for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 27, 2010
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Heat
28%85
86
5
Celtics
72%93
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.59190.1
BOS logo BOS
104.39294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Reverse Layup86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)86
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:35MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)86
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 1:41BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P3.T16)86
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)86
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 2:09BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)83
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)83
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:35BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P2.T15)80
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 2:42BOSCELTICS Rebound80
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:43BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot80
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:01MIAAnthony 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)80
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup78
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 3 of 378
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 378
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)78
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:51BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot78
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 4:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper78
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 4:19BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 4:19BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 4:53BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)76
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 5:12MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T18)76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 5:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 5:26BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot76
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 5:50BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 6:04BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T17)76
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 6:34BOSPierce 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)76
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 6:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup76
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 7:01BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)76
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 7:41MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 7:42BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot74
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 7:58BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot74
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q4 - 8:20BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)74
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 8:47MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)74
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q4 - 9:06BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T13)72
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)72
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q4 - 9:29BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)72
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)72
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)71
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q4 - 10:01BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)70
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)70
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q4 - 10:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q4 - 10:26BOSMISS Rondo 3' Layup67
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 10:32BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q4 - 10:57BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot67
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)67
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIAHeat Rebound65
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot65
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q4 - 11:44BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)65
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS65
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T15)65
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot65
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)65
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)64
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)63
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAGarnett STEAL (3 STL)62
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 1:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 1:19BOSMISS Davis 3' Jump Shot62
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)62
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHeat Rebound62
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 1:54BOSMISS Pierce 24' Jump Shot62
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)62
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 2:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 2:29BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup59
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)59
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 2:58BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot56
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 3:22BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot56
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 3:39BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T12)56
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 4:03BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)54
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot52
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 4:45BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 4:45BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 4:52BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot52
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 5:08BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P4.T11)52
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 5:23MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)52
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 5:37BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)49
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAHeat Rebound46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 6:20BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 6:27BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 6:56BOSPerkins 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 7:14MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)46
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 7:24BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)46
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)46
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 7:41MIAHeat Rebound46
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)46
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 8:08BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)46
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 8:46BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)44
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q3 - 9:22BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)42
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)42
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 9:47BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q3 - 9:50BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAPierce BLOCK (2 BLK)40
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q3 - 10:04BOSMISS Perkins 6' Jump Hook Shot40
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q3 - 10:19BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)40
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q3 - 10:46BOSRondo 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)40
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHaslem 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)40
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q3 - 11:28BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)38
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q3 - 11:46BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot38
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound38
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup38
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0BOSMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup38
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIARondo STEAL (4 STL)38
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)38
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0BOSPierce 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)38
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot38
14.9%
44
85.1%
Q2 - 1:21BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)38
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade Tip Shot (11 PTS)38
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup36
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 2:09BOSMISS Perkins 3' Hook Shot36
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 2:22MIAHeat Rebound34
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot34
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 2:39BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 2:39BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 2:52MIARichardson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)34
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 3:01BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup32
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 3:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot32
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 3:14BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot32
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 3:55BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 3:55BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 4:08MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)30
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 4:19BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 230
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 4:19BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 4:26MIARondo STEAL (3 STL)30
10.4%
39
89.6%
Q2 - 4:36BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 4:36BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup29
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 5:21BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 5:21BOSRondo Tip Shot (10 PTS)29
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 5:22BOSMISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot29
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q2 - 5:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot29
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 5:52BOSPerkins 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)29
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 5:52BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 5:55BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup29
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical29
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 6:10BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup29
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 6:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot29
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)29
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 7:13BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAHeat Rebound25
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 8:00BOSWallace 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)25
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 8:08BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot25
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 8:23BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)25
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)25
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:31MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)25
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:48BOSMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot25
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 8:54BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 9:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 9:04BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup25
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 9:42BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot23
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 10:06MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)23
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 10:26BOSAllen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)21
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q2 - 10:32MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)21
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 10:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 10:51BOSMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot21
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 11:06BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot21
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 11:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 11:18BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot21
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 11:21BOSMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot21
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:38BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot21
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS21
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)21
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound21
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSDavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)21
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)21
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 1:04BOSPierce 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)21
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q1 - 1:09BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 1:35BOSPerkins 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)21
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIARichardson 2' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q1 - 2:04BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot19
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)19
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 2:42BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)17
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 2:50BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.0%
21
81.0%
Q1 - 3:07BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 3:14BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Beasley 3' Layup17
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 3:34BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)17
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 3:51MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:01BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup15
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:03BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 4:03BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup15
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)15
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 4:12BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)15
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)15
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 4:47BOSRondo 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)15
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot15
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHeat Rebound15
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:07MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)15
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 5:25BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)15
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 5:47BOSMISS Garnett Layup13
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 6:27BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P2.T4)11
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 6:34BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot11
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 6:54BOSRondo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)11
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 7:15BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 7:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHeat Rebound8
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 7:40BOSMISS Allen 3' Layup8
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAArroyo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 8:15BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)6
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 8:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 8:52BOSRondo 2' Layup (4 PTS)6
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 8:56BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)6
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 9:13BOSMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot6
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 9:30MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)6
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 9:36BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:45BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot4
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 10:01BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 10:10BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot4
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 10:37BOSAllen 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 10:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 10:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup2
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 11:07BOSAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)2
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:40BOSRondo 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Rondo0
23.0%
0
77.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
26
50%
BOS
19
34
56%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
BOS
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
BOS
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
BOS
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3155%15.5 / 28
M. Chalmers2071%10.0 / 14
C. Arroyo8100%4.0 / 4
J. O'Neal732%3.5 / 11
U. Haslem630%3.0 / 10
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
Q. Richardson425%2.0 / 8
M. Beasley225%1.0 / 4
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2480%12.0 / 15
P. Pierce2170%10.5 / 15
R. Rondo1644%8.0 / 18
K. Garnett1464%7.0 / 11
K. Perkins850%4.0 / 8
G. Davis750%3.5 / 7
T. Allen440%2.0 / 5
R. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+17
-18
90
BOS
76
+8
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.6
104.5
MIA 94.5 +9.8
BOS 104.3
Pace
90.0
89.5
MIA 90.1
BOS 94.0 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.9
MIA 16.0
BOS 15.3 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
49.1%
MIA 42.4%
BOS 53.5% +11.1%
TO %
17.8%
14.7%
MIA 18.4%
BOS 16.4% +2.0%
ORB %
22.6%
23.1%
MIA 26.2% +5.6%
BOS 20.6%
FTrt
24.1
34.1
MIA 27.8
BOS 30.6 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.4%
61.6%
MIA 58.1%
BOS 80.0% +21.9%
STL %
7.7%
9.0%
MIA 6.6%
BOS 12.0% +5.4%
BLK %
8.8%
8.3%
MIA 11.7% +1.5%
BOS 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
52.2%
MIA 47.8%
BOS 57.1% +9.3%
Rim FG%
56.3%
54.7%
MIA 50.0%
BOS 55.9% +5.9%
Mid FG%
38.1%
41.3%
MIA 39.4% +4.8%
BOS 34.6%
3P %
37.4%
36.3%
MIA 25.0%
BOS 58.3% +33.3%
FT %
73.1%
75.5%
MIA 86.4%
BOS 86.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
37.9%
MIA 32.9%
BOS 47.2% +14.3%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
41.0%
MIA 41.8%
BOS 36.1% +5.7%
3P Att. %
23.6%
21.1%
MIA 25.3% +8.6%
BOS 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes24.323.5
Points8696
Rebounds3838
Assists1828
Steals611
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)31 (0)
Field Goals31-7935-72
At-the-Rim FG13-2619-34
Midrange FG13-339-26
2-Point FG26-5928-60
3-Point FG5-207-12
Free Throws19-2219-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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13 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
45.6
31
55%
8
10
1
2
7
3
2
6
9-10
90%
8-17
47%
2-7
29%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
38.7
4
25%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C · 6'11" 255 · 32
26.4
7
32%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
17.9
8
100%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
13.6
2
25%
3
1
3
0
3
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
34.9
6
30%
10
0
0
1
1
4
4
6
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
30.6
20
71%
4
1
0
0
3
4
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
3-8
38%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
19.8
6
100%
3
0
0
2
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
12.5
2
20%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
Yakhouba Diawara
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Shavlik Randolph
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Kenny Hasbrouck
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
48%
38
18
6
7
18
0
11
27
19-22
86%
26-59
44%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.