FinalWin Prob.pScore
352%94
87
1048%93
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.17980.7
IND logo IND
103.88078.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)87
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDG. Hill 29' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stephenson 7 AST)87
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 286
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDStephenson 23' Jump Shot (25 PTS)86
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS West 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (23 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 284
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDPACERS Rebound84
98.8%
77
1.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 1:15INDMISS Hibbert 3' Jump Shot84
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)84
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q4 - 1:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)82
94.6%
77
5.4%
Q4 - 1:58INDHibbert Tip Shot (12 PTS)82
94.6%
77
5.4%
Q4 - 1:58INDMISS West Layup82
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
96.1%
75
3.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
94.6%
75
5.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
91.9%
75
8.1%
Q4 - 3:05INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
93.2%
75
6.8%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)80
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS James 2' Layup78
79.8%
75
20.2%
Q4 - 3:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
85.2%
75
14.8%
Q4 - 3:23INDMISS G. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
83.0%
75
17.0%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)78
74.1%
75
25.9%
Q4 - 4:06INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)76
67.2%
75
32.8%
Q4 - 4:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
57.4%
75
42.6%
Q4 - 4:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
55.3%
75
44.7%
Q4 - 4:24MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q4 - 4:25INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot74
45.5%
75
54.5%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames Layup (17 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)74
38.2%
75
61.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
32.9%
75
67.1%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS Stephenson 8' Jump Shot72
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHibbert STEAL (1 STL)72
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDHibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST)72
32.8%
75
67.2%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
41.3%
73
58.7%
Q4 - 6:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q4 - 6:28INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot69
26.3%
73
73.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)69
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q4 - 7:19INDGeorge 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)69
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)69
42.7%
70
57.3%
Q4 - 8:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
37.6%
70
62.4%
Q4 - 8:03INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot67
35.8%
70
64.2%
Q4 - 8:20INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
31.8%
70
68.2%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.5%
70
66.5%
Q4 - 8:44INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (George 6 AST)67
37.6%
70
62.4%
Q4 - 8:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)67
50.3%
67
49.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWest BLOCK (1 BLK)67
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q4 - 9:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
56.4%
67
43.6%
Q4 - 9:18MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)67
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q4 - 9:47INDScola 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)67
56.4%
67
43.6%
Q4 - 10:00INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
62.3%
65
37.7%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
63.1%
65
36.9%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
66.8%
65
33.2%
Q4 - 10:24INDMISS Watson 1' Layup67
65.2%
65
34.8%
Q4 - 10:45MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)67
61.5%
65
38.5%
Q4 - 11:01INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q4 - 11:01INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJames Layup (12 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)64
55.6%
63
44.4%
Q4 - 11:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q4 - 11:36INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
44.9%
63
55.1%
Q4 - 11:36INDMISS George 1' Tip Shot62
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q4 - 11:37INDMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot62
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
44.9%
63
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.6%
63
53.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMISS West 4' Jump Shot62
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)62
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 1:08MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)62
45.8%
63
54.2%
Q3 - 1:22INDWest Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)59
36.2%
63
63.8%
Q3 - 1:40MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)59
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 2:07INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 4 AST)56
25.1%
63
74.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
32.5%
60
67.5%
Q3 - 2:59INDStephenson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)54
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q3 - 3:21INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
37.4%
57
62.6%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup54
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q3 - 3:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
42.0%
57
58.0%
Q3 - 3:42INDMISS Stephenson 2' Layup54
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q3 - 3:48INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Andersen Tip Shot54
38.7%
57
61.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot54
38.7%
57
61.3%
Q3 - 4:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q3 - 4:06INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 154
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
45.9%
55
54.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem 1' Layup (7 PTS)54
45.9%
55
54.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q3 - 4:46INDGeorge 2' Layup (5 PTS)52
42.6%
55
57.4%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)52
45.9%
53
54.1%
Q3 - 5:06INDWest 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)52
50.8%
53
49.2%
Q3 - 5:24MIAJames 2' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS Stephenson 1' Layup50
49.4%
51
50.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)50
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q3 - 6:03INDStephenson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS)50
50.9%
51
49.1%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHaslem 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)50
54.4%
49
45.6%
Q3 - 6:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)48
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q3 - 6:29INDHibbert 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)48
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q3 - 6:30INDMISS West 15' Jump Shot48
57.5%
47
42.5%
Q3 - 6:56MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q3 - 7:18INDWest 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q3 - 7:31INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q3 - 7:32INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot45
53.2%
45
46.8%
Q3 - 7:36INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q3 - 7:38INDMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
53.2%
45
46.8%
Q3 - 7:46INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot45
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q3 - 8:06INDStephenson 1' Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)45
54.6%
45
45.4%
Q3 - 8:13INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
57.7%
43
42.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
59.0%
43
41.0%
Q3 - 8:42INDWest 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 5 AST)45
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
64.6%
41
35.4%
Q3 - 9:18INDG. Hill 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)43
61.3%
41
38.7%
Q3 - 9:34INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot43
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q3 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q3 - 9:56INDMISS G. Hill 11' Jump Shot43
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q3 - 10:32INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
70.9%
38
29.1%
Q3 - 10:39INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot43
68.7%
38
31.3%
Q3 - 10:50INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
70.8%
38
29.2%
Q3 - 10:50INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 243
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q3 - 11:07MIAG. Hill STEAL (3 STL)43
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
73.3%
37
26.7%
Q3 - 11:21INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot43
72.4%
37
27.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)43
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDStephenson 6' Tip Shot (13 PTS) (George 4 AST)41
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)41
70.4%
35
29.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot41
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAG. Hill STEAL (2 STL)41
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
72.8%
34
27.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)41
75.4%
33
24.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMISS Stephenson 2' Layup41
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 1:10MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 1:28INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot38
68.4%
33
31.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIAJames 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
67.2%
33
32.8%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
63.4%
33
36.6%
Q2 - 2:14INDMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot36
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
60.5%
33
39.5%
Q2 - 2:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
54.4%
33
45.6%
Q2 - 2:40INDMISS George 1' Layup33
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 2:47INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot33
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 3:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 3:09INDMISS Scola 1' Layup33
53.7%
33
46.3%
Q2 - 3:32INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)33
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 3:44INDG. Hill 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 232
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 232
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 232
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 4:16INDStephenson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 3 AST)32
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 4:37INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
62.8%
29
37.2%
Q2 - 4:55INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
62.0%
29
38.0%
Q2 - 5:05INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 5:07INDMISS George 1' Layup32
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 5:10INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)32
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 5:12INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot32
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 5:52INDHibbert 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)32
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 6:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
64.7%
27
35.3%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 232
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q2 - 6:16MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
66.6%
27
33.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound31
65.2%
27
34.8%
Q2 - 6:18INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot31
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS)31
62.2%
27
37.8%
Q2 - 6:47INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
60.1%
27
39.9%
Q2 - 7:02INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot29
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 7:28INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)29
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 7:28INDPACERS Rebound29
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q2 - 7:29INDMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
58.9%
27
41.1%
Q2 - 7:52INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot29
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
59.4%
27
40.6%
Q2 - 8:14INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot29
58.6%
27
41.4%
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)29
56.7%
27
43.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)28
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q2 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
54.3%
27
45.7%
Q2 - 8:43INDMISS Scola 1' Layup27
53.5%
27
46.5%
Q2 - 8:56INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 8:58INDMISS Watson 6' Jump Shot27
53.5%
27
46.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 9:26MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
51.0%
27
49.0%
Q2 - 9:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
49.2%
27
50.8%
Q2 - 9:44INDMISS Stephenson 14' Jump Shot25
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q2 - 9:55INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.5%
27
53.5%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot25
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 10:08INDWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q2 - 10:24MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q2 - 10:47INDButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)23
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
49.0%
24
51.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 11:18INDButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)22
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q2 - 11:39MIAAndersen 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)22
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND20
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound20
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot20
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 220
49.6%
21
50.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
51.0%
21
49.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHeat Rebound19
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup19
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 219
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot19
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot19
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q1 - 1:04INDWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 1:10INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 1:11INDMISS West 5' Jump Shot19
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIABattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)19
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 1:45INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot16
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIACole 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 2:23INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 2:52MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 3:21INDStephenson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (George 2 AST)12
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAG. Hill STEAL (1 STL)12
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 3:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.8%
18
59.2%
Q1 - 3:38INDMISS George 9' Jump Shot12
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 4:17INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)10
34.8%
18
65.2%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHeat Rebound10
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAMISS Andersen 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.4%
18
64.6%
Q1 - 4:59INDGeorge 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)10
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 5:04INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS James 1' Layup10
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q1 - 5:21INDStephenson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 5:36INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot10
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 5:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 5:43INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot10
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 5:50INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot10
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 6:05INDWest 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)10
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
47.5%
12
52.5%
Q1 - 6:39INDWest 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
45.8%
12
54.2%
Q1 - 6:41INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 6:42INDMISS Hibbert 13' Jump Shot8
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 6:59INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot8
48.2%
10
51.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound8
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot8
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 7:20INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 7:20INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
50.3%
9
49.7%
Q1 - 7:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
53.6%
8
46.4%
Q1 - 7:55INDMISS G. Hill 16' Jump Shot8
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 8:00INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup8
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 8:11INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 28
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 8:11INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
53.5%
7
46.5%
Q1 - 8:39INDHibbert 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
51.8%
7
48.2%
Q1 - 8:41INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
53.5%
5
46.5%
Q1 - 8:42INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot6
54.9%
5
45.1%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
53.7%
5
46.3%
Q1 - 9:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 9:22INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot4
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 9:43INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 10:01INDG. Hill 1' Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)4
52.2%
5
47.8%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
53.7%
3
46.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.2%
3
47.8%
Q1 - 10:41INDMISS West 8' Jump Shot2
51.6%
3
48.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.3%
3
49.7%
Q1 - 11:07INDStephenson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
48.6%
3
51.4%
Q1 - 11:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.1%
3
52.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
47.5%
3
52.5%
Q1 - 11:32INDStephenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
48.6%
3
51.4%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to G. Hill0
52.1%
0
47.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
IND
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
22
59%
IND
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
25
52%
IND
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
IND
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
11
18
61%
IND
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2364%11.5 / 18
L. James2252%11.0 / 21
N. Cole1192%5.5 / 6
C. Bosh950%4.5 / 9
U. Haslem758%3.5 / 6
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
C. Andersen330%1.5 / 5
R. Allen330%1.5 / 5
S. Battier375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Stephenson2566%12.5 / 19
P. George1437%7.0 / 19
G. Hill1372%6.5 / 9
R. Hibbert1260%6.0 / 10
D. West1031%5.0 / 16
R. Butler6100%3.0 / 3
L. Scola217%1.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi150%0.5 / 1
C. Watson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+10
-11
78
IND
70
+18
-10
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
IND
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
102.7
MIA 110.1 +6.4
IND 103.8
Pace
86.4
89.3
MIA 80.7 +2.4
IND 78.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.3
MIA 17.8 +0.6
IND 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.0%
MIA 56.7% +11.1%
IND 45.6%
TO %
13.0%
14.2%
MIA 14.8%
IND 11.3% +3.5%
ORB %
17.1%
21.2%
MIA 19.4%
IND 33.3% +13.9%
FTrt
30.5
31.4
MIA 26.9 +8.1
IND 18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
55.9%
MIA 55.9%
IND 59.4% +3.5%
STL %
8.5%
8.0%
MIA 8.9% +1.4%
IND 7.5%
BLK %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 9.8% +5.5%
IND 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
51.7%
MIA 53.7% +7.1%
IND 46.6%
Rim FG%
66.6%
59.3%
MIA 59.1% +11.0%
IND 48.1%
Mid FG%
41.2%
38.4%
MIA 52.0% +22.6%
IND 29.4%
3P %
39.6%
38.0%
MIA 40.0%
IND 47.4% +7.4%
FT %
78.0%
72.7%
MIA 61.1%
IND 66.7% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
32.8%
MIA 32.8%
IND 33.8% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
41.4%
MIA 37.3% +5.2%
IND 42.5%
3P Att. %
32.6%
25.8%
MIA 29.9% +6.1%
IND 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions7980
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points8783
Rebounds3841
Assists1919
Steals76
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)25 (1)
Field Goals34-6732-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2213-27
Midrange FG13-2510-34
2-Point FG26-4723-61
3-Point FG8-209-19
Free Throws11-1810-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
42.4
22
52%
7
6
2
3
3
3
0
7
3-6
50%
8-13
62%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
34.5
9
50%
6
0
2
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
33.6
23
64%
5
5
1
0
3
3
2
3
3-4
75%
10-15
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
23.7
6
75%
1
3
0
0
5
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
18.5
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
28.5
3
30%
12
1
0
1
0
0
2
10
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
26.5
11
92%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
24.0
3
30%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
8.3
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
54%
38
19
7
6
11
0
6
32
11-18
61%
26-47
55%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.