FinalWin Prob.pScore
1340%99
85
860%102
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.49089.7
CHA logo CHA
101.18888.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAHORNETS Rebound85
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
9.1%
87
90.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 285
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
12.8%
87
87.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
10.5%
87
89.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0CHAMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot84
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q4 - 1:22CHAHORNETS Rebound84
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
18.7%
87
81.3%
Q4 - 1:33CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot84
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q4 - 2:12CHALin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)82
10.2%
87
89.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 2:53MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)80
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 3:10CHAWalker 19' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)80
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)80
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 3:49CHAWalker 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (32 PTS)77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 4:22CHALin Foul Turnover (P2.T9)75
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 4:38CHAHORNETS Rebound75
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot75
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 4:58CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)75
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T17)75
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 5:25CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)75
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 5:25CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)75
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 5:33CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Green 13' Jump Shot75
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q4 - 5:55CHAWalker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
25.4%
78
74.6%
Q4 - 6:07MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)75
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q4 - 6:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
21.3%
76
78.7%
Q4 - 6:18CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup72
19.6%
76
80.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 271
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
16.6%
76
83.4%
Q4 - 6:47CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup71
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)71
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 7:04MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
17.9%
76
82.1%
Q4 - 7:05CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 271
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 7:05CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 271
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)71
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound69
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q4 - 7:42CHAMISS Lin 12' Floating Jump Shot69
10.2%
76
89.8%
Q4 - 8:04CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot69
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 8:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 8:16CHAMISS Walker 18' Step Back Jump Shot69
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 8:33CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q4 - 8:53CHAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q4 - 9:01CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
11.0%
76
89.0%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 9:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIAHawes BLOCK (1 BLK)69
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 9:39CHAHORNETS Turnover: Backcourt (T#8)69
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIAGreen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)69
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q4 - 10:14CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 267
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 10:14CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 10:26CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 267
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 10:45CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)66
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
15.1%
72
84.9%
Q4 - 11:25CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)64
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T7)61
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)61
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot61
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)61
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
19.8%
66
80.2%
Q3 - 1:13MIAHeat Rebound61
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q3 - 1:13CHAMISS Lee 1' Layup61
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 1:14CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 1:17CHAMISS Hawes 14' Jump Shot61
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)61
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHeat Rebound61
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 1:50MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)61
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 2:09CHAZeller 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)61
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 2:19CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Johnson 20' Step Back Jump Shot61
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 2:44CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 2:44CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 2:44CHAHORNETS Rebound61
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 2:44CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 3:00CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot61
36.0%
62
64.0%
Q3 - 3:09CHALin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)61
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q3 - 3:36CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)59
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)59
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
25.0%
60
75.0%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 4:21CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup56
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T13)56
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
25.0%
60
75.0%
Q3 - 5:03CHAWalker 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)56
27.8%
60
72.2%
Q3 - 5:30CHAHORNETS Rebound56
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 5:35CHAMISS Lin 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
30.8%
58
69.2%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
28.1%
58
71.9%
Q3 - 6:06CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot54
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 6:58CHAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)51
19.5%
58
80.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)51
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 7:22CHAMISS Walker 3' Layup49
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 7:49MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)49
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 8:01CHAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot46
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q3 - 8:15MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
9.1%
58
90.9%
Q3 - 8:28CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)44
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 8:28CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 244
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 8:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 8:52CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup41
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 9:06MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 9:27CHAJefferson 2' Layup (9 PTS)39
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)39
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 9:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q3 - 9:52CHAMISS Williams 3' Jump Shot39
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)39
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHeat Rebound39
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup39
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 10:35CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)39
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 10:54CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q3 - 11:04CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot39
10.1%
52
89.9%
Q3 - 11:07CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 11:08CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup39
10.1%
52
89.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T10)39
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 11:30CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q3 - 11:30CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)39
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q3 - 11:46CHAKaminsky 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot39
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot39
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot39
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot39
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 1:27CHAWalker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T8)37
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 1:52CHALee 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)37
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 2:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 236
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 2:25CHAWalker 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 2:49CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup36
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 2:59CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 235
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:30CHAWalker Running Layup (11 PTS)35
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 3:35CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Hook Shot35
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 3:56CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 3:56CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
27.8%
39
72.2%
Q2 - 3:56CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 3:56CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup35
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 4:02MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)35
29.5%
38
70.5%
Q2 - 4:10CHALin 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)35
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)35
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 4:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 4:45CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 4:50CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup32
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)32
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 5:08CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
29.8%
36
70.2%
Q2 - 5:17CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot32
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 5:37MIAHeat Rebound32
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 5:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 6:05CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 6:05CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIALin STEAL (2 STL)32
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 6:21CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
39.1%
32
60.9%
Q2 - 6:27CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)32
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 6:48CHALee 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 7:12CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot32
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 7:27CHALee Layup (2 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)32
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 7:34MIALee STEAL (1 STL)32
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 7:41CHAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 7:49CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 8:05CHAZeller 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)32
52.2%
27
47.8%
Q2 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
54.6%
25
45.4%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
54.1%
25
45.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q2 - 8:38CHAMISS Lee 21' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot31
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q2 - 8:43CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)31
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q2 - 9:02CHALin 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)31
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q2 - 9:14CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
56.3%
23
43.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
57.2%
23
42.8%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup31
57.2%
23
42.8%
Q2 - 9:33CHAJump Ball Lin vs. Richardson: Tip to31
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q2 - 9:50MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)31
56.4%
23
43.6%
Q2 - 10:01CHAZeller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)31
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q2 - 10:14MIAStoudemire 2' Layup (5 PTS)31
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q2 - 10:25CHAHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q2 - 10:25CHAHawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q2 - 10:25CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q2 - 10:25CHAMISS Hawes 7' Jump Shot29
62.8%
19
37.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIADeng Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)29
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)28
60.4%
19
39.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)27
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q2 - 11:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q2 - 11:04CHAMISS Hawes 8' Hook Shot26
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q2 - 11:24CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot26
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q2 - 11:41CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup26
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
53.3%
19
46.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound26
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Winslow 61' 3PT Jump Shot26
53.6%
19
46.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
54.3%
19
45.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)26
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0CHAMISS Lee 14' Pullup Jump Shot24
56.6%
16
43.4%
Q1 - 1:14MIADeng 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)24
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 1:25CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 1:44MIALin STEAL (1 STL)22
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 2:01CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 2:01CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 2:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot22
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 2:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 2:18CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup22
62.8%
11
37.2%
Q1 - 2:33MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 2:41CHALee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)19
56.8%
11
43.2%
Q1 - 2:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Richardson 1' Layup19
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 3:13CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 3:23MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 3:32CHALee Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)19
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 3:39CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot19
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 3:50CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 3:50CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 219
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 4:12MIADragic 3' Layup (7 PTS)19
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 4:26CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 4:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot17
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
58.0%
8
42.0%
Q1 - 4:53CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 4:53CHAMISS Jefferson Layup17
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 4:55CHAMISS Walker 7' Step Back Jump Shot17
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 5:18CHAHORNETS Rebound17
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 117
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 5:36CHAJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
52.5%
8
47.5%
Q1 - 5:53MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)15
54.5%
6
45.5%
Q1 - 6:10CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 6:10CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
51.9%
5
48.1%
Q1 - 6:31MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)13
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 6:45CHAMISS Walker 15' Jump Bank Shot10
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 7:23CHAMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 7:37CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 7:45CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot8
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 8:33CHAWalker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)8
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 8:51MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:04CHAMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot5
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 9:25CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot5
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:37CHAJefferson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:56CHAHORNETS Rebound5
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)5
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 10:01CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot5
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)5
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 10:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 10:36CHAMISS Walker 10' Step Back Jump Shot3
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 10:45CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup3
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 10:52CHAMISS Williams Dunk3
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:21CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:36CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Whiteside: Tip to Deng0
37.3%
0
62.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
23
52%
CHA
18
32
56%
Midrange
MIA
7
24
29%
CHA
8
27
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
CHA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
14
21
67%
CHA
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1667%8.0 / 12
L. Deng1547%7.5 / 16
D. Wade1243%6.0 / 14
G. Dragic1260%6.0 / 10
H. Whiteside857%4.0 / 7
J. Winslow844%4.0 / 9
A. Stoudemire5125%2.5 / 2
G. Green563%2.5 / 4
J. Richardson321%1.5 / 7
U. Haslem125%0.5 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3455%17.0 / 31
J. Lin2188%10.5 / 12
C. Lee1155%5.5 / 10
A. Jefferson935%4.5 / 13
C. Zeller880%4.0 / 5
F. Kaminsky429%2.0 / 7
S. Hawes225%1.0 / 4
M. Williams0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+15
-17
88
CHA
79
+9
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
99.4
MIA 94.4 +6.7
CHA 101.1
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 89.7 +1.4
CHA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 16.1 +0.3
CHA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.2%
MIA 46.7% +4.0%
CHA 42.7%
TO %
13.2%
9.1%
MIA 16.6%
CHA 10.2% +6.4%
ORB %
23.0%
16.2%
MIA 25.0% +10.7%
CHA 14.3%
FTrt
26.4
30.9
MIA 27.6
CHA 40.0 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
42.6%
MIA 66.7% +33.4%
CHA 33.3%
STL %
5.9%
6.3%
MIA 2.2%
CHA 8.0% +5.8%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
MIA 13.6%
CHA 14.9% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
47.7%
MIA 47.8%
CHA 50.0% +2.2%
Rim FG%
60.8%
46.9%
MIA 52.2%
CHA 56.3% +4.1%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.2%
MIA 29.2%
CHA 29.6% +0.4%
3P %
35.8%
30.8%
MIA 37.9% +12.9%
CHA 25.0%
FT %
76.5%
83.9%
MIA 66.7%
CHA 83.3% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
40.1%
MIA 30.3%
CHA 42.7% +12.4%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
36.8%
MIA 31.6% +4.4%
CHA 36.0%
3P Att. %
23.8%
23.1%
MIA 38.2% +16.8%
CHA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8589
Rebounds4636
Assists2010
Steals27
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals30-7630-75
At-the-Rim FG12-2318-32
Midrange FG7-248-27
2-Point FG19-4726-59
3-Point FG11-294-16
Free Throws14-2125-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
34.8
16
67%
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
29%
4-5
80%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
33.1
15
47%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
2-8
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.6
12
43%
7
10
0
2
4
4
1
6
4-6
67%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
25.3
8
57%
7
0
0
3
3
4
1
6
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
23.6
12
60%
3
3
1
0
5
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
31.2
3
21%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
26.5
8
44%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
11.8
1
25%
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
10.9
5
125%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
6.5
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
46
20
2
8
17
0
10
36
14-21
67%
19-47
40%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.