Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	14	Bobcats	25%	87	77
	2	Magic	75%	96	92

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	92.8	83	81.1
ORL	112.2	82	84.2

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-19

ORL

+13

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

ORL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	ORL
Q4 - 0:00.0	ORL		77 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	ORL	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	77 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:05.0	CHA	MISS Graham 16' Jump Shot	77 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	ORL	Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)	77 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:43.0	CHA	Brown Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	77 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	75 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0	ORL	MISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2	75 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0	ORL	Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	75 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 1:12	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	75 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:14	CHA	MISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot	75 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:34	ORL	Nelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	75 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:36	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	75 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 1:38	CHA	Howard BLOCK (2 BLK)	75 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 1:56	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	75 0.6%	85 99.4%
Q4 - 1:57	ORL	MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	75 0.5%	85 99.5%
Q4 - 2:11	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)	75 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 2:12	ORL	MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	75 0.5%	85 99.5%
Q4 - 2:27	CHA	Lewis STEAL (2 STL)	75 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 2:52	ORL	Carter 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	75 0.9%	85 99.1%
Q4 - 3:16	CHA	Wallace Layup (15 PTS)	75 1.2%	83 98.8%
Q4 - 3:30	ORL	Lewis Foul Turnover (P1.T14)	73 0.9%	83 99.1%
Q4 - 3:55	CHA	Mohammed 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	73 1.1%	83 98.9%
Q4 - 4:13	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	71 0.7%	83 99.3%
Q4 - 4:15	ORL	MISS Barnes Layup	71 0.6%	83 99.4%
Q4 - 4:29	ORL	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	71 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 4:30	CHA	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	71 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 4:54	ORL	Barnes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)	71 0.7%	83 99.3%
Q4 - 5:13	CHA	Carter STEAL (2 STL)	71 0.9%	83 99.1%
Q4 - 5:27	ORL	Howard Foul Turnover (P6.T12)	71 1.2%	83 98.8%
Q4 - 5:40	CHA	Mohammed Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	71 0.8%	83 99.2%
Q4 - 5:56	ORL	Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	69 0.6%	83 99.4%
Q4 - 6:18	CHA	Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)	69 0.7%	83 99.3%
Q4 - 6:34	ORL	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	66 0.3%	83 99.7%
Q4 - 6:34	ORL	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	66 0.4%	83 99.6%
Q4 - 6:51	CHA	Jackson 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	66 0.5%	81 99.5%
Q4 - 7:04	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	64 0.5%	81 99.5%
Q4 - 7:05	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2	64 0.5%	81 99.5%
Q4 - 7:05	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2	64 0.4%	81 99.6%
Q4 - 7:23	CHA	Jackson Driving Slam Dunk (22 PTS)	64 0.4%	81 99.6%
Q4 - 7:37	ORL	Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	62 0.3%	81 99.7%
Q4 - 8:04	CHA	Thomas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	62 0.7%	78 99.3%
Q4 - 8:22	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	60 0.6%	78 99.4%
Q4 - 8:23	CHA	MISS Augustin 21' Jump Shot	60 0.5%	78 99.5%
Q4 - 8:50	ORL	Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	60 0.5%	78 99.5%
Q4 - 9:20	CHA	Chandler Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	60 1.2%	75 98.8%
Q4 - 9:31	CHA	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 9:32	ORL	MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot	58 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 9:43	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)	58 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q4 - 9:45	ORL	MISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 10:00	CHA	Jackson Foul Turnover (P5.T19)	58 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q4 - 10:15	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	58 1.1%	75 98.9%
Q4 - 10:16	CHA	MISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	58 1.0%	75 99.0%
Q4 - 10:28	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	58 1.1%	75 98.9%
Q4 - 10:29	ORL	MISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot	58 1.1%	75 98.9%
Q4 - 10:48	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	58 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 10:48	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	57 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 11:02	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 1.1%	75 98.9%
Q4 - 11:03	ORL	MISS Carter 17' Jump Shot	57 1.0%	75 99.0%
Q4 - 11:22	CHA	Jackson 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (20 PTS)	57 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 11:39	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q4 - 11:40	ORL	MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot	55 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA		55 0.6%	75 99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	55 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot	55 0.8%	75 99.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55 0.8%	75 99.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0	CHA	MISS Jackson 20' Fadeaway Jumper	55 0.7%	75 99.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0	ORL	Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	55 0.8%	75 99.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0	CHA	Mohammed 9' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)	55 1.3%	72 98.7%
Q3 - 1:23	ORL	Barnes Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)	53 1.1%	72 98.9%
Q3 - 1:28	CHA	Lewis STEAL (1 STL)	53 1.4%	70 98.6%
Q3 - 1:41	ORL	Lewis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)	53 1.7%	70 98.3%
Q3 - 2:01	CHA	Jackson Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)	53 2.7%	67 97.3%
Q3 - 2:20	ORL	Carter Driving Layup (15 PTS)	51 2.3%	67 97.7%
Q3 - 2:42	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	51 2.7%	65 97.3%
Q3 - 2:42	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	50 2.6%	65 97.4%
Q3 - 3:02	ORL	Lewis 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)	49 2.5%	65 97.5%
Q3 - 3:07	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	49 3.5%	62 96.5%
Q3 - 3:08	ORL	MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	49 3.9%	62 96.1%
Q3 - 3:24	CHA	Jackson 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)	49 3.5%	62 96.5%
Q3 - 3:40	ORL	Carter Layup (13 PTS)	47 2.9%	62 97.1%
Q3 - 4:04	CHA	Felton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)	47 3.7%	60 96.3%
Q3 - 4:17	ORL	Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	45 3.2%	60 96.8%
Q3 - 4:17	ORL	Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	45 3.3%	59 96.7%
Q3 - 4:34	ORL	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 3.6%	58 96.4%
Q3 - 4:35	CHA	MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	45 3.9%	58 96.1%
Q3 - 4:59	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	45 4.4%	58 95.6%
Q3 - 5:01	ORL	MISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 1	45 4.5%	58 95.5%
Q3 - 5:12	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 5.3%	56 94.7%
Q3 - 5:13	CHA	MISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot	45 5.6%	56 94.4%
Q3 - 5:35	ORL	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	45 6.4%	56 93.6%
Q3 - 5:35	ORL	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	45 6.5%	55 93.5%
Q3 - 5:48	CHA	Wallace Driving Layup (10 PTS)	45 7.3%	54 92.7%
Q3 - 6:02	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	43 6.6%	54 93.4%
Q3 - 6:02	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	43 6.6%	54 93.4%
Q3 - 6:02	CHA	MISS Chandler Tip Shot	43 5.9%	54 94.1%
Q3 - 6:02	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	43 5.9%	54 94.1%
Q3 - 6:11	CHA	MISS Jackson Free Throw Technical	43 6.6%	54 93.4%
Q3 - 6:14	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 6.6%	54 93.4%
Q3 - 6:15	ORL	MISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot	43 6.3%	54 93.7%
Q3 - 6:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	43 5.6%	54 94.4%
Q3 - 6:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	42 5.4%	54 94.6%
Q3 - 6:38	ORL	Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 4.9%	54 95.1%
Q3 - 6:38	ORL	Nelson Tip Shot (6 PTS)	41 4.9%	54 95.1%
Q3 - 6:40	ORL	MISS Lewis Layup	41 6.3%	52 93.7%
Q3 - 6:45	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 5.6%	52 94.4%
Q3 - 6:46	CHA	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	41 5.8%	52 94.2%
Q3 - 7:01	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 6.9%	52 93.1%
Q3 - 7:02	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	41 5.9%	52 94.1%
Q3 - 7:02	ORL	MISS Howard Tip Shot	41 6.6%	52 93.4%
Q3 - 7:04	ORL	MISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot	41 6.6%	52 93.4%
Q3 - 7:19	CHA	Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	41 5.9%	52 94.1%
Q3 - 7:34	ORL	Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	38 4.4%	52 95.6%
Q3 - 7:34	ORL	Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	38 4.5%	51 95.5%
Q3 - 7:35	CHA	Nelson STEAL (3 STL)	38 5.1%	50 94.9%
Q3 - 7:37	ORL	Howard Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)	38 5.9%	50 94.1%
Q3 - 7:45	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)	38 6.8%	48 93.2%
Q3 - 8:14	ORL	Howard Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)	38 8.0%	48 92.0%
Q3 - 8:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	38 9.1%	46 90.9%
Q3 - 8:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	37 8.9%	46 91.1%
Q3 - 8:53	ORL	Howard Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)	36 8.0%	46 92.0%
Q3 - 9:16	CHA	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	36 9.3%	44 90.7%
Q3 - 9:23	ORL	Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)	33 7.1%	44 92.9%
Q3 - 9:36	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	33 6.1%	44 93.9%
Q3 - 9:37	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	33 6.4%	44 93.6%
Q3 - 9:53	ORL	Howard Reverse Layup (9 PTS)	33 7.1%	44 92.9%
Q3 - 10:08	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	33 8.3%	42 91.7%
Q3 - 10:09	CHA	MISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot	33 8.6%	42 91.4%
Q3 - 10:12	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	33 9.4%	42 90.6%
Q3 - 10:13	CHA	MISS Ratliff 11' Jump Shot	33 8.6%	42 91.4%
Q3 - 10:25	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	33 9.4%	42 90.6%
Q3 - 10:26	ORL	MISS Lewis Layup	33 9.1%	42 90.9%
Q3 - 10:33	CHA	Nelson STEAL (2 STL)	33 8.3%	42 91.7%
Q3 - 10:56	CHA	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 9.4%	42 90.6%
Q3 - 10:58	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2	33 9.3%	42 90.7%
Q3 - 10:58	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	33 8.7%	42 91.3%
Q3 - 11:12	CHA	Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	33 9.5%	41 90.5%
Q3 - 11:26	ORL	Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)	30 7.4%	41 92.6%
Q3 - 11:45	ORL	Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 6.5%	41 93.5%
Q3 - 11:47	CHA	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	30 6.8%	41 93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ORL		30 7.4%	41 92.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0	CHA	Chandler Foul Turnover (P1.T14)	30 6.9%	41 93.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0	ORL	Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)	30 7.6%	41 92.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0	CHA	Nelson STEAL (1 STL)	30 10.0%	38 90.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0	ORL	Anderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	30 11.0%	38 89.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0	ORL	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	30 10.0%	38 90.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0	ORL	MISS Anderson Layup	30 10.7%	38 89.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0	ORL	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 10.0%	38 90.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0	CHA	MISS Graham 7' Jump Shot	30 10.3%	38 89.7%
Q2 - 1:07	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 11.0%	38 89.0%
Q2 - 1:07	ORL	MISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot	30 10.8%	38 89.2%
Q2 - 1:20	ORL	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	30 10.1%	38 89.9%
Q2 - 1:22	CHA	MISS Graham 18' Jump Shot	30 10.4%	38 89.6%
Q2 - 1:39	ORL	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	30 11.0%	38 89.0%
Q2 - 1:39	ORL	MISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 2	30 11.3%	37 88.7%
Q2 - 1:57	CHA	Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)	30 11.4%	37 88.6%
Q2 - 2:11	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	27 9.0%	37 91.0%
Q2 - 2:11	CHA	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 1	27 8.0%	37 92.0%
Q2 - 2:17	ORL	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	25 7.1%	37 92.9%
Q2 - 2:17	ORL	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	25 7.2%	36 92.8%
Q2 - 2:34	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	25 7.9%	35 92.1%
Q2 - 2:34	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	24 7.7%	35 92.3%
Q2 - 2:49	ORL	Lewis Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)	24 7.9%	35 92.1%
Q2 - 3:10	CHA	Felton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	24 8.9%	33 91.1%
Q2 - 3:34	ORL	Carter 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	22 8.1%	33 91.9%
Q2 - 3:53	CHA	Augustin 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	22 8.9%	31 91.1%
Q2 - 4:13	ORL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	19 7.3%	31 92.7%
Q2 - 4:13	ORL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 7.4%	30 92.6%
Q2 - 4:20	CHA	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	19 8.1%	29 91.9%
Q2 - 4:20	CHA	MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2	18 7.9%	29 92.1%
Q2 - 4:34	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	18 8.2%	29 91.8%
Q2 - 4:34	ORL	MISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot	18 7.9%	29 92.1%
Q2 - 4:48	CHA	Thomas Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	18 7.2%	29 92.8%
Q2 - 5:04	ORL	Redick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	18 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q2 - 5:21	CHA	Hughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	18 7.4%	29 92.6%
Q2 - 5:34	ORL	MISS Redick Free Throw Technical	18 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q2 - 5:34	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	18 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q2 - 5:35	ORL	MISS Gortat Driving Dunk	18 8.0%	29 92.0%
Q2 - 5:46	ORL	Redick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 7.4%	29 92.6%
Q2 - 5:47	CHA	MISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot	18 7.7%	29 92.3%
Q2 - 6:02	CHA	Hughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 8.7%	29 91.3%
Q2 - 6:03	ORL	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q2 - 6:11	ORL	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 7.6%	29 92.4%
Q2 - 6:12	CHA	MISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot	18 7.9%	29 92.1%
Q2 - 6:20	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 8.6%	29 91.4%
Q2 - 6:22	CHA	MISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 7.9%	29 92.1%
Q2 - 6:32	ORL	Redick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	18 8.6%	29 91.4%
Q2 - 6:32	ORL	Redick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 8.7%	28 91.3%
Q2 - 6:44	ORL	Pietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 9.4%	27 90.6%
Q2 - 6:46	CHA	MISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot	18 9.8%	27 90.2%
Q2 - 7:02	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 10.6%	27 89.4%
Q2 - 7:03	ORL	MISS Pietrus 17' Jump Shot	18 10.2%	27 89.8%
Q2 - 7:22	CHA	Diaw Foul Turnover (P3.T10)	18 9.5%	27 90.5%
Q2 - 7:36	CHA	Hughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 10.6%	27 89.4%
Q2 - 7:37	ORL	MISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 10.3%	27 89.7%
Q2 - 7:52	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	18 9.5%	27 90.5%
Q2 - 8:21	ORL	Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	18 10.8%	27 89.2%
Q2 - 8:32	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	18 13.0%	24 87.0%
Q2 - 8:34	CHA	Gortat BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 13.4%	24 86.6%
Q2 - 8:51	ORL	Gortat Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)	18 14.3%	24 85.7%
Q2 - 9:10	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	18 15.6%	22 84.4%
Q2 - 9:10	CHA	MISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot	18 16.0%	22 84.0%
Q2 - 9:25	CHA	Hughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 17.1%	22 82.9%
Q2 - 9:26	ORL	MISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot	18 16.6%	22 83.4%
Q2 - 9:42	CHA	Chandler Dunk (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)	18 15.6%	22 84.4%
Q2 - 9:52	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	16 14.3%	22 85.7%
Q2 - 9:53	ORL	MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	16 13.9%	22 86.1%
Q2 - 10:10	ORL	MAGIC Rebound	16 13.2%	22 86.8%
Q2 - 10:10	ORL	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 14.1%	22 85.9%
Q2 - 10:27	ORL	MAGIC Rebound	16 13.2%	22 86.8%
Q2 - 10:28	ORL	MISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot	16 14.1%	22 85.9%
Q2 - 10:33	ORL	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 13.1%	22 86.9%
Q2 - 10:36	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2	16 14.3%	22 85.7%
Q2 - 10:36	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	16 13.7%	22 86.3%
Q2 - 10:57	CHA	Diaw Dunk (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	16 14.4%	21 85.6%
Q2 - 11:01	CHA	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 13.4%	21 86.6%
Q2 - 11:03	ORL	MISS Pietrus Layup	14 13.0%	21 87.0%
Q2 - 11:08	CHA	Barnes STEAL (1 STL)	14 12.2%	21 87.8%
Q2 - 11:33	ORL	Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	14 13.4%	21 86.6%
Q2 - 11:40	CHA	Pietrus STEAL (1 STL)	14 15.9%	18 84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA		14 17.4%	18 82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	14 17.4%	18 82.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 8' Hook Shot	14 16.4%	18 83.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	14 17.1%	18 82.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2	14 17.6%	17 82.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 17.4%	17 82.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot	14 17.8%	17 82.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0	ORL	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 18.6%	17 81.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0	ORL	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	14 18.8%	16 81.2%
Q1 - 1:03	CHA	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	14 20.5%	15 79.5%
Q1 - 1:05	CHA	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 17.1%	15 82.9%
Q1 - 1:08	ORL	MISS Howard 6' Jump Shot	11 16.8%	15 83.2%
Q1 - 1:32	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 16.2%	15 83.8%
Q1 - 1:32	CHA	Mohammed Tip Shot (4 PTS)	11 16.2%	15 83.8%
Q1 - 1:33	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	9 14.0%	15 86.0%
Q1 - 1:48	ORL	Barnes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	9 14.6%	15 85.4%
Q1 - 2:03	CHA	Mohammed 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)	9 13.9%	15 86.1%
Q1 - 2:21	ORL	Lewis 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	7 12.6%	15 87.4%
Q1 - 2:38	CHA	Jackson Driving Layup (7 PTS)	7 13.9%	13 86.1%
Q1 - 2:43	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	5 12.6%	13 87.4%
Q1 - 2:46	CHA	MISS Mohammed 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	5 12.0%	13 88.0%
Q1 - 3:05	ORL	Howard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T5)	5 12.7%	13 87.3%
Q1 - 3:06	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	5 11.7%	13 88.3%
Q1 - 3:08	ORL	MISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot	5 12.3%	13 87.7%
Q1 - 3:35	CHA	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	5 11.7%	13 88.3%
Q1 - 3:35	CHA	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	4 11.5%	13 88.5%
Q1 - 3:51	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 10.8%	13 89.2%
Q1 - 3:52	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2	3 10.6%	13 89.4%
Q1 - 3:52	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2	3 10.2%	13 89.8%
Q1 - 3:52	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	3 9.9%	13 90.1%
Q1 - 3:53	ORL	MISS Carter Layup	3 10.5%	13 89.5%
Q1 - 3:58	CHA	Carter STEAL (1 STL)	3 9.9%	13 90.1%
Q1 - 4:12	ORL	Howard Foul Turnover (P2.T4)	3 10.8%	13 89.2%
Q1 - 4:16	ORL	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 9.9%	13 90.1%
Q1 - 4:17	CHA	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	3 10.2%	13 89.8%
Q1 - 4:24	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	3 10.8%	13 89.2%
Q1 - 4:25	CHA	MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot	3 10.2%	13 89.8%
Q1 - 4:42	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	3 10.8%	13 89.2%
Q1 - 4:42	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	3 10.8%	13 89.2%
Q1 - 4:42	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	3 11.1%	12 88.9%
Q1 - 4:44	ORL	MISS Howard Tip Shot	3 12.3%	11 87.7%
Q1 - 4:44	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	3 11.7%	11 88.3%
Q1 - 4:46	ORL	MISS Howard Layup	3 12.3%	11 87.7%
Q1 - 5:05	CHA	Diaw Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)	3 11.9%	11 88.1%
Q1 - 5:19	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 13.0%	11 87.0%
Q1 - 5:20	ORL	MISS Nelson 7' Running Jump Shot	3 12.6%	11 87.4%
Q1 - 5:42	CHA	Ratliff Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	3 11.9%	11 88.1%
Q1 - 5:55	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 12.9%	11 87.1%
Q1 - 5:56	ORL	MISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot	3 12.6%	11 87.4%
Q1 - 6:14	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	3 11.9%	11 88.1%
Q1 - 6:15	CHA	MISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot	3 12.2%	11 87.8%
Q1 - 6:35	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 12.8%	11 87.2%
Q1 - 6:36	ORL	MISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	3 12.5%	11 87.5%
Q1 - 6:56	CHA	Wallace Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)	3 11.9%	11 88.1%
Q1 - 7:17	ORL	Nelson Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)	3 12.8%	11 87.2%
Q1 - 7:27	ORL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 13.7%	9 86.3%
Q1 - 7:28	CHA	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	3 14.0%	9 86.0%
Q1 - 7:52	ORL	Barnes Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)	3 14.7%	9 85.3%
Q1 - 7:57	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 15.7%	7 84.3%
Q1 - 7:58	CHA	MISS Ratliff 18' Jump Shot	3 16.1%	7 83.9%
Q1 - 8:09	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 16.7%	7 83.3%
Q1 - 8:10	ORL	MISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	3 16.4%	7 83.6%
Q1 - 8:39	ORL	Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 15.6%	7 84.4%
Q1 - 8:41	CHA	Howard BLOCK (1 BLK)	3 16.0%	7 84.0%
Q1 - 8:55	ORL	Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	3 16.7%	7 83.3%
Q1 - 9:05	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 15.8%	7 84.2%
Q1 - 9:06	CHA	MISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot	3 16.1%	7 83.9%
Q1 - 9:32	ORL	Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)	3 16.8%	7 83.2%
Q1 - 9:53	CHA	Jackson 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	3 19.2%	4 80.8%
Q1 - 10:07	CHA	Jackson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	1 18.1%	4 81.9%
Q1 - 10:21	ORL	Howard 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	0 17.0%	4 83.0%
Q1 - 10:33	ORL	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 18.0%	2 82.0%
Q1 - 10:35	CHA	MISS Ratliff 16' Jump Shot	0 18.3%	2 81.7%
Q1 - 10:52	ORL	Barnes Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	0 19.2%	2 80.8%
Q1 - 11:07	CHA	Howard STEAL (2 STL)	0 20.0%	0 80.0%
Q1 - 11:24	ORL	Barnes Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	0 21.1%	0 78.9%
Q1 - 11:28	CHA	Howard STEAL (1 STL)	0 20.0%	0 80.0%
Q1 - 11:45	ORL	Nelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 21.1%	0 78.9%
Q1 - 12:00	ORL	Jump Ball Howard vs. Ratliff: Tip to Nelson	0 20.0%	0 80.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

ORL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

65%

ORL

62%

Midrange

CHA

31%

ORL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

9.0

43%

64%

ORL

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

CHA

72%

ORL

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Jackson	27	61%	13.5 / 22
G. Wallace	15	63%	7.5 / 12
N. Mohammed	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Augustin	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Chandler	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Diaw	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Felton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Thomas	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Brown	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Ratliff	0	-	0.0 / 3
L. Hughes	0	-	0.0 / 3
S. Graham	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Carter	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Howard	15	47%	7.5 / 16
R. Lewis	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Nelson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Barnes	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Pietrus	9	75%	4.5 / 6
R. Anderson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Gortat	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Redick	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-19

ORL

+13

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

ORL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.1 110.9	CHA 92.8 +19.4 ORL 112.2
Pace	83.8 86.5	CHA 81.1 ORL 84.2 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16.8 16.8	CHA 17.8 ORL 17.1 +0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.7% 53.3%	CHA 48.5% ORL 53.1% +4.6%
TO %	17.0% 15.0%	CHA 22.1% ORL 15.0% +7.1%
ORB %	23.5% 24.7%	CHA 30.6% ORL 30.6%
FTrt	36.2 42.6	CHA 27.3 ORL 54.7 +27.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	64.8% 51.4%	CHA 62.1% +3.5% ORL 58.6%
STL %	6.5% 7.4%	CHA 8.4% ORL 13.4% +5.0%
BLK %	11.6% 9.3%	CHA 16.2% +10.4% ORL 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.9% 55.3%	CHA 50.0% ORL 56.1% +6.1%
Rim FG%	56.1% 59.0%	CHA 65.0% +3.5% ORL 61.5%
Mid FG%	43.0% 44.9%	CHA 31.3% +4.0% ORL 27.3%
3P %	27.9% 36.6%	CHA 42.9% +5.9% ORL 37.0%
FT %	71.6% 70.1%	CHA 72.2% +3.6% ORL 68.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.9% 32.5%	CHA 30.3% ORL 40.6% +10.3%
Mid Att. %	37.9% 29.5%	CHA 48.5% ORL 17.2% +31.3%
3P Att. %	24.1% 38.0%	CHA 21.2% ORL 42.2% +21.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.48 and 2.48.

Game Totals	CHA	ORL
Possessions	83	82
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	77	92
Rebounds	36	36
Assists	18	17
Steals	7	11
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	25 (0)
Field Goals	29-66	29-64
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	16-26
Midrange FG	10-32	3-11
2-Point FG	23-52	19-37
3-Point FG	6-14	10-27
Free Throws	13-18	24-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson G · 6'8" 220 · 32	41.7	27	61%	3	3	1	0	7	5	0	3	5-7	71%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 28	39.3	5	42%	7	4	0	0	5	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 28	38.7	15	63%	6	1	1	4	1	4	1	5	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 26	31.6	4	33%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Theo Ratliff C · 6'10" 235 · 37	12.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 22	22.7	6	100%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 33	16.0	10	83%	3	0	1	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 24	13.8	2	25%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.4	6	75%	2	0	0	1	1	6	1	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Larry Hughes G · 6'5" 185 · 31	5.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28	3.6	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 23	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeSagana Diop #7 · C · 7'0" 280 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alexis Ajinca #21 · C · 7'2" 248 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gerald Henderson #15 · G · 6'5" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	77	50%	36	18	7	6	19	0	11	25	13-18	72%	23-52	44%	6-14	43%

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14 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson G · 6'8" 220 · 32	41.7	27	61%	3	3	1	0	7	5	0	3	5-7	71%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 28	39.3	5	42%	7	4	0	0	5	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 28	38.7	15	63%	6	1	1	4	1	4	1	5	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 26	31.6	4	33%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Theo Ratliff C · 6'10" 235 · 37	12.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 22	22.7	6	100%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 33	16.0	10	83%	3	0	1	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 24	13.8	2	25%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.4	6	75%	2	0	0	1	1	6	1	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Larry Hughes G · 6'5" 185 · 31	5.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28	3.6	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 23	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeSagana Diop #7 · C · 7'0" 280 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alexis Ajinca #21 · C · 7'2" 248 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gerald Henderson #15 · G · 6'5" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	77	50%	36	18	7	6	19	0	11	25	13-18	72%	23-52	44%	6-14	43%

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2 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Carter G · 6'6" 220 · 33	39.1	19	63%	5	3	2	0	1	2	0	5	9-11	82%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 31	38.6	13	54%	7	1	2	0	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 28	33.1	13	50%	2	5	3	0	1	2	1	1	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 30	32.0	11	79%	6	4	1	0	3	1	1	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 24	28.5	15	47%	9	2	2	2	6	5	7	2	5-12	42%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 26	19.5	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 34	14.9	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26	13.3	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 28	11.8	9	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Ryan Anderson F · 6'10" 240 · 22	9.3	6	75%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 25
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 36
Adonal Foyle #31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	56%	36	17	11	3	14	0	11	25	24-35	69%	19-37	51%	10-27	37%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg

BOXSCORE