FinalWin Prob.pScore
944%100
103
1056%102
115
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
109.69493.2
MIA logo MIA
126.49191.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA103
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHALee Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHAMISS Lin 1' Driving Layup100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04CHADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (29 PTS)100
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 1:28MIADeng 1' Running Dunk (14 PTS)98
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31CHADeng STEAL (1 STL)98
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade 3' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)98
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 1:41CHAWinslow STEAL (1 STL)98
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)98
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHEAT Rebound98
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)98
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 2:19CHAHornets Rebound98
2.0%
107
98.0%
Q4 - 2:20CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 2:21CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
2.0%
107
98.0%
Q4 - 2:22CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup98
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (24 PTS)98
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 3:06CHAHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)98
3.4%
105
96.6%
Q4 - 3:06CHAMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 297
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 3:06CHAHornets Rebound97
3.9%
105
96.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot97
3.3%
105
96.7%
Q4 - 3:24CHAHawes 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)97
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)95
2.7%
105
97.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 3:56CHAHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 3:56CHAHawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 4:03CHAHornets Rebound93
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 4:04CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup93
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 4:20CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 293
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 4:37CHALee 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)93
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)91
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)91
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Winslow 7' Turnaround Hook Shot91
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 5:38CHAWalker 20' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)91
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 5:52CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot89
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 6:10CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 6:10CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 6:10CHAHornets Rebound87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 6:11CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup87
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 6:15CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot87
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 6:39CHAWalker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)87
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIADragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 7:19CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 7:19CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIADragic 5' Driving Bank Shot (16 PTS)83
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 7:55CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 8:20CHAHornets Rebound83
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Stoudemire 15' Jump Shot83
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 8:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 8:36CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 283
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 8:36CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)83
2.4%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIAStoudemire 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 9:09MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 9:10CHAMISS Lin 5' Jump Shot82
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 9:16CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Winslow Dunk82
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 9:24CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot82
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 9:43CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot82
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 9:57CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 9:57CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 10:13MIAWinslow 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIAHEAT Rebound80
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 10:34CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot80
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 10:48CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot80
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 11:05CHAJefferson 11' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)80
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 11:18CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot78
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 11:35CHAStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)78
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 11:48MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Driving Bank Shot78
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHAHornets Rebound78
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Richardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot78
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q3 - 1:00CHARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)78
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q3 - 1:04CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot78
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q3 - 1:22CHAJefferson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)78
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T9)76
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)76
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q3 - 1:54CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 276
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q3 - 1:54CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q3 - 2:16CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot75
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q3 - 2:39CHAJefferson 7' Hook Shot (20 PTS)75
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)73
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q3 - 3:13CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 3:29CHAHornets Rebound73
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q3 - 3:30CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)73
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIARichardson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q3 - 4:22CHAJefferson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)71
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q3 - 5:10CHALee 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)71
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q3 - 5:38CHAMISS Batum 3PT Jump Shot69
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q3 - 5:41CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
9.4%
82
90.6%
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Batum 16' Jump Shot69
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q3 - 6:05MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)69
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q3 - 6:17CHAMISS Batum 14' Jump Shot69
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
15.2%
79
84.8%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
17.1%
77
82.9%
Q3 - 6:38CHAMISS Williams 1' Tip Layup Shot69
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q3 - 6:39CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)69
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q3 - 6:40CHAMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q3 - 6:46CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot69
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 7:02CHAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot69
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 7:05CHAHornets Rebound69
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q3 - 7:06CHADragic BLOCK (1 BLK)69
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 269
20.7%
76
79.3%
Q3 - 7:24CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)69
19.9%
76
80.1%
Q3 - 7:41CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot66
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 7:51CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q3 - 7:57CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q3 - 7:58CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
16.2%
76
83.8%
Q3 - 8:08CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)66
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 8:24CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 8:47CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)66
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 9:00CHAHornets Rebound64
12.5%
76
87.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot64
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q3 - 9:18CHALee 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)64
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)62
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 9:53CHAMISS Williams 10' Floating Jump Shot62
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 10:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup62
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 10:16CHAMISS Zeller 5' Hook Bank Shot62
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q3 - 10:27CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 10:51CHABatum 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)62
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 11:04CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot60
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 11:12CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup60
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIADeng 4' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 11:35CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Layup Shot60
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 11:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 11:37CHAMISS Williams 1' Putback Layup60
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 11:38CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 11:39CHAMISS Williams 1' Layup60
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 11:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 11:41CHAMISS Williams 1' Tip Layup Shot60
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 11:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Zeller Putback Layup60
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 11:45CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 11:47CHAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot60
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)60
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)58
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
20.6%
67
79.4%
Q2 - 1:11CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)58
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)56
20.5%
65
79.5%
Q2 - 1:44CHAWalker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)56
26.1%
62
73.9%
Q2 - 1:59CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
22.7%
62
77.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 154
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q2 - 2:12CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)54
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIADragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q2 - 2:38CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)52
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q2 - 2:53MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q2 - 3:04CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)50
31.1%
54
68.9%
Q2 - 3:04CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)49
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q2 - 3:04CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)48
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q2 - 3:17MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
27.1%
53
72.9%
Q2 - 3:20CHAWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)47
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q2 - 3:44MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 4:02CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot47
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAJohnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
39.4%
49
60.6%
Q2 - 4:49CHAJefferson Tip Layup Shot (16 PTS)47
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q2 - 4:50CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q2 - 4:51CHAMISS Batum 2' Cutting Layup Shot45
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (12 PTS)45
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot45
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 5:31CHAJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)45
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWhiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
44.9%
45
55.1%
Q2 - 6:16CHAJefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 6:34CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 6:54CHAJefferson 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q2 - 7:43CHAJefferson Dunk (10 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)41
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAWhiteside 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 8:12CHABatum 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 8:21CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
39.7%
39
60.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
38.9%
39
61.1%
Q2 - 8:39CHAJefferson 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 8:55MIARichardson 3' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)35
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 9:11CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
37.0%
37
63.0%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)33
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 9:32CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)33
32.5%
37
67.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIARichardson Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)33
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)33
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 9:49MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)33
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 10:08CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)33
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAWinslow 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)31
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 11:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
39.4%
32
60.6%
Q2 - 11:01CHAJefferson 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)31
39.4%
32
60.6%
Q2 - 11:02CHAMISS Kaminsky 5' Jump Bank Shot29
35.6%
32
64.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)29
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 11:38CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA29
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)29
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIARichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0CHAMISS Jefferson 12' Floating Jump Shot27
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIAGreen Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
43.7%
27
56.3%
Q1 - 1:22CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q1 - 1:22CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
41.6%
27
58.4%
Q1 - 1:31CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 1:46CHAWalker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)25
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q1 - 2:12CHALin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)23
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 2:23MIAStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 2:39CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 2:39CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)19
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q1 - 3:10CHALin 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)17
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 3:30CHAMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot17
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 3:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:37CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 3:42CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:43CHAMISS Walker 3' Driving Reverse Layup17
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 4:18CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 217
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 4:18CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 217
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 4:18CHAHornets Rebound17
39.7%
19
60.3%
Q1 - 4:19CHAMISS Batum 15' Jump Shot17
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 4:34CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.7%
19
60.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot17
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 4:48CHAMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot17
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 5:07MIADragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
39.6%
19
60.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 5:20CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWhiteside 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot17
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 5:58CHAZeller 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)17
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 6:19CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)15
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:24CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot15
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 6:39CHABatum 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)15
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 7:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 7:08CHAMISS Walker 16' Pullup Jump Shot13
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 7:42CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:42CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIADeng 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)11
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 8:00CHAMISS Walker 6' Jump Bank Shot11
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Walker: Tip to Zeller11
47.2%
9
52.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot11
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 8:27CHAWalker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
45.1%
9
54.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 8:54CHAWalker 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 9:03MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 9:15CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 9:15CHAMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 25
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 9:19CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper5
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 9:47CHAZeller 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWade 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)3
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 10:20CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
38.3%
5
61.7%
Q1 - 10:34MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 10:57CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:57CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 22
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:10MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:31CHAZeller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)2
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:40CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Deng 17' Pullup Jump Shot0
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Zeller: Tip to Dragic0
41.3%
0
58.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
36
44%
MIA
15
17
88%
Midrange
CHA
21
37
57%
MIA
20
43
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
MIA
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
CHA
26
33
79%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2947%14.5 / 31
A. Jefferson2569%12.5 / 18
C. Lee1275%6.0 / 8
J. Lin1150%5.5 / 11
N. Batum938%4.5 / 12
C. Zeller850%4.0 / 8
S. Hawes583%2.5 / 3
F. Kaminsky467%2.0 / 3
M. Williams0-0.0 / 11
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2856%14.0 / 25
G. Dragic1864%9.0 / 14
H. Whiteside17106%8.5 / 8
L. Deng1667%8.0 / 12
J. Richardson1575%7.5 / 10
J. Winslow975%4.5 / 6
J. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
87
+21
-7
108
MIA
83
+5
-8
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.4
105.0
CHA 109.6
MIA 126.4 +16.8
Pace
90.9
90.2
CHA 93.2 +1.3
MIA 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
CHA 15.5 +0.2
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.2%
50.0%
CHA 43.3%
MIA 63.8% +20.5%
TO %
9.1%
13.2%
CHA 7.2% +4.2%
MIA 11.4%
ORB %
16.2%
23.0%
CHA 31.9% +20.8%
MIA 11.1%
FTrt
30.9
26.4
CHA 37.1 +8.2
MIA 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
42.6%
44.4%
CHA 23.7%
MIA 43.2% +19.5%
STL %
6.3%
5.9%
CHA 3.2%
MIA 6.6% +3.4%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
CHA 1.7%
MIA 8.2% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.9%
CHA 47.7%
MIA 63.9% +16.2%
Rim FG%
46.9%
60.8%
CHA 44.4%
MIA 88.2% +43.8%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.2%
CHA 56.8% +10.3%
MIA 46.5%
3P %
30.8%
35.8%
CHA 6.3%
MIA 56.3% +50.0%
FT %
83.9%
76.5%
CHA 78.8%
MIA 81.8% +3.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
32.1%
CHA 40.4% +18.1%
MIA 22.4%
Mid Att. %
36.8%
44.1%
CHA 41.6% +15.0%
MIA 56.6%
3P Att. %
23.1%
23.8%
CHA 18.0%
MIA 21.1% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9491
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points103115
Rebounds3935
Assists919
Steals36
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)8 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (6)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (5)32 (1)
Field Goals38-8944-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3615-17
Midrange FG21-3720-43
2-Point FG37-7335-60
3-Point FG1-169-16
Free Throws26-3318-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
41.6
12
75%
4
2
0
0
0
5
1
3
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 184 · 26
41.5
29
47%
4
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
4-4
100%
11-23
48%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
34.4
9
38%
7
3
0
0
2
0
1
6
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 30
28.5
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
1
5
1
0-2
0%
0-8
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 24
13.6
8
50%
5
0
0
0
0
4
2
3
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 31
27.1
25
69%
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
4
1-2
50%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
26.4
11
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
7-8
88%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23
19.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28
7.3
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 25
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
G · 6'3" 189 · 27
· 6'9" 250 · 30
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'6" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
48%
39
9
3
1
7
0
15
24
26-33
79%
37-73
51%
1-16
6%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.