FinalWin Prob.pScore
1137%98
97
763%103
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.08981.2
CHA logo CHA
101.18998.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA97
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup95
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)95
98.2%
90
1.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0CHAJefferson 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)93
91.5%
90
8.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
94.5%
88
5.5%
Q4 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
79.4%
88
20.6%
Q4 - 1:04CHAMISS Walker 17' Pullup Jump Shot90
75.2%
88
24.8%
Q4 - 1:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)90
63.0%
88
37.0%
Q4 - 1:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
76.8%
88
23.2%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
67.5%
88
32.5%
Q4 - 1:40CHAWalker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (37 PTS)90
73.0%
88
27.0%
Q4 - 1:46CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
80.3%
86
19.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot90
82.5%
86
17.5%
Q4 - 2:12CHAJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)90
87.2%
86
12.8%
Q4 - 2:17CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
78.3%
86
21.7%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot90
81.4%
86
18.6%
Q4 - 2:36CHAWalker 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (35 PTS)90
87.3%
86
12.7%
Q4 - 2:47CHAHORNETS Rebound90
93.4%
83
6.6%
Q4 - 2:48CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup90
95.8%
83
4.2%
Q4 - 2:53CHAHORNETS Rebound90
91.8%
83
8.2%
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 190
94.7%
83
5.3%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)90
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 3:31CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)87
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 3:36CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
84.1%
81
15.9%
Q4 - 3:38CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 187
85.5%
81
14.5%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)87
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Richardson 2' Layup85
75.0%
81
25.0%
Q4 - 4:21CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)85
80.2%
81
19.8%
Q4 - 4:45CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Johnson 33' 3PT Jump Shot85
90.5%
78
9.5%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
89.4%
78
10.6%
Q4 - 5:14CHAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
88.3%
78
11.7%
Q4 - 5:27CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
85.7%
78
14.3%
Q4 - 5:29MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)85
87.0%
78
13.0%
Q4 - 5:44CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS)85
89.6%
78
10.4%
Q4 - 6:06MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
89.5%
76
10.5%
Q4 - 6:15CHAHORNETS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#9)83
87.0%
76
13.0%
Q4 - 6:30CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
82.7%
76
17.3%
Q4 - 6:32MIAZeller BLOCK (2 BLK)83
84.1%
76
15.9%
Q4 - 6:57MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
87.1%
76
12.9%
Q4 - 6:59CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 283
86.6%
76
13.4%
Q4 - 6:59CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 283
84.2%
76
15.8%
Q4 - 7:10MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
80.0%
76
20.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
75.8%
76
24.2%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot81
71.7%
76
28.3%
Q4 - 7:45CHALin Foul Turnover (P3.T8)81
75.9%
76
24.1%
Q4 - 7:48MIALee STEAL (2 STL)81
69.9%
76
30.1%
Q4 - 8:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
76.0%
76
24.0%
Q4 - 8:02CHAMISS Williams 3' Jump Shot81
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
68.0%
76
32.0%
Q4 - 8:36CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
62.1%
76
37.9%
Q4 - 8:36CHALee Putback Dunk (2 PTS)79
62.1%
76
37.9%
Q4 - 8:37CHAMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot79
71.7%
74
28.3%
Q4 - 8:50CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
68.1%
74
31.9%
Q4 - 8:51CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup79
71.8%
74
28.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
66.1%
74
33.9%
Q4 - 9:42CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)77
60.7%
74
39.3%
Q4 - 9:51CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
67.8%
72
32.2%
Q4 - 10:06CHALin Foul Turnover (P2.T7)77
69.7%
72
30.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
64.4%
72
35.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
63.0%
72
37.0%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot75
55.3%
72
44.7%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot75
55.3%
72
44.7%
Q4 - 10:44CHALin 11' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 10:55CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot75
66.2%
70
33.8%
Q4 - 11:01CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)75
68.1%
70
31.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIALee STEAL (1 STL)75
63.0%
70
37.0%
Q4 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
68.2%
70
31.8%
Q4 - 11:22CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot75
66.7%
70
33.3%
Q4 - 11:42CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot75
64.8%
70
35.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
66.4%
70
33.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
67.2%
69
32.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIADragic 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)75
70.9%
68
29.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHAMISS Lee 2' Layup73
65.2%
68
34.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)73
61.9%
68
38.1%
Q3 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q3 - 1:01CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q3 - 1:21CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
60.4%
68
39.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot73
61.9%
68
38.1%
Q3 - 1:43CHAWalker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)73
65.2%
68
34.8%
Q3 - 1:53MIADragic 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)73
60.5%
68
39.5%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound71
54.3%
68
45.7%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
50.8%
68
49.2%
Q3 - 2:43CHAJefferson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS)71
54.4%
68
45.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
57.7%
66
42.3%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound69
53.7%
66
46.3%
Q3 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
53.7%
66
46.3%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Haslem 1' Putback Layup69
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 3:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
53.7%
66
46.3%
Q3 - 3:43CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 169
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 4:03CHAHORNETS Rebound69
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
61.1%
64
38.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Green 1' Putback Layup69
57.8%
64
42.2%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Green 2' Running Layup69
57.8%
64
42.2%
Q3 - 4:09MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
61.2%
64
38.8%
Q3 - 4:10CHAMISS Lin 1' Running Layup69
59.7%
64
40.3%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)69
56.4%
64
43.6%
Q3 - 4:33CHAWalker Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)69
61.3%
64
38.7%
Q3 - 4:33CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)69
61.8%
63
38.2%
Q3 - 4:33CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)69
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 5:09CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)66
59.8%
61
40.2%
Q3 - 5:33CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
63.4%
59
36.6%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot66
64.7%
59
35.3%
Q3 - 5:55CHAJefferson 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Kaminsky 3 AST)66
67.5%
59
32.5%
Q3 - 6:08CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot66
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
72.8%
57
27.2%
Q3 - 6:26CHAMISS Walker 17' Pullup Jump Shot66
71.7%
57
28.3%
Q3 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
69.2%
57
30.8%
Q3 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
68.5%
57
31.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
66.1%
57
33.9%
Q3 - 6:49CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup64
64.9%
57
35.1%
Q3 - 6:56CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
62.1%
57
37.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot64
63.4%
57
36.6%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
64.8%
57
35.2%
Q3 - 7:19CHAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 7:33CHAHORNETS Rebound64
60.8%
57
39.2%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup64
62.1%
57
37.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
64.9%
57
35.1%
Q3 - 7:45CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot64
63.7%
57
36.3%
Q3 - 8:06CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
60.1%
57
39.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot64
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 8:29CHAJefferson Dunk (10 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)64
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 8:40CHAHORNETS Rebound64
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 8:57CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kaminsky 2 AST)64
70.7%
55
29.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)64
74.8%
52
25.2%
Q3 - 9:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
72.2%
52
27.8%
Q3 - 9:35CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot62
71.3%
52
28.7%
Q3 - 9:50MIAJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)62
69.1%
52
30.9%
Q3 - 10:03MIAHeat Rebound59
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIAKaminsky BLOCK (2 BLK)59
59.2%
52
40.8%
Q3 - 10:13CHAKaminsky Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)59
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 10:26MIAKaminsky STEAL (2 STL)59
58.1%
52
41.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 10:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
58.1%
52
41.9%
Q3 - 10:38CHAMISS Jefferson Putback Layup59
60.6%
52
39.4%
Q3 - 10:39CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Jump Shot59
60.6%
52
39.4%
Q3 - 10:52CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
58.1%
52
41.9%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
59.3%
52
40.7%
Q3 - 11:07CHAHORNETS Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)59
60.5%
52
39.5%
Q3 - 11:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
57.1%
52
42.9%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot59
58.1%
52
41.9%
Q3 - 11:39CHAJefferson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)59
60.6%
52
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA59
63.6%
50
36.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot59
63.6%
50
36.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHABatum 1' Layup (6 PTS)59
65.1%
50
34.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot59
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q2 - 1:01CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
69.7%
48
30.3%
Q2 - 1:01CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)59
73.5%
46
26.5%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q2 - 1:19CHAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot59
74.4%
46
25.6%
Q2 - 1:33MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
73.6%
46
26.4%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
67.0%
46
33.0%
Q2 - 1:45CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot56
66.6%
46
33.4%
Q2 - 2:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
63.7%
46
36.3%
Q2 - 2:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
63.2%
46
36.8%
Q2 - 2:20CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q2 - 2:20CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
61.6%
45
38.4%
Q2 - 2:20CHAHORNETS Rebound54
63.8%
44
36.2%
Q2 - 2:20CHAMISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWinslow Running Dunk (6 PTS)54
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound52
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 2:57CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot52
60.0%
44
40.0%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)52
56.7%
44
43.3%
Q2 - 3:38CHAJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS)50
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q2 - 3:58MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q2 - 4:17CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q2 - 4:17CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (8 PTS)48
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup46
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 4:40CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup46
52.2%
40
47.8%
Q2 - 5:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
49.6%
40
50.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot46
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 5:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 5:22CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWade 1' Layup (13 PTS)46
49.6%
40
50.4%
Q2 - 5:57CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)44
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)44
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 6:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 6:20CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup41
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWhiteside 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)41
40.9%
38
59.1%
Q2 - 6:47CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 6:47CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 6:47CHAHORNETS Rebound39
40.9%
36
59.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot39
41.9%
36
58.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 6:59CHAMISS Lin 20' Jump Shot39
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 7:44CHAWalker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWinslow 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)37
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup35
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 8:09CHAMISS Lin 18' Jump Shot35
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
35.7%
34
64.3%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 8:36CHAZeller 10' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)33
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 9:01CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q2 - 9:01CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 9:25CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)29
33.4%
30
66.6%
Q2 - 9:25CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
33.7%
29
66.3%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMcRoberts 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)29
35.3%
28
64.7%
Q2 - 9:58CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q2 - 9:58CHABatum Putback Layup (2 PTS)27
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q2 - 10:01CHAMISS Lin 2' Running Finger Roll Layup27
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)27
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 10:25CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q2 - 10:29CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
42.7%
24
57.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)27
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.7%
24
57.3%
Q2 - 10:41CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup27
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 10:58CHAHORNETS Rebound27
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:59CHAMISS Lin 1' Driving Reverse Layup27
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 11:08CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS McRoberts 20' Jump Shot27
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q2 - 11:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q2 - 11:33CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup27
41.4%
24
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA27
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound27
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Lin 31' 3PT Jump Shot27
41.4%
24
58.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0CHAZeller 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)25
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)25
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHAZeller 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)22
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIADeng 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)22
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 1:31CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
34.2%
20
65.8%
Q1 - 1:40CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot20
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 1:54CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup20
34.2%
20
65.8%
Q1 - 2:08CHAHORNETS Rebound20
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)20
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 2:24CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 2:24CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 2:48MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)20
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 2:59CHAMISS Lin 9' Fadeaway Jumper18
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)18
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 3:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:49CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIADeng 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)15
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 4:18CHABatum Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)13
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 4:39CHALin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 5:07CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)11
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 5:19CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot11
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 5:39CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)11
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 5:44MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)11
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 5:59CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 6:12MIAJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 6:22CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)9
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 6:22CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)9
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 7:00CHAKaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)8
32.3%
9
67.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 7:25CHAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot8
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWhiteside 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot6
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 8:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 8:10CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 8:22MIADeng 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 8:28CHAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot4
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:36CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot4
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:03CHAKaminsky 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)4
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)4
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:28CHAJefferson 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 9:56CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot4
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:24CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot2
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:41CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 10:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:50CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup2
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 11:10CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup2
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:25CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Kaminsky vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
33.3%
0
66.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
CHA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
21
48%
CHA
21
39
54%
Midrange
MIA
20
46
43%
CHA
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
CHA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
CHA
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2355%11.5 / 21
L. Deng2175%10.5 / 14
G. Dragic1439%7.0 / 18
H. Whiteside1267%6.0 / 9
J. Johnson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Richardson660%3.0 / 5
J. Winslow660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
J. McRoberts250%1.0 / 2
G. Green0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3758%18.5 / 32
A. Jefferson1860%9.0 / 15
C. Zeller1275%6.0 / 8
J. Lin836%4.0 / 11
F. Kaminsky758%3.5 / 6
N. Batum650%3.0 / 6
C. Lee250%1.0 / 2
M. Williams0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+15
-12
92
CHA
80
+11
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
CHA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
99.4
MIA 109.0 +7.9
CHA 101.1
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 81.2
CHA 98.5 +17.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 17.7
CHA 14.6 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.2%
MIA 50.6% +5.2%
CHA 45.4%
TO %
13.2%
9.1%
MIA 12.7%
CHA 11.2% +1.5%
ORB %
23.0%
16.2%
MIA 29.7% +17.2%
CHA 12.5%
FTrt
26.4
30.9
MIA 18.1
CHA 32.9 +14.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
42.6%
MIA 36.8%
CHA 37.5% +0.7%
STL %
5.9%
6.3%
MIA 4.5%
CHA 9.0% +4.5%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
MIA 16.9% +9.4%
CHA 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
47.7%
MIA 52.2% +3.3%
CHA 48.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
46.9%
MIA 47.6%
CHA 53.8% +6.2%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.2%
MIA 43.5% +13.5%
CHA 30.0%
3P %
35.8%
30.8%
MIA 50.0% +20.6%
CHA 29.4%
FT %
76.5%
83.9%
MIA 86.7% +2.7%
CHA 84.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
40.1%
MIA 25.3%
CHA 51.3% +26.0%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
36.8%
MIA 55.4%
CHA 26.3% +29.1%
3P Att. %
23.8%
23.1%
MIA 19.3%
CHA 22.4% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9790
Rebounds4631
Assists1412
Steals48
Blocks105
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)26 (5)
Field Goals38-8332-76
At-the-Rim FG10-2121-39
Midrange FG20-466-20
2-Point FG30-6727-59
3-Point FG8-165-17
Free Throws13-1521-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
36.9
11
61%
4
3
0
0
4
4
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
36.6
23
55%
6
4
2
3
2
0
0
6
1-2
50%
8-18
44%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
36.2
21
75%
4
2
0
2
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
32.2
14
39%
7
2
0
0
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
6-15
40%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
27.9
12
67%
7
0
0
4
2
6
3
4
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
25.6
6
60%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
16.7
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
14.7
2
33%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
7.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
5.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
#12 · G · 6'2" 165 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
46
14
4
10
12
0
11
35
13-15
87%
30-67
45%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.