FinalWin Prob.pScore
531%94
95
269%101
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.19493.5
SAS logo SAS
115.89595.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 11 AST)95
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 1:14SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)95
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 1:27MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)95
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 1:43SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)95
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 1:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
6.5%
99
93.5%
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Parker 1' Layup95
9.1%
99
90.9%
Q4 - 2:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)95
6.8%
99
93.2%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
8.0%
99
92.0%
Q4 - 2:26SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T23)95
11.9%
99
88.1%
Q4 - 2:46MIAChalmers 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)95
6.8%
99
93.2%
Q4 - 3:24SASDiaw 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 10 AST)92
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot92
8.3%
97
91.7%
Q4 - 3:50SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)92
10.3%
97
89.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (25 PTS)92
18.9%
94
81.1%
Q4 - 4:36SASGreen Dunk (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)90
14.0%
94
86.0%
Q4 - 4:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
18.7%
92
81.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup90
20.8%
92
79.2%
Q4 - 4:59SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)90
26.0%
92
74.0%
Q4 - 5:20MIAAndersen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)90
33.0%
90
67.0%
Q4 - 5:35SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)88
26.5%
90
73.5%
Q4 - 5:47SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
40.9%
87
59.1%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Allen Layup88
43.6%
87
56.4%
Q4 - 6:07SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)88
47.7%
87
52.3%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)88
61.8%
84
38.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
55.4%
84
44.6%
Q4 - 6:49SASMISS Ginobili 19' Pullup Jump Shot86
52.8%
84
47.2%
Q4 - 7:12SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
45.3%
84
54.7%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
47.6%
84
52.4%
Q4 - 7:36SASDuncan 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)86
53.1%
84
46.9%
Q4 - 7:59SASSPURS Rebound86
59.3%
82
40.7%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
59.2%
82
40.8%
Q4 - 8:27SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
63.6%
82
36.4%
Q4 - 8:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
69.4%
80
30.6%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
71.0%
80
29.0%
Q4 - 8:54SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)86
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q4 - 9:01SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
66.6%
80
33.4%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot86
68.2%
80
31.8%
Q4 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
71.9%
80
28.1%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 286
71.2%
80
28.8%
Q4 - 9:23SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)86
67.8%
80
32.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)86
72.0%
79
28.0%
Q4 - 9:52SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)82
55.5%
79
44.5%
Q4 - 10:10MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)82
47.8%
79
52.2%
Q4 - 10:23SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)80
42.3%
79
57.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)80
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q4 - 11:02SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)80
41.8%
79
58.2%
Q4 - 11:11MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T15)80
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q4 - 11:25SASSplitter Layup (11 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)80
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q4 - 11:39MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)80
62.9%
74
37.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
57.8%
74
42.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)78
57.8%
74
42.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
61.3%
72
38.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASSplitter Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)75
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
56.4%
70
43.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot75
57.9%
70
42.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)75
61.3%
70
38.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T14)75
56.5%
70
43.5%
Q3 - 1:10SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
59.4%
70
40.6%
Q3 - 1:10SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 275
60.1%
69
39.9%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
59.6%
69
40.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
58.6%
69
41.4%
Q3 - 1:26SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)73
54.7%
69
45.3%
Q3 - 1:38MIAJames Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T13)73
50.0%
69
50.0%
Q3 - 1:48SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#17)73
54.7%
69
45.3%
Q3 - 1:56MIAAllen Running Dunk (16 PTS)73
50.0%
69
50.0%
Q3 - 2:02SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)71
43.6%
69
56.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIAAllen 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)71
39.0%
69
61.0%
Q3 - 2:33SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)69
34.9%
69
65.1%
Q3 - 2:50MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)69
30.6%
69
69.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
26.9%
69
73.1%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 3:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
26.9%
69
73.1%
Q3 - 3:15SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q3 - 3:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS James Layup67
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 3:31SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)67
26.9%
69
73.1%
Q3 - 3:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 3:53SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
26.9%
69
73.1%
Q3 - 4:09SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot67
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
34.4%
67
65.6%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 4:56SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
31.2%
67
68.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 5:06SASMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot67
32.5%
67
67.5%
Q3 - 5:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
29.7%
67
70.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
30.9%
67
69.1%
Q3 - 5:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)67
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 5:42SASSPURS Rebound67
41.0%
64
59.0%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
44.2%
64
55.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIALewis 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
41.0%
64
59.0%
Q3 - 6:19SASDiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)65
36.8%
64
63.2%
Q3 - 6:27MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)65
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 6:42SASMills 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)62
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMills STEAL (1 STL)62
29.4%
62
70.6%
Q3 - 7:12SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)62
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
35.8%
60
64.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
29.3%
60
70.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
29.3%
60
70.7%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.3%
60
71.7%
Q3 - 7:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot59
27.0%
60
73.0%
Q3 - 8:04SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)59
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJames 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
25.7%
60
74.3%
Q3 - 8:42SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)57
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)57
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)57
28.6%
58
71.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 10:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup54
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q3 - 10:26SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot54
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 10:44MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)54
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 10:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 10:51SASMISS Green 9' Running Jump Shot51
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)51
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup49
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q3 - 11:22SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 11:22SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)49
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 11:47SASLeonard 1' Layup (2 PTS)49
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound49
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot49
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot49
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound49
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)49
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot49
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 1:10SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup49
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q2 - 1:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 1:41SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)49
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 1:48SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot49
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 2:12SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)49
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q2 - 2:15SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot49
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIABosh Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)49
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 2:50SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)47
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 2:57SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q2 - 3:17MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)47
22.6%
49
77.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q2 - 3:22SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot45
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q2 - 3:30SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 3:41SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)45
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
24.8%
46
75.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 4:08SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)43
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAJames Layup (9 PTS)43
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 4:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
18.9%
46
81.1%
Q2 - 4:20SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 241
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
18.9%
45
81.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot41
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 4:50SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)41
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 5:05MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)41
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 5:27SASDuncan 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)38
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 5:40SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot38
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 6:06SASParker 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)38
25.0%
40
75.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAGinobili STEAL (3 STL)38
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 6:24SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 6:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS)38
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 6:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
29.3%
36
70.7%
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 7:16MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)36
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 7:26SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)33
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 7:41MIAWade 2' Layup (10 PTS)33
20.8%
36
79.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 7:49SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot31
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 8:01SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 231
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 8:15SASParker 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)30
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 8:26MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#8)30
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 8:36SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)30
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 8:59SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)27
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Splitter 7' Jump Shot27
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)27
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 9:53SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 9:53SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 10:25SASMills 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:26SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup25
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)25
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 10:54SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 11:23MIACole 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 220
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 11:46SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound20
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIASplitter BLOCK (2 BLK)20
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup20
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)20
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound20
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIASplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)20
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot20
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 1:03SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)20
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 1:12SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 1:20SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)20
21.7%
23
78.3%
Q1 - 1:44SASSplitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)20
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 1:57SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot20
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 2:16SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)20
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q1 - 2:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.4%
21
75.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 220
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 2:49SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 2:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 3:14SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot19
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 3:31SASMISS Diaw 13' Turnaround Bank Shot19
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAJames Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)19
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 4:06SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P2.T5)17
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)17
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 5:21SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 5:27MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)13
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot13
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 5:50MIALewis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIAGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)11
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 6:14SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)11
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 6:44SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)11
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 7:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 7:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 7:23SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup9
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 7:36SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot9
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:27SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot9
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 8:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:47SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 9:06MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 9:22SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T3)7
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:33SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup7
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 9:51SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:57SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot7
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 10:17SASDuncan 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)7
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:34SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 10:46MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)7
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:51SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:19SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:19SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
26.0%
1
74.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIABosh 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
25.7%
0
74.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
SAS
1.36 67.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
SAS
22
27
81%
Midrange
MIA
8
22
36%
SAS
5
16
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
SAS
13
19.5
25
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
9
11
82%
SAS
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2563%12.5 / 20
D. Wade1950%9.5 / 19
C. Bosh1882%9.0 / 11
R. Allen1662%8.0 / 13
R. Lewis1050%5.0 / 10
M. Chalmers350%1.5 / 3
N. Cole225%1.0 / 4
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
S. Battier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2188%10.5 / 12
T. Parker1959%9.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1673%8.0 / 11
T. Splitter1488%7.0 / 8
D. Green1365%6.5 / 10
K. Leonard975%4.5 / 6
M. Belinelli990%4.5 / 5
P. Mills770%3.5 / 5
B. Diaw220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-16
86
SAS
73
+8
-22
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
SAS
1.36 67.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
114.0
MIA 101.1
SAS 115.8 +14.7
Pace
86.4
92.9
MIA 93.5
SAS 95.5 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.7
MIA 15.4
SAS 15.1 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
54.6%
MIA 55.1%
SAS 68.4% +13.3%
TO %
13.0%
12.9%
MIA 17.9% +4.9%
SAS 22.8%
ORB %
17.1%
23.6%
MIA 17.1%
SAS 18.5% +1.4%
FTrt
30.5
29.1
MIA 14.1
SAS 32.4 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
55.9%
MIA 43.2%
SAS 75.0% +31.8%
STL %
8.5%
8.7%
MIA 14.9% +6.5%
SAS 8.4%
BLK %
7.5%
5.8%
MIA 4.7%
SAS 8.2% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
56.7%
MIA 54.6%
SAS 67.9% +13.3%
Rim FG%
66.6%
62.6%
MIA 63.0%
SAS 81.5% +18.5%
Mid FG%
41.2%
43.1%
MIA 36.4% +5.1%
SAS 31.3%
3P %
39.6%
40.9%
MIA 41.4%
SAS 52.0% +10.6%
FT %
78.0%
76.7%
MIA 81.8% +4.5%
SAS 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
33.7%
MIA 34.6%
SAS 39.7% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
39.6%
MIA 28.2%
SAS 23.5% +4.7%
3P Att. %
32.6%
26.7%
MIA 37.2% +0.4%
SAS 36.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points95110
Rebounds2939
Assists1630
Steals148
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals37-7840-68
At-the-Rim FG17-2722-27
Midrange FG8-225-16
2-Point FG25-4927-43
3-Point FG12-2913-25
Free Throws9-1117-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
33.6
18
82%
9
1
0
0
2
2
2
7
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
33.0
19
50%
3
2
1
0
2
4
2
1
2-2
100%
7-15
47%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
32.9
25
63%
6
3
3
0
4
1
3
3
5-6
83%
7-14
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
30.6
10
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
17.2
3
50%
1
1
3
1
5
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
32.3
16
62%
3
3
5
0
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
29.1
2
25%
3
5
2
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
17.5
2
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
13.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
29
16
14
2
16
0
7
22
9-11
82%
25-49
51%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.