FinalWin Prob.pScore
1233%99
99
567%105
111
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.19789.4
HOU logo HOU
116.895103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL99
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Prigioni 19' Jump Shot99
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALMavericks Rebound96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Harden 21' Step Back Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMISS Felton 1' Driving Layup96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DALMISS Powell 20' Step Back Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Ellis 3' Reverse Layup96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15HOUSmith Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)96
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 2:30DALFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)96
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:40HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Smith 9 AST)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:58DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 2:58DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 292
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:09HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:09HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 3:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)92
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:22DALMISS Felton 2' Layup92
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 3:37HOUPrigioni 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)92
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 3:52DALChandler Putback Dunk (10 PTS)92
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 3:53DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 3:55DALMISS Barea 11' Running Jump Shot90
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 4:10DALFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 4:11HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot90
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 4:34HOUROCKETS Rebound90
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 4:34DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 4:41DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 4:43DALMISS Barea 2' Layup90
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 4:48HOUPrigioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)90
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 4:59HOUROCKETS Rebound90
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 5:00HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 5:13DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T10)90
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 5:17DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 5:17DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 5:39HOUPrigioni 18' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)88
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 5:52HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 5:53DALMISS Barea 19' Pullup Jump Shot88
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 6:09HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T11)88
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 6:20HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 6:21DALMISS Ellis 2' Reverse Layup88
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 6:37HOUBrewer 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)88
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 6:45HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 6:46DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 6:56HOUBrewer Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)88
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q4 - 7:13DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
8.7%
94
91.3%
Q4 - 7:13DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
8.2%
94
91.8%
Q4 - 7:38HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)86
6.9%
94
93.1%
Q4 - 7:51DALBarea 11' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)86
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 8:11HOUSmith 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Prigioni 3 AST)84
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 8:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)84
9.9%
90
90.1%
Q4 - 8:29DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot84
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 8:49HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)84
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 9:06HOUROCKETS Rebound84
16.4%
88
83.6%
Q4 - 9:06HOUMISS Howard 1' Reverse Layup84
18.9%
88
81.1%
Q4 - 9:26HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
16.4%
88
83.6%
Q4 - 9:28DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 9:50HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)84
20.0%
88
80.0%
Q4 - 10:00HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q4 - 10:02DALMISS Felton 22' Pullup Jump Shot84
25.6%
86
74.4%
Q4 - 10:18HOUBrewer 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)84
28.8%
86
71.2%
Q4 - 10:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)84
33.4%
84
66.6%
Q4 - 10:23DALMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot84
35.0%
84
65.0%
Q4 - 10:50HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)84
38.8%
84
61.2%
Q4 - 10:54HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
44.1%
82
55.9%
Q4 - 10:54HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 284
49.1%
82
50.9%
Q4 - 10:54HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
46.5%
82
53.5%
Q4 - 11:09DALStoudemire 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
48.6%
81
51.4%
Q4 - 11:20DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
43.6%
81
56.4%
Q4 - 11:21HOUMISS Prigioni 1' Reverse Layup82
41.9%
81
58.1%
Q4 - 11:39DALEllis 13' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)82
38.2%
81
61.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU80
33.5%
81
66.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALEllis 30' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)80
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0HOUROCKETS Rebound77
18.0%
81
82.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup77
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
18.0%
81
82.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Reverse Layup77
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)77
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot77
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)77
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q3 - 1:10DALStoudemire 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)77
28.7%
78
71.3%
Q3 - 1:17DALAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
25.0%
78
75.0%
Q3 - 1:19DALMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 1:40DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
25.0%
78
75.0%
Q3 - 1:42HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot75
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q3 - 1:51HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q3 - 1:52DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot75
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 1:58DALFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
25.0%
78
75.0%
Q3 - 1:59HOUMISS Brewer 2' Layup75
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q3 - 2:03HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
21.5%
78
78.5%
Q3 - 2:05DALMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot75
22.6%
78
77.4%
Q3 - 2:13DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
25.0%
78
75.0%
Q3 - 2:14HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
23.9%
78
76.1%
Q3 - 2:18HOUROCKETS Rebound75
21.5%
78
78.5%
Q3 - 2:18HOUMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot75
23.9%
78
76.1%
Q3 - 2:39DALAminu 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)75
21.5%
78
78.5%
Q3 - 2:47DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q3 - 2:50DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
14.3%
78
85.7%
Q3 - 3:00DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q3 - 3:02DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot72
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q3 - 3:09HOUBrewer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)72
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q3 - 3:12DALBrewer STEAL (1 STL)72
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q3 - 3:29HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 3:29HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 272
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 3:31DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 3:31DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 3:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)70
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 3:47HOUMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 170
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q3 - 4:00DALBarea 3' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)70
16.3%
75
83.7%
Q3 - 4:17HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)68
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 4:30DALEllis 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)68
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q3 - 4:49DALMavericks Rebound66
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 4:51HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMISS Brewer 1' Tip Shot66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 4:52HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 5:04HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 166
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 5:09HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 5:09DALMISS Ellis 22' Pullup Jump Shot66
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 5:23HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q3 - 5:23HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)66
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 5:39DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
21.9%
69
78.1%
Q3 - 5:39DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q3 - 5:49HOUSmith Dunk (9 PTS)64
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q3 - 5:51DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)64
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 5:59HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)64
25.3%
67
74.7%
Q3 - 6:10HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 6:11HOUMISS Harden 23' Pullup Jump Shot64
24.2%
67
75.8%
Q3 - 6:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 6:21DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot64
22.9%
67
77.1%
Q3 - 6:41HOUSmith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)64
25.2%
67
74.8%
Q3 - 6:45HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 6:46HOUMISS Smith 2' Layup64
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q3 - 7:04DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 7:19HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)61
22.3%
65
77.7%
Q3 - 7:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
19.4%
65
80.6%
Q3 - 7:24DALMISS Chandler Putback Dunk61
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 7:25DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
22.3%
65
77.7%
Q3 - 7:26DALMISS Jefferson 2' Layup61
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 7:52HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)61
22.3%
65
77.7%
Q3 - 8:07DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
27.5%
62
72.5%
Q3 - 8:07DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)59
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 8:14HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot59
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 8:39DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
21.9%
62
78.1%
Q3 - 8:39DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 8:50HOUHoward Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS)57
19.9%
62
80.1%
Q3 - 8:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 8:55HOUMISS Harden 14' Fadeaway Jumper57
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q3 - 9:20HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 9:21DALMISS Barea 11' Running Jump Shot57
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 9:36HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)57
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q3 - 9:54HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 9:55HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot57
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 10:10DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 10:29HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)55
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 10:29HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 10:29HOUHoward 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)55
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 10:30HOUMISS Harden 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot55
26.3%
57
73.7%
Q3 - 10:42HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 10:43DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot55
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 11:00DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup55
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 11:11DALEllis 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)55
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q3 - 11:26HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)53
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 11:26HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)53
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q3 - 11:26HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)53
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 11:40DALJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
26.9%
54
73.1%
Q3 - 11:40DALJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 11:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)51
24.4%
54
75.6%
Q3 - 11:50HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)51
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL51
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound51
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Barea 48' 3PT Jump Shot51
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
26.7%
53
73.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup51
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
24.9%
53
75.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot49
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)47
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALBarea 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:15HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)45
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 1:15HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 1:26HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot45
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q2 - 1:44HOUCapela Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)45
26.6%
47
73.4%
Q2 - 1:56HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q2 - 1:57DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot45
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 2:02DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 2:04DALMISS Jefferson 1' Driving Layup45
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 2:08DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 2:10HOUMISS Capela Dunk45
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q2 - 2:24DALJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)45
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 2:46HOUTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)42
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 3:02HOUROCKETS Rebound42
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 3:03DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 3:22HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 3:22HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
32.4%
41
67.6%
Q2 - 3:25HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 3:26DALMISS Chandler 2' Tip Shot42
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 3:27DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 3:28DALMISS Chandler 2' Alley Oop Layup42
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 3:51DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 3:53HOUMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 4:00HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 4:01DALMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 4:24HOUJones 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)42
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 4:36DALEllis 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)42
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 4:37DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
36.7%
38
63.3%
Q2 - 4:38DALCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)40
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 4:43DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
36.7%
38
63.3%
Q2 - 4:44HOUMISS Harden 3' Layup40
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 4:51HOUROCKETS Rebound40
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 4:55HOUMISS Capela 3' Reverse Layup40
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 5:12DALVillanueva 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)40
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 5:30HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 5:34HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 5:35DALMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot38
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 5:40DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 5:41DALMISS Felton 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 5:59HOUAriza Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)38
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 6:03DALHarden STEAL (1 STL)38
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 6:16HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)38
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 6:22DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)38
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 6:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 6:43HOUHoward 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)36
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 6:44HOUMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot36
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q2 - 6:58DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 7:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)34
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 7:05HOUMISS Prigioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 7:17DALFelton 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 7:32DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:33HOUMISS Brewer 2' Layup32
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 7:38HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 7:39DALHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)32
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 8:01HOUBrewer 4' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Prigioni 2 AST)32
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 8:20HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 8:21DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 8:34HOUPrigioni 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 8:50DALAminu 2' Layup (6 PTS)32
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 9:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)30
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 9:02HOUMISS Brewer 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot30
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 9:14HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q2 - 9:15DALMISS Felton 8' Running Jump Shot30
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q2 - 9:23HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 9:23HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 9:23HOUAriza Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)30
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 9:42DALFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q2 - 9:42DALFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 9:57DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
32.7%
27
67.3%
Q2 - 9:58DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 10:22HOUBrewer 13' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)28
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 10:36HOUROCKETS Rebound28
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q2 - 10:37DALMISS Barea 3PT Jump Shot28
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q2 - 10:50HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q2 - 11:01DALAminu 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 11:19HOUBrewer 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q2 - 11:32DALFelton 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q2 - 11:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)24
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q2 - 11:41HOUMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot24
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
30.3%
23
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound24
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 49' 3PT Running Jump Shot24
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 224
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
32.4%
22
67.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Villanueva 4' Running Layup19
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMavericks Rebound19
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)19
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 1:00HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:01DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot19
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 1:09DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 1:10HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 219
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 1:10HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 219
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 1:10HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:11HOUMISS Smith 8' Running Jump Shot19
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 1:25DALAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:25DALAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 1:28DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:29HOUMISS Smith 1' Layup17
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 1:43DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)17
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 2:07DALMavericks Rebound14
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 2:07HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 2:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 2:21DALMISS Barea 7' Pullup Jump Shot14
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 2:39HOUCapela 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)14
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 2:56DALStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 3:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)14
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 3:09HOUMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:18HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 3:20HOUMISS Ariza 2' Reverse Layup14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:21HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 3:24HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:32HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 3:33DALMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot14
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 3:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 3:43HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:50HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 3:51DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 4:16HOUSmith Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)14
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:36DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)14
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 4:48HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 4:49HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 4:51DALSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)12
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 4:52DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 4:54DALCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)12
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMISS Smith 4' Floating Jump Shot12
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 5:29DALEllis 6' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)12
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 5:45HOUHarden Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)10
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 5:49DALTerry STEAL (1 STL)10
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 5:55DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 5:56HOUMISS Jones 1' Layup10
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 6:17DALChandler Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)10
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 6:30HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)8
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 6:41DALJefferson Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)8
22.8%
11
77.2%
Q1 - 6:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 6:46HOUMISS Howard 3' Layup6
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 6:54HOUROCKETS Rebound6
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 6:54HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup6
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 7:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 7:02DALMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 7:30HOUTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 7:34DALMavericks Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#4)6
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 7:43DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:43HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 26
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 7:43HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:01DALRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Harden 5' Running Jump Shot4
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:26DALRondo 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 8:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:36HOUMISS Howard 6' Running Hook Shot2
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 9:02DALEllis 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:13HOUHoward 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 9:25DALJones STEAL (1 STL)0
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 9:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot0
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:40HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 9:41DALMISS Rondo 4' Driving Jump Shot0
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 9:47DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 9:48HOUMISS Jones 3' Running Jump Shot0
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:57DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 10:14HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)0
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 10:23HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:24DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:57HOUHarden 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 11:05HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:06DALMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:12DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:13HOUMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:32DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Chandler: Tip to Rondo0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.93 46.7%
HOU
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
34
44%
HOU
27
50
54%
Midrange
DAL
12
33
36%
HOU
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
HOU
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
DAL
27
28
96%
HOU
27
35
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2446%12.0 / 26
J. Barea1343%6.5 / 15
T. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
D. Nowitzki1033%5.0 / 15
A. Aminu975%4.5 / 6
R. Felton945%4.5 / 10
R. Jefferson750%3.5 / 7
A. Stoudemire7117%3.5 / 3
C. Villanueva563%2.5 / 4
R. Rondo450%2.0 / 4
D. Powell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2867%14.0 / 21
J. Harden2455%12.0 / 22
C. Brewer1558%7.5 / 13
J. Smith1550%7.5 / 15
J. Terry8133%4.0 / 3
P. Prigioni758%3.5 / 6
T. Jones531%2.5 / 8
C. Capela550%2.5 / 5
T. Ariza420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
89
+17
-8
106
HOU
84
+19
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.93 46.7%
HOU
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
107.0
DAL 102.1
HOU 116.8 +14.8
Pace
102.2
101.1
DAL 89.4
HOU 103.9 +14.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
13.9
DAL 16.1
HOU 13.9 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
50.5%
DAL 40.4%
HOU 47.7% +7.3%
TO %
13.3%
14.6%
DAL 9.0% +1.4%
HOU 10.4%
ORB %
27.5%
23.7%
DAL 28.0%
HOU 28.9% +0.9%
FTrt
27.4
44.0
DAL 31.5
HOU 39.8 +8.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.0%
58.6%
DAL 42.4%
HOU 64.1% +21.7%
STL %
6.9%
8.3%
DAL 4.1%
HOU 5.3% +1.2%
BLK %
7.7%
9.0%
DAL 8.8% +1.3%
HOU 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.7%
DAL 46.7%
HOU 52.9% +6.2%
Rim FG%
57.9%
59.6%
DAL 44.1%
HOU 54.0% +9.9%
Mid FG%
43.6%
33.8%
DAL 36.4% +3.1%
HOU 33.3%
3P %
31.1%
34.4%
DAL 27.3%
HOU 30.0% +2.7%
FT %
76.2%
65.5%
DAL 96.4% +19.3%
HOU 77.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
41.9%
DAL 38.2%
HOU 56.8% +18.6%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
25.1%
DAL 37.1%
HOU 20.5% +16.6%
3P Att. %
26.5%
33.0%
DAL 24.7% +2.0%
HOU 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsDALHOU
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points99111
Rebounds4649
Assists1425
Steals45
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)36 (3)
Field Goals33-8939-88
At-the-Rim FG15-3427-50
Midrange FG12-336-18
2-Point FG27-6733-68
3-Point FG6-226-20
Free Throws27-2827-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 29
37.5
24
46%
5
3
0
1
1
3
2
3
6-6
100%
6-15
40%
2-8
25%
F · 7'0" 245 · 37
37.2
10
33%
13
2
1
0
0
1
1
12
4-4
100%
3-12
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 33
30.4
11
55%
8
0
1
2
1
4
4
4
7-8
88%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 35
22.8
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 186 · 29
9.9
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 31
33.5
13
43%
6
2
0
0
4
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 25
22.7
9
75%
4
2
2
3
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 205 · 31
17.9
9
45%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
15.5
7
117%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 31
8.8
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 30
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 24
#20 · G · 6'3" 185 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
47%
46
14
4
6
8
0
14
32
27-28
96%
27-67
40%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.