FinalWin Prob.pScore
1038%98
80
1262%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
86.09395.8
CHA logo CHA
106.79087.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHADaniels 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gutierrez 1 AST)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWright 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13CHAMISS Lamb 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48CHAMISS Zeller 3' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Weber 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15CHAWilliams 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHeat Rebound70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21CHAMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46CHAZeller 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47CHAMISS Williams 1' Layup70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 270
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 270
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19CHAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:44CHAHORNETS Rebound70
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:44CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)68
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:05CHAMISS Lee 14' Fadeaway Jumper68
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:31CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 268
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:49CHALee Foul Turnover (P1.T3)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:53CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06CHAMISS Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:13MIALin STEAL (1 STL)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:19CHAMISS Lin 12' Jump Shot67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:00CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14MIADeng 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)65
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:30CHAMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:55CHAMISS Lee 3' Jump Shot63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:05CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:19CHALee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)62
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)62
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 9:46CHALin 1' Running Layup (18 PTS)60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup60
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:11CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 10:11CHAHawes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)60
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 10:12CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup60
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 10:36MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T13)60
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 10:47CHAZeller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)60
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 10:59CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 11:16CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)60
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 11:36MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)60
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA58
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound58
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 57' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 257
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot57
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)57
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAKaminsky 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 253
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:07CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup53
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)53
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 1:38CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:38CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 1:38CHAHORNETS Rebound53
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 1:38CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 1:50MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)53
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 1:54CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 2:01CHAHORNETS Rebound53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 2:01CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 2:09CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 2:26CHAKaminsky 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)53
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 2:41CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup53
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 3:03CHAMISS Lin 8' Fadeaway Jumper53
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:14CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 3:16MIAMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot53
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 3:46CHALin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)53
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 3:52CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 4:12CHAKaminsky 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T10)53
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 4:37CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 4:51CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.9%
59
82.1%
Q3 - 5:14CHALee 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 5:14CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
22.9%
57
77.1%
Q3 - 5:16CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup53
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 5:21CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
22.9%
57
77.1%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot53
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 5:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
26.3%
57
73.7%
Q3 - 5:46CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot53
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 6:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Deng 3' Layup53
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)53
26.5%
57
73.5%
Q3 - 6:10CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 6:28CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 6:57CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)53
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q3 - 7:03CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
29.2%
55
70.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot53
30.3%
55
69.7%
Q3 - 7:20CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
32.9%
55
67.1%
Q3 - 7:20CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
33.7%
54
66.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)53
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q3 - 8:06CHAKaminsky 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
32.9%
53
67.1%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)51
35.8%
51
64.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)49
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup49
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q3 - 8:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q3 - 8:44CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup49
31.7%
51
68.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
29.3%
51
70.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q3 - 9:17CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot47
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q3 - 9:46MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)47
23.7%
51
76.3%
Q3 - 9:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q3 - 9:53CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot44
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q3 - 10:11CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q3 - 10:22CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 10:22CHAMISS Jefferson Dunk44
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q3 - 10:24CHAMISS Walker 3' Driving Layup44
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q3 - 10:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Driving Hook Shot44
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q3 - 11:01CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot44
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)44
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q3 - 11:23CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q3 - 11:23CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q3 - 11:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
22.3%
49
77.7%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q3 - 11:42CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot44
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot44
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0CHAMISS Lin 17' Step Back Jump Shot44
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)44
22.5%
49
77.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Rebound44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Winslow 31' 3PT Jump Shot44
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
30.6%
46
69.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 243
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
29.3%
46
70.7%
Q2 - 1:24CHAMISS Lee 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q2 - 1:48CHAHORNETS Rebound43
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)43
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
29.3%
46
70.7%
Q2 - 1:52MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)43
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 2:10CHAZeller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 242
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 2:45CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 2:55CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q2 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound42
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 3:19CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup42
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)42
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 3:46CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup40
27.0%
44
73.0%
Q2 - 4:12CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 4:34CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 4:34CHAJefferson 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)40
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 4:36CHAMISS Lee 2' Layup40
31.7%
42
68.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWinslow 3' Layup (2 PTS)40
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 5:15CHAWalker 14' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 5:33MIARichardson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)38
30.0%
40
70.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot36
26.2%
40
73.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 5:49MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)36
26.2%
40
73.8%
Q2 - 6:12CHAJefferson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)36
28.3%
40
71.7%
Q2 - 6:36MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T7)36
30.0%
38
70.0%
Q2 - 6:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 6:53CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P2.T2)36
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
30.3%
38
69.7%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound34
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup34
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)34
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup34
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 7:39CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)32
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 7:39CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 232
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 7:56MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P2.T6)32
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 8:03CHALin 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)32
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 8:13CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot32
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 8:27CHALin 6' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)32
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 8:50CHAHORNETS Rebound32
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot32
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 9:02CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)32
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 9:07CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 9:25CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)32
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 9:42CHAMISS Lee 19' Step Back Jump Shot32
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
31.8%
33
68.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 10:07CHAMISS Lin 2' Layup30
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 10:31CHAWilliams Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)28
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 10:52MIAStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)28
28.1%
31
71.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 13' Floating Jump Shot28
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 11:09MIAHeat Rebound28
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup28
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 11:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 11:14CHAMISS Lin 5' Jump Shot28
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 11:24CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 11:43CHALee 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)28
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA28
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 9' Jump Shot28
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHAMISS Lee 14' Pullup Jump Shot28
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup28
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
34.4%
28
65.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot28
37.3%
27
62.7%
Q1 - 1:10CHALin 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)28
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q1 - 1:17CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup28
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 1:42CHAZeller 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)28
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)28
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.4%
23
52.6%
Q1 - 2:00CHAMISS Zeller 7' Jump Shot28
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)28
45.4%
23
54.6%
Q1 - 2:38CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)26
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)26
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 3:02CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 3:17MIAJohnson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 3:37CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 3:42CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot21
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 3:55CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 3:55CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 4:09CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Deng 3' Jump Shot21
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 4:36CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)21
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 4:50CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 221
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 5:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 5:03CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 5:03CHAMISS Lin 1' Layup20
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 5:05CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot20
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 5:38CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 5:38CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)18
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 6:09CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot16
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 6:33MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 6:39CHAMISS Williams 1' Layup13
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 6:51MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 7:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 7:12CHAJefferson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)13
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 7:14CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup13
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:42CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup13
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 8:30CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)10
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 9:09CHAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)8
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 9:32MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)8
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:43CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:43CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)6
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 10:02CHAJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:25MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 8' Jump Shot3
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 10:54CHAJefferson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:08CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:26CHAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot3
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Whiteside: Tip to Deng0
34.8%
0
65.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.2%
CHA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
23
30%
CHA
22
44
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
34
38%
CHA
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
CHA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
19
30
63%
CHA
21
22
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1968%9.5 / 14
D. Wade1740%8.5 / 21
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
G. Dragic1137%5.5 / 15
J. Johnson732%3.5 / 11
J. Winslow422%2.0 / 9
D. Wright467%2.0 / 3
G. Green3150%1.5 / 1
J. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 1
B. Weber0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin1853%9.0 / 17
K. Walker1737%8.5 / 23
F. Kaminsky1554%7.5 / 14
M. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
C. Zeller1260%6.0 / 10
A. Jefferson1045%5.0 / 11
C. Lee833%4.0 / 12
S. Hawes250%1.0 / 2
T. Daniels2100%1.0 / 1
J. Lamb0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+17
-14
96
CHA
87
+13
-3
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.2%
CHA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
99.4
MIA 86.0 +20.6
CHA 106.7
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 95.8 +8.3
CHA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 15.0 +1.4
CHA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.2%
MIA 38.6%
CHA 41.7% +3.1%
TO %
13.2%
9.1%
MIA 14.0%
CHA 3.9% +10.1%
ORB %
23.0%
16.2%
MIA 24.0% +6.0%
CHA 18.0%
FTrt
26.4
30.9
MIA 38.0 +13.6
CHA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
42.6%
MIA 48.1%
CHA 51.4% +3.3%
STL %
5.9%
6.3%
MIA 1.1%
CHA 5.6% +4.5%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
MIA 11.1% +4.1%
CHA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
47.7%
MIA 41.2%
CHA 46.6% +5.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
46.9%
MIA 30.4%
CHA 50.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.2%
MIA 38.2% +9.6%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
35.8%
30.8%
MIA 31.8% +4.0%
CHA 27.8%
FT %
76.5%
83.9%
MIA 63.3%
CHA 95.5% +32.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
40.1%
MIA 29.1%
CHA 48.9% +19.8%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
36.8%
MIA 43.0%
CHA 31.1% +11.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
23.1%
MIA 27.8% +7.8%
CHA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points8096
Rebounds5347
Assists1318
Steals15
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)3 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals27-7935-90
At-the-Rim FG7-2322-44
Midrange FG13-348-28
2-Point FG20-5730-72
3-Point FG7-225-18
Free Throws19-3021-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
35.7
7
32%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
34.9
19
68%
8
2
0
0
4
2
1
7
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
5-6
83%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
34.5
13
54%
18
0
0
4
1
5
4
14
7-11
64%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.9
17
40%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
3-3
100%
7-20
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
28.6
11
37%
7
4
0
0
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
28.9
2
17%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
24.4
4
22%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
8.8
0
0%
1
0
1
2
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
2.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
2.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
41%
53
13
1
8
14
0
12
41
19-30
63%
20-57
35%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.