%
Midrange
CHA
14
35
40%
MIA
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
CHA
12
12
100%
MIA
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. Kaminsky1235%6.0 / 17
C. Lee1169%5.5 / 8
N. Batum1050%5.0 / 10
K. Walker926%4.5 / 17
J. Lin956%4.5 / 8
J. Lamb770%3.5 / 5
C. Zeller643%3.0 / 7
M. Williams563%2.5 / 4
A. Jefferson429%2.0 / 7
T. Daniels0-0.0 / 5
J. Gutierrez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2566%12.5 / 19
G. Green1650%8.0 / 16
L. Deng1583%7.5 / 9
D. Wade1250%6.0 / 12
H. Whiteside1050%5.0 / 10
J. Johnson941%4.5 / 11
J. Winslow583%2.5 / 3
T. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
J. McRoberts450%2.0 / 4
J. Richardson325%1.5 / 6
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
86
+7
-7
93
MIA
85
+13
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.78 38.8%
MIA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.4
105.0
CHA 78.5 +34.3
MIA 112.8
Pace
90.9
90.2
CHA 105.6 +21.6
MIA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
CHA 13.6 +3.5
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.2%
50.0%
CHA 36.3%
MIA 53.4% +17.1%
TO %
9.1%
13.2%
CHA 10.1%
MIA 8.6% +1.5%
ORB %
16.2%
23.0%
CHA 5.9%
MIA 23.3% +17.4%
FTrt
30.9
26.4
CHA 14.3
MIA 18.0 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
42.6%
44.4%
CHA 51.9%
MIA 55.8% +3.9%
STL %
6.3%
5.9%
CHA 4.3% +2.2%
MIA 2.1%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
CHA 1.5%
MIA 12.9% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.9%
CHA 38.8%
MIA 54.1% +15.3%
Rim FG%
46.9%
60.8%
CHA 22.2%
MIA 80.0% +57.8%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.2%
CHA 40.0% +11.4%
MIA 28.6%
3P %
30.8%
35.8%
CHA 31.8%
MIA 37.5% +5.7%
FT %
83.9%
76.5%
CHA 100.0% +31.2%
MIA 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
32.1%
CHA 32.1%
MIA 33.7% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
36.8%
44.1%
CHA 41.7%
MIA 39.3% +2.3%
3P Att. %
23.1%
23.8%
CHA 26.2%
MIA 27.0% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points73106
Rebounds3658
Assists1424
Steals42
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)7 (3)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)48 (2)
Field Goals27-8443-89
At-the-Rim FG6-2724-30
Midrange FG14-3510-35
2-Point FG20-6234-65
3-Point FG7-229-24
Free Throws12-1211-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 26
36.0
9
26%
1
6
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 237 · 30
32.5
5
63%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 242 · 23
31.5
12
35%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
1-10
10%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
28.7
11
69%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 280 · 31
18.6
4
29%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 230 · 27
29.2
10
50%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
19.5
9
56%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24
17.4
6
43%
7
0
0
0
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 25
8.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
5.9
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 210 · 22
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 189 · 27
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
39%
36
14
4
1
7
0
3
33
12-12
100%
20-62
32%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.