FinalWin Prob.pScore
1152%94
104
1648%93
111
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
119.58788.5
MIL logo MIL
126.18886.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL104
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLWilliams Tip Shot (4 PTS)104
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)102
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)102
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)100
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)100
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)100
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLCrawford Layup (21 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)97
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup95
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 1:05MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 1:20ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T12)95
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 1:28MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)95
5.8%
101
94.2%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 295
6.4%
100
93.6%
Q4 - 1:41ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (27 PTS)95
6.5%
100
93.5%
Q4 - 1:51MILThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T15)93
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 2:10ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS)93
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 2:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 2:16ATLMISS Bibby 7' Jump Shot91
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:25MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 2:25MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 291
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 2:57ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)91
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 3:10MILJennings 10' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)88
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 3:35MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 3:36ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot88
3.6%
97
96.4%
Q4 - 3:56MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)88
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 4:12ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 4:35MILJennings 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 4:55ATLEvans Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)86
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 4:55MILSalmons Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)86
12.2%
92
87.8%
Q4 - 5:16MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
11.5%
92
88.5%
Q4 - 5:17ATLMISS Evans 14' Jump Shot86
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 5:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
15.5%
92
84.5%
Q4 - 5:31ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot86
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 5:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 5:57MILMISS Jennings Layup86
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 6:20MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot86
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
18.5%
92
81.5%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
17.0%
92
83.0%
Q4 - 6:41MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
14.0%
92
86.0%
Q4 - 6:43ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
18.4%
92
81.6%
Q4 - 6:43ATLMISS Evans Tip Shot86
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 6:44ATLMISS Evans Layup86
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 6:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
18.4%
92
81.6%
Q4 - 6:56MILMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot86
16.9%
92
83.1%
Q4 - 7:12ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
16.3%
92
83.7%
Q4 - 7:12ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
15.1%
92
84.9%
Q4 - 7:14MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
13.1%
92
86.9%
Q4 - 7:32MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 7:33MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot84
12.0%
92
88.0%
Q4 - 7:49ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 7:49ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 7:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 7:55MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
7.2%
92
92.8%
Q4 - 8:03MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 8:05ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot82
8.2%
92
91.8%
Q4 - 8:22MILGadzuric 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)82
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 8:40ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 8:55MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
9.4%
90
90.6%
Q4 - 9:10ATLSmith Layup (13 PTS)80
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 9:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q4 - 9:13ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 9:21MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)78
11.1%
88
88.9%
Q4 - 9:37ATLSmith 18' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)78
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q4 - 9:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 9:55MILMISS Ridnour Free Throw 2 of 276
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 9:55MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 10:04MILBUCKS Rebound76
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
9.6%
87
90.4%
Q4 - 10:20ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q4 - 10:43MILIlyasova Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)74
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 11:01MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 11:02ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 11:21MILStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 11:40MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 11:41ATLMISS Crawford Layup74
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILGadzuric Layup (5 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)74
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)74
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHawks Rebound74
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot74
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHawks Rebound74
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)74
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILRidnour Foul Turnover (P2.T10)74
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMISS Ridnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q3 - 1:12MILIlyasova 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)72
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q3 - 1:30MILBUCKS Rebound72
18.4%
80
81.6%
Q3 - 1:30ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q3 - 1:50MILIlyasova Layup (8 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)72
21.2%
80
78.8%
Q3 - 2:00ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)72
25.0%
78
75.0%
Q3 - 2:21MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q3 - 2:21MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q3 - 2:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 2:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 269
22.8%
76
77.2%
Q3 - 2:36ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
24.7%
76
75.3%
Q3 - 2:50MILSalmons 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
22.3%
76
77.7%
Q3 - 3:09ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)68
27.0%
74
73.0%
Q3 - 3:21ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q3 - 3:22MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup65
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 3:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q3 - 3:37ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 264
17.2%
74
82.8%
Q3 - 3:52MILMbah a Moute Layup (9 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)64
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 4:07ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 4:22MILJennings 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 4:46MILBUCKS Rebound62
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q3 - 4:47ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot62
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q3 - 5:10MILThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
25.1%
70
74.9%
Q3 - 5:17MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
21.7%
70
78.3%
Q3 - 5:18ATLMISS Williams 7' Hook Shot62
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 5:34ATLHawks Rebound62
25.1%
70
74.9%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Delfino Layup62
24.0%
70
76.0%
Q3 - 5:54MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
21.7%
70
78.3%
Q3 - 5:56ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot62
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 6:22MILMbah a Moute Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)62
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 6:29MILThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
28.9%
68
71.1%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot62
30.0%
68
70.0%
Q3 - 6:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
32.7%
68
67.3%
Q3 - 6:41MILMISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot62
31.5%
68
68.5%
Q3 - 7:04ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
29.7%
68
70.3%
Q3 - 7:15MILThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 7:15MILThomas Layup (8 PTS)60
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 7:16MILMISS Delfino 7' Jump Hook Shot60
32.1%
66
67.9%
Q3 - 7:37ATLSmith Layup (6 PTS)60
29.6%
66
70.4%
Q3 - 7:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q3 - 7:58MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 258
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 7:58MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
24.5%
66
75.5%
Q3 - 8:03MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
27.0%
65
73.0%
Q3 - 8:04ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot58
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 8:28MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 8:28MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
31.1%
64
68.9%
Q3 - 8:30MILThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q3 - 8:31MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup58
35.9%
63
64.1%
Q3 - 8:50ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)58
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q3 - 9:04ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)55
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 9:24MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)54
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 9:44ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
30.6%
60
69.4%
Q3 - 10:00ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
27.6%
60
72.4%
Q3 - 10:02MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
27.6%
60
72.4%
Q3 - 10:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 10:22ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot52
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q3 - 10:38MILThomas 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)52
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 10:51ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
31.3%
58
68.7%
Q3 - 11:20MILSalmons Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
29.2%
58
70.8%
Q3 - 11:31ATLHorford Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T9)50
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 11:45MILSalmons Layup (8 PTS)50
35.3%
56
64.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
38.4%
54
61.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound50
38.4%
54
61.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bell 44' 3PT Jump Shot50
40.8%
54
59.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
39.6%
54
60.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
39.2%
54
60.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILJennings Layup (15 PTS)48
35.7%
54
64.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLJennings STEAL (1 STL)48
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILSalmons 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
42.1%
52
57.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILJennings Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)48
48.7%
50
51.3%
Q2 - 1:03MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q2 - 1:04ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot48
47.2%
50
52.8%
Q2 - 1:19MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q2 - 1:19MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q2 - 1:19MILBUCKS Rebound48
53.1%
48
46.9%
Q2 - 1:19MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup48
54.7%
48
45.3%
Q2 - 1:38ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)48
53.1%
48
46.9%
Q2 - 1:53MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q2 - 1:53MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
43.2%
48
56.8%
Q2 - 1:54MILMISS Jennings Layup45
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q2 - 2:09ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 2:22MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)43
39.9%
48
60.1%
Q2 - 2:43ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
46.1%
45
53.9%
Q2 - 2:57MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 2:57MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 3:07ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)41
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 3:29MILSalmons 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 3:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
43.1%
41
56.9%
Q2 - 3:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 3:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
40.6%
41
59.4%
Q2 - 3:55MILMISS Ilyasova Layup36
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 4:10ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 4:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
35.0%
41
65.0%
Q2 - 4:27MILMISS Delfino 17' Fadeaway Jumper34
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 4:48ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 4:48ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 233
31.7%
41
68.3%
Q2 - 5:03MILIlyasova Layup (6 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)33
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 5:21MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
35.5%
39
64.5%
Q2 - 5:22ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot33
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 5:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
38.2%
39
61.8%
Q2 - 5:35MILMISS Jennings Layup33
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 5:58ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)33
35.5%
39
64.5%
Q2 - 6:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 6:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 6:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 6:23ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot33
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 6:24ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot33
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 6:36MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)33
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 6:46ATLEvans 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 7:13MILJennings Layup (8 PTS)31
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 7:18ATLGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)31
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 7:37MILJennings Layup (6 PTS)31
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 7:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
50.1%
32
49.9%
Q2 - 7:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 8:06MILGadzuric Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T6)29
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 8:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
44.8%
32
55.2%
Q2 - 8:23MILMISS Ilyasova 22' Jump Shot29
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q2 - 8:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
44.8%
32
55.2%
Q2 - 8:34ATLGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)29
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 8:34MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 8:36MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
44.8%
32
55.2%
Q2 - 8:41ATLMISS Smith Layup29
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 9:02MILJennings 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)29
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 9:24ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)29
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q2 - 9:37MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
47.5%
30
52.5%
Q2 - 9:37MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 9:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot27
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q2 - 9:55MILRidnour Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
52.9%
28
47.1%
Q2 - 10:26ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q2 - 10:30ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
52.9%
28
47.1%
Q2 - 10:31MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot27
52.0%
28
48.0%
Q2 - 10:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot27
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q2 - 11:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
52.7%
28
47.3%
Q2 - 11:04MILMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q2 - 11:24ATLSmith 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
50.1%
28
49.9%
Q2 - 11:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 11:47MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot25
46.8%
28
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
44.9%
26
55.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
42.4%
26
57.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot21
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
42.4%
26
57.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 1:25MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)19
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 1:45ATLSmith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
50.5%
20
49.5%
Q1 - 1:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot17
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q1 - 2:20MILDelfino Running Dunk (10 PTS)17
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 2:45ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 3:00MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 3:10MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 3:11ATLMISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot17
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:27MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q1 - 3:37ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)17
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 3:37ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q1 - 3:37ATLSalmons BLOCK (1 BLK)17
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 4:02MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)17
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 4:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 4:17ATLHorford Tip Shot (6 PTS)17
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 4:19ATLMISS Smith Layup15
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 4:46MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)15
57.3%
14
42.7%
Q1 - 5:04ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)15
60.9%
11
39.1%
Q1 - 5:30MILJennings Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
56.9%
11
43.1%
Q1 - 5:42MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 5:43ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot12
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 6:06MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)12
60.9%
9
39.1%
Q1 - 6:22MILBUCKS Rebound12
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 6:23ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot12
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 6:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
66.8%
6
33.2%
Q1 - 6:37MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 6:37MILMISS Mbah a Moute Tip Shot12
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 6:39MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot12
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 7:01ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)12
64.6%
6
35.4%
Q1 - 7:29MILDelfino Layup (2 PTS)10
62.8%
6
37.2%
Q1 - 7:53ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)10
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 7:56MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 8:07MILBUCKS Rebound8
60.9%
4
39.1%
Q1 - 8:08ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot8
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 8:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 8:39ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
60.9%
4
39.1%
Q1 - 9:03MILSalmons Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:19ATLHorford 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 9:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Johnson Layup3
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 9:34MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 9:39MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
55.2%
2
44.8%
Q1 - 9:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute 13' Jump Shot3
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 9:54ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
55.2%
2
44.8%
Q1 - 10:16MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)0
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 10:28MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 10:29ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:46MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 10:52ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 11:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:08MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 11:30MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:32ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:38ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Thomas vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
54.8%
0
45.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.3%
MIL
1.29 64.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
10
21
48%
MIL
18
28
64%
Midrange
ATL
18
40
45%
MIL
13
23
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
MIL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
ATL
18
21
86%
MIL
28
32
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2958%14.5 / 25
J. Crawford2166%10.5 / 16
J. Smith2071%10.0 / 14
M. Bibby1568%7.5 / 11
A. Horford857%4.0 / 7
M. Evans536%2.5 / 7
M. Williams440%2.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2364%11.5 / 18
J. Salmons2279%11.0 / 14
C. Delfino2279%11.0 / 14
E. Ilyasova1169%5.5 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute1042%5.0 / 12
K. Thomas975%4.5 / 6
D. Gadzuric7117%3.5 / 3
L. Ridnour542%2.5 / 6
J. Stackhouse250%1.0 / 2
C. Bell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+14
-10
91
MIL
73
+11
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.3%
MIL
1.29 64.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
104.1
ATL 119.5
MIL 126.1 +6.6
Pace
85.1
86.5
ATL 88.5 +1.9
MIL 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
15.8
ATL 16.3 +0.4
MIL 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.3%
46.5%
ATL 53.8%
MIL 60.1% +6.3%
TO %
12.2%
13.1%
ATL 11.9% +3.4%
MIL 15.3%
ORB %
29.8%
27.9%
ATL 32.4% +4.8%
MIL 27.6%
FTrt
27.6
25.0
ATL 26.3
MIL 46.4 +20.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
48.4%
48.3%
ATL 36.8%
MIL 44.7% +7.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.4%
ATL 5.7% +3.4%
MIL 2.3%
BLK %
9.6%
5.0%
ATL 3.9%
MIL 4.9% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.4%
48.9%
ATL 55.3%
MIL 64.5% +9.2%
Rim FG%
53.0%
53.6%
ATL 47.6%
MIL 64.3% +16.7%
Mid FG%
38.2%
39.2%
ATL 45.0%
MIL 56.5% +11.5%
3P %
33.3%
30.9%
ATL 52.6% +13.7%
MIL 38.9%
FT %
78.5%
80.6%
ATL 85.7%
MIL 87.5% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
37.5%
ATL 26.3%
MIL 40.6% +14.3%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
35.7%
ATL 50.0%
MIL 33.3% +16.7%
3P Att. %
17.1%
26.8%
ATL 23.8%
MIL 26.1% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points104111
Rebounds3333
Assists1417
Steals52
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals38-8038-69
At-the-Rim FG10-2118-28
Midrange FG18-4013-23
2-Point FG28-6131-51
3-Point FG10-197-18
Free Throws18-2128-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
46.5
29
58%
4
9
0
0
1
1
1
3
6-7
86%
10-19
53%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
40.0
20
71%
9
1
2
1
2
3
2
7
5-6
83%
6-10
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
30.9
8
57%
8
1
0
0
2
6
4
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
29.5
15
68%
3
2
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
5-7
71%
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
19.8
4
40%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
35.5
21
66%
0
1
0
0
1
6
0
0
7-8
88%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
18.9
2
20%
2
0
0
1
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
17.5
5
36%
1
0
2
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
#33 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
33
14
5
2
10
0
12
21
18-21
86%
28-61
46%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.