FinalWin Prob.pScore
243%98
111
457%100
92
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
129.18682.2
MIA logo MIA
109.58488.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS111
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)111
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Rebound111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASMISS Belinelli 13' Fadeaway Jumper111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16SASBaynes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)109
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Douglas Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)109
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Diaw 11' Fadeaway Jumper107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:34MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:35SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)105
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)104
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 4:15SASLeonard 5' Hook Bank Shot (28 PTS)104
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 4:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot102
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 4:58MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)102
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 5:11SASGinobili 1' Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)102
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 5:15MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)100
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 5:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)100
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 5:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)99
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 5:40SASSpurs Rebound98
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup98
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 5:45SASJames STEAL (5 STL)98
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T19)98
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 6:21SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)98
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 297
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJames 3' Driving Reverse Layup (22 PTS)97
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 6:57SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)97
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 7:36SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)94
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q4 - 7:36SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
97.2%
80
2.8%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T18)92
96.6%
80
3.4%
Q4 - 7:56SASLeonard 2' Driving Dunk (24 PTS) (Green 3 AST)92
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q4 - 8:14SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
92.7%
80
7.3%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot90
92.1%
80
7.9%
Q4 - 8:35SASJames STEAL (4 STL)90
90.8%
80
9.2%
Q4 - 8:54MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)90
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
94.4%
77
5.6%
Q4 - 9:11SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
94.8%
77
5.2%
Q4 - 9:32MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)90
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q4 - 9:55SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)90
94.5%
77
5.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P6.T16)88
91.8%
77
8.2%
Q4 - 10:33SASJames STEAL (3 STL)88
89.9%
77
10.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)88
91.8%
77
8.2%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHEAT Rebound88
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup88
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 11:02SASJames STEAL (2 STL)88
88.6%
77
11.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAJames 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)88
90.7%
77
9.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q4 - 11:39SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 188
92.6%
75
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS86
90.8%
75
9.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound86
90.8%
75
9.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
89.6%
75
10.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Cole 9' Turnaround Jump Shot86
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASDiaw 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)86
87.7%
75
12.3%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)84
83.9%
75
16.1%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 284
84.6%
74
15.4%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot84
85.6%
74
14.4%
Q3 - 1:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
84.0%
74
16.0%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot84
85.7%
74
14.3%
Q3 - 1:37SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)84
84.0%
74
16.0%
Q3 - 1:59MIACole 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)81
78.0%
74
22.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
79.4%
72
20.6%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Belinelli 6' Jump Shot81
80.4%
72
19.6%
Q3 - 2:38MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)81
82.5%
72
17.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
84.9%
70
15.1%
Q3 - 2:51SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
85.7%
70
14.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
86.1%
70
13.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
86.6%
69
13.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
88.0%
68
12.0%
Q3 - 3:25SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot81
88.6%
68
11.4%
Q3 - 3:50MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 3:50MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q3 - 3:53SASWade STEAL (2 STL)81
91.3%
66
8.7%
Q3 - 4:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
92.0%
66
8.0%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot81
90.9%
66
9.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
92.0%
66
8.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
92.4%
65
7.6%
Q3 - 4:45SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)81
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 5:03MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T14)79
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 5:09SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot79
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 5:19MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)79
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 5:47SASMills 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)79
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T12)77
87.0%
64
13.0%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
84.9%
64
15.1%
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAJames 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)77
87.1%
64
12.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup77
89.1%
62
10.9%
Q3 - 6:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
90.3%
62
9.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot77
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup77
89.1%
62
10.9%
Q3 - 7:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
88.8%
62
11.2%
Q3 - 7:35SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)77
87.6%
62
12.4%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
87.7%
60
12.3%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup75
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 8:07SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)75
86.9%
60
13.1%
Q3 - 8:07SASSpurs Rebound75
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Diaw 3' Driving Layup75
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 8:15SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T11)75
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 8:44SASWade STEAL (1 STL)75
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 9:27SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q3 - 9:27SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
89.1%
58
10.9%
Q3 - 9:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Bank Shot73
87.5%
58
12.5%
Q3 - 9:45SASGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)73
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 9:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 9:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
88.3%
57
11.7%
Q3 - 10:17SASLeonard 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 10:42MIAJump Ball Lewis vs. Leonard: Tip to Duncan71
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Lewis 4' Jump Shot71
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 10:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
85.6%
56
14.4%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot71
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 11:14MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)71
86.3%
56
13.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
89.2%
53
10.8%
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot71
89.7%
53
10.3%
Q3 - 11:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)71
90.6%
53
9.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA71
92.7%
50
7.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
92.7%
50
7.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 18' Running Jump Shot71
92.3%
50
7.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
91.9%
50
8.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
91.7%
50
8.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
90.5%
50
9.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDiaw 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)69
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
88.3%
48
11.7%
Q2 - 1:16SASAndersen STEAL (1 STL)66
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q2 - 1:44SASParker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)66
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q2 - 1:49SASSpurs Rebound64
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q2 - 1:50SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)64
85.1%
48
14.9%
Q2 - 1:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)64
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)62
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q2 - 3:00SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)62
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 3:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
80.7%
45
19.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
82.2%
45
17.8%
Q2 - 3:40MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
80.7%
45
19.3%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
81.4%
45
18.6%
Q2 - 3:55MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)60
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q2 - 4:04SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup60
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q2 - 4:26SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 160
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)60
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
88.2%
37
11.8%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
88.5%
37
11.5%
Q2 - 5:35MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)58
89.2%
37
10.8%
Q2 - 5:52SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)58
91.3%
34
8.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIABosh 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)56
89.8%
34
10.2%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
90.6%
32
9.4%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Splitter 4' Hook Shot56
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 6:44SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
91.7%
32
8.3%
Q2 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)56
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 7:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
89.9%
32
10.1%
Q2 - 7:25SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 256
90.0%
32
10.0%
Q2 - 7:25SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
90.6%
32
9.4%
Q2 - 7:46MIAJames 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
90.0%
32
10.0%
Q2 - 8:09SASLeonard 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
90.1%
30
9.9%
Q2 - 8:30MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)53
89.2%
30
10.8%
Q2 - 8:32SASJames STEAL (1 STL)53
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)53
89.3%
30
10.7%
Q2 - 9:05SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)53
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
85.0%
30
15.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
85.3%
29
14.7%
Q2 - 9:34SASGreen 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
86.2%
28
13.8%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)48
85.0%
28
15.0%
Q2 - 9:52SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
83.6%
28
16.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)45
80.8%
28
19.2%
Q2 - 10:18SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)45
78.4%
28
21.6%
Q2 - 10:27SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
77.0%
28
23.0%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
76.4%
28
23.6%
Q2 - 10:49SASGreen 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
74.9%
28
25.1%
Q2 - 11:07SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot41
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 11:23SASDiaw 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)41
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q2 - 11:38MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA41
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIACole 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)38
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)38
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
69.6%
23
30.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup35
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
68.0%
23
32.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup35
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q1 - 1:18SASGinobili 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)35
67.4%
23
32.6%
Q1 - 1:30SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
64.9%
23
35.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
64.4%
23
35.6%
Q1 - 1:56SASSplitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)33
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
60.5%
23
39.5%
Q1 - 2:24SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
64.9%
20
35.1%
Q1 - 2:24SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 2:34SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
62.6%
20
37.4%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot29
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 2:54SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)29
60.7%
20
39.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
62.3%
20
37.7%
Q1 - 3:20SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 3:20SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 3:43MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
58.1%
20
41.9%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 226
60.9%
17
39.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
61.7%
17
38.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 226
65.8%
14
34.2%
Q1 - 4:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
67.0%
14
33.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)25
65.7%
14
34.3%
Q1 - 5:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
66.0%
12
34.0%
Q1 - 5:05SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup25
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 5:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
67.9%
12
32.1%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot25
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 5:33SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)25
66.1%
12
33.9%
Q1 - 5:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 122
62.2%
12
37.8%
Q1 - 6:06SASGreen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 6:21SASSpurs Rebound20
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup20
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 6:44SASDiaw 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)20
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 7:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
56.8%
10
43.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
56.2%
10
43.8%
Q1 - 7:23SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)18
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 7:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
50.6%
10
49.4%
Q1 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
49.1%
10
50.9%
Q1 - 7:39SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot15
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 7:56SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
50.6%
10
49.4%
Q1 - 8:07SASGreen 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 8:44SASLeonard 1' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)13
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)11
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 8:55SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIAJames 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 10:13SASGreen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:21SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 10:21SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIALewis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 11:04SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:40SASDuncan 3' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)2
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
41.4%
0
58.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.35 67.7%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
27
70%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
SAS
10
17
59%
MIA
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
SAS
26
32
81%
MIA
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2991%14.5 / 16
T. Parker1558%7.5 / 13
D. Green1594%7.5 / 8
T. Duncan1464%7.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1161%5.5 / 9
B. Diaw956%4.5 / 8
T. Splitter675%3.0 / 4
P. Mills550%2.5 / 5
M. Belinelli350%1.5 / 3
M. Bonner2100%1.0 / 1
A. Baynes2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade2273%11.0 / 15
R. Lewis14100%7.0 / 7
R. Allen1161%5.5 / 9
C. Bosh9113%4.5 / 4
N. Cole840%4.0 / 10
C. Andersen350%1.5 / 3
M. Chalmers217%1.0 / 6
T. Douglas125%0.5 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+8
-12
82
MIA
64
+8
-20
72
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.35 67.7%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.0
112.7
SAS 129.1 +19.5
MIA 109.5
Pace
92.9
86.4
SAS 82.2
MIA 88.1 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.9
SAS 17.5
MIA 16.3 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
55.5%
SAS 66.4% +6.7%
MIA 59.7%
TO %
12.9%
13.0%
SAS 14.3% +7.3%
MIA 21.6%
ORB %
23.6%
17.1%
SAS 19.2% +2.0%
MIA 17.2%
FTrt
29.1
30.5
SAS 50.0 +11.3
MIA 38.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.9%
51.6%
SAS 55.3% +2.2%
MIA 53.1%
STL %
8.7%
8.5%
SAS 14.0% +4.5%
MIA 9.5%
BLK %
5.8%
7.5%
SAS 9.8% +7.5%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.7%
57.3%
SAS 67.7% +5.5%
MIA 62.2%
Rim FG%
62.6%
66.6%
SAS 70.4% +6.8%
MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%
43.1%
41.2%
SAS 58.8% +16.7%
MIA 42.1%
3P %
40.9%
39.6%
SAS 45.0%
MIA 47.6% +2.6%
FT %
76.7%
78.0%
SAS 81.3% +6.3%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
33.0%
SAS 42.2% +6.7%
MIA 35.5%
Mid Att. %
39.6%
34.4%
SAS 26.6% +4.1%
MIA 30.6%
3P Att. %
26.7%
32.6%
SAS 31.3%
MIA 33.9% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points11192
Rebounds2926
Assists2117
Steals128
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)21 (1)
Field Goals38-6432-62
At-the-Rim FG19-2714-22
Midrange FG10-178-19
2-Point FG29-4422-41
3-Point FG9-2010-21
Free Throws26-3218-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
39.3
29
91%
4
2
2
2
1
4
1
3
6-7
86%
7-7
100%
3-6
50%
C · 6'8" 250 · 32
37.3
9
56%
5
3
1
1
2
3
0
5
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
33.0
15
58%
1
4
2
0
1
4
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 250 · 38
30.2
14
64%
6
2
0
0
4
2
2
4
6-8
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
21.3
15
94%
1
3
5
1
2
4
0
1
0-1
0%
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 37
27.2
11
61%
3
1
1
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29
15.9
6
75%
4
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
15.2
5
50%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34
9.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
6.1
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
68%
29
21
12
4
12
0
5
24
26-32
81%
29-44
66%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.