FinalWin Prob.pScore
249%95
105
1151%96
75
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
123.58579.9
ATL logo ATL
90.48388.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL105
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)105
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)105
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Pietrus 18' Jump Shot105
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)105
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07ORLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)105
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ORLPietrus Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ORLPietrus Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot101
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)101
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Gortat Alley Oop Dunk95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34ORLPietrus 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46ATLHAWKS Rebound93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10ATLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)91
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46ATLHAWKS Rebound91
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47ATLMISS Horford 3' Running Hook Shot91
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48ORLHorford STEAL (1 STL)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMISS Howard 4' Turnaround Jump Shot90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19ATLHorford Putback Layup (8 PTS)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Hook Shot90
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:41ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS)90
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)88
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:03ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)88
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:45ATLTeague Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:50ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:58ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 9:15ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:15ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 284
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:32ATLMISS Teague 8' Running Jump Shot84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:55ORLRedick 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 10:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)82
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q4 - 10:14ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot82
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q4 - 10:33ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS)82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q4 - 10:54ATLCrawford 2' Running Layup (17 PTS)80
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q4 - 11:00ORLCrawford STEAL (1 STL)80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 11:20ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 11:41ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 279
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL79
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound79
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 33' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.3%
55
0.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 279
99.4%
54
0.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLBarnes 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)79
99.4%
54
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)77
99.2%
54
0.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)77
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)77
99.3%
52
0.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw Technical77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLHAWKS Rebound77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Redick 13' Fadeaway Jumper77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:04ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 1:18ORLMISS Howard 10' Running Hook Shot77
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 1:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:34ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:54ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 1:54ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 2:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)75
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 2:07ATLMISS Teague 17' Jump Shot75
99.0%
51
1.0%
Q3 - 2:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 275
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 2:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
99.0%
51
1.0%
Q3 - 2:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 2:37ATLSmith Tip Shot (13 PTS)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 2:41ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot74
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 2:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
99.1%
49
0.9%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
98.9%
49
1.1%
Q3 - 3:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 273
98.8%
49
1.2%
Q3 - 3:33ATLTeague 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
98.9%
49
1.1%
Q3 - 3:49ORLLewis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)73
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 4:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
98.8%
47
1.2%
Q3 - 4:11ATLMISS Crawford 4' Driving Layup71
98.7%
47
1.3%
Q3 - 4:31ORLLewis 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
98.5%
47
1.5%
Q3 - 4:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
98.3%
47
1.7%
Q3 - 4:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
98.3%
46
1.7%
Q3 - 5:12ORLBarnes 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)69
98.2%
45
1.8%
Q3 - 5:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
97.9%
45
2.1%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Smith 4' Turnaround Hook Shot67
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 5:48ORLHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)67
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 6:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
96.7%
45
3.3%
Q3 - 6:07ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 265
96.9%
44
3.1%
Q3 - 6:07ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)65
96.7%
44
3.3%
Q3 - 6:09ORLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)65
97.2%
43
2.8%
Q3 - 6:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
97.6%
43
2.4%
Q3 - 6:23ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot65
97.5%
43
2.5%
Q3 - 6:36ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
97.2%
43
2.8%
Q3 - 6:36ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
97.1%
43
2.9%
Q3 - 6:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
96.8%
43
3.2%
Q3 - 6:50ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
96.6%
43
3.4%
Q3 - 7:12ORLHoward 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)63
95.5%
43
4.5%
Q3 - 7:34ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
94.9%
43
5.1%
Q3 - 7:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
95.6%
41
4.4%
Q3 - 7:54ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 261
95.7%
41
4.3%
Q3 - 7:54ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
96.1%
41
3.9%
Q3 - 7:54ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)60
95.6%
41
4.4%
Q3 - 8:18ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)59
94.5%
41
5.5%
Q3 - 8:22ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
95.2%
39
4.8%
Q3 - 8:26ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup59
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q3 - 8:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
95.2%
39
4.8%
Q3 - 8:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 259
95.3%
39
4.7%
Q3 - 8:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 259
95.6%
39
4.4%
Q3 - 9:00ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
95.9%
39
4.1%
Q3 - 9:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
96.2%
37
3.8%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
96.3%
37
3.7%
Q3 - 9:23ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
96.7%
37
3.3%
Q3 - 9:47ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
97.1%
35
2.9%
Q3 - 10:11ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
96.3%
35
3.7%
Q3 - 10:13ATLMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper57
96.2%
35
3.8%
Q3 - 10:38ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)57
95.8%
35
4.2%
Q3 - 10:57ATLSmith 2' Layup (10 PTS)54
94.5%
35
5.5%
Q3 - 11:21ORLHoward 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
94.8%
33
5.2%
Q3 - 11:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
94.1%
33
5.9%
Q3 - 11:39ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot52
93.9%
33
6.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL52
93.3%
33
6.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
93.4%
33
6.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot52
93.3%
33
6.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)52
92.8%
33
7.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)49
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
90.0%
33
10.0%
Q2 - 1:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
90.2%
33
9.8%
Q2 - 1:14ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot49
89.9%
33
10.1%
Q2 - 1:37ORLPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)49
89.3%
33
10.7%
Q2 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 1:52ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot46
85.7%
33
14.3%
Q2 - 2:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 2:02ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 2:22ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)46
85.8%
33
14.2%
Q2 - 2:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
87.2%
31
12.8%
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 245
86.7%
31
13.3%
Q2 - 2:47ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
87.3%
31
12.7%
Q2 - 2:52ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)45
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 3:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
87.0%
31
13.0%
Q2 - 3:14ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot45
86.4%
31
13.6%
Q2 - 3:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Carter 11' Jump Shot45
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 3:30ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
87.0%
31
13.0%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
86.4%
31
13.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLCarter 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)45
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 4:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)43
83.0%
31
17.0%
Q2 - 4:03ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot43
82.5%
31
17.5%
Q2 - 4:03ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
83.0%
31
17.0%
Q2 - 4:06ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Hook Shot43
82.5%
31
17.5%
Q2 - 4:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
81.1%
31
18.9%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 243
81.4%
31
18.6%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 243
82.3%
31
17.7%
Q2 - 4:42ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
83.1%
31
16.9%
Q2 - 4:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 4:47ORLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot43
81.8%
31
18.2%
Q2 - 5:06ATLSmith 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)43
82.6%
31
17.4%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)43
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMagic Rebound43
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper43
84.7%
29
15.3%
Q2 - 5:46ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)43
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 6:01ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
87.6%
26
12.4%
Q2 - 6:01ORLAnderson Tip Shot (2 PTS)43
87.6%
26
12.4%
Q2 - 6:05ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 6:05ORLMISS Anderson Tip Shot41
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 6:07ORLMISS Redick 15' Turnaround Jump Shot41
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 6:28ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 141
86.4%
26
13.6%
Q2 - 6:42ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)41
87.7%
24
12.3%
Q2 - 7:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
84.6%
24
15.4%
Q2 - 7:07ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 7:22ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)38
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 7:27ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
84.6%
24
15.4%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup38
84.2%
24
15.8%
Q2 - 7:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
83.5%
24
16.5%
Q2 - 7:54ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 7:54ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
84.8%
23
15.2%
Q2 - 8:12ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)38
85.1%
22
14.9%
Q2 - 8:22ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot35
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q2 - 8:32ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q2 - 8:34ATLMISS Horford 6' Driving Jump Shot35
81.7%
22
18.3%
Q2 - 8:45ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
80.6%
22
19.4%
Q2 - 8:45ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
80.3%
22
19.7%
Q2 - 9:03ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)33
78.1%
22
21.9%
Q2 - 9:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q2 - 9:13ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot33
80.4%
20
19.6%
Q2 - 9:29ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q2 - 9:31ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot33
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q2 - 9:50ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)33
79.9%
20
20.1%
Q2 - 10:00ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q2 - 10:01ORLMISS Lewis 3' Driving Layup30
74.3%
20
25.7%
Q2 - 10:13ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
75.9%
20
24.1%
Q2 - 10:14ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup30
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q2 - 10:21ATLHAWKS Rebound30
73.7%
20
26.3%
Q2 - 10:21ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot30
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q2 - 10:42ATLHAWKS Rebound30
73.7%
20
26.3%
Q2 - 10:44ORLMISS Pietrus 18' Fadeaway Jumper30
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q2 - 11:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q2 - 11:08ATLHorford Putback Layup (4 PTS)30
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup30
78.3%
18
21.7%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRedick 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)30
77.0%
18
23.0%
Q2 - 11:41ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
75.3%
18
24.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
73.2%
18
26.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound28
75.3%
18
24.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
73.9%
18
26.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
74.1%
18
25.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Fadeaway Jumper28
73.6%
18
26.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
72.6%
18
27.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Evans 18' Jump Shot28
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLGortat Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)28
72.7%
18
27.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 1:11ORLLewis 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
72.1%
16
27.9%
Q1 - 1:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
69.6%
16
30.4%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 224
69.4%
16
30.6%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 224
68.2%
16
31.8%
Q1 - 2:02ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)24
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 2:14ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 2:34ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
69.8%
13
30.2%
Q1 - 2:40ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
65.4%
13
34.6%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot19
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
62.5%
13
37.5%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 3:04ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 3:04ORLMISS Barnes Tip Shot17
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 3:05ORLMISS Barnes 3' Jump Shot17
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 3:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 3:19ATLHorford Putback Dunk (2 PTS)17
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 3:21ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup17
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 3:43ORLCarter 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 3:56ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 3:57ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
60.5%
11
39.5%
Q1 - 4:17ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)15
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 4:40ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 4:58ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 5:21ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot13
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 5:40ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)13
53.7%
11
46.3%
Q1 - 5:40ORLMagic Rebound13
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 5:40ORLMISS Nelson 16' Running Jump Shot13
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 6:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
55.8%
11
44.2%
Q1 - 6:06ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 6:32ORLBarnes Putback Layup (7 PTS)13
53.7%
11
46.3%
Q1 - 6:33ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot11
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 6:49ATLSmith Running Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)11
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 6:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 6:55ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot11
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 7:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
55.8%
9
44.2%
Q1 - 7:04ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 7:10ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)11
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 7:22ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
55.8%
9
44.2%
Q1 - 7:44ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 8:02ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)11
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 8:07ATLHAWKS Rebound11
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 8:08ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper11
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 8:28ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 8:28ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 8:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 8:33ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup9
55.1%
7
44.9%
Q1 - 8:45ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 8:56ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 8:56ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 9:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.0%
5
46.0%
Q1 - 9:06ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 9:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)7
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 9:17ATLSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Jump Shot7
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 9:23ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot7
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:44ORLBarnes 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)7
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 10:00ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
55.9%
3
44.1%
Q1 - 10:01ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot5
54.9%
3
45.1%
Q1 - 10:22ORLLewis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
53.5%
3
46.5%
Q1 - 10:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot3
50.4%
3
49.6%
Q1 - 10:41ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 10:44ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot3
51.3%
3
48.7%
Q1 - 10:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
49.8%
3
50.2%
Q1 - 10:53ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot3
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 11:09ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)3
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 11:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 11:16ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot3
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:33ORLBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)3
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
51.6%
0
48.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.1%
ATL
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
21
71%
ATL
13
28
46%
Midrange
ORL
11
21
52%
ATL
12
40
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
ATL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
ORL
23
34
68%
ATL
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2279%11.0 / 14
D. Howard2162%10.5 / 17
J. Nelson1458%7.0 / 12
M. Pietrus1365%6.5 / 10
M. Barnes1161%5.5 / 9
J. Redick850%4.0 / 8
V. Carter758%3.5 / 6
R. Anderson542%2.5 / 6
J. Williams250%1.0 / 2
M. Gortat250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2269%11.0 / 16
J. Smith1539%7.5 / 19
A. Horford1142%5.5 / 13
J. Johnson825%4.0 / 16
M. Bibby750%3.5 / 7
M. Williams638%3.0 / 8
J. Teague440%2.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia233%1.0 / 3
M. Evans0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
78
+14
-7
92
ATL
76
+15
-7
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.1%
ATL
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
105.1
ORL 123.5
ATL 90.4 +33.2
Pace
86.5
85.1
ORL 79.9
ATL 88.7 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.8
17.3
ORL 18.0
ATL 16.2 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
45.3%
ORL 57.7% +20.4%
ATL 37.3%
TO %
15.0%
12.2%
ORL 9.5%
ATL 8.1% +1.4%
ORB %
24.7%
29.8%
ORL 31.3% +8.7%
ATL 22.6%
FTrt
42.6
27.6
ORL 47.9 +25.0
ATL 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
48.4%
ORL 58.3% +27.3%
ATL 31.0%
STL %
7.4%
7.4%
ORL 5.9%
ATL 7.2% +1.3%
BLK %
9.3%
9.6%
ORL 7.4% +7.4%
ATL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
48.4%
ORL 57.1% +15.9%
ATL 41.2%
Rim FG%
59.0%
53.0%
ORL 71.4% +25.0%
ATL 46.4%
Mid FG%
44.9%
38.2%
ORL 52.4% +22.4%
ATL 30.0%
3P %
36.6%
33.3%
ORL 34.5% +7.8%
ATL 26.7%
FT %
70.1%
78.5%
ORL 67.6%
ATL 68.4% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
34.5%
ORL 29.6%
ATL 33.7% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
48.4%
ORL 29.6% +18.6%
ATL 48.2%
3P Att. %
38.0%
17.1%
ORL 40.8% +22.8%
ATL 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.48 and 2.48.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8583
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points10575
Rebounds5134
Assists219
Steals56
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)7 (2)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (0)22 (3)
Field Goals36-7129-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2113-28
Midrange FG11-2112-40
2-Point FG26-4225-68
3-Point FG10-294-15
Free Throws23-3413-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
38.4
21
62%
16
3
1
1
4
4
2
14
9-18
50%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
35.7
22
79%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
29.0
14
58%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
24.0
11
61%
4
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
22.7
7
58%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
25.3
8
50%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
24.0
13
65%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
19.0
2
50%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
12.3
5
42%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
9.6
2
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
G · 6'3" 195 · 36
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
57%
51
21
5
5
7
0
10
41
23-34
68%
26-42
62%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.