FinalWin Prob.pScore
1040%98
91
1160%101
123
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
107.18590.7
MIA logo MIA
146.48479.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHALamb 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHAMISS Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHAHornets Rebound89
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Gutierrez 16' Jump Shot89
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Weber 1 AST)89
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0CHAMISS Daniels 9' Floating Jump Shot89
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)89
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:12CHAWeber STEAL (1 STL)89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:21CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:39MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40CHAMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06CHAMISS Gutierrez 13' Jump Shot89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47CHAHawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gutierrez 1 AST)89
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58CHAGutierrez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22CHALamb 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot84
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49CHAMISS Daniels 18' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAStoudemire Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01CHAMISS Batum 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29CHALin Foul Turnover (P2.T10)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAStoudemire 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWinslow 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Winslow 3' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Fadeaway Jumper82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14CHAMISS Lin 1' Driving Layup82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:26CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 7:27CHAMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:31CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 7:32CHAMISS Batum 19' Jump Shot82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)82
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09CHALin 2' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Kaminsky 2 AST)82
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 8:26MIADeng 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (31 PTS)80
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 8:53CHAJefferson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)80
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:51CHAJefferson 2' Layup (9 PTS)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 10:03CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot76
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 10:16CHARichardson STEAL (1 STL)76
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 10:38MIADeng Free Throw 3 of 3 (29 PTS)76
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 3 (28 PTS)76
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 376
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 10:57CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 10:57CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 11:08CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 11:09CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 11:14CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 11:15CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 11:36CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 174
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA74
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound74
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 32' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 274
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)71
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJohnson 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)69
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q3 - 1:32CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)69
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)67
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 2:11CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot67
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)67
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 2:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 3:08CHAWalker 15' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWinslow 12' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)65
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 3:50CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 4:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot62
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 4:14CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T8)62
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 4:29CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 262
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 4:48CHAWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)62
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)62
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:25CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 2 of 262
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 5:25CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)61
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:57CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)61
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 6:00CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Johnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot58
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 6:09CHADragic STEAL (1 STL)58
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 6:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 158
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 6:39CHALee 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)58
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 7:21CHAZeller 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)56
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)54
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 7:44CHAWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)54
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)54
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Johnson 40' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 8:40CHAZeller Dunk (7 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)54
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 9:02MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)52
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 9:23CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 9:23CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 9:46CHAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)50
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)50
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 10:14CHAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot50
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 10:18CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 10:19CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot50
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 10:46MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)50
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 10:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 10:54CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 11:03CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot50
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 11:10CHAWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)50
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 11:21CHAHornets Rebound50
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 11:41CHABatum Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)50
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA50
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0CHAWalker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Green 17' Fadeaway Jumper46
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup46
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q2 - 1:19CHAMISS Williams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot46
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q2 - 1:38CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup46
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q2 - 1:57CHAMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot46
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q2 - 2:40CHAZeller Driving Dunk (5 PTS)46
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q2 - 2:58MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q2 - 3:11CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)44
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q2 - 3:11CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 1 of 243
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q2 - 3:18CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q2 - 3:19CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q2 - 3:38MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q2 - 3:38MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 4:08CHABatum 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)43
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 4:27MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q2 - 4:43CHAWilliams 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)39
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Hook Shot39
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Tip Layup Shot39
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Hook Shot39
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 5:27CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 5:27CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJohnson 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 6:04CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 6:04CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)36
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q2 - 6:13MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)35
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 6:30CHABatum 8' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)35
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade 3' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)33
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 7:05CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 233
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 7:05CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 7:23MIAWade 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)32
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 7:40CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 232
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 7:40CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 232
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 7:54CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 7:54CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 8:34CHALin 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 8:58CHAHornets Rebound28
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Dragic 12' Floating Jump Shot28
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 9:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 9:09CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)28
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 9:33CHAMISS Lee 3' Layup28
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 9:41CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot28
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 10:06CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)28
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 10:28MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 10:36CHAMISS Lin 16' Pullup Jump Shot25
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAWinslow 2' Layup (2 PTS)25
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 11:07CHAMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 11:20CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.0%
41
88.0%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
11.6%
41
88.4%
Q2 - 11:46CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)25
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 4' Driving Bank Shot22
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)22
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)20
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)18
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q1 - 1:30CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q1 - 1:30CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 217
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)17
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q1 - 1:42MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot17
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q1 - 1:59CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q1 - 1:59CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q1 - 2:01MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q1 - 2:18CHALin Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q1 - 2:45MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)15
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 2:55CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot15
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
16.5%
28
83.5%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot15
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 3:37CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 4:02MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)15
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q1 - 4:28CHAWalker 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)15
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)13
20.7%
23
79.3%
Q1 - 4:57CHAWinslow STEAL (1 STL)13
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 5:36CHABatum 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)13
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 5:52CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade 2' Finger Roll Layup11
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 6:02CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIADragic 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 6:27CHAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup11
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 6:50MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)11
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot11
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 7:02MIAHEAT Rebound11
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 7:03CHAMISS Batum 16' Jump Shot11
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIADeng 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 7:43CHALee 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 7:50CHAHornets Rebound9
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 7:51CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)9
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 8:09CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot9
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 8:27CHABatum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)9
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 8:45MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
26.4%
12
73.6%
Q1 - 8:59CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)3
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 9:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
26.0%
9
74.0%
Q1 - 9:32CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 3 of 33
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 9:32CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)3
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 9:32CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)2
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 9:38MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 9:43CHADeng STEAL (1 STL)1
26.0%
7
74.0%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)1
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)1
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 10:08CHAMISS Lee 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup1
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWhiteside 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)1
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
32.4%
3
67.6%
Q1 - 11:07CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
32.8%
3
67.2%
Q1 - 11:29CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot1
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 11:30CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
32.4%
3
67.6%
Q1 - 11:30CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 20
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 11:46MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
32.3%
3
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Zeller: Tip to Deng0
35.6%
0
64.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
12
23
52%
MIA
23
32
72%
Midrange
CHA
10
25
40%
MIA
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
MIA
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHA
29
37
78%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Batum2467%12.0 / 18
K. Walker1963%9.5 / 15
A. Jefferson1359%6.5 / 11
C. Zeller990%4.5 / 5
J. Lin964%4.5 / 7
C. Lee850%4.0 / 8
J. Lamb467%2.0 / 3
S. Hawes375%1.5 / 2
M. Williams214%1.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky0-0.0 / 1
T. Daniels0-0.0 / 2
J. Gutierrez0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng31103%15.5 / 15
H. Whiteside2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wade1650%8.0 / 16
J. Johnson1169%5.5 / 8
A. Stoudemire1179%5.5 / 7
G. Dragic941%4.5 / 11
J. Richardson836%4.0 / 11
J. Winslow867%4.0 / 6
D. Wright8133%4.0 / 3
G. Green0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
74
+10
-11
84
MIA
78
+16
-6
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.4
105.0
CHA 107.1
MIA 146.4 +39.4
Pace
90.9
90.2
CHA 90.7 +11.7
MIA 79.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
CHA 15.9 +2.4
MIA 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.2%
50.0%
CHA 47.7%
MIA 62.9% +15.2%
TO %
9.1%
13.2%
CHA 11.9%
MIA 6.0% +5.9%
ORB %
16.2%
23.0%
CHA 20.0%
MIA 40.0% +20.0%
FTrt
30.9
26.4
CHA 56.9 +32.2
MIA 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
42.6%
44.4%
CHA 39.3%
MIA 55.1% +15.8%
STL %
6.3%
5.9%
CHA 5.9%
MIA 8.3% +2.4%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
CHA 3.0%
MIA 8.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.9%
CHA 54.2%
MIA 64.7% +10.5%
Rim FG%
46.9%
60.8%
CHA 52.2%
MIA 71.9% +19.7%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.2%
CHA 40.0%
MIA 48.6% +8.6%
3P %
30.8%
35.8%
CHA 35.3%
MIA 50.0% +14.7%
FT %
83.9%
76.5%
CHA 78.4% +2.2%
MIA 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
32.1%
CHA 35.4%
MIA 37.6% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
36.8%
44.1%
CHA 38.5% +2.7%
MIA 41.2%
3P Att. %
23.1%
23.8%
CHA 26.2% +5.0%
MIA 21.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points91123
Rebounds2842
Assists1127
Steals57
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals28-6549-85
At-the-Rim FG12-2323-32
Midrange FG10-2517-35
2-Point FG22-4840-67
3-Point FG6-179-18
Free Throws29-3716-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
40.2
24
67%
2
1
2
0
3
3
0
2
7-10
70%
4-7
57%
3-7
43%
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
33.5
8
50%
2
1
2
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 184 · 26
31.5
19
63%
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 237 · 30
26.3
2
14%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 24
20.4
9
90%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
24.6
9
64%
2
3
0
0
2
4
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 31
23.4
13
59%
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23
17.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
3
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 25
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
4.2
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28
4.2
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 189 · 27
4.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 30
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'6" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
28
11
5
2
11
0
7
21
29-37
78%
22-48
46%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.