FinalWin Prob.pScore
151%103
93
849%102
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
102.29192.0
DAL logo DAL
98.99089.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup91
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
81.8%
89
18.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 290
79.2%
89
20.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki 2' Putback Layup (19 PTS)90
85.7%
89
14.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
92.5%
87
7.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)90
89.0%
87
11.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)87
60.7%
87
39.3%
Q4 - 1:00SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)87
83.5%
84
16.5%
Q4 - 1:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
91.2%
84
8.8%
Q4 - 1:01SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot87
86.2%
84
13.8%
Q4 - 1:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)87
88.8%
84
11.2%
Q4 - 1:24DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 287
87.9%
84
12.1%
Q4 - 1:24DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 287
83.6%
84
16.4%
Q4 - 1:37SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
79.3%
84
20.7%
Q4 - 1:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
69.7%
84
30.3%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot85
61.5%
84
38.5%
Q4 - 2:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
71.0%
84
29.0%
Q4 - 2:13DALMISS Marion 10' Running Jump Shot85
67.2%
84
32.8%
Q4 - 2:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)85
57.5%
84
42.5%
Q4 - 2:28SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
62.0%
84
38.0%
Q4 - 2:49SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
71.4%
84
28.6%
Q4 - 2:50DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 285
69.7%
84
30.3%
Q4 - 2:50DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
62.9%
84
37.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
67.4%
83
32.6%
Q4 - 3:08SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
64.9%
83
35.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)83
59.6%
83
40.4%
Q4 - 3:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
48.8%
83
51.2%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot82
44.7%
83
55.3%
Q4 - 3:32DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)82
38.3%
83
61.7%
Q4 - 3:33SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
41.2%
83
58.8%
Q4 - 3:51DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)82
48.0%
83
52.0%
Q4 - 4:00SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q4 - 4:00SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
55.0%
81
45.0%
Q4 - 4:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
47.9%
81
52.1%
Q4 - 4:11DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Turnaround Jump Shot80
44.7%
81
55.3%
Q4 - 4:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot80
40.6%
81
59.4%
Q4 - 4:30SASSpurs Rebound80
47.9%
81
52.1%
Q4 - 4:30SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)80
40.6%
81
59.4%
Q4 - 4:50DALBlair 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)80
47.8%
81
52.2%
Q4 - 5:06SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
55.7%
79
44.3%
Q4 - 5:06SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 279
54.1%
79
45.9%
Q4 - 5:29DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)79
56.5%
79
43.5%
Q4 - 5:48SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
64.0%
77
36.0%
Q4 - 5:48SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
63.0%
77
37.0%
Q4 - 5:50DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
56.6%
77
43.4%
Q4 - 6:05SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)77
47.9%
77
52.1%
Q4 - 6:23DALCrowder Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)77
56.4%
77
43.6%
Q4 - 6:28DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
62.8%
75
37.2%
Q4 - 6:29SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot77
65.2%
75
34.8%
Q4 - 6:33SASSpurs Rebound77
70.4%
75
29.6%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot77
65.2%
75
34.8%
Q4 - 6:55DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)77
70.4%
75
29.6%
Q4 - 7:15SASCrowder STEAL (1 STL)77
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q4 - 7:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
79.8%
73
20.2%
Q4 - 7:26DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot77
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 7:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
74.4%
73
25.6%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Green 17' Pullup Jump Shot77
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
79.8%
73
20.2%
Q4 - 7:47SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 8:04DALHarris 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)77
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 8:24SASSplitter 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 8:45DALBlair 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)75
78.0%
71
22.0%
Q4 - 8:54DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
82.1%
69
17.9%
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Green 15' Running Jump Shot75
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 9:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q4 - 9:06DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.9%
69
17.1%
Q4 - 9:10DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)75
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q4 - 9:11DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.9%
69
17.1%
Q4 - 9:23DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
80.5%
69
19.5%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Hook Shot75
81.6%
69
18.4%
Q4 - 9:40DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)75
84.0%
69
16.0%
Q4 - 9:50DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
87.0%
67
13.0%
Q4 - 9:51DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot75
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q4 - 10:12SASGreen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
85.6%
67
14.4%
Q4 - 10:21SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
82.6%
67
17.4%
Q4 - 10:22SASMISS Diaw 6' Turnaround Hook Shot73
80.2%
67
19.8%
Q4 - 10:35SASSpurs Rebound73
82.7%
67
17.3%
Q4 - 10:35DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot73
81.6%
67
18.4%
Q4 - 10:48SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)73
79.2%
67
20.8%
Q4 - 11:11DALBlair 11' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)73
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q4 - 11:22DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
85.3%
65
14.7%
Q4 - 11:38DALBlair Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)73
87.1%
65
12.9%
Q4 - 11:42DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL73
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot73
85.3%
65
14.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)73
86.1%
65
13.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASMISS Ginobili 8' Running Hook Shot73
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q3 - 1:00SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
90.4%
63
9.6%
Q3 - 1:02DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot73
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 1:10DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
87.5%
63
12.5%
Q3 - 1:11SASMISS Belinelli 19' Fadeaway Jumper73
88.1%
63
11.9%
Q3 - 1:34DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)73
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 1:47SASDiaw 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 2:14DALCarter 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)71
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 2:26SASBlair STEAL (2 STL)71
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 2:39SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q3 - 2:39DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 271
92.8%
58
7.2%
Q3 - 2:39DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
92.1%
58
7.9%
Q3 - 2:50SASDiaw 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)71
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 3:05DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
90.9%
57
9.1%
Q3 - 3:05DALBlair 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)69
90.9%
57
9.1%
Q3 - 3:06DALMISS Ellis Layup69
93.1%
55
6.9%
Q3 - 3:23SASSplitter 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)69
92.2%
55
7.8%
Q3 - 3:37SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
91.0%
55
9.0%
Q3 - 3:38DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 267
90.8%
55
9.2%
Q3 - 3:38DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q3 - 3:55SASDiaw 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)67
90.9%
54
9.1%
Q3 - 4:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup65
88.0%
54
12.0%
Q3 - 4:15SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 4:24DALBlair 2' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)62
82.5%
54
17.5%
Q3 - 4:27DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 4:28DALMISS Ellis 13' Driving Jump Shot62
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q3 - 4:38SASDiaw 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)62
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 4:47SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
82.5%
52
17.5%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot60
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q3 - 4:50SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
82.5%
52
17.5%
Q3 - 4:51SASCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)60
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q3 - 5:10DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)60
81.4%
52
18.6%
Q3 - 5:18SASEllis STEAL (2 STL)60
85.6%
49
14.4%
Q3 - 5:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
87.8%
49
12.2%
Q3 - 5:23DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot60
87.2%
49
12.8%
Q3 - 5:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
85.6%
49
14.4%
Q3 - 5:33SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot60
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 5:50DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
87.9%
49
12.1%
Q3 - 5:50DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
88.2%
48
11.8%
Q3 - 6:00DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)60
89.3%
47
10.7%
Q3 - 6:01SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 160
88.7%
47
11.3%
Q3 - 6:06SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
87.0%
47
13.0%
Q3 - 6:08DALMISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot58
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q3 - 6:19DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
84.9%
47
15.1%
Q3 - 6:20DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 258
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q3 - 6:20DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
85.5%
47
14.5%
Q3 - 6:45SASCarter STEAL (2 STL)58
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 6:59DALEllis Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)58
88.7%
46
11.3%
Q3 - 7:04SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)58
89.3%
44
10.7%
Q3 - 7:31DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)58
90.8%
44
9.2%
Q3 - 7:42DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)58
93.0%
41
7.0%
Q3 - 7:43SASMISS Splitter 6' Turnaround Hook Shot58
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q3 - 8:04SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q3 - 8:05SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot58
92.9%
41
7.1%
Q3 - 8:31DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)58
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q3 - 8:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
95.1%
38
4.9%
Q3 - 8:39SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup58
95.4%
38
4.6%
Q3 - 8:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
95.9%
38
4.1%
Q3 - 8:56DALMISS Ellis 17' Step Back Jump Shot58
95.7%
38
4.3%
Q3 - 9:18SASParker 4' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)58
94.8%
38
5.2%
Q3 - 9:28SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
94.0%
38
6.0%
Q3 - 9:28DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
93.8%
38
6.2%
Q3 - 9:39SASSplitter 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)56
93.1%
38
6.9%
Q3 - 9:58DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
92.2%
38
7.8%
Q3 - 9:58DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
92.4%
37
7.6%
Q3 - 10:06DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)54
92.7%
36
7.3%
Q3 - 10:07SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
93.0%
36
7.0%
Q3 - 10:24DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T7)54
93.7%
36
6.3%
Q3 - 10:24DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
92.7%
36
7.3%
Q3 - 10:24DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper54
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q3 - 10:46SASLeonard 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)54
92.7%
36
7.3%
Q3 - 10:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
91.7%
36
8.3%
Q3 - 10:57DALMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot52
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q3 - 11:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q3 - 11:07SASMISS Parker 13' Pullup Jump Shot52
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q3 - 11:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
91.1%
36
8.9%
Q3 - 11:17DALMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup52
90.8%
36
9.2%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)52
90.0%
36
10.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL50
88.7%
36
11.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 150
87.4%
36
12.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
84.4%
36
15.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot48
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
83.1%
36
16.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 248
83.3%
36
16.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)47
82.7%
36
17.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)46
80.7%
36
19.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
79.1%
36
20.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot46
80.2%
36
19.8%
Q2 - 1:00SASDuncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)46
79.1%
36
20.9%
Q2 - 1:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 1:24DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 244
75.3%
36
24.7%
Q2 - 1:24DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 244
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 1:37SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)44
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 1:47SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot44
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 2:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 2:01DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup44
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 2:13DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
72.8%
36
27.2%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Floating Jump Shot44
73.6%
36
26.4%
Q2 - 2:41DALEllis 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
75.3%
36
24.7%
Q2 - 3:01SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)44
76.7%
34
23.3%
Q2 - 3:25DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
72.7%
34
27.3%
Q2 - 3:44SASLeonard 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)41
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 3:58DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 3:58DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
75.4%
30
24.6%
Q2 - 3:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
76.8%
29
23.2%
Q2 - 3:59DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup39
78.5%
29
21.5%
Q2 - 4:02SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)39
76.0%
29
24.0%
Q2 - 4:14DALCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
78.1%
29
21.9%
Q2 - 4:37SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
80.1%
27
19.9%
Q2 - 4:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
76.2%
27
23.8%
Q2 - 4:50DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot36
75.5%
27
24.5%
Q2 - 4:55DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
73.9%
27
26.1%
Q2 - 4:56DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
75.5%
27
24.5%
Q2 - 5:23SASLeonard 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)36
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q2 - 5:27DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)34
71.3%
27
28.7%
Q2 - 5:44SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 233
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q2 - 5:49SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q2 - 5:50DALMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot33
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 6:08DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
65.8%
27
34.2%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Parker 3' Running Layup33
66.8%
27
33.2%
Q2 - 6:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Jump Shot33
66.8%
27
33.2%
Q2 - 6:31SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Carter 6' Driving Jump Shot33
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q2 - 6:47SASMills 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
65.9%
27
34.1%
Q2 - 6:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 6:56DALMISS Marion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot31
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 7:16SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
60.6%
27
39.4%
Q2 - 7:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
63.4%
27
36.6%
Q2 - 7:21DALMISS Dalembert 17' Jump Shot31
62.6%
27
37.4%
Q2 - 7:46SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)31
60.6%
27
39.4%
Q2 - 7:59SASSpurs Rebound29
58.4%
27
41.6%
Q2 - 7:59DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot29
57.5%
27
42.5%
Q2 - 8:22DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 8:23SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Bank Shot29
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q2 - 8:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q2 - 8:40DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot29
57.1%
27
42.9%
Q2 - 8:56SASMills 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 9:27SASDuncan 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)27
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 9:41DALCrowder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 9:52DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 9:53DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
51.9%
25
48.1%
Q2 - 10:00SASBlair STEAL (1 STL)25
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 10:12DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 10:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q2 - 10:21SASMISS Mills 22' Jump Shot25
50.7%
25
49.3%
Q2 - 10:30SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 10:31DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot25
51.9%
25
48.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)25
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q2 - 10:59DALWright 9' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
47.8%
25
52.2%
Q2 - 11:16SASDiaw 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)23
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q2 - 11:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 11:28DALMISS Harris 14' Fadeaway Jumper20
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q2 - 11:49SASSplitter Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL18
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
38.8%
23
61.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0DALWright 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)18
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALMISS Harris 22' Pullup Jump Shot18
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
40.6%
20
59.4%
Q1 - 1:10SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 1:17SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 1:18DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 1:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 1:45SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 1:46DALMISS Carter 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 2:05SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)14
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 2:17SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 2:18DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot12
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 2:35SASMills Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 2:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 2:40DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 2:43DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 2:44DALMISS Carter 5' Driving Jump Shot12
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 3:01SASDuncan 5' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)12
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 3:15DALCarter 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 3:30SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 3:31SASMISS Diaw 7' Jump Hook Shot8
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 3:50SASSpurs Rebound8
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 3:51DALMISS Dalembert 1' Layup8
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 4:00DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)8
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Parker 10' Pullup Jump Shot8
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 4:14DALCalderon 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 4:33SASParker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
37.3%
14
62.7%
Q1 - 4:46DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
35.5%
14
64.5%
Q1 - 4:46DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 5:09SASGinobili 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)6
37.8%
12
62.2%
Q1 - 5:28DALEllis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)4
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:41DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 5:43SASDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)4
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 5:57DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot4
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 6:33DALDalembert Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)2
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 6:53DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)2
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Leonard 3' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 6:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 6:57SASMISS Duncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper2
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 7:11DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 22
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 7:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 7:19DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)2
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Parker 2' Turnaround Jump Shot2
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 7:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 7:28DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot2
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:34DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical2
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 7:44DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 7:45SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot2
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 8:02DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
39.3%
9
60.7%
Q1 - 8:09DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 8:10SASMISS Duncan 1' Driving Layup2
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 8:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 8:22DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot2
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 8:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 8:28DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot2
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 8:40DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 8:41SASMISS Leonard Reverse Layup2
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 8:52SASSpurs Rebound2
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 8:54DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 9:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 9:17SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 9:34DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)2
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 9:46SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Hook Shot2
47.3%
4
52.7%
Q1 - 10:06DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 10:18DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 10:18SASMISS Parker 16' Floating Jump Shot2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:29DALMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot2
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 10:43DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 10:44DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Step Back Jump Shot2
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 11:00SASDalembert STEAL (1 STL)2
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 11:08DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 11:27SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 11:41DALMarion 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Duncan: Tip to Calderon0
50.4%
0
49.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.7%
DAL
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
27
67%
DAL
11
20
55%
Midrange
SAS
13
36
36%
DAL
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
DAL
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
SAS
16
22
73%
DAL
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2361%11.5 / 19
B. Diaw1771%8.5 / 12
T. Duncan1441%7.0 / 17
T. Parker1036%5.0 / 14
T. Splitter1071%5.0 / 7
P. Mills1071%5.0 / 7
K. Leonard739%3.5 / 9
D. Green233%1.0 / 3
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2043%10.0 / 23
D. Nowitzki1943%9.5 / 22
J. Calderon1365%6.5 / 10
D. Blair1286%6.0 / 7
V. Carter840%4.0 / 10
S. Marion429%2.0 / 7
D. Harris429%2.0 / 7
B. Wright4100%2.0 / 2
S. Dalembert325%1.5 / 6
J. Crowder233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+13
-14
90
DAL
81
+17
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.7%
DAL
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.0
110.1
SAS 102.2
DAL 98.9 +3.3
Pace
92.9
91.9
SAS 92.0 +3.0
DAL 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
SAS 15.6 +0.5
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
50.0%
SAS 48.1% +5.8%
DAL 42.3%
TO %
12.9%
11.8%
SAS 14.3%
DAL 8.5% +5.8%
ORB %
23.6%
26.3%
SAS 25.0%
DAL 29.6% +4.6%
FTrt
29.1
21.7
SAS 27.5
DAL 33.3 +5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.9%
48.9%
SAS 44.4%
DAL 56.3% +11.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.1%
SAS 4.4%
DAL 8.9% +4.5%
BLK %
5.8%
7.0%
SAS 3.3%
DAL 4.8% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.7%
51.8%
SAS 51.7% +7.6%
DAL 44.1%
Rim FG%
62.6%
56.6%
SAS 66.7% +11.7%
DAL 55.0%
Mid FG%
43.1%
42.2%
SAS 36.1% +1.1%
DAL 35.0%
3P %
40.9%
37.6%
SAS 29.4% +0.2%
DAL 29.2%
FT %
76.7%
76.5%
SAS 72.7% +8.4%
DAL 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
28.8%
SAS 33.8% +9.9%
DAL 23.8%
Mid Att. %
39.6%
45.3%
SAS 45.0% +2.6%
DAL 47.6%
3P Att. %
26.7%
25.9%
SAS 21.3%
DAL 28.6% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9389
Rebounds4949
Assists1618
Steals48
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals36-8032-84
At-the-Rim FG18-2711-20
Midrange FG13-3614-40
2-Point FG31-6325-60
3-Point FG5-177-24
Free Throws16-2218-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 38
38.0
14
41%
11
0
0
1
0
5
4
7
2-3
67%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
37.9
7
39%
12
1
0
1
3
2
3
9
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
30.3
10
36%
1
3
0
0
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 29
25.4
10
71%
12
1
1
0
1
6
4
8
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
15.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 37
28.1
23
61%
3
5
1
0
3
3
0
3
8-11
73%
6-9
67%
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32
27.9
17
71%
4
4
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
20.4
10
71%
3
2
2
0
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
12.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27
#23 · F · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
49
16
4
2
14
0
11
38
16-22
73%
31-63
49%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.