FinalWin Prob.pScore
544%101
93
856%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.19294.2
UTA logo UTA
110.59592.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA93
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENLawson Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAFesenko Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAJeffers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43UTAMISS Gaines 21' Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50UTAJAZZ Rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50UTAMISS Koufos Driving Layup87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 286
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DENBillups 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49UTAMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENNuggets Rebound81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32UTAMISS Millsap Layup80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52UTAMISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40DENAnthony 5' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04UTAMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:55DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:23UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)77
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 7:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)77
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 7:24UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 7:50DENLawson Driving Layup (6 PTS)77
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 7:57UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:15DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot75
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 8:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot75
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:38UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (20 PTS)75
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 8:42DEND. Williams STEAL (3 STL)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:59UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Korver 6 AST)75
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 9:12UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 9:13DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 9:25UTAKorver 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)75
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 9:41DENAndersen Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)75
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 9:53UTABoozer Layup (15 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)73
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 9:58DEND. Williams STEAL (2 STL)73
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 10:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 10:08UTAMISS Boozer 11' Fadeaway Jumper73
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 10:24DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 10:24DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 10:34DENNuggets Rebound71
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMISS Fesenko 6' Hook Shot71
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:37UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)71
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 10:38UTAMISS Fesenko Layup71
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:40UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 10:42UTAMISS Miles 5' Jump Shot71
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 11:04DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 11:25UTAMillsap 6' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 11:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 11:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 11:49DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot68
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 11:52DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA68
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound68
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Price 58' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 266
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0UTAKorver Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMatthews STEAL (3 STL)66
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTAMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)66
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0UTAMillsap 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)63
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 1:05DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T11)63
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 1:28UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 1:28UTABoozer 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 1:29UTAMISS Millsap 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 1:42UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 1:43UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot63
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:01UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot63
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 2:27UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 2:27UTAMISS Matthews Free Throw 1 of 263
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 2:27DENMatthews STEAL (2 STL)63
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 2:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)63
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 2:29DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot63
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 2:51UTABoozer 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)63
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 3:12DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 3:12DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q3 - 3:18DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)61
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 3:19UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 3:32DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 260
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 3:38UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 3:38UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 3:38UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 3:40DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Shot60
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 3:56UTAMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)60
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 4:13DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 4:13DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 4:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 4:18UTAMISS Boozer Layup58
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 4:34DENAnthony 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 4:56UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)56
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 5:13UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 5:39UTAMiles 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)56
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 5:46UTAJAZZ Rebound56
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 5:47UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 256
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 5:47UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 256
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 5:52UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 5:54DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot56
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 6:17UTABoozer Layup (8 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)56
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 6:23DENMatthews STEAL (1 STL)56
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 6:40UTAMiles Running Layup (5 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)56
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q3 - 6:47DENAnthony Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 7:05UTAFesenko Running Layup (9 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)54
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 7:25DENAnthony Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
23.1%
60
76.9%
Q3 - 7:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)52
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:41UTAMISS Boozer 17' Fadeaway Jumper52
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 7:58DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 7:58DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q3 - 8:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 8:08UTAMISS Matthews 5' Jump Shot50
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 8:15UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 8:17DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot50
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 8:28UTAD. Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)50
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 8:39UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 8:40DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 8:48UTAMatthews Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)50
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 8:54DEND. Williams STEAL (1 STL)50
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 9:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 9:11UTAMISS Boozer 8' Fadeaway Jumper50
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q3 - 9:22DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)50
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 9:41UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 9:47UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 9:48DENMISS Billups 4' Running Jump Shot50
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 9:58UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 9:58UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
24.5%
56
75.5%
Q3 - 10:11UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q3 - 10:13DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot50
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 10:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)50
29.9%
55
70.1%
Q3 - 10:37UTAMISS Boozer Reverse Layup50
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q3 - 10:57UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Billups 15' Running Jump Shot50
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q3 - 11:22UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
30.4%
55
69.6%
Q3 - 11:44DENAfflalo Layup (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)50
36.4%
52
63.6%
Q3 - 11:49UTAMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)48
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound48
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Martin 67' 3PT Jump Shot48
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Price 21' Jump Shot48
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
31.2%
52
68.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
31.8%
52
68.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTABoozer Driving Layup (4 PTS)48
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENAnthony Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)48
37.1%
50
62.9%
Q2 - 1:06DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 1:07UTAMISS Matthews 21' Jump Shot46
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 1:18UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q2 - 1:20UTAMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot46
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 1:32UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q2 - 1:34DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot46
32.1%
50
67.9%
Q2 - 1:53UTAMillsap 3' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)46
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 2:09UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot46
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 2:27UTAMillsap 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Korver 5 AST)46
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q2 - 2:46DENMartin Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)46
43.1%
46
56.9%
Q2 - 3:02UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q2 - 3:02UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 3:25DENBillups 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)44
42.9%
44
57.1%
Q2 - 3:38DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 3:39UTAMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q2 - 3:49DENMillsap STEAL (2 STL)42
36.9%
44
63.1%
Q2 - 4:08UTAMillsap 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)42
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q2 - 4:23DENAnthony Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)42
42.9%
42
57.1%
Q2 - 4:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 4:31DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot40
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 4:46UTAMillsap Layup (12 PTS)40
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 4:57DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
42.9%
40
57.1%
Q2 - 4:57DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 5:20UTAKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)38
40.2%
40
59.8%
Q2 - 5:31DENKorver STEAL (2 STL)38
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 5:56UTAMillsap Running Layup (10 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)38
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 6:12DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
51.4%
35
48.6%
Q2 - 6:27UTABoozer Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)36
49.0%
35
51.0%
Q2 - 6:45DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)36
51.5%
33
48.5%
Q2 - 7:08UTAFesenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)33
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 7:26UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 7:27DENMISS Smith 14' Floating Jump Shot33
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 7:38UTAMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 7:45DENMillsap STEAL (1 STL)33
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 8:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 8:01UTAMISS Price 20' Jump Shot33
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 8:20DENSmith Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS)33
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 8:30UTAFesenko Layup (7 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)31
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 9:03DENNene Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)31
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q2 - 9:20UTAFesenko Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)29
40.1%
31
59.9%
Q2 - 9:34UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q2 - 9:35DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot29
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 9:52UTAMillsap Layup (8 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)29
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 10:15DENKorver STEAL (1 STL)29
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q2 - 10:36UTAMillsap Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)29
50.5%
27
49.5%
Q2 - 10:53DENLawson Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q2 - 11:05UTAMillsap Running Layup (4 PTS) (Fesenko 3 AST)27
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q2 - 11:17UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q2 - 11:18DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q2 - 11:48UTAKorver 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)27
55.3%
23
44.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN27
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fesenko 2 AST)27
60.3%
21
39.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot27
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0UTAFesenko Layup (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)27
66.1%
18
33.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMartin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
68.7%
16
31.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0UTAMISS D. Williams Layup27
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
68.7%
16
31.3%
Q1 - 1:00DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 1:00DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot27
69.3%
16
30.7%
Q1 - 1:03DENMISS Martin Layup27
68.5%
16
31.5%
Q1 - 1:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
69.5%
16
30.5%
Q1 - 1:20UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot27
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 1:28UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot27
68.5%
16
31.5%
Q1 - 1:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
69.5%
16
30.5%
Q1 - 1:38UTAMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 1:47UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 1:48DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot27
68.5%
16
31.5%
Q1 - 2:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 227
69.0%
16
31.0%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 227
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 2:24DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)27
67.6%
16
32.4%
Q1 - 2:41UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 2:41UTAMillsap Layup (2 PTS)24
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 2:44UTAMISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot24
66.7%
14
33.3%
Q1 - 2:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 2:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 3:07DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 3:08UTAMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot22
62.2%
14
37.8%
Q1 - 3:25UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 3:26DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot22
61.4%
14
38.6%
Q1 - 3:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 3:39UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 4:00DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 4:14DENNuggets Rebound20
57.8%
14
42.2%
Q1 - 4:14UTAMISS Boozer 3' Jump Hook Shot20
57.1%
14
42.9%
Q1 - 4:35UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 4:36DENMISS Nene 20' Jump Shot20
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 4:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
57.9%
14
42.1%
Q1 - 4:45UTAMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
57.1%
14
42.9%
Q1 - 5:06DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 5:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 5:12UTAMISS Boozer 10' Fadeaway Jumper18
52.2%
14
47.8%
Q1 - 5:34DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)18
50.6%
14
49.4%
Q1 - 5:59UTAD. Williams 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
48.7%
14
51.3%
Q1 - 6:06UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:07UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 6:24DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:24DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)15
49.8%
12
50.2%
Q1 - 6:26DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 6:28DENMISS Martin Dunk14
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 6:41UTAMatthews 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)14
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:51DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)14
50.4%
10
49.6%
Q1 - 6:57UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)11
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 7:13DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 7:31UTAFesenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 7:31UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 1 of 29
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 7:40UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 7:42DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot9
48.7%
6
51.3%
Q1 - 7:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 7:55UTAMISS Matthews Reverse Layup9
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 8:09DENAnthony 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)9
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 8:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:23UTAMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot7
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 8:38UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:40DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup7
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 8:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:47UTAMISS Matthews 5' Jump Shot7
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 8:56UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 9:09UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:15UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.2%
3
49.8%
Q1 - 9:16DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot7
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 9:39UTAMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fesenko 1 AST)7
52.1%
3
47.9%
Q1 - 10:02DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 10:08DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:10DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot4
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 10:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:16UTAMISS Boozer Layup4
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 10:38DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 23
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 10:41DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 10:42UTAMISS D. Williams 13' Jump Shot3
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 10:49DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 10:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 10:52UTAMISS Miles 9' Floating Jump Shot3
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 11:16DENBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 11:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:25UTAMISS Miles 10' Jump Bank Shot1
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:38DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:38DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 20
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Fesenko vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
43.6%
0
56.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.7%
UTA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
27
67%
UTA
20
33
61%
Midrange
DEN
9
30
30%
UTA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
UTA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
DEN
27
35
77%
UTA
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2566%12.5 / 19
C. Anthony2554%12.5 / 23
T. Lawson950%4.5 / 9
Nene850%4.0 / 8
A. Afflalo8100%4.0 / 4
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen542%2.5 / 6
J. Graham375%1.5 / 2
K. Martin214%1.0 / 7
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams2471%12.0 / 17
P. Millsap2273%11.0 / 15
C. Boozer1839%9.0 / 23
W. Matthews1450%7.0 / 14
C. Miles1045%5.0 / 11
K. Fesenko964%4.5 / 7
K. Korver880%4.0 / 5
R. Price0-0.0 / 3
K. Koufos0-0.0 / 1
S. Gaines0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+9
-14
87
UTA
88
+13
-7
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.7%
UTA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.7
113.3
DEN 101.1
UTA 110.5 +9.4
Pace
95.3
94.5
DEN 94.2 +1.4
UTA 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.1
DEN 15.3 +0.2
UTA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
52.0%
DEN 45.8%
UTA 51.2% +5.4%
TO %
14.0%
13.5%
DEN 13.8%
UTA 8.5% +5.3%
ORB %
25.7%
26.3%
DEN 19.5%
UTA 23.8% +4.3%
FTrt
46.9
42.1
DEN 48.6 +11.3
UTA 37.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.3%
62.5%
DEN 38.7%
UTA 69.2% +30.5%
STL %
8.4%
6.3%
DEN 4.3%
UTA 10.5% +6.2%
BLK %
7.8%
7.2%
DEN 9.2% +9.2%
UTA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
55.5%
DEN 51.7%
UTA 52.0% +0.3%
Rim FG%
63.8%
56.9%
DEN 66.7% +6.1%
UTA 60.6%
Mid FG%
35.6%
44.6%
DEN 30.0%
UTA 37.5% +7.5%
3P %
35.8%
37.4%
DEN 26.7%
UTA 38.9% +12.2%
FT %
76.5%
72.8%
DEN 77.1% +12.6%
UTA 64.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.3%
40.0%
DEN 37.5%
UTA 39.8% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
34.6%
38.1%
DEN 41.7%
UTA 38.6% +3.1%
3P Att. %
23.1%
21.9%
DEN 20.8%
UTA 21.7% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENUTA
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points93105
Rebounds4043
Assists1227
Steals410
Blocks60
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals31-7239-83
At-the-Rim FG18-2720-33
Midrange FG9-3012-32
2-Point FG27-5732-65
3-Point FG4-157-18
Free Throws27-3520-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
40.5
25
66%
5
3
1
0
4
3
1
4
9-11
82%
5-9
56%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
37.9
25
54%
7
2
1
2
4
5
0
7
3-4
75%
11-18
61%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
37.3
8
50%
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
6-8
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
31.2
2
14%
13
0
0
1
2
3
1
12
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
14.6
8
100%
3
1
0
1
1
5
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
24.3
9
50%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
22.2
5
42%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
17.3
8
44%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
6.9
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
2.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
2.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#43 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'5" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
40
12
4
6
14
0
8
32
27-35
77%
27-57
47%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.