FinalWin Prob.pScore
553%96
98
1847%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.99086.4
CHA logo CHA
97.78790.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHAMISS Neal 4' Driving Jump Shot98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Douglas 22' Jump Shot98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11CHAWhite Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Douglas 20' Jump Shot98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33CHADouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38CHAPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58CHAPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40CHAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40CHAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15CHAMISS Ridnour 2' Driving Layup98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)98
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 3:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)96
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:43CHAMISS Neal 9' Driving Jump Shot96
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:56CHABOBCATS Rebound96
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 4:12CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 4:12CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:22CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)96
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 296
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 295
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40CHABOBCATS Rebound95
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40CHAMISS McRoberts 2' Layup95
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:55MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)95
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound95
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Cole 33' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:20CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:20CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS)95
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53CHANeal 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)93
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 6:12CHABOBCATS Rebound93
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Bosh 5' Running Jump Shot93
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 6:35CHADouglas-Roberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)93
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 6:39CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:41CHAMISS Ridnour 8' Jump Shot93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Cole 2' Running Layup93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:08CHAMISS Ridnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:14CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot93
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:25CHAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)93
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot91
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 8:16MIAHeat Rebound91
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 8:16CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup91
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 8:29CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup91
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 8:43CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 8:43CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 8:54CHABOBCATS Rebound91
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAZeller BLOCK (2 BLK)91
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 9:14CHADouglas-Roberts 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ridnour 6 AST)91
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 9:19CHARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 9:32CHAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)91
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 9:45CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot91
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 9:59CHANeal Foul Turnover (P2.T11)91
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 10:13MIAAndersen Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)91
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot89
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 11:06CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)89
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q4 - 11:16CHARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:25MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:27CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)89
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound86
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAJefferson 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Ridnour 5 AST)86
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0CHAMISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q3 - 1:00CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot84
98.6%
63
1.4%
Q3 - 1:29CHADouglas-Roberts 23' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)84
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 2:00MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)84
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q3 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound81
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIAJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)81
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 2:25CHAMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)81
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q3 - 2:39MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Layup (26 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)81
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 2:52CHAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q3 - 2:52CHAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 3:04CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot79
98.6%
56
1.4%
Q3 - 3:40CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)79
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 3:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)79
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
98.6%
53
1.4%
Q3 - 4:10CHAMISS Neal 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup76
98.5%
53
1.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAWade 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)76
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 4:47MIAHeat Rebound74
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 4:48CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
97.9%
53
2.1%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 5:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)72
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (24 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 6:00CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
95.6%
53
4.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)70
96.3%
50
3.7%
Q3 - 6:38CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
95.8%
50
4.2%
Q3 - 6:47CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
95.0%
50
5.0%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
95.3%
50
4.7%
Q3 - 7:11CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
95.3%
50
4.7%
Q3 - 7:11CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 268
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJames 1' Dunk (22 PTS)68
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 7:39CHAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)66
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 7:51MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)66
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 8:07CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 8:07CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
93.3%
47
6.7%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)64
93.3%
47
6.7%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS James 14' Jump Bank Shot62
91.6%
47
8.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
92.5%
47
7.5%
Q3 - 8:44CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 262
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 8:44CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
91.5%
47
8.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)62
91.8%
46
8.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
90.7%
46
9.3%
Q3 - 9:22CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup60
90.3%
46
9.7%
Q3 - 9:31CHABOBCATS Rebound60
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q3 - 9:31CHAMISS McRoberts 15' Jump Shot60
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)60
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q3 - 9:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
90.8%
46
9.2%
Q3 - 9:50CHAMISS McRoberts 3' Layup60
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAChalmers 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)60
89.0%
46
11.0%
Q3 - 10:31CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)58
87.6%
46
12.4%
Q3 - 10:42CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
85.9%
46
14.1%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot58
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
87.6%
46
12.4%
Q3 - 11:01CHAMISS Henderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 11:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
85.8%
46
14.2%
Q3 - 11:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
87.0%
46
13.0%
Q3 - 11:33CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup58
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA58
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)58
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)57
85.0%
46
15.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)56
84.5%
46
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
81.6%
46
18.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
78.9%
46
21.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
78.4%
46
21.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0CHAWalker 5' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJames 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Rebound51
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)51
74.7%
44
25.3%
Q2 - 1:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 1:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q2 - 1:14CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot51
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 1:29MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
79.8%
42
20.2%
Q2 - 1:30CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 251
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 1:30CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 251
78.2%
42
21.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q2 - 1:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
75.4%
42
24.6%
Q2 - 1:55CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup49
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 2:13MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
72.8%
42
27.2%
Q2 - 2:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q2 - 2:37CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 247
70.0%
42
30.0%
Q2 - 2:37CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 247
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 2:43CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)47
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q2 - 2:52CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 2:55CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 2:55CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup47
69.6%
42
30.4%
Q2 - 2:57CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup47
69.6%
42
30.4%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)47
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q2 - 3:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist Foul Turnover (P2.T4)47
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q2 - 3:41MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)47
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q2 - 3:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
62.3%
42
37.7%
Q2 - 3:47CHAMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot44
61.2%
42
38.8%
Q2 - 4:09MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 4:32CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 4:32CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)42
58.9%
40
41.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
53.3%
40
46.7%
Q2 - 4:57CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 5:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
53.3%
40
46.7%
Q2 - 5:25CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot39
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)39
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 5:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
47.7%
40
52.3%
Q2 - 5:46CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot37
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 5:59CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
45.0%
40
55.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 6:17CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)37
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)37
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q2 - 6:28CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup37
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 6:55CHAMISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 7:14MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 7:39CHAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)33
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 8:13CHANeal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)31
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 8:24MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)31
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 8:44CHAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 8:44CHAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 9:06CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot28
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 9:29CHARidnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)28
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 9:41CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
48.4%
30
51.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup28
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q2 - 10:05CHADouglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)28
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 10:22CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
55.6%
27
44.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup28
56.5%
27
43.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
58.5%
27
41.5%
Q2 - 10:36CHAMISS Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot28
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 10:52MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
55.6%
27
44.4%
Q2 - 11:08CHARidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 11:33MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 11:45CHAMISS McRoberts 4' Driving Jump Shot23
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
43.6%
27
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Lewis 4' Driving Bank Shot23
44.3%
27
55.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0CHAJefferson 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)23
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)21
45.9%
25
54.1%
Q1 - 1:04CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot21
49.6%
23
50.4%
Q1 - 1:16CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)21
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q1 - 1:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
56.5%
20
43.5%
Q1 - 1:41CHAJefferson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)21
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 2:00MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 2:04MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
62.2%
18
37.8%
Q1 - 2:05CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup21
61.6%
18
38.4%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 2:34CHAMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot19
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
55.8%
18
44.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAHeat Rebound17
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 3:13CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q1 - 3:13CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup17
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 3:16CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup17
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q1 - 3:46MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 3:47CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot14
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 4:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:02MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)14
45.6%
18
54.4%
Q1 - 4:09CHAKidd-Gilchrist Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 4:36CHAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot12
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 4:55CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 212
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 5:15CHAJefferson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)11
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 5:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 111
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 5:40CHAMISS Henderson 5' Jump Shot9
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 5:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.1%
16
60.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Jump Shot9
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 6:13CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)9
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 6:48CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 6:49CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)7
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 7:00CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot7
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 7:16CHABOBCATS Rebound7
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot7
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 7:29CHAJefferson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)7
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
49.5%
9
50.5%
Q1 - 8:17CHAHenderson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)4
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 8:31CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 8:55CHAHenderson 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)4
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot2
49.1%
5
50.9%
Q1 - 9:24CHAWalker 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.5%
5
49.5%
Q1 - 9:36MIAChalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
52.1%
3
47.9%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound0
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
49.1%
3
50.9%
Q1 - 9:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 9:55CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 3' Layup0
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 10:08CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot0
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 10:32CHAMISS Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
50.1%
3
49.9%
Q1 - 10:41CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot0
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 10:55CHAKidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 11:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.4%
1
47.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
52.8%
1
47.2%
Q1 - 11:34CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
53.9%
1
46.1%
Q1 - 11:34CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 20
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball McRoberts vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
55.6%
0
44.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
CHA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
37
54%
CHA
12
31
39%
Midrange
MIA
7
28
25%
CHA
8
16
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
CHA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
CHA
24
33
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3068%15.0 / 22
D. Wade1747%8.5 / 18
C. Andersen1275%6.0 / 8
C. Bosh857%4.0 / 7
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
N. Cole857%4.0 / 7
R. Allen867%4.0 / 6
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
J. Jones325%1.5 / 6
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 1
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2067%10.0 / 15
C. Douglas-Roberts1794%8.5 / 9
J. McRoberts1354%6.5 / 12
K. Walker1372%6.5 / 9
G. Neal945%4.5 / 10
G. Henderson638%3.0 / 8
M. Kidd-Gilchrist319%1.5 / 8
L. Ridnour330%1.5 / 5
B. Biyombo150%0.5 / 1
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+12
-6
96
CHA
73
+6
-14
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
CHA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
102.8
MIA 108.9
CHA 97.7 +11.2
Pace
86.4
89.5
MIA 86.4
CHA 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.6
MIA 16.7
CHA 15.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.0%
MIA 48.8% +1.9%
CHA 46.9%
TO %
13.0%
15.6%
MIA 7.1% +7.9%
CHA 15.0%
ORB %
17.1%
20.8%
MIA 15.0% +4.2%
CHA 10.8%
FTrt
30.5
31.2
MIA 24.1
CHA 50.8 +26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.6%
58.5%
MIA 72.2%
CHA 77.8% +5.6%
STL %
8.5%
4.7%
MIA 8.9% +5.5%
CHA 3.4%
BLK %
7.5%
8.3%
MIA 14.9% +2.6%
CHA 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
52.1%
MIA 51.0%
CHA 52.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%
66.6%
48.2%
MIA 54.1% +15.4%
CHA 38.7%
Mid FG%
41.2%
48.0%
MIA 25.0%
CHA 50.0% +25.0%
3P %
39.6%
36.5%
MIA 50.0% +11.1%
CHA 38.9%
FT %
78.0%
71.3%
MIA 85.0% +12.3%
CHA 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
37.9%
MIA 44.6%
CHA 47.7% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
34.4%
33.9%
MIA 33.7%
CHA 24.6% +9.1%
3P Att. %
32.6%
28.2%
MIA 21.7%
CHA 27.7% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points9885
Rebounds3938
Assists2621
Steals83
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (6)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (4)
Field Goals36-8327-65
At-the-Rim FG20-3712-31
Midrange FG7-288-16
2-Point FG27-6520-47
3-Point FG9-187-18
Free Throws17-2024-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
36.0
30
68%
10
6
2
0
2
1
0
10
9-10
90%
9-16
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
33.7
17
47%
3
6
1
1
2
4
2
1
3-4
75%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
33.0
8
57%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
26.7
8
50%
4
4
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
14.2
4
40%
4
1
1
1
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
29.1
8
57%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
22.0
12
75%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
18.8
8
67%
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
16.8
3
25%
0
3
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
5.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
39
26
8
7
6
0
6
33
17-20
85%
27-65
42%
9-18
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.