FinalWin Prob.pScore
349%93
96
951%94
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.98998.0
IND logo IND
121.68881.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND96
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Copeland 29' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDMISS George 10' Jump Shot95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Layup (27 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04INDMISS Stephenson 3' Jump Shot93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAHeat Rebound93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAG. Hill BLOCK (1 BLK)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 291
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27MIAWade 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)91
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:46INDWest 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Stephenson 8 AST)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:25MIAHeat Rebound88
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27INDMISS Stephenson 29' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAG. Hill STEAL (1 STL)88
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 3:45INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)88
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:11INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:33INDWest Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)84
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)84
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:08INDWest 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)84
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 5:40INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 6:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot84
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 6:19INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stephenson 7 AST)84
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 6:34MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)84
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 6:54INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 6:54INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 7:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 7:10MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)82
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot80
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 7:37INDStephenson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAAllen 1' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 8:19INDHibbert 15' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST)78
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 8:39MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)78
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 8:50INDMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot76
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q4 - 9:12MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)76
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 9:22INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)74
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 9:22INDWatson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 9:22INDWatson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 9:25INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot74
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 9:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 10:01INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 10:12INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)74
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS) (James 4 AST)74
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 10:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 10:38INDMISS Hibbert Layup72
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 10:47INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot72
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 10:58INDMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot72
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 11:07INDMISS Watson Free Throw Technical72
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)72
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 11:24INDG. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)72
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDGeorge 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAJames 1' Layup (21 PTS)70
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)68
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)66
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0INDMISS Mahinmi 2' Layup66
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)66
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 1:22INDMISS G. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)64
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 2:01INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 2:01INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 2:16INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 2:34INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 2:34INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T8)62
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 2:56INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 2:56INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 3:19MIAAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)62
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 3:30MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 3:32INDMISS West 12' Jump Shot59
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 3:54INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 4:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 4:15INDHibbert 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)58
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 4:16INDMISS G. Hill 2' Layup58
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 4:33MIAAndersen 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)58
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 4:46INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 4:46INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 256
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)56
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 5:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot54
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 5:36MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 5:37INDMISS West 3' Layup54
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 5:53MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T7)54
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 6:09INDStephenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (West 3 AST)54
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 6:29MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)54
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 6:49INDGeorge Layup (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)52
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 7:07INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot52
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:25INDWest 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 7:37INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
10.9%
65
89.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 7:58INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 7:58INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 7:58INDPACERS Rebound52
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 7:59INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot52
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 8:18INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup52
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 8:29INDMISS George 1' Layup52
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q3 - 8:41INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot52
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 9:03INDWest 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 7 AST)52
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 9:17MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)52
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound50
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot50
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 9:46INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 9:46INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 250
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 10:04INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 10:27INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)50
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 10:49MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
22.6%
58
77.4%
Q3 - 11:06MIAHeat Rebound48
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 248
20.9%
58
79.1%
Q3 - 11:07INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 11:22MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 11:27MIAHeat Rebound45
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup45
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q3 - 11:39INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)45
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 11:39INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)45
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 11:39INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 345
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound45
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDMISS Scola 7' Jump Shot45
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 245
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 245
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDStephenson Layup (12 PTS)45
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 1:04INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot45
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 1:33INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 1:43INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q2 - 1:45INDMISS West 12' Jump Shot45
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q2 - 2:01INDPACERS Rebound45
33.4%
50
66.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup45
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q2 - 2:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 2:06INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot45
35.4%
50
64.6%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJames 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)45
33.4%
50
66.6%
Q2 - 2:54INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q2 - 2:59INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
28.2%
50
71.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot43
28.9%
50
71.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31.7%
50
68.3%
Q2 - 3:10INDMISS G. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)43
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 3:49INDWest 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 6 AST)41
26.6%
50
73.4%
Q2 - 4:15MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)41
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q2 - 4:34INDWest 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)39
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)39
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 5:10INDStephenson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 5:25INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 5:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 237
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 5:41INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
30.4%
44
69.6%
Q2 - 5:47INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
32.4%
43
67.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 6:00INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot37
34.0%
43
66.0%
Q2 - 6:20INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 6:21INDMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 6:34INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot37
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 7:04INDStephenson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)37
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 7:12MIAStephenson STEAL (1 STL)37
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 7:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 7:14INDMISS Stephenson 3' Jump Shot37
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 7:28MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS)37
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)35
33.9%
41
66.1%
Q2 - 7:49INDWatson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)35
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
38.2%
39
61.8%
Q2 - 8:32INDStephenson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIABosh 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)33
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 9:11INDStephenson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)31
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)31
38.5%
35
61.5%
Q2 - 9:50INDMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)28
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)28
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 10:14INDStephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)26
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 10:29INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot26
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 10:47INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)26
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q2 - 11:07MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
33.7%
32
66.3%
Q2 - 11:29INDScola 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)24
32.3%
32
67.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)24
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 11:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.6%
30
63.4%
Q2 - 11:41INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot24
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
34.2%
30
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.2%
30
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 29' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)24
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDWatson Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)24
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q1 - 1:01INDHibbert 1' Layup (5 PTS)21
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q1 - 1:16INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot21
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q1 - 1:39INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot21
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q1 - 1:57INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot21
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 2:15INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P2.T3)21
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 2:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 2:38INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot21
38.8%
26
61.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 3:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q1 - 3:08INDMISS G. Hill 6' Jump Shot19
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 3:27MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q1 - 3:43INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 5 AST)17
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 3:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 4:13INDG. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 4 AST)14
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 4:37INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAChalmers 2' Layup (3 PTS)12
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 5:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 5:02INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot10
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 5:17INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot10
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 5:35INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)10
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q1 - 5:58INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot10
34.9%
17
65.1%
Q1 - 6:21INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)10
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)10
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 6:44INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
42.4%
14
57.6%
Q1 - 6:57MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 29
39.9%
14
60.1%
Q1 - 7:18INDWest 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (George 3 AST)9
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIABattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 7:58INDHibbert 2' Layup (3 PTS) (George 2 AST)6
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:28INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot4
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 8:58INDWest Dunk (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)4
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 9:29INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 24
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 9:29INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 9:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
43.1%
7
56.9%
Q1 - 9:31INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot4
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
43.1%
7
56.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 10:01INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot2
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 10:35INDStephenson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 10:47INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 11:07INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)0
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 11:07INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)0
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 11:20MIABosh Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.6%
3
56.4%
Q1 - 11:39INDG. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)0
45.0%
3
55.0%
Q1 - 11:46INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
50.0%
0
50.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 55.8%
IND
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
27
81%
IND
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
IND
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
IND
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
IND
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2771%13.5 / 19
L. James2569%12.5 / 18
C. Andersen1488%7.0 / 8
R. Allen1267%6.0 / 9
C. Bosh935%4.5 / 13
M. Chalmers630%3.0 / 10
S. Battier3150%1.5 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2475%12.0 / 16
R. Hibbert1950%9.5 / 19
D. West1973%9.5 / 13
L. Stephenson1771%8.5 / 12
G. Hill1563%7.5 / 12
C. Watson1192%5.5 / 6
L. Scola233%1.0 / 3
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
I. Mahinmi0-0.0 / 1
C. Copeland0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-11
86
IND
76
+8
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 55.8%
IND
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
102.7
MIA 107.9
IND 121.6 +13.7
Pace
86.4
89.3
MIA 98.0 +16.4
IND 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.3
MIA 14.7 +3.0
IND 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.0%
MIA 55.1%
IND 57.4% +2.3%
TO %
13.0%
14.2%
MIA 11.5% +1.0%
IND 12.5%
ORB %
17.1%
21.2%
MIA 11.4%
IND 21.9% +10.5%
FTrt
30.5
31.4
MIA 19.2
IND 54.4 +35.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
55.9%
MIA 57.5%
IND 65.7% +8.2%
STL %
8.5%
8.0%
MIA 7.9% +3.4%
IND 4.5%
BLK %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 8.2% +2.7%
IND 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
51.7%
MIA 55.8%
IND 62.2% +6.4%
Rim FG%
66.6%
59.3%
MIA 81.5% +20.0%
IND 61.5%
Mid FG%
41.2%
38.4%
MIA 42.9%
IND 47.8% +4.9%
3P %
39.6%
38.0%
MIA 26.1%
IND 42.1% +16.0%
FT %
78.0%
72.7%
MIA 66.7%
IND 78.4% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
32.8%
MIA 34.6%
IND 38.2% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
41.4%
MIA 35.9%
IND 33.8% +2.1%
3P Att. %
32.6%
25.8%
MIA 29.5% +1.5%
IND 27.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes21.825.9
Points96107
Rebounds2938
Assists2323
Steals74
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)31 (1)
Field Goals40-7835-68
At-the-Rim FG22-2716-26
Midrange FG12-2811-23
2-Point FG34-5527-49
3-Point FG6-238-19
Free Throws10-1529-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
40.8
25
69%
10
5
3
0
4
3
1
9
2-2
100%
10-13
77%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
39.0
27
71%
1
4
0
0
3
3
0
1
2-3
67%
11-17
65%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
36.5
6
30%
2
5
1
2
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
31.6
9
35%
2
4
0
0
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
15.8
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
29.9
12
67%
5
4
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
18.6
14
88%
4
0
1
2
2
4
2
2
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
12.7
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
10.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
56%
29
23
7
4
11
0
4
25
10-15
67%
34-55
62%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.