FinalWin Prob.pScore
1823%91
88
477%101
99
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
98.98988.9
MIA logo MIA
112.58888.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA88
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)88
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHANeal 2' Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25CHAMISS Neal 2' Driving Layup86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (23 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 1:52CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:05CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:32CHAWalker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:03CHAMcRoberts 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43CHABosh STEAL (2 STL)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 175
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade 9' Driving Hook Shot (21 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18CHAMISS Neal 8' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:23CHAMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)73
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)70
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:34CHAMISS Neal 20' Jump Shot70
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:16CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)70
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 7:16CHABobcats Rebound70
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 7:17CHAMISS McRoberts 32' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 7:42MIAAndersen Tip Shot (6 PTS)70
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 7:43MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup70
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 7:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 7:55CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup70
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 7:58CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 7:59CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot70
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 8:06CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot70
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 8:23CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 8:37CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 270
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 270
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Cole 1' Reverse Layup70
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 8:46CHAAllen STEAL (1 STL)70
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 9:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 270
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 9:13CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 9:13CHAMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 269
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:35MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)69
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot69
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q4 - 9:51CHADouglas-Roberts Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)69
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q4 - 10:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)69
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 10:29CHARidnour 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)67
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q4 - 11:22CHAMcRoberts 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)67
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q4 - 11:31CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot65
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q4 - 11:41CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)65
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA65
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHANeal 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)65
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)63
11.0%
69
89.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHAZeller 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)63
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 1:00CHAMISS Neal 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)61
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 1:44CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIAJones 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 2:30CHAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 3:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q3 - 3:19CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 3:19CHABobcats Rebound59
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 3:20CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)59
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 3:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 3:50CHAMISS Walker 5' Running Hook Shot59
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q3 - 4:06CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
27.6%
59
72.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.3%
59
73.7%
Q3 - 4:35CHAZeller 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)59
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 4:59MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)57
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 5:13CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)57
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 5:21CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 5:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 5:39CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot57
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 5:49MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)57
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 6:13CHAJefferson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)57
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
21.2%
56
78.8%
Q3 - 6:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
23.0%
55
77.0%
Q3 - 6:32CHAMISS Henderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 7:22CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
28.5%
53
71.5%
Q3 - 7:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 7:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
23.4%
52
76.6%
Q3 - 8:04CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)52
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q3 - 8:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Running Jump Shot52
27.3%
51
72.7%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q3 - 8:20CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Hook Shot52
26.0%
51
74.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIAChalmers 8' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)52
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q3 - 9:01CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)52
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 9:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q3 - 9:03CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot50
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 9:16CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q3 - 9:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
24.7%
49
75.3%
Q3 - 9:32CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot50
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 9:37CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS James 21' Fadeaway Jumper50
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q3 - 10:01CHAWalker 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 10:07CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot48
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q3 - 10:32CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)48
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 10:44CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
15.1%
49
84.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot45
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q3 - 10:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q3 - 10:55CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot45
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q3 - 11:12CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q3 - 11:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)45
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 11:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 11:29CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q3 - 11:47CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot42
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHANeal 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)39
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 3 of 336
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)36
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)36
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot36
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)36
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 1:25CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)36
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)36
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 1:46MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 1:47CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 1:59CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot36
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 2:29CHAJefferson 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)36
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 2:42CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 234
12.2%
40
87.8%
Q2 - 2:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 2:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 2:54CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup34
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)34
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk34
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 3:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 3:34CHAMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot34
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 4:04CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot34
18.8%
35
81.2%
Q2 - 4:18CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 134
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 4:24CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot34
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 4:32CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q2 - 4:33CHAMISS Henderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 4:55MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 5:06CHAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAJames 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
30.4%
30
69.6%
Q2 - 5:38CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)34
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 6:08CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot32
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 6:26CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot32
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q2 - 6:41CHAJefferson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)32
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 6:58CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Hook Shot30
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 7:19CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q2 - 7:19CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 229
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 7:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 7:38CHAMISS Walker 3' Driving Layup29
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q2 - 7:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 7:52CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Hook Shot29
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 8:38CHAMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)29
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 8:46CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot26
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q2 - 9:03MIAHEAT Rebound26
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot26
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q2 - 9:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 9:13CHAMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot26
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q2 - 9:21CHABobcats Rebound26
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q2 - 9:22CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q2 - 9:30CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q2 - 9:31CHAMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q2 - 9:57MIACole 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)26
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 10:16CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot26
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q2 - 10:47CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)26
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 11:11MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)23
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q2 - 11:23CHARidnour Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q2 - 11:36CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Allen 12' Fadeaway Jumper23
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot23
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 223
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot23
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIACole 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHANeal 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 1:06CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot21
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 1:26CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 1:58CHAMISS Zeller 8' Jump Shot21
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 2:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot21
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 2:48CHANeal 8' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
32.1%
12
67.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 219
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHEAT Rebound19
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Layup19
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 3:33CHANeal 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 3:52CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 4:09CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)17
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 4:19CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot17
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 4:28CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 4:28CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 216
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 4:32MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 4:43CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 5:15MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 5:16CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 5:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)16
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 6:02CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)16
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 6:15MIAJames 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 6:39CHAHenderson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 7:13CHAWalker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 7:25CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 7:39CHAMcRoberts Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 7:45CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.3%
7
79.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup8
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 8:02CHAJefferson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)8
18.7%
7
81.3%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 8:44CHAMISS McRoberts 20' Jump Shot6
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 9:18CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 9:21CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 9:34CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)6
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 9:53CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:17CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:28CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot6
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:41CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)6
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIAWade 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:08CHAHenderson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot2
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:47CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)2
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:51CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:52CHAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Jefferson: Tip to McRoberts0
18.2%
0
81.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
15
27
56%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
CHA
13
31
42%
MIA
10
33
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
CHA
8
12
67%
MIA
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2056%10.0 / 18
A. Jefferson1853%9.0 / 17
G. Neal1750%8.5 / 17
J. McRoberts1583%7.5 / 9
G. Henderson633%3.0 / 9
M. Kidd-Gilchrist563%2.5 / 4
C. Zeller467%2.0 / 3
L. Ridnour220%1.0 / 5
C. Douglas-Roberts125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2764%13.5 / 21
D. Wade2368%11.5 / 17
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
J. Jones1286%6.0 / 7
C. Andersen857%4.0 / 7
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
N. Cole770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
R. Allen0-0.0 / 4
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
76
+11
-13
87
MIA
81
+9
-7
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
112.7
CHA 98.9 +13.6
MIA 112.5
Pace
89.5
86.4
CHA 88.9 +0.8
MIA 88.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
CHA 16.2 +0.1
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
55.5%
CHA 50.6%
MIA 53.3% +2.7%
TO %
15.6%
13.0%
CHA 15.1%
MIA 9.3% +5.8%
ORB %
20.8%
17.1%
CHA 20.0% +5.7%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
31.2
30.5
CHA 15.2
MIA 34.2 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.6%
CHA 50.0% +10.0%
MIA 40.0%
STL %
4.7%
8.5%
CHA 5.6%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
8.3%
7.5%
CHA 3.8%
MIA 5.2% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
57.3%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 53.8% +3.8%
Rim FG%
48.2%
66.6%
CHA 55.6%
MIA 70.0% +14.4%
Mid FG%
48.0%
41.2%
CHA 41.9% +11.6%
MIA 30.3%
3P %
36.5%
39.6%
CHA 38.1%
MIA 47.8% +9.7%
FT %
71.3%
78.0%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 69.2% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
33.0%
CHA 34.2% +7.9%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
33.9%
34.4%
CHA 39.2% +4.2%
MIA 43.4%
3P Att. %
28.2%
32.6%
CHA 26.6%
MIA 30.3% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8899
Rebounds4438
Assists1814
Steals55
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)32 (1)
Field Goals36-7935-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2714-20
Midrange FG13-3110-33
2-Point FG28-5824-53
3-Point FG8-2111-23
Free Throws8-1218-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 24
38.0
20
56%
5
6
2
0
6
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
3-6
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
37.0
15
83%
7
4
2
0
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 280 · 29
35.3
18
53%
10
1
1
2
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
32.4
6
33%
8
3
0
0
1
2
1
7
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 232 · 21
14.7
5
63%
7
2
0
0
1
4
3
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
27.8
17
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 210 · 27
21.1
1
25%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22
11.1
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
10.0
2
20%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 22
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
#44 · · 6'7" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
50%
44
18
5
2
13
0
8
36
8-12
67%
28-58
48%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.