FinalWin Prob.pScore
1233%86
76
667%92
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
85.48989.1
BOS logo BOS
93.49190.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS76
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 276
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 276
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot76
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)76
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)75
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Rebound75
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot75
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot75
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (25 PTS)75
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 1:13BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T16)73
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)73
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 1:40BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup71
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:44MIAAllen STEAL (3 STL)71
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 1:46BOSRondo 4' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)71
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 1:57BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 1:58BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot71
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 2:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 2:34BOSMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot71
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 2:55MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P5.T20)71
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 3:13BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 3:13BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 271
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 3:13BOSCELTICS Rebound71
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot71
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 3:30BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 3:30BOSCELTICS Rebound71
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 3:30BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot71
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 3:55BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q4 - 4:23BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot71
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q4 - 4:46BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 5:07BOSGarnett 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)71
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)71
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q4 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q4 - 5:33BOSMISS Rondo 14' Jump Shot71
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)71
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 6:13BOSAllen 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)69
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)69
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q4 - 6:43BOSMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 268
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q4 - 6:43BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)68
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q4 - 6:50BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
11.4%
73
88.6%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound68
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q4 - 7:19BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot68
15.0%
73
85.0%
Q4 - 7:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Alley Oop Dunk68
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q4 - 7:36BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)68
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q4 - 7:43BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot68
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q4 - 8:01BOSDavis 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)68
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q4 - 8:02BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 8:03BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot68
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)68
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound68
25.6%
71
74.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot68
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHeat Rebound68
25.6%
71
74.4%
Q4 - 8:39BOSMISS Rondo 5' Jump Shot68
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q4 - 8:53BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)68
22.4%
71
77.6%
Q4 - 9:17BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)68
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)68
36.7%
68
63.3%
Q4 - 9:41BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
42.3%
68
57.7%
Q4 - 9:41BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
44.1%
67
55.9%
Q4 - 9:50BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup68
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
54.2%
66
45.8%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot68
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q4 - 10:21BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q4 - 10:27BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
58.3%
64
41.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q4 - 10:52BOSRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
63.8%
64
36.2%
Q4 - 11:17MIAWright 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)68
56.9%
64
43.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q4 - 11:31BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot66
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q4 - 11:42BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot66
47.9%
64
52.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS66
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound66
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot66
47.2%
64
52.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
50.4%
64
49.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
51.2%
63
48.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)66
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 1:15BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
59.2%
62
40.8%
Q3 - 1:28MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)66
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAHeat Rebound66
68.3%
60
31.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)66
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 1:50BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)66
68.3%
60
31.7%
Q3 - 1:50BOSCELTICS Rebound66
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 1:50BOSMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot66
67.1%
60
32.9%
Q3 - 2:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)66
62.1%
60
37.9%
Q3 - 2:34BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)63
53.0%
60
47.0%
Q3 - 2:46BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
62.2%
57
37.8%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot63
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 3:14BOSGarnett 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)63
65.0%
57
35.0%
Q3 - 3:27MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
68.7%
55
31.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
65.0%
55
35.0%
Q3 - 3:39BOSMISS Pierce 24' Jump Shot61
63.7%
55
36.3%
Q3 - 3:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
60.6%
55
39.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot61
61.9%
55
38.1%
Q3 - 4:10BOSPierce 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)61
64.2%
55
35.8%
Q3 - 4:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
67.5%
53
32.5%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot61
68.8%
53
31.2%
Q3 - 5:01BOSAllen 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)61
69.8%
53
30.2%
Q3 - 5:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)61
72.9%
51
27.1%
Q3 - 5:22MIAHeat Rebound61
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 5:22MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)61
74.0%
51
26.0%
Q3 - 5:50BOSGarnett 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)61
76.6%
51
23.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)61
77.5%
49
22.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 6:16BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup61
79.6%
49
20.4%
Q3 - 6:21BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
77.5%
49
22.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)61
78.5%
49
21.5%
Q3 - 6:49BOSPerkins 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)61
80.6%
49
19.4%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)61
80.8%
47
19.2%
Q3 - 7:26BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q3 - 7:26BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)59
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q3 - 7:45BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Bank Shot57
77.9%
45
22.1%
Q3 - 8:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
76.2%
45
23.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q3 - 8:13BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)56
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)56
71.7%
45
28.3%
Q3 - 8:49BOSGarnett 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)54
68.8%
45
31.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)54
70.9%
43
29.1%
Q3 - 9:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q3 - 9:24BOSMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot51
63.5%
43
36.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (13 PTS)51
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot49
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q3 - 9:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q3 - 9:54BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup49
56.4%
43
43.6%
Q3 - 10:12MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)49
52.8%
43
47.2%
Q3 - 10:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
49.3%
43
50.7%
Q3 - 10:25BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup47
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q3 - 11:07BOSPerkins 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)44
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)44
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q3 - 11:43BOSPerkins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)44
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSRondo 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)44
48.3%
39
51.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot44
49.1%
39
50.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)44
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAPerkins STEAL (1 STL)44
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 1:17BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
56.8%
37
43.2%
Q2 - 1:17BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 244
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 1:58BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)41
50.3%
36
49.7%
Q2 - 2:10BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
46.6%
36
53.4%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot41
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 2:25BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHaslem 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)41
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot39
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 3:00BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
43.6%
36
56.4%
Q2 - 3:00BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)39
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 3:22BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot39
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 4:03BOSPerkins 1' Dunk (4 PTS)37
42.4%
34
57.6%
Q2 - 4:09BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 4:09BOSMISS Pierce 10' Fadeaway Jumper37
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)37
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 4:50BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup37
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)37
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 5:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 5:13BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
41.1%
32
58.9%
Q2 - 5:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
39.2%
32
60.8%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup35
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot35
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
41.9%
32
58.1%
Q2 - 6:03BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)35
38.6%
32
61.4%
Q2 - 6:32BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)35
41.9%
32
58.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)35
38.6%
32
61.4%
Q2 - 7:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 7:13BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.9%
32
65.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 7:25MIABeasley 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)33
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup31
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot31
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 7:38BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)31
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 8:03BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
30.5%
32
69.5%
Q2 - 8:03BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 231
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:20BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup31
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 8:41BOSMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot31
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 8:43BOSCELTICS Rebound31
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 8:44BOSMISS Davis Layup31
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 9:08MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)31
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 9:21BOSMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot29
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 9:36BOSFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot29
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
28.1%
31
71.9%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot29
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:21BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)29
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)29
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 10:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 10:55BOSMISS Davis 2' Layup29
34.1%
28
65.9%
Q2 - 11:14BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot29
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 11:41BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSAllen 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)29
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)29
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 1:00BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q1 - 1:12BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
38.8%
23
61.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 227
39.0%
23
61.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q1 - 1:14BOSWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 1:28MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)26
36.6%
23
63.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 1:37BOSMISS Davis 2' Layup24
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 2:10BOSFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)21
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)21
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 2:55BOSAllen 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)19
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)19
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 3:36BOSAllen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)19
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)19
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 3:59BOSGarnett Tip Shot (4 PTS)19
36.0%
17
64.0%
Q1 - 4:00BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 4:00BOSMISS Garnett 4' Jump Shot19
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 4:20MIARichardson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)19
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 4:24BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 4:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 4:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot15
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 4:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 4:53BOSMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot15
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 5:08MIAArroyo 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 5:27BOSAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)13
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)13
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 5:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 5:49BOSMISS Pierce 9' Running Jump Shot11
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 5:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.9%
13
74.1%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot11
26.5%
13
73.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHeat Rebound11
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 6:14BOSMISS Garnett 3' Dunk11
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 6:30MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 6:48BOSGarnett 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)9
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)9
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 7:10BOSMISS Pierce 4' Jump Shot9
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 7:24MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 7:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 7:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
25.6%
9
74.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup7
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 7:57BOSPerkins 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 8:12BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 8:25BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup7
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 8:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 8:48BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 9:22BOSPierce 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 9:47BOSRondo 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:52BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
27.3%
3
72.7%
Q1 - 10:02BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot2
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIAHeat Rebound2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:06MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)2
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:24BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup2
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot2
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:50BOSMISS Perkins 3' Layup2
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:03MIAO'Neal 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:30BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:44BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Arroyo0
29.9%
0
70.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
BOS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
26
62%
BOS
21
37
57%
Midrange
MIA
11
35
31%
BOS
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
BOS
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
BOS
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2665%13.0 / 20
Q. Richardson1568%7.5 / 11
J. O'Neal827%4.0 / 15
M. Chalmers744%3.5 / 8
C. Arroyo660%3.0 / 5
M. Beasley638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
D. Wright214%1.0 / 7
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce1650%8.0 / 16
K. Garnett1563%7.5 / 12
T. Allen1458%7.0 / 12
R. Rondo1042%5.0 / 12
R. Allen840%4.0 / 10
K. Perkins857%4.0 / 7
G. Davis844%4.0 / 9
R. Wallace4100%2.0 / 2
M. Finley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+16
-19
86
BOS
77
+10
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
BOS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.6
104.5
MIA 85.4
BOS 93.4 +8.0
Pace
90.0
89.5
MIA 89.1
BOS 90.9 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.9
MIA 16.2
BOS 15.8 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
49.1%
MIA 42.3%
BOS 45.0% +2.7%
TO %
17.8%
14.7%
MIA 20.8%
BOS 17.1% +3.7%
ORB %
22.6%
23.1%
MIA 27.3% +12.1%
BOS 15.2%
FTrt
24.1
34.1
MIA 16.7
BOS 40.0 +23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.4%
61.6%
MIA 58.1%
BOS 58.1%
STL %
7.7%
9.0%
MIA 10.1%
BOS 12.1% +2.0%
BLK %
8.8%
8.3%
MIA 7.8%
BOS 9.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
52.2%
MIA 43.2%
BOS 48.9% +5.7%
Rim FG%
56.3%
54.7%
MIA 61.5% +4.7%
BOS 56.8%
Mid FG%
38.1%
41.3%
MIA 31.4%
BOS 33.3% +1.9%
3P %
37.4%
36.3%
MIA 23.5% +6.8%
BOS 16.7%
FT %
73.1%
75.5%
MIA 76.9%
BOS 78.6% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
37.9%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 52.9% +19.5%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
41.0%
MIA 44.9%
BOS 38.6% +6.3%
3P Att. %
23.6%
21.1%
MIA 21.8% +13.2%
BOS 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points7685
Rebounds4037
Assists1818
Steals911
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)19 (3)14 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals31-7831-70
At-the-Rim FG16-2621-37
Midrange FG11-359-27
2-Point FG27-6130-64
3-Point FG4-171-6
Free Throws10-1322-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
40.4
26
65%
8
6
3
2
7
2
1
7
4-6
67%
11-14
79%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
33.3
6
60%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 32
31.6
8
27%
9
0
0
2
2
4
3
6
2-2
100%
3-14
21%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
31.4
6
38%
8
2
0
0
5
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
30.1
15
68%
4
3
1
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
21.6
2
14%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
20.9
6
38%
4
1
0
0
1
5
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
19.4
7
44%
0
2
1
0
1
4
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
11.2
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
43%
40
18
9
5
19
0
12
28
10-13
77%
27-61
44%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.