FinalWin Prob.pScore
533%96
98
267%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.48886.5
SAS logo SAS
109.18889.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)98
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)98
98.9%
93
1.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Rebound96
93.7%
93
6.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot96
91.3%
93
8.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)96
79.8%
93
20.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 296
81.3%
93
18.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)96
87.2%
93
12.8%
Q4 - 1:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)95
78.0%
93
22.0%
Q4 - 1:18MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)95
61.1%
93
38.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
35.2%
93
64.8%
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
31.4%
93
68.6%
Q4 - 2:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
24.4%
93
75.6%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot92
27.9%
93
72.1%
Q4 - 2:26SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)92
37.3%
93
62.7%
Q4 - 2:49MIAAndersen 2' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)92
57.5%
90
42.5%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
47.5%
90
52.5%
Q4 - 3:14SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
43.4%
90
56.6%
Q4 - 3:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
34.7%
90
65.3%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot90
37.6%
90
62.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)90
44.6%
90
55.4%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Green 3' Driving Layup90
41.5%
90
58.5%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)90
34.6%
90
65.4%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound90
44.7%
90
55.3%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup90
37.6%
90
62.4%
Q4 - 4:40SASDiaw 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)90
44.7%
90
55.3%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)90
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)89
57.0%
87
43.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
51.3%
87
48.7%
Q4 - 5:16SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot88
48.6%
87
51.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)88
42.3%
87
57.7%
Q4 - 5:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
51.5%
87
48.5%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot88
48.7%
87
51.3%
Q4 - 6:09MIAJames 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS)88
40.9%
87
59.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
28.1%
87
71.9%
Q4 - 6:34SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 285
27.2%
87
72.8%
Q4 - 6:34SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 285
23.6%
87
76.4%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 285
21.7%
87
78.3%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 285
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T14)85
21.7%
87
78.3%
Q4 - 6:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
28.1%
87
71.9%
Q4 - 6:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
33.7%
85
66.3%
Q4 - 7:44SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)83
28.3%
85
71.7%
Q4 - 7:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)83
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot83
42.5%
82
57.5%
Q4 - 8:17SASGinobili 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
46.3%
82
53.7%
Q4 - 8:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)83
52.8%
80
47.2%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS James 20' Step Back Jump Shot83
54.7%
80
45.3%
Q4 - 8:47SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T10)83
59.2%
80
40.8%
Q4 - 8:58SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
52.8%
80
47.2%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot83
54.8%
80
45.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
57.1%
80
42.9%
Q4 - 9:10SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Bank Shot83
55.3%
80
44.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)83
51.3%
80
48.7%
Q4 - 10:02SASSplitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)80
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q4 - 10:16SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
44.0%
78
56.0%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot80
45.8%
78
54.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q4 - 10:28SASMISS Mills 22' Jump Shot80
48.0%
78
52.0%
Q4 - 10:41SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
44.1%
78
55.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot80
45.8%
78
54.2%
Q4 - 10:59MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q4 - 11:00SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot80
48.1%
78
51.9%
Q4 - 11:16SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
43.5%
78
56.5%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup80
45.1%
78
54.9%
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
48.9%
78
51.1%
Q4 - 11:28SASMISS Diaw 5' Running Bank Shot80
47.2%
78
52.8%
Q4 - 11:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)80
43.5%
78
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
33.4%
78
66.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound77
33.4%
78
66.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 39' 3PT Running Jump Shot77
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASParker 8' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
33.1%
78
66.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade 11' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
33.2%
76
66.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
34.0%
75
66.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
38.0%
74
62.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)73
33.2%
74
66.8%
Q3 - 1:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
42.1%
71
57.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
41.2%
71
58.8%
Q3 - 1:35SASGinobili 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Splitter 5 AST)71
37.3%
71
62.7%
Q3 - 1:51MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 2:02SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)71
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 2:24MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)71
54.8%
66
45.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
50.3%
66
49.7%
Q3 - 2:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 169
49.7%
66
50.3%
Q3 - 2:53SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot69
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
58.2%
64
41.8%
Q3 - 3:09SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)69
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
49.4%
64
50.6%
Q3 - 3:35SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
47.9%
64
52.1%
Q3 - 3:47MIAJames 18' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)67
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 3:56MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.1%
64
60.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)65
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 264
34.2%
64
65.8%
Q3 - 4:32SASDiaw 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
36.2%
64
63.8%
Q3 - 4:50MIAJames 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)64
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
32.3%
62
67.7%
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot61
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 5:13MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)61
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound59
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q3 - 5:27SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 5:42MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)59
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)56
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 5:58SASMISS Diaw 12' Turnaround Jump Shot56
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 6:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
19.3%
60
80.7%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot56
20.1%
60
79.9%
Q3 - 6:32SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)56
22.2%
60
77.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAAllen 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)56
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHeat Rebound54
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Leonard 5' Jump Shot54
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)54
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
22.8%
57
77.2%
Q3 - 8:04SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)54
27.4%
55
72.6%
Q3 - 8:31SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)54
31.0%
55
69.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
37.3%
52
62.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
31.0%
52
69.0%
Q3 - 8:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 251
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 8:54SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q3 - 8:54SASGreen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)51
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIALewis 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q3 - 9:21SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
29.5%
50
70.5%
Q3 - 9:39MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)49
27.3%
50
72.7%
Q3 - 9:59SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)47
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 10:08SASSPURS Rebound47
29.9%
47
70.1%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot47
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
29.9%
47
70.1%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q3 - 10:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)45
27.1%
47
72.9%
Q3 - 10:48SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)45
27.1%
47
72.9%
Q3 - 10:49SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup45
32.1%
45
67.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)45
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q3 - 11:21SASParker 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)43
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q3 - 11:38SASSPURS Rebound43
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q3 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot43
31.8%
43
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)43
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)43
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup43
31.8%
43
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup43
31.8%
43
68.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot43
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot43
31.5%
43
68.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 1:06SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot41
26.2%
43
73.8%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
25.1%
43
74.9%
Q2 - 1:46SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 1:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS James 1' Layup39
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot39
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 2:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 2:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)39
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 2:55SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)36
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 2:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
22.4%
39
77.6%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 3:04SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 3:05MIABelinelli STEAL (1 STL)36
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 3:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 3:24SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup36
24.0%
39
76.0%
Q2 - 3:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot36
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 3:51SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)36
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 4:13SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 4:24SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 4:45SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)34
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 4:49SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)34
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAJames 2' Layup (11 PTS)34
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAJames Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)32
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 5:30SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)31
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 230
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q2 - 6:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 230
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJames 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)30
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAHeat Rebound28
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS James Layup28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHeat Rebound28
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 7:17SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 7:17SASDiaw 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)28
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 7:19SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Shot28
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 7:20SASMISS Diaw Layup28
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)28
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q2 - 7:37SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIAJames Layup (4 PTS)26
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q2 - 8:00SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot24
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q2 - 8:34SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 8:45SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot22
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup22
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 9:08MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)22
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q2 - 9:17SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q2 - 10:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 10:19SASMISS Leonard 10' Jump Shot19
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 10:33MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)19
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot19
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 11:01SASGinobili 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Splitter 4 AST)19
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 11:04MIAAndersen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)19
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 11:05SASMISS Mills 9' Jump Shot19
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 11:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)19
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 11:44SASMills 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup19
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)19
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot19
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASGinobili Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)19
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot19
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 1:04SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAAllen 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot17
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 1:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)17
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 1:50SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Bank Shot17
17.9%
24
82.1%
Q1 - 2:00SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup17
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 2:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Leonard 13' Fadeaway Jumper17
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)17
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 2:42SASGinobili Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)17
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIABosh Driving Layup (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)17
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 3:12SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 3:33MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 3:53SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)15
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot15
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 4:37SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)15
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)15
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound13
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASMISS Leonard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot13
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 5:26SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS James 13' Jump Bank Shot13
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 5:43SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 5:57SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 6:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 6:07SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Bank Shot13
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAChalmers 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 6:37SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 211
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 6:37SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 7:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:10SASDuncan Putback Dunk (9 PTS)8
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Belinelli 2' Layup8
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)8
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 7:19SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIALewis 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 7:54SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST)6
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 8:34SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:40SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS James Layup4
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup4
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIABosh 1' Layup (3 PTS)4
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:22SASDuncan Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)2
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 10:16SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 10:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
23.0%
5
77.0%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 21
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot1
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)1
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 11:01SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 21
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:03MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:26SASGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:45MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
27.9%
0
72.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.6%
SAS
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
27
70%
SAS
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
10
24
42%
SAS
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
SAS
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
16
21
76%
SAS
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3573%17.5 / 24
C. Bosh1869%9.0 / 13
D. Wade1464%7.0 / 11
R. Lewis1470%7.0 / 10
R. Allen964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen330%1.5 / 5
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2162%10.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1959%9.5 / 16
T. Duncan1853%9.0 / 17
K. Leonard945%4.5 / 10
D. Green990%4.5 / 5
P. Mills857%4.0 / 7
B. Diaw739%3.5 / 9
M. Belinelli330%1.5 / 5
T. Splitter233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+9
-13
84
SAS
77
+13
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.6%
SAS
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
114.0
MIA 111.4 +2.3
SAS 109.1
Pace
86.4
92.9
MIA 86.5
SAS 89.6 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.7
MIA 16.6
SAS 16.1 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
54.6%
MIA 58.6% +7.4%
SAS 51.2%
TO %
13.0%
12.9%
MIA 16.8%
SAS 10.8% +6.0%
ORB %
17.1%
23.6%
MIA 16.1%
SAS 25.0% +8.9%
FTrt
30.5
29.1
MIA 30.0 +5.6
SAS 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
55.9%
MIA 43.2%
SAS 72.2% +29.0%
STL %
8.5%
8.7%
MIA 6.8%
SAS 8.0% +1.2%
BLK %
7.5%
5.8%
MIA 5.4% +3.4%
SAS 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
56.7%
MIA 57.6% +4.3%
SAS 53.3%
Rim FG%
66.6%
62.6%
MIA 70.4% +20.4%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
43.1%
MIA 41.7% +6.0%
SAS 35.7%
3P %
39.6%
40.9%
MIA 42.1%
SAS 46.2% +4.1%
FT %
78.0%
76.7%
MIA 76.2% +16.2%
SAS 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
33.7%
MIA 38.6% +4.4%
SAS 34.1%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
39.6%
MIA 34.3%
SAS 34.1% +0.1%
3P Att. %
32.6%
26.7%
MIA 27.1%
SAS 31.7% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9896
Rebounds3837
Assists1626
Steals67
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)26 (0)
Field Goals37-7036-82
At-the-Rim FG19-2714-28
Midrange FG10-2410-28
2-Point FG29-5124-56
3-Point FG8-1912-26
Free Throws16-2112-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
37.6
35
73%
10
3
2
0
4
3
2
8
4-5
80%
11-19
58%
3-3
100%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
36.2
18
69%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
34.0
14
64%
7
4
1
0
5
1
0
7
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
31.2
5
50%
3
4
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
25.6
14
70%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
33.1
9
64%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
24.1
3
30%
9
0
0
0
2
3
0
9
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
10.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
#8 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
58%
38
16
6
3
13
0
5
33
16-21
76%
29-51
57%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.