FinalWin Prob.pScore
252%95
98
1248%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
116.78482.7
ATL logo ATL
100.08485.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL98
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Anderson Layup98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Redick 13' Fadeaway Jumper98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ATLMorris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ATLCrawford Running Layup (18 PTS)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39ORLCrawford STEAL (1 STL)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55ORLLewis 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 293
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51ATLHAWKS Rebound93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Crawford 2' Running Layup93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34ORLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P7.T15)90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19ATLHAWKS Rebound90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:45ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 6:40ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot87
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:25ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)87
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 7:47ORLMagic Rebound84
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:47ORLMISS Carter 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 8:09ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 8:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 8:27ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot84
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 8:45ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 8:45ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 284
99.2%
66
0.8%
Q4 - 8:52ORLHoward Dunk (13 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)84
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q4 - 9:12ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 9:14ATLMISS Evans 3' Driving Reverse Layup82
98.3%
66
1.7%
Q4 - 9:35ORLCarter 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 9:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
97.5%
66
2.5%
Q4 - 9:55ATLMISS Crawford 12' Driving Jump Shot80
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 10:14ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
96.2%
66
3.8%
Q4 - 10:16ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.5%
66
3.5%
Q4 - 10:30ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T6)80
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q4 - 10:44ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lewis 5 AST)80
96.3%
66
3.7%
Q4 - 11:02ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q4 - 11:04ATLMISS Johnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot78
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 11:21ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)78
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL75
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound75
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 46' 3PT Jump Shot75
88.9%
66
11.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLAnderson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)75
91.2%
64
8.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.2%
64
7.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
91.2%
64
8.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot75
91.7%
64
8.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)75
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)75
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)75
93.0%
62
7.0%
Q3 - 1:17ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)75
94.5%
61
5.5%
Q3 - 1:38ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 1:38ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 1:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:00ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.8%
59
6.2%
Q3 - 2:10ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 2:13ATLMISS Horford 8' Running Hook Shot72
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:35ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 2:35ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 271
92.4%
59
7.6%
Q3 - 2:35ORLMagic Rebound71
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 2:36ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 2:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 2:52ATLMISS Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper71
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 3:10ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 3:10ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
90.3%
59
9.7%
Q3 - 3:27ATLJohnson 4' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q3 - 3:41ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)69
90.6%
57
9.4%
Q3 - 3:41ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)69
92.0%
56
8.0%
Q3 - 3:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
89.0%
56
11.0%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup66
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 4:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
86.2%
56
13.8%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 266
86.5%
56
13.5%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 266
87.9%
56
12.1%
Q3 - 4:17ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 4:18ATLMISS Evans 22' Jump Shot66
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 4:30ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)66
86.2%
56
13.8%
Q3 - 4:45ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)66
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 5:02ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q3 - 5:02ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 265
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 5:11ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 265
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q3 - 5:14ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 5:26ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P6.T12)65
90.5%
52
9.5%
Q3 - 5:37ATLCrawford 3' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 5:51ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
93.1%
50
6.9%
Q3 - 5:51ORLMagic Rebound65
94.2%
50
5.8%
Q3 - 5:51ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
93.5%
50
6.5%
Q3 - 6:14ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
93.7%
50
6.3%
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 265
93.5%
50
6.5%
Q3 - 6:16ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
93.0%
50
7.0%
Q3 - 6:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 6:17ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot65
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 6:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 265
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 6:32ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 6:47ATLSmith Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)64
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 6:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
94.5%
47
5.5%
Q3 - 6:52ORLMISS Anderson 2' Running Layup64
94.8%
47
5.2%
Q3 - 6:57ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 7:01ATLMISS Smith 3' Running Layup64
94.3%
47
5.7%
Q3 - 7:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
93.7%
47
6.3%
Q3 - 7:10ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
94.0%
47
6.0%
Q3 - 7:23ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
94.7%
47
5.3%
Q3 - 7:24ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot64
94.4%
47
5.6%
Q3 - 7:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
93.8%
47
6.2%
Q3 - 7:28ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup64
94.4%
47
5.6%
Q3 - 7:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
93.8%
47
6.2%
Q3 - 7:48ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)64
94.1%
47
5.9%
Q3 - 8:13ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)64
94.3%
47
5.7%
Q3 - 8:36ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)64
93.4%
47
6.6%
Q3 - 8:42ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
91.3%
47
8.7%
Q3 - 8:44ATLMISS Horford 10' Fadeaway Jumper61
90.9%
47
9.1%
Q3 - 9:07ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)61
89.6%
47
10.4%
Q3 - 9:24ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)58
86.6%
47
13.4%
Q3 - 9:47ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)58
88.2%
45
11.8%
Q3 - 10:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q3 - 10:02ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot58
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 10:15ORLBibby STEAL (2 STL)58
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 10:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup58
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 10:44ORLCarter 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lewis 4 AST)58
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 10:58ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 10:59ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot55
83.6%
45
16.4%
Q3 - 11:24ORLHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)55
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q3 - 11:42ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
79.5%
45
20.5%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot53
78.8%
45
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL53
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLSmith STEAL (2 STL)53
76.9%
45
23.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
78.6%
45
21.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot53
78.1%
45
21.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
76.9%
45
23.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLPachulia 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)53
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q2 - 1:08ORLNelson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)53
81.0%
43
19.0%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMagic Rebound51
78.3%
43
21.7%
Q2 - 1:30ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 251
78.1%
43
21.9%
Q2 - 1:30ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
76.4%
43
23.6%
Q2 - 1:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 1:31ATLMISS Williams 13' Driving Jump Shot51
80.0%
42
20.0%
Q2 - 1:59ORLHoward Dunk (9 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)51
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 2:13ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q2 - 2:13ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 2:27ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 2:27ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 248
77.4%
40
22.6%
Q2 - 2:31ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 2:33ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot48
77.5%
40
22.5%
Q2 - 2:50ORLGortat 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)48
75.8%
40
24.2%
Q2 - 3:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
73.4%
40
26.6%
Q2 - 3:13ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup46
72.5%
40
27.5%
Q2 - 3:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
70.4%
40
29.6%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Carter 2' Driving Reverse Layup46
71.3%
40
28.7%
Q2 - 3:36ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
73.4%
40
26.6%
Q2 - 3:36ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 3:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 3:44ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
76.2%
38
23.8%
Q2 - 4:07ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 4:26ORLCarter 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)46
81.2%
35
18.8%
Q2 - 4:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Horford 4' Hook Shot44
78.8%
35
21.2%
Q2 - 5:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
77.6%
35
22.4%
Q2 - 5:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
79.0%
35
21.0%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
78.4%
35
21.6%
Q2 - 5:34ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)44
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 5:52ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
79.0%
35
21.0%
Q2 - 5:52ATLSmith 5' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
80.9%
34
19.1%
Q2 - 6:01ATLHAWKS Rebound44
81.8%
32
18.2%
Q2 - 6:03ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
82.4%
32
17.6%
Q2 - 6:37ATLJohnson Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
83.8%
32
16.2%
Q2 - 6:59ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)44
85.1%
30
14.9%
Q2 - 7:10ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)41
81.7%
30
18.3%
Q2 - 7:30ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)41
83.2%
28
16.8%
Q2 - 7:49ATLSmith 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
79.9%
28
20.1%
Q2 - 7:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
81.6%
26
18.4%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup38
82.8%
26
17.2%
Q2 - 8:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
80.8%
26
19.2%
Q2 - 8:13ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
81.4%
26
18.6%
Q2 - 8:30ORLMagic Rebound38
82.5%
26
17.5%
Q2 - 8:31ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot38
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 8:41ATLHAWKS Rebound38
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 8:42ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot38
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 8:56ORLRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 8:58ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
82.6%
26
17.4%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Horford Putback Layup38
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 9:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot38
81.4%
26
18.6%
Q2 - 9:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 9:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 237
79.6%
26
20.4%
Q2 - 9:24ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
80.3%
26
19.7%
Q2 - 9:25ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot37
79.8%
26
20.2%
Q2 - 9:48ORLPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)37
78.5%
26
21.5%
Q2 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
74.4%
26
25.6%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson 7' Driving Jump Shot34
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 10:30ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T4)34
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q2 - 10:54ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
74.4%
26
25.6%
Q2 - 10:54ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 234
75.0%
25
25.0%
Q2 - 11:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 11:04ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
74.4%
25
25.6%
Q2 - 11:25ATLSmith 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
75.8%
25
24.2%
Q2 - 11:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
77.5%
23
22.5%
Q2 - 11:34ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot34
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q2 - 11:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q2 - 11:44ATLMISS Crawford 17' Fadeaway Jumper34
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL34
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound34
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
77.3%
23
22.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0ATLEvans 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)34
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Running Layup (10 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)34
80.3%
21
19.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
78.4%
21
21.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot32
77.9%
21
22.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
77.0%
21
23.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)32
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
78.4%
21
21.6%
Q1 - 1:09ORLBarnes Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)32
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q1 - 1:20ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)30
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q1 - 1:34ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)30
76.5%
19
23.5%
Q1 - 1:54ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
72.3%
19
27.7%
Q1 - 2:09ORLBarnes 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)27
74.3%
17
25.7%
Q1 - 2:36ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 2:57ORLBarnes 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)25
74.4%
15
25.6%
Q1 - 3:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 3:12ATLMISS Crawford 12' Running Jump Shot23
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 3:26ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
70.4%
15
29.6%
Q1 - 3:27ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
71.0%
15
29.0%
Q1 - 3:43ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)23
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 3:56ATLHAWKS Rebound23
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 3:59ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
77.0%
12
23.0%
Q1 - 4:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
75.1%
12
24.9%
Q1 - 4:14ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
74.5%
12
25.5%
Q1 - 4:29ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
73.5%
12
26.5%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
73.8%
11
26.2%
Q1 - 4:52ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)21
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 5:15ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
69.2%
11
30.8%
Q1 - 5:16ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
68.6%
11
31.4%
Q1 - 5:35ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)18
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 5:51ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)16
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 6:08ORLNelson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)16
67.0%
9
33.0%
Q1 - 6:24ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
65.2%
9
34.8%
Q1 - 6:26ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
64.6%
9
35.4%
Q1 - 6:45ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T3)14
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 7:00ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
65.2%
9
34.8%
Q1 - 7:01ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
64.4%
9
35.6%
Q1 - 7:20ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 7:31ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 7:32ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot14
64.4%
9
35.6%
Q1 - 7:45ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 8:00ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)12
61.2%
9
38.8%
Q1 - 8:13ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)12
63.1%
7
36.9%
Q1 - 8:34ORLMagic Rebound10
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 8:35ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot10
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:51ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 9:17ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)10
65.1%
4
34.9%
Q1 - 9:45ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 9:51ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 10:05ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 10:18ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
62.5%
2
37.5%
Q1 - 10:33ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)5
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:49ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 11:03ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:19ORLNelson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:27ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:40ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
55.2%
0
44.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.26 62.8%
ATL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
17
71%
ATL
15
27
56%
Midrange
ORL
8
11
73%
ATL
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
ATL
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
10
19
53%
ATL
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2273%11.0 / 15
R. Lewis1785%8.5 / 10
J. Nelson1662%8.0 / 13
D. Howard1381%6.5 / 8
M. Pietrus1275%6.0 / 8
M. Barnes643%3.0 / 7
J. Williams675%3.0 / 4
R. Anderson325%1.5 / 6
M. Gortat375%1.5 / 2
J. Redick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford1845%9.0 / 20
J. Smith1647%8.0 / 17
J. Johnson1441%7.0 / 17
A. Horford1354%6.5 / 12
M. Evans857%4.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia675%3.0 / 4
M. Bibby467%2.0 / 3
R. Morris3150%1.5 / 1
M. Williams220%1.0 / 5
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
69
+9
-15
78
ATL
77
+12
-7
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.26 62.8%
ATL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
105.1
ORL 116.7 +16.7
ATL 100.0
Pace
86.5
85.1
ORL 82.7
ATL 85.4 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.8
17.3
ORL 17.4
ATL 16.9 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
45.3%
ORL 67.7% +25.1%
ATL 42.6%
TO %
15.0%
12.2%
ORL 17.9%
ATL 8.4% +9.5%
ORB %
24.7%
29.8%
ORL 12.0%
ATL 19.0% +7.0%
FTrt
42.6
27.6
ORL 29.2
ATL 39.2 +10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
48.4%
ORL 75.0% +18.3%
ATL 56.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.4%
ORL 4.8%
ATL 7.1% +2.3%
BLK %
9.3%
9.6%
ORL 9.7% +2.6%
ATL 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
48.4%
ORL 62.8% +15.6%
ATL 47.2%
Rim FG%
59.0%
53.0%
ORL 70.6% +15.0%
ATL 55.6%
Mid FG%
44.9%
38.2%
ORL 72.7% +38.4%
ATL 34.3%
3P %
36.6%
33.3%
ORL 43.2% +18.2%
ATL 25.0%
FT %
70.1%
78.5%
ORL 52.6%
ATL 72.4% +19.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
34.5%
ORL 26.2%
ATL 36.5% +10.3%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
48.4%
ORL 16.9% +30.4%
ATL 47.3%
3P Att. %
38.0%
17.1%
ORL 56.9% +40.7%
ATL 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.48 and 2.48.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9884
Rebounds3730
Assists2717
Steals46
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (6)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)22 (1)
Field Goals36-6530-74
At-the-Rim FG12-1715-27
Midrange FG8-1112-35
2-Point FG20-2827-62
3-Point FG16-373-12
Free Throws10-1921-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
42.8
13
81%
8
1
1
4
7
4
1
7
3-6
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
40.4
22
73%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
31.1
17
85%
6
5
1
1
1
4
0
6
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
29.9
16
62%
3
9
2
0
2
3
0
3
1-4
25%
6-7
86%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
24.0
6
43%
5
3
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
24.0
12
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-8
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
18.1
6
75%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
14.4
3
25%
8
0
0
0
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
7.7
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
G · 6'3" 195 · 36
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
63%
37
27
4
6
15
0
3
34
10-19
53%
20-28
71%
16-37
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.