FinalWin Prob.pScore
837%92
94
663%96
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.39194.1
DAL logo DAL
112.48986.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASParker Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMISS Butler 13' Driving Jump Shot92
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:11SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:11SASBonner Tip Shot (5 PTS)92
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:12SASMISS Ginobili Putback Layup90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Parker Driving Layup90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:19DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Dampier Layup90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:32DALMISS Kidd 9' Jump Shot90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:55DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:16SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 2:16SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 2:26SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 286
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 286
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:44DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)86
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:17SASParker 11' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)86
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 3:33DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 3:33DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 284
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 3:54DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Duncan 6' Driving Hook Shot84
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 4:09SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 4:10DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot84
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 4:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 4:19SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 4:43DALNowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)84
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 4:56DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 4:57SASMISS Ginobili Driving Reverse Layup84
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)84
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)84
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 5:29SASDuncan Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)84
11.1%
89
88.9%
Q4 - 5:39SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 5:40SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot82
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 6:05DALTerry 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)82
10.0%
89
90.0%
Q4 - 6:26SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
12.8%
87
87.2%
Q4 - 6:49DALMarion 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)80
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 7:15SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)80
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 7:30DALMarion Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)77
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 7:49SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q4 - 7:49SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 7:54SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 7:55DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot75
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)75
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 8:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 8:20SASMISS Bonner 9' Jump Shot72
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 8:40DALKidd Driving Layup (10 PTS)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 8:43DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Bonner 20' Jump Shot72
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 9:04SASSpurs Rebound72
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 9:04DALMISS Marion 7' Turnaround Bank Shot72
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 9:25DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot72
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q4 - 9:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)72
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 10:00DALButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)69
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 10:11SASButler STEAL (3 STL)69
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 10:26DALButler 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)69
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q4 - 10:36DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q4 - 10:37SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot69
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q4 - 11:02DALButler Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)69
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q4 - 11:18SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)69
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q4 - 11:27DALMarion Foul Turnover (P2.T14)69
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q4 - 11:42SASKidd STEAL (4 STL)69
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL69
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot69
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
15.9%
76
84.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALMISS Barea 9' Jump Shot69
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)69
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
15.9%
76
84.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALMISS Kidd Driving Layup69
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)69
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALKidd 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 1:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot67
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 1:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)67
19.1%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 1:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)67
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 1:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 1:39DALMISS Butler 9' Driving Jump Shot67
24.9%
71
75.1%
Q3 - 2:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q3 - 2:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
21.9%
71
78.1%
Q3 - 2:17DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q3 - 2:17DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 2:22SASParker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
22.8%
69
77.2%
Q3 - 2:44SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q3 - 2:45DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 263
19.2%
69
80.8%
Q3 - 2:45DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)63
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q3 - 2:54DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 2:55SASMISS Duncan 12' Step Back Jump Shot63
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 3:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q3 - 3:16DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 263
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 3:16DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
21.2%
68
78.8%
Q3 - 3:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
23.0%
67
77.0%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)61
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 4:06DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
26.4%
64
73.6%
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Bank Shot61
27.7%
64
72.3%
Q3 - 4:22DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)61
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 4:38DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q3 - 4:39SASMISS Parker 23' Jump Shot61
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q3 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)61
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)61
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 5:22SASDuncan Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)61
41.3%
60
58.7%
Q3 - 5:34DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)59
37.8%
60
62.2%
Q3 - 5:45SASKidd STEAL (3 STL)59
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 5:51SASSpurs Rebound59
37.9%
60
62.1%
Q3 - 5:52SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot59
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 6:04DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
37.6%
60
62.4%
Q3 - 6:04DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 6:13SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)59
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 6:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
33.9%
58
66.1%
Q3 - 6:18SASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)56
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 6:35DALMarion 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)56
33.8%
58
66.2%
Q3 - 6:44DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot56
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 7:13DALButler 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)56
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q3 - 7:40SASJefferson Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)56
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q3 - 7:46DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)54
40.8%
54
59.2%
Q3 - 7:55DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
36.8%
54
63.2%
Q3 - 7:56SASMISS Duncan Finger Roll Layup54
38.0%
54
62.0%
Q3 - 8:15DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q3 - 8:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
36.6%
54
63.4%
Q3 - 8:27SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 8:35DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)54
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q3 - 8:43SASMcDyess 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)54
36.6%
54
63.4%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q3 - 8:54DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot52
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q3 - 9:14SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)52
30.0%
54
70.0%
Q3 - 9:28SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
24.2%
54
75.8%
Q3 - 9:29DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 249
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q3 - 9:29DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 249
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 9:34SASKidd STEAL (2 STL)49
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q3 - 9:39DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)49
24.2%
54
75.8%
Q3 - 10:01SASMcDyess Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q3 - 10:18DALButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)47
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q3 - 10:30SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)47
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q3 - 10:31SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Hook Shot45
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 10:50DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)45
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 10:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 10:58SASMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot45
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 11:07SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 11:08DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot45
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q3 - 11:19DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot45
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)45
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)45
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASMcDyess Running Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)45
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Dampier Layup43
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot43
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 143
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q2 - 1:10DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
22.5%
47
77.5%
Q2 - 1:28SASGinobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q2 - 1:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)39
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 1:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)39
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 1:58SASKidd STEAL (1 STL)39
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 2:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 2:05SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)39
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:12SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 2:13DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot39
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 2:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot39
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:54DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 2:54DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 239
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 2:54SASHaywood STEAL (1 STL)39
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 3:12DALButler 10' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)39
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 3:27SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 3:41DALButler 13' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)39
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 3:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 3:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 4:02DALButler Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)37
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 4:19SASDuncan 4' Jump Bank Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)37
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 4:35DALHaywood Putback Layup (10 PTS)35
30.4%
38
69.6%
Q2 - 4:36DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot35
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 4:52SASButler STEAL (2 STL)35
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 4:56DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)35
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 5:09DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
33.0%
36
67.0%
Q2 - 5:10SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot35
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 5:23SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 5:24DALMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot35
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 5:45SASDuncan Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)35
33.0%
36
67.0%
Q2 - 6:02DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)33
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 6:13SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 6:33DALNowitzki 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (12 PTS)31
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 6:51SASParker 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)31
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 7:02SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
30.5%
32
69.5%
Q2 - 7:03DALMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 7:23SASGinobili Running Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)29
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 7:32DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 7:42SASBlair Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 8:00DALButler Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 8:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 8:06DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot25
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q2 - 8:28SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T7)25
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 8:44DALHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 8:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 9:05SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 9:06DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot25
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q2 - 9:21SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)25
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q2 - 9:37DALHaywood Putback Slam Dunk (5 PTS)25
32.7%
27
67.3%
Q2 - 9:38DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 9:39DALMISS Barea 5' Driving Jump Shot25
36.7%
25
63.3%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)25
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 10:15DALNowitzki 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)22
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 10:33SASBlair Putback Layup (2 PTS)22
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q2 - 10:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Bank Shot20
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q2 - 10:49SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 10:50DALMISS Terry 21' Pullup Jump Shot20
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q2 - 10:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q2 - 10:57SASMISS Bonner 9' Driving Jump Shot20
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q2 - 11:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Haywood Dunk20
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q2 - 11:34SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)20
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q2 - 11:41DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL18
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot18
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASParker 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)18
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASParker 15' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALKidd 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)14
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:00SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)14
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 1:16DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)14
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 1:30DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 1:31SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot14
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 1:53DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot14
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 2:05SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 2:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 2:30DALMarion Putback Layup (2 PTS)12
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 2:31DALMISS Terry Driving Layup12
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 2:36SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)12
32.9%
13
67.1%
Q1 - 2:42SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 2:43DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot12
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 3:02SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 3:19DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)10
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 3:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 3:33SASMISS Bogans Driving Layup10
29.3%
13
70.7%
Q1 - 3:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 3:53DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot10
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 4:14SASMISS Duncan 9' Step Back Jump Shot10
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 4:41DALNowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)10
30.5%
13
69.5%
Q1 - 4:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Hook Shot10
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 5:18DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 5:26DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 5:28SASMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)10
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 5:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 5:59DALMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 6:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 6:16DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
34.1%
11
65.9%
Q1 - 6:34SASGinobili Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 6:49DALNowitzki 9' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 7:04SASDampier STEAL (1 STL)8
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 7:28DALNowitzki Putback Layup (4 PTS)8
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 7:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 7:30DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot8
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:36DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 7:37SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot8
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 7:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.8%
7
62.2%
Q1 - 7:48DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot8
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:57DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 7:59SASMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)8
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 8:13DALJump Ball Dampier vs. McDyess: Tip to Duncan8
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 8:16DALMISS Dampier Running Tip Shot8
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:17DALMISS Kidd Driving Layup8
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:22DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 8:24SASMISS Hill 7' Driving Jump Shot8
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 8:51DALButler Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)8
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:56SASButler STEAL (1 STL)8
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 9:09DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 9:09DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)8
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 9:26DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot8
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 9:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 9:36DALMISS Marion Tip Shot8
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 9:37DALMISS Kidd 17' Jump Shot8
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 9:58SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)8
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 10:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
40.9%
3
59.1%
Q1 - 10:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:25SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
42.6%
1
57.4%
Q1 - 10:43SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.0%
1
59.0%
Q1 - 10:44DALMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 24
40.7%
1
59.3%
Q1 - 10:44DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
39.4%
1
60.6%
Q1 - 10:58SASGinobili 3' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:13SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:14DALMISS Marion Layup2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:23DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:24SASMISS Jefferson Reverse Layup2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:31SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:32DALMISS Butler 4' Driving Jump Shot2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:54SASGinobili 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Duncan: Tip to Ginobili0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
DAL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
29
69%
DAL
11
22
50%
Midrange
SAS
15
38
39%
DAL
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
DAL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
SAS
12
14
86%
DAL
25
34
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2764%13.5 / 20
M. Ginobili2672%13.0 / 18
T. Parker1853%9.0 / 17
A. McDyess1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bonner542%2.5 / 6
R. Jefferson440%2.0 / 5
D. Blair4100%2.0 / 2
G. Hill0-0.0 / 2
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3695%18.0 / 19
C. Butler2250%11.0 / 22
J. Kidd1354%6.5 / 12
B. Haywood10100%5.0 / 5
S. Marion941%4.5 / 11
E. Dampier528%2.5 / 9
J. Terry528%2.5 / 9
J. Barea0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-17
83
DAL
74
+14
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
DAL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
104.9
SAS 103.3
DAL 112.4 +9.1
Pace
90.7
88.6
SAS 94.1 +7.9
DAL 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.1
SAS 15.3 +1.4
DAL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
46.8%
SAS 52.6% +1.9%
DAL 50.7%
TO %
13.8%
13.4%
SAS 16.8%
DAL 14.4% +2.4%
ORB %
24.0%
28.1%
SAS 20.0%
DAL 31.0% +11.0%
FTrt
33.9
29.4
SAS 17.9
DAL 45.9 +28.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.7%
54.4%
SAS 48.7%
DAL 65.7% +17.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.5%
SAS 7.7%
DAL 11.2% +3.5%
BLK %
7.2%
7.7%
SAS 1.7%
DAL 6.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.5%
SAS 56.0% +1.7%
DAL 54.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
55.5%
SAS 69.0% +19.0%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.4%
SAS 39.5%
DAL 50.0% +10.5%
3P %
33.8%
32.8%
SAS 36.4% +0.7%
DAL 35.7%
FT %
69.5%
79.3%
SAS 85.7% +12.2%
DAL 73.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
28.8%
SAS 37.2% +7.4%
DAL 29.7%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
46.8%
SAS 48.7% +2.6%
DAL 51.4%
3P Att. %
18.1%
24.4%
SAS 14.1%
DAL 18.9% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points94100
Rebounds3745
Assists1923
Steals710
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)32 (0)
Field Goals39-7835-74
At-the-Rim FG20-2911-22
Midrange FG15-3819-38
2-Point FG35-6730-60
3-Point FG4-115-14
Free Throws12-1425-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
40.1
26
72%
4
6
3
0
5
2
1
3
3-3
100%
7-10
70%
3-7
43%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
40.1
27
64%
8
2
0
0
6
3
1
7
3-5
60%
12-20
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
32.2
4
40%
7
2
1
0
2
4
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 36
23.0
10
56%
8
2
1
0
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
17.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
34.2
18
53%
1
4
2
0
2
3
1
0
4-4
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
19.2
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
9.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
7.9
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 24
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
#1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'1" 195 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
56%
37
19
7
1
17
0
8
29
12-14
86%
35-67
52%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.