FinalWin Prob.pScore
832%90
87
368%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
101.28685.1
MIA logo MIA
116.58586.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS G. Hill 24' Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22INDWest 1' Layup (13 PTS) (George 4 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (James 7 AST)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30INDMISS Stephenson 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)82
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAJames 19' Step Back Jump Shot (26 PTS)82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:38INDPacers Rebound82
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:38INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:38INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 281
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 3:50INDPacers Rebound81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:51INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)81
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 4:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:36INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (George 3 AST)81
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)79
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 5:14INDCole STEAL (1 STL)79
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 5:18INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup79
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot79
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 5:40INDMISS Hibbert 4' Turnaround Hook Shot79
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)79
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 6:05INDWade STEAL (3 STL)79
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
13.4%
84
86.6%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 279
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 6:34INDGeorge 2' Layup (16 PTS)79
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJames 2' Layup (24 PTS)77
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 6:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot77
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 7:08INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot77
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q4 - 7:33MIACole 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
18.1%
81
81.9%
Q4 - 7:55INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
22.1%
79
77.9%
Q4 - 8:21MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)74
15.2%
79
84.8%
Q4 - 8:37INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q4 - 8:37INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
22.5%
76
77.5%
Q4 - 8:37INDGeorge Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)72
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q4 - 8:45INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper71
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 9:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q4 - 9:06INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 171
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)69
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHEAT Rebound69
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot69
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAWade 6' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 10:14INDMahinmi 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS)69
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q4 - 10:19INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q4 - 10:20INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot67
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q4 - 10:40INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot67
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHEAT Rebound67
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot67
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q4 - 11:21INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)67
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 11:39MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound64
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Watson 57' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 263
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 263
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDMISS Watson 19' Step Back Jump Shot63
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
19.8%
67
80.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 1:05INDLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)63
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 1:50INDWest 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)63
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 2:14MIACole 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)61
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 2:19INDMISS Hibbert 5' Hook Shot61
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q3 - 2:40MIAAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)61
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)61
32.4%
61
67.6%
Q3 - 2:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)61
32.9%
60
67.1%
Q3 - 2:52INDButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 4 AST)61
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 3:12MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)58
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 3:33INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)58
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 3:33INDPacers Rebound58
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 3:34INDMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot58
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 3:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 4:19INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)58
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
28.2%
57
71.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
29.0%
56
71.0%
Q3 - 4:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 4:47INDMISS Watson 6' Driving Jump Shot55
28.8%
56
71.2%
Q3 - 5:00INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q3 - 5:01INDMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q3 - 5:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 5:33INDWest Foul Turnover (P4.T15)55
34.5%
54
65.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)55
39.0%
54
61.0%
Q3 - 5:55INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
34.5%
54
65.5%
Q3 - 5:55INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 254
34.0%
54
66.0%
Q3 - 5:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
35.2%
54
64.8%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Lewis 2' Driving Layup54
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q3 - 6:11INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 6:11INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 253
30.1%
54
69.9%
Q3 - 6:22MIAChalmers 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 6:45INDStephenson 2' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
34.1%
52
65.9%
Q3 - 6:46INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
31.0%
52
69.0%
Q3 - 6:47INDMISS George 2' Driving Layup51
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)51
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q3 - 7:13INDMISS Hibbert 5' Hook Shot51
28.2%
52
71.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAJames 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q3 - 7:40INDMISS Stephenson 1' Layup51
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)51
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q3 - 8:00INDMISS West 8' Turnaround Jump Shot51
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJames 8' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)51
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q3 - 8:36INDG. Hill Foul Turnover (P4.T14)51
47.7%
46
52.3%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
52.0%
46
48.0%
Q3 - 9:00INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
55.2%
44
44.8%
Q3 - 9:00INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
54.6%
44
45.4%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
50.7%
44
49.3%
Q3 - 9:23INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)49
54.2%
42
45.8%
Q3 - 9:31MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
47.1%
42
52.9%
Q3 - 9:52INDHibbert 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (George 2 AST)46
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q3 - 10:24MIAHEAT Rebound44
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
52.1%
38
47.9%
Q3 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
49.6%
38
50.4%
Q3 - 10:50INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q3 - 11:14INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot44
50.9%
38
49.1%
Q3 - 11:37INDHibbert 2' Layup (12 PTS) (West 3 AST)44
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND42
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound42
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Stephenson 32' 3PT Jump Shot42
42.2%
38
57.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)42
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDStephenson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)40
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
48.0%
34
52.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDMISS West 13' Jump Shot40
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIACole 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)40
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 1:40INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 1:40INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q2 - 1:59INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 138
49.4%
32
50.6%
Q2 - 2:03INDJames STEAL (3 STL)38
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)38
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 2:26INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 2:26INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 237
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 3:12INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)37
54.0%
28
46.0%
Q2 - 3:22INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
57.6%
28
42.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 3:45INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)37
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
55.7%
28
44.3%
Q2 - 4:19INDWade STEAL (2 STL)37
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 4:38INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
61.5%
26
38.5%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
60.6%
26
39.4%
Q2 - 4:49INDWade STEAL (1 STL)37
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)37
60.5%
26
39.5%
Q2 - 5:23INDJames STEAL (2 STL)37
63.3%
24
36.7%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q2 - 5:43INDMISS George 12' Jump Shot37
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)37
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q2 - 6:22INDButler 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)37
67.1%
22
32.9%
Q2 - 6:36INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q2 - 6:37INDMISS Stephenson 38' 3PT Jump Shot34
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q2 - 6:39INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q2 - 6:41INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)34
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
61.2%
22
38.8%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q2 - 7:30INDMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)34
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q2 - 7:31INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot34
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q2 - 7:43INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q2 - 7:44INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q2 - 7:45INDMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot31
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q2 - 7:53INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Bosh 1' Dunk31
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q2 - 8:14INDScola 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)31
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q2 - 8:50INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot29
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q2 - 9:15INDScola 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)29
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q2 - 9:37MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)27
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q2 - 9:55INDScola 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)27
51.1%
17
48.9%
Q2 - 10:09MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)25
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q2 - 10:17INDStephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q2 - 10:35MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)25
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q2 - 10:51INDScola 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)25
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T8)23
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q2 - 11:14INDMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q2 - 11:27INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot23
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q2 - 11:45INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q2 - 11:45INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
47.0%
14
53.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound21
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stephenson 20' Step Back Jump Shot21
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDMISS Hibbert 13' Jump Shot21
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAAndersen 2' Layup (3 PTS)21
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup21
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 1:12INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 1:12INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
50.8%
10
49.2%
Q1 - 1:12INDPacers Rebound19
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot19
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 1:23INDWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)19
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 1:58INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)19
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)19
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 2:42INDHibbert 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 1 AST)19
57.5%
5
42.5%
Q1 - 3:00MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
55.1%
5
44.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 217
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 3:15INDG. Hill Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 3:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot17
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 3:48INDHibbert 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)17
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 3:59INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 4:29INDHibbert 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)15
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJump Ball James vs. Hibbert: Tip to Stephenson13
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 4:47INDWest 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 5:21MIAAndersen Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)11
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 5:24INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)11
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIABosh Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)11
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 5:48INDMISS Hibbert 8' Driving Hook Shot11
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 6:11MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 6:20INDWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 6:40MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)8
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 6:49INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot8
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 7:04INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot8
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 7:33INDGeorge 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)8
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 8:03INDMISS G. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 8:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 13' Step Back Jump Shot6
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 8:40INDGeorge 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 8:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 8:55INDHibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 9:11INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot2
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:52MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 9:59INDJames STEAL (1 STL)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:22MIAChalmers 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup2
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 10:47INDWest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:08INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:22INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:44INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to Chalmers0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
20
70%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
IND
11
24
46%
MIA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
MIA
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
IND
19
25
76%
MIA
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George1750%8.5 / 17
R. Hibbert1657%8.0 / 14
D. West1372%6.5 / 9
L. Stephenson1045%5.0 / 11
G. Hill867%4.0 / 6
L. Scola867%4.0 / 6
C. Watson650%3.0 / 6
R. Butler675%3.0 / 4
I. Mahinmi375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2672%13.0 / 18
D. Wade2364%11.5 / 18
R. Allen16100%8.0 / 8
C. Bosh938%4.5 / 11
N. Cole975%4.5 / 6
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
69
+12
-17
81
MIA
70
+8
-15
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
112.7
IND 101.2
MIA 116.5 +15.3
Pace
89.3
86.4
IND 85.1
MIA 86.0 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.9
IND 16.9
MIA 16.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
55.5%
IND 52.3%
MIA 61.8% +9.5%
TO %
14.2%
13.0%
IND 20.0%
MIA 16.3% +3.7%
ORB %
21.2%
17.1%
IND 20.7%
MIA 20.7%
FTrt
31.4
30.5
IND 38.5 +9.1
MIA 29.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.9%
51.6%
IND 54.8% +8.9%
MIA 45.9%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
IND 8.1%
MIA 10.6% +2.5%
BLK %
8.1%
7.5%
IND 2.0%
MIA 4.5% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
57.3%
IND 54.4%
MIA 63.5% +9.1%
Rim FG%
59.3%
66.6%
IND 70.0% +1.8%
MIA 68.2%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.2%
IND 45.8% +2.9%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
38.0%
39.6%
IND 28.6%
MIA 55.6% +27.0%
FT %
72.7%
78.0%
IND 76.0% +1.0%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
33.0%
IND 30.8%
MIA 32.4% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
41.4%
34.4%
IND 36.9% +4.3%
MIA 41.2%
3P Att. %
25.8%
32.6%
IND 32.3% +5.8%
MIA 26.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8799
Rebounds2929
Assists1717
Steals79
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (6)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)23 (1)
Field Goals31-6537-68
At-the-Rim FG14-2015-22
Midrange FG11-2412-28
2-Point FG25-4427-50
3-Point FG6-2110-18
Free Throws19-2515-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
45.5
10
45%
11
5
3
0
3
4
3
8
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 27
36.4
16
57%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
34.6
13
72%
5
4
1
0
5
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
32.2
17
50%
2
4
1
0
2
4
0
2
6-10
60%
4-7
57%
1-6
17%
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
21.1
8
67%
2
2
0
0
4
5
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
27.6
6
50%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
16.8
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 241 · 34
13.4
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
8.8
3
75%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
F · 6'9" 239 · 30
#17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
54%
29
17
7
1
17
0
6
23
19-25
76%
25-44
57%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.