FinalWin Prob.pScore
1824%92
97
476%101
101
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
104.39389.2
MIA logo MIA
108.69397.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)97
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)97
5.3%
100
94.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)97
6.6%
99
93.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)97
11.5%
98
88.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)94
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup94
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)94
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 294
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
6.0%
97
94.0%
Q4 - 1:10CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 1:20CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
12.1%
97
87.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
10.3%
97
89.7%
Q4 - 1:42CHAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 8 AST)94
8.2%
97
91.8%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T16)92
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 2:12CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)92
3.6%
97
96.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 2:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 2:36CHAMISS Walker 6' Driving Jump Shot89
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 2:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 2:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot89
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 3:14CHAHenderson 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)89
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 3:36MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (James 8 AST)87
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 3:49CHAMISS Walker 9' Floating Jump Shot87
4.6%
93
95.4%
Q4 - 4:19MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 7 AST)87
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 4:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Dunk (22 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)87
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 4:54MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)85
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 5:06CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 5:06CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 5:16MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 5:29CHAKidd-Gilchrist 4' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)83
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 5:36CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)81
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 5:37CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 5:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 6:16CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)81
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 6:17CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:18CHAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)78
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 6:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot78
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 6:38CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)78
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:38CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 277
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot77
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 7:19CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Bank Shot77
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)77
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 7:46MIAHEAT Rebound77
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:00CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Hook Shot77
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 8:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 8:42CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:44CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 8:45CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 9:01MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 6 AST)77
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 9:12CHAMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot77
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIAJames 6' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)77
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q4 - 9:51CHAHenderson 10' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)77
12.4%
81
87.6%
Q4 - 9:54MIALewis Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 10:11MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 10:12CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 10:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)75
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)75
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 10:46CHADouglas-Roberts 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)75
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 10:52CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 11:15CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 11:15CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 272
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q4 - 11:37CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Cole 8' Driving Jump Shot72
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA72
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound72
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 7' Driving Jump Shot72
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHABobcats Rebound72
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)72
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot72
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 272
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 1:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)72
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)70
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 1:45CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 2:02MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 2:22CHAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)67
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 2:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)65
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 2:24CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup65
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 2:25CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 2:26CHAMISS Neal 8' Driving Jump Shot65
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIALewis 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)65
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 3:03MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 3:04CHAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot65
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 3:20MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 3:20MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 3:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 3:42CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 264
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:04MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)64
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 4:24CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Jump Shot64
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 5:05CHAJefferson 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)64
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q3 - 5:16CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Haslem 1' Dunk62
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 5:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 5:25CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot62
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 5:50CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)62
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 162
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 6:03CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)62
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 6:09CHABobcats Rebound60
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 6:10CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)60
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)60
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 6:34CHAJefferson 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)60
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 6:44CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper58
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 7:13CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)58
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 7:31CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 16' Step Back Jump Shot55
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 7:45CHAMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot55
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:15CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 8:46CHAKidd-Gilchrist Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)55
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 8:53CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot55
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q3 - 9:13CHAHenderson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)55
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)53
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup53
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 10:04CHAMcRoberts 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)53
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q3 - 10:17CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q3 - 10:49CHAWalker 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q3 - 10:55CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot49
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 11:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 11:11CHABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)49
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 11:28MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
9.6%
57
90.4%
Q3 - 11:40CHAJefferson 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)49
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHANeal 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)44
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 1:02MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 1:06CHACole STEAL (1 STL)41
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 1:27CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)41
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAJames Running Dunk (18 PTS)41
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 1:43CHAJames STEAL (4 STL)41
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 2:02CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)41
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 2:02CHABobcats Rebound41
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 2:03CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot41
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 2:35CHAMISS Neal 8' Driving Jump Shot41
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 2:40CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 2:41CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup41
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup41
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 3:06CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)41
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)38
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 3:34CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup38
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 3:41CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 3:42CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)38
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 4:21CHAKidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)38
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 4:39MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)36
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 4:56CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 236
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 4:56CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)35
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 5:19CHAJames STEAL (3 STL)35
11.7%
41
88.3%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)35
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 5:47CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)35
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 5:54CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot32
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 6:11CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)32
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 6:19CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 6:38CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)29
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)27
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 7:27CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 7:42CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper25
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 8:07CHAJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS)25
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 8:08CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 8:09CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup23
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 8:22MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T6)23
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 8:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 8:31CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 8:40CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 8:41CHAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot23
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 8:56MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 9:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 9:25CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot21
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 9:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 9:38CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup21
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)21
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 9:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
5.8%
35
94.2%
Q2 - 10:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q2 - 10:08CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Turnaround Hook Shot21
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 10:43CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)21
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q2 - 11:16CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)21
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIABosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 11:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q2 - 11:44CHAMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Layup19
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHARidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)16
7.3%
29
92.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAMISS McRoberts 16' Jump Shot16
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAAndersen 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
8.7%
27
91.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Allen 3' Driving Jump Shot16
10.1%
25
89.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHALewis BLOCK (1 BLK)16
9.9%
25
90.1%
Q1 - 1:01CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 1:02CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot16
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)16
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)16
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 1:17CHALewis STEAL (1 STL)16
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 1:27CHARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 1:39CHAZeller 2' Layup (3 PTS)16
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 1:40CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 1:41CHAMISS Neal 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup14
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 1:59CHABobcats Rebound14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q1 - 2:12CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:12CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 213
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)13
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:33CHAJames STEAL (2 STL)13
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)13
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 3:04CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 213
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:10CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot13
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 3:40CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 3:45CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
18.1%
15
81.9%
Q1 - 3:46CHAMISS Henderson 1' Layup13
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 4:02CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:11CHAJames STEAL (1 STL)13
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)13
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 4:43CHAMISS Henderson 17' Jump Shot13
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 4:56CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot13
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 5:20CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot13
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 5:30CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 5:48MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.5%
11
82.5%
Q1 - 6:03CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 6:31MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 6:32CHAMISS Neal 7' Driving Jump Shot10
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 6:54CHABobcats Rebound10
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Jump Shot10
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 7:03CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 7:03CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 28
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 7:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 7:36CHAMISS Henderson 14' Fadeaway Jumper8
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 7:51CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot8
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 8:07CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 8:07CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:07CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
18.3%
7
81.7%
Q1 - 8:08CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Tip Shot6
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.3%
7
81.7%
Q1 - 8:10CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup6
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:21CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.3%
7
81.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot6
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 8:35CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:50MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 8:59CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
19.4%
5
80.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 9:13CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)6
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:18CHABobcats Rebound4
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 9:19CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)4
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 9:36CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
17.9%
5
82.1%
Q1 - 9:52CHAKidd-Gilchrist Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 10:10CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Hook Shot4
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
18.2%
5
81.8%
Q1 - 10:38CHAKidd-Gilchrist 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
19.1%
3
80.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 11:25CHAHenderson 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:41CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. McRoberts: Tip to Wade0
18.0%
0
82.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
37
46%
MIA
15
21
71%
Midrange
CHA
11
30
37%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
CHA
14
19
74%
MIA
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Kidd-Gilchrist2273%11.0 / 15
A. Jefferson1839%9.0 / 23
K. Walker1642%8.0 / 19
G. Henderson1554%7.5 / 14
J. McRoberts857%4.0 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts660%3.0 / 5
G. Neal319%1.5 / 8
C. Zeller350%1.5 / 3
A. Tolliver3150%1.5 / 1
L. Ridnour3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3273%16.0 / 22
C. Bosh2091%10.0 / 11
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1161%5.5 / 9
C. Andersen770%3.5 / 5
N. Cole550%2.5 / 5
R. Lewis450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
R. Allen225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
80
+19
-13
99
MIA
76
+5
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
112.7
CHA 104.3
MIA 108.6 +4.3
Pace
89.5
86.4
CHA 89.2
MIA 97.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
CHA 16.1
MIA 14.8 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
55.5%
CHA 47.2%
MIA 59.0% +11.8%
TO %
15.6%
13.0%
CHA 13.5% +4.1%
MIA 17.6%
ORB %
20.8%
17.1%
CHA 31.3% +18.0%
MIA 13.3%
FTrt
31.2
30.5
CHA 21.6
MIA 43.3 +21.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.6%
CHA 48.6%
MIA 54.3% +5.7%
STL %
4.7%
8.5%
CHA 5.4%
MIA 9.7% +4.3%
BLK %
8.3%
7.5%
CHA 4.5%
MIA 9.0% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
57.3%
CHA 49.0%
MIA 61.6% +12.6%
Rim FG%
48.2%
66.6%
CHA 45.9%
MIA 71.4% +25.5%
Mid FG%
48.0%
41.2%
CHA 36.7%
MIA 47.8% +11.1%
3P %
36.5%
39.6%
CHA 42.9% +3.8%
MIA 39.1%
FT %
71.3%
78.0%
CHA 73.7%
MIA 75.9% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
33.0%
CHA 42.0% +10.7%
MIA 31.3%
Mid Att. %
33.9%
34.4%
CHA 34.1% +0.2%
MIA 34.3%
3P Att. %
28.2%
32.6%
CHA 23.9%
MIA 34.3% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points97101
Rebounds4137
Assists1819
Steals59
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals37-8835-67
At-the-Rim FG17-3715-21
Midrange FG11-3011-23
2-Point FG28-6726-44
3-Point FG9-219-23
Free Throws14-1922-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 24
44.6
16
42%
3
8
2
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-9
11%
4-9
44%
C · 6'10" 280 · 29
40.3
18
39%
13
1
0
0
1
3
5
8
0-0
-
9-23
39%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
37.4
8
57%
1
4
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 232 · 21
34.0
22
73%
10
2
0
1
3
3
3
7
4-5
80%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
31.6
15
54%
4
1
3
1
1
6
0
4
5-7
71%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 27
15.8
6
60%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
14.5
3
19%
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22
11.1
3
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
7.3
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
3.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 255 · 22
G · 6'1" 185 · 35
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
#44 · · 6'7" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
41
18
5
2
13
0
15
26
14-19
74%
28-67
42%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.