FinalWin Prob.pScore
532%95
87
268%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.98893.9
SAS logo SAS
118.28882.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Rebound87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Joseph 19' Jump Shot87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)87
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASAyres 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Belinelli Layup82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 24' Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43SASBelinelli 10' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14SASParker 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIABeasley 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53SASParker 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Layup72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:18SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 7:32MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)72
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:44SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)70
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 8:14SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 8:27MIABeasley 1' Dunk (4 PTS)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:33MIAHeat Rebound65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:33MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Ginobili Layup65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#12)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 9:05SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 9:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 165
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJames 2' Dunk (29 PTS)65
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 10:14SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:14SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 10:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot60
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 10:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 160
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 11:04SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)58
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup56
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)56
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:09SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)53
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 1:32SASSPURS Rebound53
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 1:33MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)53
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 1:43SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 2 AST)53
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 1:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 1:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 2:11SASJump Ball Leonard vs. Battier: Tip to James51
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIABosh Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot49
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 3:01MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)49
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 3:11SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)49
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 3:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 249
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 3:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 3:42SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)48
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)48
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot46
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 4:39MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)46
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)44
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 5:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 5:29SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 5:55SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)42
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 6:09SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 6:11MIASplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)42
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 6:36SASMills 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)42
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 6:50MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P4.T9)42
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 7:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot42
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 7:38SASLeonard Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)42
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q3 - 7:53MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q3 - 8:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 240
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q3 - 8:18SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)40
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q3 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound40
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot40
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q3 - 8:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 8:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q3 - 8:55SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q3 - 8:57MIALeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)40
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAHeat Rebound40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot40
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 9:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q3 - 9:46SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q3 - 10:01SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot40
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q3 - 10:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot40
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q3 - 10:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 11:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Bank Shot40
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot40
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 11:41SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)40
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASSPURS Rebound40
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 1:05SASDiaw 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)40
15.7%
47
84.3%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 1:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
15.7%
45
84.3%
Q2 - 1:39SASMISS Diaw 1' Layup38
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)38
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 237
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q2 - 2:04SASGinobili 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJames 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)37
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 2:46SASGinobili 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)35
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot35
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 3:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 3:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 235
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)35
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 3:39SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)35
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot35
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 4:19SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Bank Shot35
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 4:47SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 4:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS James 1' Layup35
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound35
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS James 1' Layup35
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 135
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 5:53MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T6)35
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 6:02SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 6:19SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
40.3%
30
59.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 6:38SASBelinelli 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)35
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 6:44SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 6:46SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot35
48.0%
28
52.0%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot35
48.0%
28
52.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound33
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot33
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q2 - 7:44SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 8:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q2 - 8:26SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)33
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)33
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Green 11' Turnaround Jump Shot33
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)33
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot31
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 9:49SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot31
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Parker Layup31
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 10:15SASSPURS Rebound31
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot31
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)31
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 11:09SASLeonard 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)29
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 11:32SASJump Ball Green vs. Wade: Tip to Splitter29
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 11:49SASLeonard 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)29
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound29
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot29
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
44.8%
21
55.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot27
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 1:16MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)27
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 1:43SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)27
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)27
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)26
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 2:10SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot25
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)25
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 2:57SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)22
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 3:11SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.0%
15
59.0%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 3:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 3:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 4:04SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)22
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 4:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot22
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)22
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 4:39MIABattier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 4:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 5:04MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)22
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
53.8%
6
46.2%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 219
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 5:25SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 5:33SASSPURS Rebound19
53.7%
5
46.3%
Q1 - 5:33SASMISS Mills 1' Layup19
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 5:38MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)19
53.7%
5
46.3%
Q1 - 5:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Diaw 1' Reverse Layup19
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)19
52.0%
5
48.0%
Q1 - 6:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 6:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 6:06SASMISS Leonard Tip Shot16
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup16
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 6:38MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 7:13SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIABosh 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 7:43SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 7:59MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)11
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 8:07SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Layup8
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
37.9%
1
62.1%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames 2' Dunk (6 PTS)8
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot6
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot6
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 9:02SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 9:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 10:00SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot4
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 10:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot4
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS James 2' Layup4
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Leonard 9' Jump Bank Shot4
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAJames 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:31SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
27.2%
0
72.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
25
56%
SAS
11
20
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
SAS
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
SAS
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
SAS
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3162%15.5 / 25
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
D. Wade1139%5.5 / 14
M. Beasley956%4.5 / 8
M. Chalmers880%4.0 / 5
R. Allen528%2.5 / 9
R. Lewis375%1.5 / 2
T. Douglas375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole233%1.0 / 3
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2285%11.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1973%9.5 / 13
P. Mills1785%8.5 / 10
T. Parker1642%8.0 / 19
T. Duncan1458%7.0 / 12
B. Diaw536%2.5 / 7
M. Belinelli467%2.0 / 3
T. Splitter3150%1.5 / 1
J. Ayres2100%1.0 / 1
A. Baynes2100%1.0 / 1
D. Green0-0.0 / 5
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-10
90
SAS
80
+8
-8
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
114.0
MIA 98.9 +19.3
SAS 118.2
Pace
86.4
92.9
MIA 93.9 +11.2
SAS 82.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.7
MIA 15.3 +2.1
SAS 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
54.6%
MIA 44.7%
SAS 55.1% +10.4%
TO %
13.0%
12.9%
MIA 12.1%
SAS 8.3% +3.8%
ORB %
17.1%
23.6%
MIA 12.8%
SAS 14.3% +1.5%
FTrt
30.5
29.1
MIA 36.0 +6.5
SAS 29.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
55.9%
MIA 46.7%
SAS 67.6% +20.9%
STL %
8.5%
8.7%
MIA 5.7%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
7.5%
5.8%
MIA 7.7%
SAS 8.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
56.7%
MIA 47.3%
SAS 58.4% +11.1%
Rim FG%
66.6%
62.6%
MIA 56.0% +1.0%
SAS 55.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
43.1%
MIA 36.0%
SAS 43.8% +7.8%
3P %
39.6%
40.9%
MIA 28.0%
SAS 46.2% +18.2%
FT %
78.0%
76.7%
MIA 74.1%
SAS 78.3% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
33.7%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
SAS 25.6%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
39.6%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
SAS 41.0%
3P Att. %
32.6%
26.7%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points87104
Rebounds4140
Assists1425
Steals55
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (7)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals30-7537-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2511-20
Midrange FG9-2514-32
2-Point FG23-5025-52
3-Point FG7-2512-26
Free Throws20-2718-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.3
31
62%
10
5
0
2
1
1
1
9
8-9
89%
7-12
58%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
38.6
13
43%
7
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-5
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
36.0
11
39%
3
1
0
0
3
3
0
3
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
31.3
5
28%
5
2
1
0
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
9.0
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
18.0
0
0%
6
0
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
17.0
9
56%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
14.8
8
80%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
11.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
9.8
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
8.8
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
2.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
41
14
5
4
10
0
5
36
20-27
74%
23-50
46%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.