FinalWin Prob.pScore
832%92
89
268%98
92
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.38785.8
SAS logo SAS
105.78788.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL89
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)87
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 287
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot87
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASJump Ball Ginobili vs. Kidd: Tip to87
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot87
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)87
13.1%
89
86.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 1:08SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup84
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 1:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 1:28DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Bank Shot84
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 1:51SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)84
7.8%
89
92.2%
Q4 - 2:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 2:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
16.5%
86
83.5%
Q4 - 2:30DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
13.2%
86
86.8%
Q4 - 2:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup82
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot82
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 2:53DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 2:53DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 3:23DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)80
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 3:36SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)77
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 4:00DALButler Layup (15 PTS)77
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 4:12SASMISS Hill 11' Running Jump Shot75
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 4:36DALHaywood 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)75
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 4:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 4:45SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 5:03DALTerry 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)73
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 5:17SASJefferson 1' Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)71
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:35SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 5:36DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot71
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 5:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 271
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 6:00SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 6:09DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 6:09DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Kidd 1' Layup71
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 6:33SASHill 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS)71
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 6:55SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 6:56DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 7:10SASParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 7:36DALButler 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)71
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 7:57SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 8:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q4 - 8:08DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot69
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q4 - 8:32SASMcDyess 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)69
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q4 - 8:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q4 - 9:03DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q4 - 9:05SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot66
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q4 - 9:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q4 - 9:22DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot66
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q4 - 9:39SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q4 - 9:39SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q4 - 9:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q4 - 9:56DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot66
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q4 - 10:07DALKidd Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q4 - 10:07DALKidd Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
20.9%
70
79.1%
Q4 - 10:14DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q4 - 10:15SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot64
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q4 - 10:30DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)64
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q4 - 10:40DALMavericks Rebound61
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q4 - 10:40DALBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)61
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 11:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)61
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q4 - 11:02SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)61
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q4 - 11:03SASMISS Ginobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot61
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q4 - 11:13SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q4 - 11:13SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q4 - 11:16SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot61
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q4 - 11:40DALTerry 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)61
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q4 - 11:48SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)59
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL59
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 259
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 259
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALMISS Barea 1' Layup59
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)59
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot59
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 1:03SASJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)59
22.3%
63
77.7%
Q3 - 1:05SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 1:06SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 259
21.9%
63
78.1%
Q3 - 1:06SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
19.8%
63
80.2%
Q3 - 1:08DALHill STEAL (2 STL)59
22.6%
62
77.4%
Q3 - 1:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 1:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
25.5%
62
74.5%
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)57
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 1:34SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 257
22.7%
60
77.3%
Q3 - 1:34DALGinobili STEAL (4 STL)57
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 1:48DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
25.9%
60
74.1%
Q3 - 1:49SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 257
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 1:49SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 1:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
26.2%
59
73.8%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup57
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q3 - 2:07DALBlair STEAL (1 STL)57
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 2:11DALMavericks Rebound57
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 2:12DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
26.9%
59
73.1%
Q3 - 2:39SASBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 2:52SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
33.7%
57
66.3%
Q3 - 2:53DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot57
35.0%
57
65.0%
Q3 - 3:12DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 157
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 3:33DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T11)57
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q3 - 3:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot57
44.8%
55
55.2%
Q3 - 3:52SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q3 - 3:53DALMISS Dampier 1' Layup57
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q3 - 3:59DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q3 - 4:01SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot57
44.3%
55
55.7%
Q3 - 4:13DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
40.9%
55
59.1%
Q3 - 4:30SASJefferson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
45.9%
55
54.1%
Q3 - 4:45DALHill STEAL (1 STL)57
49.6%
53
50.4%
Q3 - 5:08SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)57
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q3 - 5:21SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q3 - 5:22DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot57
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 5:43SASMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)57
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 5:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 5:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 5:49DALMISS Dampier 1' Layup57
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 5:53DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 6:17DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 6:18SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot57
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q3 - 6:35DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T8)57
63.2%
49
36.8%
Q3 - 6:54SASGinobili 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)57
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
68.3%
47
31.7%
Q3 - 7:02DALMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot57
69.4%
47
30.6%
Q3 - 7:28SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)57
72.0%
47
28.0%
Q3 - 7:47DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 7:47DALMarion 1' Layup (14 PTS)57
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 7:50DALMISS Marion 1' Layup55
62.7%
47
37.3%
Q3 - 8:07SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)55
64.3%
47
35.7%
Q3 - 8:07SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)55
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 8:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
67.4%
45
32.6%
Q3 - 8:16DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot55
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q3 - 8:41SASHill 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
70.9%
45
29.1%
Q3 - 9:00DALButler 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
73.7%
43
26.3%
Q3 - 9:11DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q3 - 9:15DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot53
67.6%
43
32.4%
Q3 - 9:36SASHill 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
69.9%
43
30.1%
Q3 - 9:53DALKidd 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)53
72.9%
41
27.1%
Q3 - 10:18SASHill 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q3 - 10:30SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
71.5%
39
28.5%
Q3 - 10:31DALMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)51
72.4%
39
27.6%
Q3 - 10:50SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
74.4%
39
25.6%
Q3 - 10:50SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q3 - 11:05DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)51
75.6%
37
24.4%
Q3 - 11:21DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
78.2%
37
21.8%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
77.5%
37
22.5%
Q3 - 11:35DALButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL48
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot48
68.2%
37
31.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)48
68.7%
37
31.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALBarea 1' Layup (8 PTS)48
74.8%
34
25.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASHill 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 1:03DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)46
73.9%
32
26.1%
Q2 - 1:29SASJefferson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)43
67.8%
32
32.2%
Q2 - 1:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
71.3%
30
28.7%
Q2 - 1:37DALJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)43
71.9%
30
28.1%
Q2 - 2:01SASJefferson 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)43
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 2:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
74.8%
28
25.2%
Q2 - 2:07DALHill BLOCK (1 BLK)43
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 2:11DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
77.3%
28
22.7%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup43
76.6%
28
23.4%
Q2 - 2:34DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
74.9%
28
25.1%
Q2 - 2:47DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 2:48SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot40
69.0%
28
31.0%
Q2 - 3:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 3:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
66.8%
28
33.2%
Q2 - 3:13DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q2 - 3:14SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 3:38SASSPURS Rebound38
59.9%
28
40.1%
Q2 - 3:39DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 238
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 3:39DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 3:39DALMavericks Rebound37
60.5%
28
39.5%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 237
60.0%
28
40.0%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 237
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 3:59DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 3:59DALMarion 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)37
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 4:08DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot35
52.1%
28
47.9%
Q2 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 4:20DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q2 - 4:43SASGinobili 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
53.2%
28
46.8%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q2 - 5:07DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
52.4%
26
47.6%
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Hill 1' Layup33
51.5%
26
48.5%
Q2 - 5:27DALMarion 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)33
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 5:31DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q2 - 5:33SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot31
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q2 - 5:55DALNowitzki 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)31
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 6:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 6:19SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot29
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 6:42DALMarion Dunk (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)29
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)27
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q2 - 7:19DALHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q2 - 7:19DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q2 - 7:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
34.4%
24
65.6%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.6%
24
66.4%
Q2 - 7:41DALMarion 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)25
31.8%
24
68.3%
Q2 - 7:45DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q2 - 7:47SASMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot23
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 8:07DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 8:07DALHaywood 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)23
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 8:08DALMISS Marion 7' Jump Bank Shot21
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q2 - 8:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Marion 2' Layup21
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q2 - 8:41SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)21
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q2 - 8:54DALHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q2 - 8:54DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 220
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q2 - 9:14SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)20
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q2 - 9:33SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q2 - 9:34DALMISS Barea Free Throw 2 of 220
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q2 - 9:34DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q2 - 9:48DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot19
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q2 - 10:05DALGinobili STEAL (3 STL)19
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 10:07DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q2 - 10:08SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 10:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 10:20DALMISS Haywood 1' Layup19
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 10:42DALMavericks Rebound19
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q2 - 10:42SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 11:02DALBogans STEAL (1 STL)19
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q2 - 11:19SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)19
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q2 - 11:44DALMarion Layup (4 PTS)19
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL17
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)17
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup17
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALBarea 1' Layup (2 PTS)17
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DALButler Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 1:09SASParker 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 1:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 1:18DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot15
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 1:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
30.3%
15
69.7%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot15
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 1:44SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Blair 1' Layup15
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 1:56SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Barea 10' Jump Shot15
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 2:15DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 2:16SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot15
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 2:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 2:34DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot15
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 2:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 2:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 2:50DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 215
29.1%
15
70.9%
Q1 - 2:50DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 215
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 3:11SASParker Layup (2 PTS)15
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 3:31DALMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot15
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 3:49SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)15
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 4:09DALButler 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)15
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 4:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
36.0%
10
64.0%
Q1 - 4:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 4:16SASMISS McDyess 2' Layup13
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 4:18SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 4:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 4:31DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 4:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)13
36.0%
10
64.0%
Q1 - 4:35DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot13
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 4:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.0%
10
64.0%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot13
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 5:09DALButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)13
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 5:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 5:20SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot11
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 5:42DALNowitzki 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 5:53DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 6:01DALGinobili STEAL (2 STL)9
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 6:22SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS)9
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 6:41DALButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 6:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot7
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 7:29DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)7
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 7:57SASJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)4
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:09DALButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 8:27SASHill 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)4
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 8:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 8:53DALMISS Butler 1' Layup4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 8:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 8:57DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:03DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:05SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot4
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:18SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 9:20DALMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:32SASMcDyess 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 9:56DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:58SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Bank Shot2
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 10:17DALMarion 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:18DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:19DALMISS Kidd 2' Layup0
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 10:24DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot0
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:36DALMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot0
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 10:55SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:55SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
23.5%
3
76.5%
Q1 - 10:59DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 11:11SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:19DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Marion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:45SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Dampier: Tip to0
27.1%
0
72.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
16
28
57%
SAS
13
22
59%
Midrange
DAL
9
30
30%
SAS
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DAL
18
23
78%
SAS
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki1765%8.5 / 13
C. Butler1745%8.5 / 19
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
J. Terry1354%6.5 / 12
J. Kidd1050%5.0 / 10
B. Haywood1056%5.0 / 9
J. Barea850%4.0 / 8
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2985%14.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1745%8.5 / 19
R. Jefferson1568%7.5 / 11
A. McDyess1056%5.0 / 9
T. Parker1045%5.0 / 11
D. Blair758%3.5 / 6
T. Duncan418%2.0 / 11
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
73
+14
-14
87
SAS
75
+10
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
106.1
DAL 102.3
SAS 105.7 +3.4
Pace
88.6
90.7
DAL 85.8
SAS 88.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.0
DAL 16.8
SAS 16.3 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
49.4%
DAL 46.1%
SAS 49.3% +3.2%
TO %
13.4%
13.8%
DAL 14.7%
SAS 12.1% +2.6%
ORB %
28.1%
24.0%
DAL 26.7% +5.0%
SAS 21.7%
FTrt
29.4
33.9
DAL 29.9
SAS 37.3 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
52.7%
DAL 53.1%
SAS 55.9% +2.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.5%
DAL 5.7%
SAS 9.2% +3.5%
BLK %
7.7%
7.2%
DAL 8.6% +1.7%
SAS 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
52.7%
DAL 48.9%
SAS 52.9% +4.0%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.3%
DAL 57.1%
SAS 59.1% +2.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.2%
DAL 30.0%
SAS 41.7% +11.7%
3P %
32.8%
33.8%
DAL 36.8% +1.5%
SAS 35.3%
FT %
79.3%
69.5%
DAL 78.3% +14.0%
SAS 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.8%
34.0%
DAL 36.4% +7.0%
SAS 29.3%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
47.9%
DAL 39.0% +9.0%
SAS 48.0%
3P Att. %
24.4%
18.1%
DAL 24.7% +2.0%
SAS 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8992
Rebounds4843
Assists1719
Steals58
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals32-7734-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2813-22
Midrange FG9-3015-36
2-Point FG25-5828-58
3-Point FG7-196-17
Free Throws18-2318-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
43.2
17
65%
11
4
0
0
3
2
1
10
9-9
100%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
41.7
10
50%
7
5
2
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
G · 6'7" 228 · 30
34.5
17
45%
6
3
1
0
3
5
0
6
2-2
100%
6-15
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
27.6
14
54%
7
1
0
1
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
19.1
0
0%
5
2
0
0
2
5
4
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
31.4
13
54%
6
1
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 263 · 30
25.3
10
56%
4
0
1
3
0
3
3
1
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
16.5
8
50%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29
#7 · F · 6'10" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
G · 6'6" 212 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
48
17
5
5
14
0
12
36
18-23
78%
25-58
43%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.