FinalWin Prob.pScore
645%88
92
1355%89
101
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
102.29094.4
MIA logo MIA
113.58985.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)92
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)92
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)92
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Beasley Tip Shot92
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup92
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 1:11BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 292
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 1:11BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 292
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 1:12BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)92
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 1:13BOSMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIABeasley Layup (15 PTS)92
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 1:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Wright 18' Fadeaway Jumper92
11.9%
96
88.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
9.7%
96
90.3%
Q4 - 1:50BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 292
10.5%
96
89.5%
Q4 - 1:50BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 292
14.6%
96
85.4%
Q4 - 1:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)92
15.5%
96
84.5%
Q4 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)92
9.2%
96
90.8%
Q4 - 2:18BOSMISS Rondo 7' Running Jump Shot92
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)92
16.9%
96
83.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
9.1%
96
90.9%
Q4 - 2:36BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 292
9.9%
96
90.1%
Q4 - 2:36BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
13.7%
96
86.3%
Q4 - 2:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
11.0%
96
89.0%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot91
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 3:09BOSFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)91
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)88
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHEAT Rebound88
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot88
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 4:01BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)88
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 4:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 4:25BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 5:02BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot85
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)85
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 5:31BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)85
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 5:48BOSCeltics Rebound82
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 5:49BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (44 PTS)82
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 6:36BOSGarnett 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)82
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)80
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 7:21BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P4.T16)80
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q4 - 7:27BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot80
10.0%
88
90.0%
Q4 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 7:53BOSAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)80
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q4 - 7:57BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
10.8%
88
89.2%
Q4 - 7:58BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot80
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (41 PTS)80
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (40 PTS)80
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (39 PTS)80
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
19.2%
85
80.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot80
22.0%
85
78.0%
Q4 - 8:58BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)80
19.1%
85
80.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)80
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 9:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
35.0%
82
65.0%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot80
38.8%
82
61.2%
Q4 - 9:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
35.0%
82
65.0%
Q4 - 9:29BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
36.6%
82
63.4%
Q4 - 9:50MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)80
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 10:13BOSWallace Dunk (5 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)80
51.8%
79
48.2%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)78
46.3%
79
53.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
57.5%
76
42.5%
Q4 - 10:57BOSMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 278
58.2%
76
41.8%
Q4 - 10:57BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
61.7%
76
38.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)77
56.8%
76
43.2%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Davis: Tip to Wade77
67.0%
73
33.0%
Q4 - 11:26BOSMISS Rondo Driving Layup77
68.3%
73
31.7%
Q4 - 11:45MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)77
71.4%
73
28.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
75.7%
71
24.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
75.7%
71
24.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 65' 3PT Jump Shot77
78.3%
71
21.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
70.2%
71
29.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSRondo 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)75
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)73
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)73
70.6%
68
29.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 1:29BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)70
65.3%
66
34.7%
Q3 - 1:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T12)68
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
55.9%
66
44.1%
Q3 - 2:01BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot68
56.3%
66
43.7%
Q3 - 2:22MIARichardson 8' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)68
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q3 - 2:51BOSAllen Layup (11 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)68
64.1%
64
35.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)66
59.6%
64
40.4%
Q3 - 3:08BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
54.6%
64
45.4%
Q3 - 3:08BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
53.2%
64
46.8%
Q3 - 3:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
50.4%
64
49.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 164
49.8%
64
50.2%
Q3 - 3:28BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)64
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 3:34BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
59.3%
62
40.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 3:54BOSRondo Driving Layup (16 PTS)64
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 4:02BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
50.4%
62
49.6%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot62
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q3 - 4:18BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)62
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 4:35BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot59
36.1%
62
63.9%
Q3 - 5:01BOSGarnett Layup (14 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)59
33.0%
62
67.0%
Q3 - 5:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 5:30BOSRondo Reverse Layup (14 PTS)57
26.0%
62
74.0%
Q3 - 5:42BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot55
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 5:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 5:52BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)55
21.0%
62
79.0%
Q3 - 6:08MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
24.0%
62
76.0%
Q3 - 6:27BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 6:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
24.0%
59
76.0%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot52
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 6:46BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q3 - 7:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
24.5%
59
75.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
24.0%
59
76.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Garnett 8' Turnaround Jump Shot52
22.4%
59
77.6%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)52
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 8:01BOSRichardson STEAL (3 STL)52
27.4%
57
72.6%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)52
30.8%
57
69.2%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)52
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q3 - 8:30BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)52
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 8:50MIAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
30.8%
55
69.2%
Q3 - 9:04BOSPierce 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)50
34.2%
53
65.8%
Q3 - 9:14MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)48
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
27.8%
53
72.2%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Beasley Layup48
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 9:39BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)48
27.8%
53
72.2%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)45
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 10:11BOSPierce Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)45
25.5%
51
74.5%
Q3 - 10:15BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Richardson 6' Jump Shot43
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 10:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot43
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q3 - 10:57BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q3 - 11:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q3 - 11:36BOSMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot43
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS43
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound43
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 22' Jump Shot43
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)43
32.7%
47
67.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)40
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot40
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot40
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q2 - 1:11BOSFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.6%
45
68.4%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 1:21BOSMISS Rondo Driving Finger Roll Layup40
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 1:29BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 1:30BOSMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 1:38BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup40
31.6%
45
68.4%
Q2 - 1:58BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)40
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 2:13BOSFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 238
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
25.4%
45
74.6%
Q2 - 2:29BOSGarnett 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)38
24.8%
45
75.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
22.6%
45
77.4%
Q2 - 2:59BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T12)36
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)36
23.3%
45
76.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 3:22BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot36
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 3:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot36
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 4:05BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 136
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)34
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q2 - 4:25BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot34
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)34
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 4:59BOSFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
21.1%
43
78.9%
Q2 - 4:59BOSFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 5:08MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 5:24BOSRondo Driving Layup (7 PTS)32
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 5:29BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 5:46BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 5:46BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 229
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 6:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 11' Floating Jump Shot29
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 6:30BOSAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)29
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 6:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Beasley Driving Finger Roll Layup27
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound27
11.1%
43
88.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot27
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 7:01BOSGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)27
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 225
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 7:38BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 7:38BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 224
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 7:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 7:39BOSMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot24
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 8:00MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 8:06BOSMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot24
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 8:39BOSAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)24
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)24
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 9:08BOSWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q2 - 9:08BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 9:22BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.7%
36
83.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 222
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 9:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 9:35BOSRobinson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)22
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 9:57MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 10:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 10:08BOSMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot22
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 10:54BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q2 - 10:54BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 10:55BOSRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot20
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 11:35BOSAllen 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSRondo Driving Layup (5 PTS)18
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0BOSMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot16
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:05BOSFinley 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)14
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q1 - 1:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 1:29BOSMISS Allen 8' Running Hook Shot14
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q1 - 1:37BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot14
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 1:51BOSMISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot14
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)14
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:16BOSMISS Rondo Driving Finger Roll Layup14
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAHEAT Rebound14
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot14
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:39BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot14
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAWade Reverse Dunk (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)14
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 3:13BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 3:26BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 114
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 3:39BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)14
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade Driving Dunk (7 PTS)14
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 3:58BOSRichardson STEAL (2 STL)14
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 4:24BOSRichardson STEAL (1 STL)14
37.6%
17
62.4%
Q1 - 4:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot14
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.6%
17
62.4%
Q1 - 4:45BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 4:51BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot14
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 5:07BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
37.7%
17
62.3%
Q1 - 5:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 5:36BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)11
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 5:53BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 6:10MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)7
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 6:28BOSGarnett Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)7
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 6:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Richardson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot5
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 7:02BOSGarnett Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)5
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 7:19MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 7:37BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)5
30.3%
12
69.7%
Q1 - 8:04MIABeasley Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:20BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)2
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 8:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 8:51BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 22
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 8:51BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 22
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 8:58BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup2
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 9:04BOSArroyo STEAL (1 STL)2
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 9:24MIARichardson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)2
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 9:36BOSRondo Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 10:07BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)2
42.1%
3
57.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 10:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 10:27BOSMISS Allen Layup2
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 10:49BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 10:56BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
49.2%
0
50.8%
Q1 - 11:13BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:38BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Beasley0
44.0%
0
56.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
12
16
75%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
BOS
14
32
44%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
BOS
16
27
59%
MIA
15
25
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rondo2364%11.5 / 18
K. Garnett1864%9.0 / 14
P. Pierce1653%8.0 / 15
R. Allen1563%7.5 / 12
M. Finley758%3.5 / 6
T. Allen675%3.0 / 4
R. Wallace536%2.5 / 7
G. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
K. Perkins0-0.0 / 2
N. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4679%23.0 / 29
Q. Richardson2067%10.0 / 15
M. Beasley1550%7.5 / 15
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
C. Arroyo643%3.0 / 7
D. Wright440%2.0 / 5
J. O'Neal225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
74
+6
-16
80
MIA
75
+13
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
97.6
BOS 102.2
MIA 113.5 +11.3
Pace
89.5
90.0
BOS 94.4 +9.3
MIA 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.4
BOS 15.3 +1.7
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
47.9%
BOS 55.1%
MIA 56.6% +1.5%
TO %
14.7%
17.8%
BOS 16.5%
MIA 15.5% +1.0%
ORB %
23.1%
22.6%
BOS 10.5%
MIA 22.5% +12.0%
FTrt
34.1
24.1
BOS 39.1 +6.2
MIA 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.6%
52.4%
BOS 55.9% +13.8%
MIA 42.1%
STL %
9.0%
7.7%
BOS 11.1% +1.0%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.8%
BOS 6.9% +2.7%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
49.3%
BOS 56.8% +1.3%
MIA 55.5%
Rim FG%
54.7%
56.3%
BOS 75.0% +11.4%
MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%
41.3%
38.1%
BOS 43.8% +4.9%
MIA 38.9%
3P %
36.3%
37.4%
BOS 38.1%
MIA 55.6% +17.5%
FT %
75.5%
73.1%
BOS 59.3%
MIA 60.0% +0.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
30.8%
BOS 23.2%
MIA 28.9% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
45.6%
BOS 46.4% +1.0%
MIA 47.4%
3P Att. %
21.1%
23.6%
BOS 30.4% +6.8%
MIA 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points92101
Rebounds3543
Assists1916
Steals109
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals34-6938-76
At-the-Rim FG12-1614-22
Midrange FG14-3214-36
2-Point FG26-4828-58
3-Point FG8-2110-18
Free Throws16-2715-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 24
43.5
23
64%
4
9
2
0
3
3
1
3
3-4
75%
7-14
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
37.3
16
53%
4
4
2
0
4
5
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
2-8
25%
F · 6'11" 240 · 34
37.0
18
64%
12
2
1
0
3
2
2
10
0-2
0%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 35
34.2
15
63%
0
3
1
0
3
5
0
0
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
C · 6'10" 270 · 25
29.1
0
0%
8
0
0
3
1
4
0
8
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24
15.6
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37
13.9
7
58%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
· 6'4" 213 · 28
13.8
6
75%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 36
10.9
5
36%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 5'9" 180 · 26
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
F · 6'6" 200 · 29
#27 · F · 6'8" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'2" 190 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
57%
35
19
10
4
16
0
4
31
16-27
59%
26-48
54%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.