Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, May 15, 2014

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	14	Pacers	45%	91	93
	17	Wizards	55%	92	80

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
IND	105.7	88	81.6
WAS	92.0	87	94.3

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-11

WAS

+13

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.1%

WAS

0.89 44.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	IND	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	IND		93 100%	80 0%
Q4 - 0:04.0	IND	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0	WAS	MISS Porter 26' 3PT Jump Shot	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0	IND	MISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 2	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0	IND	MISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 2	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0	WAS	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	93 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0	WAS	Webster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	93 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0	WAS	MISS Seraphin 10' Jump Shot	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0	IND	MISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2	92 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	92 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0	WAS	MISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot	92 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0	IND	George Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	92 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0	IND	George Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:05	WAS	Nene 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)	90 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:16	WAS	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:17	IND	MISS George Free Throw 2 of 2	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:17	IND	George Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:20	WAS	Wall Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)	89 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	IND	West 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Stephenson 8 AST)	89 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:43	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	87 99.7%	76 0.3%
Q4 - 1:44	WAS	MISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot	87 99.6%	76 0.4%
Q4 - 1:47	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	87 99.4%	76 0.6%
Q4 - 1:48	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	87 99.6%	76 0.4%
Q4 - 2:07	IND	Stephenson 7' Running Bank Shot (17 PTS)	87 99.3%	76 0.7%
Q4 - 2:27	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	85 99.0%	76 1.0%
Q4 - 2:28	WAS	MISS Wall 3' Layup	85 98.8%	76 1.2%
Q4 - 2:36	IND	Wall STEAL (2 STL)	85 98.2%	76 1.8%
Q4 - 2:53	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	85 98.5%	76 1.5%
Q4 - 2:54	WAS	MISS Beal 27' 3PT Jump Shot	85 98.2%	76 1.8%
Q4 - 2:59	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	85 97.5%	76 2.5%
Q4 - 3:00	IND	MISS West 5' Jump Shot	85 97.9%	76 2.1%
Q4 - 3:23	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	85 98.5%	76 1.5%
Q4 - 3:24	WAS	MISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot	85 98.3%	76 1.7%
Q4 - 3:44	IND	G. Hill 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	85 95.7%	76 4.3%
Q4 - 3:58	WAS	Gortat Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)	83 94.3%	76 5.7%
Q4 - 4:07	IND	West 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)	83 91.7%	76 8.3%
Q4 - 4:20	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	81 88.8%	76 11.2%
Q4 - 4:21	WAS	MISS Beal 20' Jump Shot	81 87.5%	76 12.5%
Q4 - 4:31	IND	Stephenson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)	81 84.0%	76 16.0%
Q4 - 4:52	WAS	Wall Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)	81 89.0%	76 11.0%
Q4 - 5:05	IND	George 2' Layup (9 PTS)	81 80.4%	76 19.6%
Q4 - 5:22	WAS	Ariza Foul Turnover (P2.T8)	79 75.3%	76 24.7%
Q4 - 5:27	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	79 67.9%	76 32.1%
Q4 - 5:28	IND	MISS West 12' Jump Shot	79 70.3%	76 29.7%
Q4 - 5:41	IND	Pacers Rebound	79 75.4%	76 24.6%
Q4 - 5:42	IND	MISS Stephenson 23' Jump Shot	79 70.4%	76 29.6%
Q4 - 6:07	WAS	Gortat 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)	79 73.0%	76 27.0%
Q4 - 6:32	IND	Stephenson 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)	79 78.0%	74 22.0%
Q4 - 6:42	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 73.2%	74 26.8%
Q4 - 6:42	WAS	MISS Gortat 2' Layup	77 71.0%	74 29.0%
Q4 - 6:44	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	77 65.9%	74 34.1%
Q4 - 6:45	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 71.1%	74 28.9%
Q4 - 7:03	IND	West 19' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)	77 64.6%	74 35.4%
Q4 - 7:22	IND	Pacers Rebound	75 58.7%	74 41.3%
Q4 - 7:23	IND	MISS West 20' Jump Shot	75 53.5%	74 46.5%
Q4 - 7:46	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	75 58.8%	74 41.2%
Q4 - 7:47	WAS	MISS Wall 19' Jump Shot	75 56.5%	74 43.5%
Q4 - 8:02	IND	West 18' Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)	75 51.1%	74 48.9%
Q4 - 8:31	WAS	Beal 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)	73 44.6%	74 55.4%
Q4 - 8:35	IND	Beal STEAL (2 STL)	73 57.5%	71 42.5%
Q4 - 8:39	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	73 63.7%	71 36.3%
Q4 - 8:39	IND	MISS West 12' Jump Shot	73 59.5%	71 40.5%
Q4 - 8:59	WAS	Wall 8' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)	73 63.7%	71 36.3%
Q4 - 9:11	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	73 67.9%	69 32.1%
Q4 - 9:12	IND	MISS Scola 9' Jump Shot	73 69.4%	69 30.6%
Q4 - 9:38	WAS	Beal 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	73 72.9%	69 27.1%
Q4 - 9:53	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	73 77.5%	67 22.5%
Q4 - 9:57	IND	MISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot	73 78.7%	67 21.3%
Q4 - 10:16	WAS	Wall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	73 79.7%	67 20.3%
Q4 - 10:27	IND	Scola 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)	73 75.8%	67 24.2%
Q4 - 10:43	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 71.4%	67 28.6%
Q4 - 10:44	WAS	MISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot	71 70.0%	67 30.0%
Q4 - 10:55	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	71 66.6%	67 33.4%
Q4 - 10:56	IND	MISS George 13' Jump Shot	71 68.1%	67 31.9%
Q4 - 11:14	WAS	Wall 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Beal 5 AST)	71 70.2%	67 29.8%
Q4 - 11:19	IND	Beal STEAL (1 STL)	71 74.4%	65 25.6%
Q4 - 11:41	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	71 78.4%	65 21.6%
Q4 - 11:41	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	71 79.4%	64 20.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	IND		71 81.8%	63 18.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 84.8%	63 15.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 84.0%	63 16.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	71 80.7%	63 19.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0	IND	MISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 81.6%	63 18.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	71 83.6%	63 16.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0	WAS	MISS Webster 1' Layup	71 82.7%	63 17.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	71 80.7%	63 19.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0	WAS	MISS Gooden 7' Jump Shot	71 82.7%	63 17.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	71 80.7%	63 19.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0	WAS	MISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 82.7%	63 17.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0	IND	West 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Stephenson 7 AST)	71 80.7%	63 19.3%
Q3 - 1:20	WAS	Gooden 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)	69 75.9%	63 24.1%
Q3 - 1:32	IND	G. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	69 79.5%	61 20.5%
Q3 - 2:03	WAS	Ariza 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)	69 80.9%	61 19.1%
Q3 - 2:09	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 83.5%	59 16.5%
Q3 - 2:10	IND	MISS Hibbert 1' Layup	69 84.3%	59 15.7%
Q3 - 2:28	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	69 86.1%	59 13.9%
Q3 - 2:29	IND	MISS West 9' Jump Shot	69 84.4%	59 15.6%
Q3 - 2:53	WAS	Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	69 86.1%	59 13.9%
Q3 - 2:53	WAS	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	69 86.5%	58 13.5%
Q3 - 2:53	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	69 88.1%	57 11.9%
Q3 - 2:53	WAS	MISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot	69 89.5%	57 10.5%
Q3 - 2:57	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	69 88.1%	57 11.9%
Q3 - 2:57	WAS	MISS Ariza Layup	69 89.5%	57 10.5%
Q3 - 2:59	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	69 88.1%	57 11.9%
Q3 - 3:02	WAS	MISS Wall 2' Layup	69 88.4%	57 11.6%
Q3 - 3:06	IND	Wall STEAL (1 STL)	69 87.0%	57 13.0%
Q3 - 3:15	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 89.0%	57 11.0%
Q3 - 3:16	WAS	MISS Wall 1' Layup	69 88.5%	57 11.5%
Q3 - 3:26	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 87.0%	57 13.0%
Q3 - 3:28	IND	MISS West 15' Jump Shot	69 87.7%	57 12.3%
Q3 - 3:43	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	69 89.1%	57 10.9%
Q3 - 3:43	WAS	Wall Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	69 89.4%	56 10.6%
Q3 - 3:52	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	69 90.6%	55 9.4%
Q3 - 3:52	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	68 90.3%	55 9.7%
Q3 - 4:06	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	67 88.3%	55 11.7%
Q3 - 4:07	WAS	MISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot	67 87.6%	55 12.4%
Q3 - 4:26	IND	G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST)	67 85.9%	55 14.1%
Q3 - 4:59	WAS	Gortat 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Beal 4 AST)	64 81.9%	55 18.1%
Q3 - 5:19	IND	West 3' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)	64 82.8%	53 17.2%
Q3 - 5:37	WAS	Nene 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)	62 80.7%	53 19.3%
Q3 - 5:59	IND	West 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)	62 82.8%	51 17.2%
Q3 - 6:01	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60 79.5%	51 20.5%
Q3 - 6:02	IND	MISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot	60 77.4%	51 22.6%
Q3 - 6:19	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60 79.6%	51 20.4%
Q3 - 6:20	WAS	MISS Beal 8' Jump Shot	60 78.7%	51 21.3%
Q3 - 6:41	IND	Stephenson Running Dunk (13 PTS) (West 4 AST)	60 76.6%	51 23.4%
Q3 - 6:44	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58 74.0%	51 26.0%
Q3 - 6:45	WAS	MISS Wall 3' Layup	58 72.9%	51 27.1%
Q3 - 6:52	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	58 70.4%	51 29.6%
Q3 - 6:53	IND	MISS West 9' Jump Shot	58 71.5%	51 28.5%
Q3 - 7:16	WAS	Beal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	58 72.8%	51 27.2%
Q3 - 7:24	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	58 69.4%	51 30.6%
Q3 - 7:25	IND	MISS West 15' Jump Shot	58 70.5%	51 29.5%
Q3 - 7:47	WAS	Wall 3' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	58 72.9%	51 27.1%
Q3 - 7:52	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	58 75.6%	49 24.4%
Q3 - 7:53	IND	MISS West 20' Jump Shot	58 76.5%	49 23.5%
Q3 - 8:14	WAS	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	58 77.9%	49 22.1%
Q3 - 8:14	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	58 78.7%	48 21.3%
Q3 - 8:20	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	58 77.5%	48 22.5%
Q3 - 8:21	IND	MISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 78.4%	48 21.6%
Q3 - 8:45	WAS	Beal 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	58 80.4%	48 19.6%
Q3 - 9:04	IND	West 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)	58 81.6%	46 18.4%
Q3 - 9:20	WAS	Gortat 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)	56 79.4%	46 20.6%
Q3 - 9:28	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56 81.7%	44 18.3%
Q3 - 9:29	IND	MISS Hibbert 3' Layup	56 82.4%	44 17.6%
Q3 - 9:30	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56 83.8%	44 16.2%
Q3 - 9:31	IND	MISS G. Hill 2' Layup	56 82.4%	44 17.6%
Q3 - 9:50	WAS	Beal 18' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)	56 83.9%	44 16.1%
Q3 - 10:11	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 85.0%	42 15.0%
Q3 - 10:12	IND	MISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 85.6%	42 14.4%
Q3 - 10:19	IND	Pacers Rebound	56 86.8%	42 13.2%
Q3 - 10:19	IND	Ariza BLOCK (1 BLK)	56 85.6%	42 14.4%
Q3 - 10:32	WAS	Gortat 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)	56 86.8%	42 13.2%
Q3 - 10:52	IND	West 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 2 AST)	56 88.3%	40 11.7%
Q3 - 11:17	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 85.9%	40 14.1%
Q3 - 11:18	WAS	MISS Gortat 12' Jump Shot	54 85.4%	40 14.6%
Q3 - 11:39	IND	George 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)	54 84.2%	40 15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		52 82.4%	40 17.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	52 80.2%	40 19.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52 80.9%	40 19.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	52 80.9%	40 19.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	52 81.3%	39 18.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0	IND	G. Hill 2' Layup (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)	52 83.3%	38 16.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 81.0%	38 19.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0	WAS	MISS Beal 8' Jump Shot	50 80.5%	38 19.5%
Q2 - 1:01	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	50 78.7%	38 21.3%
Q2 - 1:03	IND	Beal BLOCK (1 BLK)	50 79.1%	38 20.9%
Q2 - 1:22	WAS	Beal 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)	50 80.1%	38 19.9%
Q2 - 1:33	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 82.7%	36 17.3%
Q2 - 1:34	IND	MISS West Free Throw 2 of 2	50 82.9%	36 17.1%
Q2 - 1:34	IND	MISS West Free Throw 1 of 2	50 84.1%	36 15.9%
Q2 - 1:46	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	50 83.9%	36 16.1%
Q2 - 1:47	WAS	MISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot	50 83.5%	36 16.5%
Q2 - 2:02	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	50 81.4%	36 18.6%
Q2 - 2:02	IND	MISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2	49 81.0%	36 19.0%
Q2 - 2:13	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 81.5%	36 18.5%
Q2 - 2:14	WAS	MISS Beal 17' Jump Shot	49 80.9%	36 19.1%
Q2 - 2:28	IND	Turner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	49 79.5%	36 20.5%
Q2 - 2:46	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 81.5%	36 18.5%
Q2 - 2:47	WAS	MISS Wall 3PT Jump Shot	49 80.9%	36 19.1%
Q2 - 3:02	IND	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	49 78.5%	36 21.5%
Q2 - 3:02	IND	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	48 78.1%	36 21.9%
Q2 - 3:10	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	47 76.9%	36 23.1%
Q2 - 3:10	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	47 77.3%	35 22.7%
Q2 - 3:23	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 78.5%	34 21.5%
Q2 - 3:24	IND	MISS Stephenson 5' Jump Shot	47 79.3%	34 20.7%
Q2 - 3:45	WAS	Nene 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)	47 80.9%	34 19.1%
Q2 - 4:09	IND	Hibbert 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)	47 81.3%	32 18.7%
Q2 - 4:27	WAS	Nene 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)	45 79.6%	32 20.4%
Q2 - 4:37	IND	G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	45 81.4%	30 18.6%
Q2 - 4:37	IND	G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	44 81.1%	30 18.9%
Q2 - 4:39	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 79.6%	30 20.4%
Q2 - 4:40	WAS	MISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot	43 79.1%	30 20.9%
Q2 - 5:06	IND	Hibbert 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)	43 77.1%	30 22.9%
Q2 - 5:15	WAS	Wall Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)	41 75.0%	30 25.0%
Q2 - 5:16	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	41 72.9%	30 27.1%
Q2 - 5:17	IND	MISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot	41 73.5%	30 26.5%
Q2 - 5:41	WAS	Nene 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)	41 75.0%	30 25.0%
Q2 - 5:55	IND	West 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)	41 77.1%	28 22.9%
Q2 - 6:17	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	39 74.6%	28 25.4%
Q2 - 6:17	WAS	MISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2	39 75.2%	27 24.8%
Q2 - 6:17	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	39 74.1%	27 25.9%
Q2 - 6:17	WAS	MISS Beal 17' Jump Shot	39 75.9%	27 24.1%
Q2 - 6:38	IND	Stephenson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)	39 74.2%	27 25.8%
Q2 - 6:42	WAS	Wall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	37 72.5%	27 27.5%
Q2 - 6:49	IND	Hibbert Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	37 69.8%	27 30.2%
Q2 - 7:04	IND	Pacers Rebound	37 71.5%	27 28.5%
Q2 - 7:04	WAS	MISS Beal 2' Layup	37 70.8%	27 29.2%
Q2 - 7:11	WAS	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 69.1%	27 30.9%
Q2 - 7:12	IND	MISS George 13' Jump Shot	37 69.8%	27 30.2%
Q2 - 7:31	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 71.6%	27 28.4%
Q2 - 7:32	WAS	MISS Nene 6' Jump Shot	37 70.8%	27 29.2%
Q2 - 7:42	WAS	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	37 69.1%	27 30.9%
Q2 - 7:43	IND	MISS Scola 5' Jump Shot	37 69.9%	27 30.1%
Q2 - 7:52	WAS	Beal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	37 71.6%	27 28.4%
Q2 - 8:02	IND	Watson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	37 68.4%	27 31.6%
Q2 - 8:18	IND	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 70.7%	27 29.3%
Q2 - 8:19	WAS	MISS Harrington 29' 3PT Jump Shot	37 70.0%	27 30.0%
Q2 - 8:38	IND	Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	37 68.4%	27 31.6%
Q2 - 8:38	IND	Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	36 68.0%	27 32.0%
Q2 - 8:42	IND	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 66.3%	27 33.7%
Q2 - 8:43	WAS	MISS A. Miller 2' Layup	35 65.5%	27 34.5%
Q2 - 8:53	WAS	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 63.8%	27 36.2%
Q2 - 8:54	IND	MISS Watson 21' Jump Shot	35 64.6%	27 35.4%
Q2 - 9:16	IND	Pacers Rebound	35 65.5%	27 34.5%
Q2 - 9:16	WAS	MISS Nene 18' Jump Shot	35 64.8%	27 35.2%
Q2 - 9:40	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	35 63.1%	27 36.9%
Q2 - 9:41	WAS	MISS Nene 16' Jump Shot	35 64.8%	27 35.2%
Q2 - 9:57	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 63.1%	27 36.9%
Q2 - 9:58	IND	MISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1	35 63.5%	27 36.5%
Q2 - 10:14	WAS	A. Miller 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	33 60.7%	27 39.3%
Q2 - 10:37	IND	Watson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	33 62.6%	25 37.4%
Q2 - 10:47	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 60.7%	25 39.3%
Q2 - 10:48	WAS	MISS Webster Free Throw 2 of 2	31 60.3%	25 39.7%
Q2 - 10:48	WAS	MISS Webster Free Throw 1 of 2	31 58.6%	25 41.4%
Q2 - 11:10	WAS	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 57.6%	25 42.4%
Q2 - 11:11	IND	MISS George 1' Layup	31 58.3%	25 41.7%
Q2 - 11:24	WAS	A. Miller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	31 60.1%	25 39.9%
Q2 - 11:36	IND	Scola Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	31 62.2%	23 37.8%
Q2 - 11:36	IND	Scola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 61.7%	23 38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND		29 60.1%	23 39.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	29 59.2%	23 40.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0	WAS	MISS Wall 19' Jump Shot	29 58.7%	23 41.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 57.5%	23 42.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0	WAS	MISS Gortat 7' Jump Shot	29 58.7%	23 41.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0	IND	Mahinmi 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	29 57.5%	23 42.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 54.6%	23 45.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0	IND	MISS West 3PT Jump Shot	27 53.4%	23 46.6%
Q1 - 1:01	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	27 54.4%	23 45.6%
Q1 - 1:01	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	27 55.1%	22 44.9%
Q1 - 1:11	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	27 57.2%	21 42.8%
Q1 - 1:11	WAS	MISS Beal 27' 3PT Jump Shot	27 58.4%	21 41.6%
Q1 - 1:20	IND	Stephenson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)	27 57.3%	21 42.7%
Q1 - 1:47	WAS	Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)	25 54.4%	21 45.6%
Q1 - 2:12	IND	George 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 2 AST)	25 59.1%	18 40.9%
Q1 - 2:25	WAS	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	22 54.5%	18 45.5%
Q1 - 2:40	IND	G. Hill 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)	22 52.4%	18 47.6%
Q1 - 3:02	WAS	Webster 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	20 50.0%	18 50.0%
Q1 - 3:16	IND	Stephenson 6' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)	20 52.0%	16 48.0%
Q1 - 3:39	WAS	Beal 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 50.0%	16 50.0%
Q1 - 4:01	IND	Stephenson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)	18 51.6%	14 48.4%
Q1 - 4:38	WAS	Gortat 1' Layup (6 PTS)	16 49.8%	14 50.2%
Q1 - 4:40	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 51.6%	12 48.4%
Q1 - 4:41	WAS	MISS Wall 11' Jump Shot	16 53.3%	12 46.7%
Q1 - 4:48	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	16 51.6%	12 48.4%
Q1 - 4:49	IND	MISS West 13' Jump Shot	16 52.4%	12 47.6%
Q1 - 5:12	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 53.3%	12 46.7%
Q1 - 5:13	WAS	MISS Webster 26' 3PT Jump Shot	16 52.6%	12 47.4%
Q1 - 5:20	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 51.1%	12 48.9%
Q1 - 5:21	IND	MISS Hibbert 15' Jump Shot	16 51.8%	12 48.2%
Q1 - 5:45	WAS	Nene 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)	16 53.4%	12 46.6%
Q1 - 6:01	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 54.5%	10 45.5%
Q1 - 6:02	IND	MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot	16 55.2%	10 44.8%
Q1 - 6:09	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 56.7%	10 43.3%
Q1 - 6:10	WAS	MISS Wall 28' 3PT Jump Shot	16 56.0%	10 44.0%
Q1 - 6:17	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 54.5%	10 45.5%
Q1 - 6:17	IND	MISS Stephenson 3' Jump Shot	16 55.2%	10 44.8%
Q1 - 6:27	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 56.7%	10 43.3%
Q1 - 6:29	WAS	MISS Nene 2' Layup	16 56.0%	10 44.0%
Q1 - 6:41	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	16 54.6%	10 45.4%
Q1 - 6:45	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 50.8%	10 49.2%
Q1 - 6:46	WAS	MISS Gortat 9' Jump Shot	13 50.2%	10 49.8%
Q1 - 7:14	IND	West 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)	13 48.3%	10 51.7%
Q1 - 7:39	WAS	Wall 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	11 46.7%	10 53.3%
Q1 - 7:50	IND	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	11 48.3%	8 51.7%
Q1 - 7:58	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 50.5%	8 49.5%
Q1 - 7:59	WAS	MISS Beal 15' Jump Shot	11 49.9%	8 50.1%
Q1 - 8:11	IND	George 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)	11 48.3%	8 51.7%
Q1 - 8:33	IND	Pacers Rebound	9 46.6%	8 53.4%
Q1 - 8:34	WAS	MISS Beal 1' Layup	9 46.0%	8 54.0%
Q1 - 8:53	IND	West 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)	9 44.6%	8 55.4%
Q1 - 9:10	WAS	Wall 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	7 43.2%	8 56.8%
Q1 - 9:24	IND	Hibbert 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	7 44.7%	6 55.3%
Q1 - 9:42	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 43.1%	6 56.9%
Q1 - 9:43	WAS	MISS Nene 17' Jump Shot	5 42.6%	6 57.4%
Q1 - 9:54	IND	G. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	5 41.2%	6 58.8%
Q1 - 10:11	WAS	Gortat 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)	5 43.2%	6 56.8%
Q1 - 10:35	IND	Hibbert 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	5 44.7%	4 55.3%
Q1 - 10:54	WAS	Ariza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	3 43.2%	4 56.8%
Q1 - 10:55	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 41.3%	4 58.7%
Q1 - 10:57	IND	Wall BLOCK (1 BLK)	3 41.9%	4 58.1%
Q1 - 11:09	WAS	Nene 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	3 42.8%	4 57.2%
Q1 - 11:21	IND	West Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	3 44.7%	2 55.3%
Q1 - 11:37	WAS	Gortat 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	0 41.2%	2 58.8%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Gortat vs. Hibbert: Tip to Nene	0 43.0%	0 57.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.1%

WAS

0.89 44.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

62%

WAS

59%

Midrange

IND

53%

WAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

3.0

20%

30%

WAS

3.0

11%

17%

Free Throws

IND

68%

WAS

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	29	52%	14.5 / 28
L. Stephenson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. George	12	46%	6.0 / 13
G. Hill	11	69%	5.5 / 8
R. Hibbert	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Mahinmi	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Scola	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Watson	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gortat	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Beal	16	42%	8.0 / 19
Nene	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Wall	12	35%	6.0 / 17
T. Ariza	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Webster	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Gooden	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Miller	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Harrington	0	-	0.0 / 2
O. Porter Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Seraphin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-11

WAS

+13

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.1%

WAS

0.89 44.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.7 101.9	IND 105.7 WAS 92.0 +13.7
Pace	89.3 87.9	IND 81.6 WAS 94.3 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.3 16.1	IND 17.6 WAS 15.3 +2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.0% 46.8%	IND 52.8% +12.3% WAS 40.5%
TO %	14.2% 13.8%	IND 11.7% WAS 11.1% +0.6%
ORB %	21.2% 28.0%	IND 13.9% WAS 21.4% +7.5%
FTrt	31.4 28.5	IND 34.7 +9.4 WAS 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.9% 56.7%	IND 48.6% WAS 54.8% +6.2%
STL %	8.0% 8.4%	IND 6.8% +2.2% WAS 4.6%
BLK %	8.1% 9.5%	IND 6.6% +1.8% WAS 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.7% 49.0%	IND 54.1% +9.7% WAS 44.4%
Rim FG%	59.3% 55.8%	IND 61.5% +2.2% WAS 59.3%
Mid FG%	38.4% 38.1%	IND 52.8% +14.6% WAS 38.2%
3P %	38.0% 33.5%	IND 20.0% +8.9% WAS 11.1%
FT %	72.7% 69.6%	IND 68.0% WAS 80.0% +12.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.8% 34.3%	IND 36.1% +1.9% WAS 34.2%
Mid Att. %	41.4% 44.6%	IND 50.0% WAS 43.0% +7.0%
3P Att. %	25.8% 21.1%	IND 13.9% WAS 22.8% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	WAS
Possessions	88	87
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	93	80
Rebounds	38	40
Assists	18	17
Steals	6	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	31 (0)
Field Goals	37-72	31-79
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	16-27
Midrange FG	19-36	13-34
2-Point FG	35-62	29-61
3-Point FG	2-10	2-18
Free Throws	17-25	16-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	43.3	11	69%	6	3	2	0	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Paul George F · 6'8" 220 · 24	42.6	12	46%	5	2	3	0	1	4	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 24	40.8	17	65%	5	8	0	1	1	5	0	5	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 34	38.5	29	52%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-5	60%	13-24	54%	0-2	0%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	36.0	11	55%	7	0	1	3	2	3	3	4	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 28	11.9	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26	11.6	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	9.5	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	4.8	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
Andrew Bynum #17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Solomon Hill #9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	54%	38	18	6	4	11	0	5	33	17-25	68%	35-62	56%	2-10	20%

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	43.3	11	69%	6	3	2	0	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Paul George F · 6'8" 220 · 24	42.6	12	46%	5	2	3	0	1	4	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 24	40.8	17	65%	5	8	0	1	1	5	0	5	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 34	38.5	29	52%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-5	60%	13-24	54%	0-2	0%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	36.0	11	55%	7	0	1	3	2	3	3	4	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 28	11.9	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26	11.6	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	9.5	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	4.8	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
Andrew Bynum #17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Solomon Hill #9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	54%	38	18	6	4	11	0	5	33	17-25	68%	35-62	56%	2-10	20%

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17 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	44.0	12	35%	5	8	2	1	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-4	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	43.4	16	42%	4	5	2	1	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-13	38%	2-6	33%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	41.1	19	63%	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	4	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	35.9	6	43%	7	1	0	1	2	4	1	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 32	31.4	15	58%	6	2	0	0	1	3	1	5	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	16.1	4	33%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	14.4	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 34	8.3	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	3.4	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26
Chris Singleton #31 · F · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	44%	40	17	4	3	11	0	9	31	16-20	80%	29-61	48%	2-18	11%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg

BOXSCORE