FinalWin Prob.pScore
436%87
99
564%92
110
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
112.58893.0
SAS logo SAS
122.29085.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS99
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHPargo Layup (2 PTS)99
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHEly 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16NOHUdoka STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20NOHDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:55NOHMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:05SASParker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (31 PTS)95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:30NOHPaul 1' Reverse Layup (35 PTS)95
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:42SASParker 2' Layup (29 PTS)93
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:56SASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup93
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17NOHPaul 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)93
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 3:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot91
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)91
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot91
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:00SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:01NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 291
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:01NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 291
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:05NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:25SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:26NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 291
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:26NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:43SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)90
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot90
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 5:10NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)90
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 5:23NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Parker 1' Layup88
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 5:34NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:35NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)88
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 5:37NOHThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:57SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)88
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 6:11SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 6:12NOHMISS Paul 1' Layup88
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 6:25SASParker 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)88
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 6:42NOHWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)88
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 7:06SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)88
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 7:09SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 7:10SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
10.9%
94
89.1%
Q4 - 7:24SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 7:27NOHDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)88
9.7%
94
90.3%
Q4 - 7:48SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)88
11.8%
94
88.2%
Q4 - 8:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
16.0%
92
84.0%
Q4 - 8:09NOHMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot88
17.0%
92
83.0%
Q4 - 8:27SASParker 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)88
19.7%
92
80.3%
Q4 - 8:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
24.0%
90
76.0%
Q4 - 8:35NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot88
25.5%
90
74.5%
Q4 - 8:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
29.1%
90
70.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot88
27.4%
90
72.6%
Q4 - 8:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
24.0%
90
76.0%
Q4 - 8:57NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot88
25.4%
90
74.6%
Q4 - 9:17NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
29.3%
90
70.7%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
27.8%
90
72.2%
Q4 - 9:35NOHWest 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
24.4%
90
75.6%
Q4 - 9:45SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)86
20.4%
90
79.6%
Q4 - 10:02NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
17.3%
90
82.7%
Q4 - 10:16SASGinobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)84
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 10:32NOHWells 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)84
20.7%
87
79.3%
Q4 - 10:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)82
17.5%
87
82.5%
Q4 - 11:13NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS)82
29.6%
83
70.4%
Q4 - 11:21NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
25.5%
83
74.5%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
24.2%
83
75.8%
Q4 - 11:40NOHWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q4 - 11:40NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS78
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
15.0%
83
85.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot78
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)78
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)78
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)78
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q3 - 1:10NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS)78
29.9%
79
70.1%
Q3 - 1:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
26.1%
79
73.9%
Q3 - 1:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
27.1%
78
72.9%
Q3 - 1:34NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)76
29.9%
77
70.1%
Q3 - 1:47SASParker 1' Layup (23 PTS)73
22.5%
77
77.5%
Q3 - 1:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q3 - 1:58NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot73
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
29.9%
75
70.1%
Q3 - 2:10SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 273
30.9%
74
69.1%
Q3 - 2:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
29.5%
74
70.5%
Q3 - 2:22NOHMISS Ely 3' Jump Hook Shot73
30.8%
74
69.2%
Q3 - 2:36NOHEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
33.9%
74
66.1%
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
33.3%
74
66.7%
Q3 - 2:37SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)73
30.8%
74
69.2%
Q3 - 2:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
33.6%
73
66.4%
Q3 - 2:46NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 273
34.2%
73
65.8%
Q3 - 2:46NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
37.5%
73
62.5%
Q3 - 2:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)72
33.9%
73
66.1%
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 172
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 3:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
37.9%
71
62.1%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot72
41.1%
71
58.9%
Q3 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
37.9%
71
62.1%
Q3 - 3:14NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot72
39.3%
71
60.7%
Q3 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q3 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
43.5%
70
56.5%
Q3 - 3:48SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q3 - 3:50NOHMISS West 9' Turnaround Jump Shot72
48.1%
69
51.9%
Q3 - 4:09SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
50.4%
69
49.6%
Q3 - 4:19NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)72
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q3 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q3 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
42.5%
68
57.5%
Q3 - 4:47NOHChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)70
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 5:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
41.4%
67
58.6%
Q3 - 5:06SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot68
40.1%
67
59.9%
Q3 - 5:26NOHPaul 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)68
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q3 - 5:52SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)66
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q3 - 6:08NOHChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)66
40.5%
64
59.5%
Q3 - 6:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
44.8%
64
55.2%
Q3 - 6:15NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot66
41.8%
64
58.2%
Q3 - 6:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
44.8%
64
55.2%
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Oberto 2' Layup66
43.5%
64
56.5%
Q3 - 6:33SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q3 - 6:34NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 6:49SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
44.8%
64
55.2%
Q3 - 6:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
45.8%
63
54.2%
Q3 - 6:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
48.6%
62
51.4%
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 1' Tip Shot66
49.9%
62
50.1%
Q3 - 6:57NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
52.8%
62
47.2%
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 4' Jump Shot66
49.9%
62
50.1%
Q3 - 7:17SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)66
51.9%
62
48.1%
Q3 - 7:26NOHBowen STEAL (1 STL)66
47.5%
62
52.5%
Q3 - 7:34NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot66
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 7:58NOHPaul 2' Layup (22 PTS)66
47.5%
62
52.5%
Q3 - 8:06SASParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)64
43.9%
62
56.1%
Q3 - 8:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
39.7%
62
60.3%
Q3 - 8:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 8:42SASDuncan 6' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)62
36.7%
62
63.3%
Q3 - 8:59NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
39.7%
60
60.3%
Q3 - 8:59NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
39.2%
60
60.8%
Q3 - 9:15SASParker 1' Layup (16 PTS)60
35.9%
60
64.1%
Q3 - 9:20NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)60
39.2%
58
60.8%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 9:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 9:41NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot60
47.6%
56
52.4%
Q3 - 10:00SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)60
50.3%
56
49.7%
Q3 - 10:11NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
45.5%
56
54.5%
Q3 - 10:11NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 10:27NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q3 - 10:38SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
38.6%
56
61.4%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q3 - 10:59NOHChandler 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)58
38.6%
56
61.4%
Q3 - 11:10SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
35.2%
56
64.8%
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
38.3%
54
61.7%
Q3 - 11:29NOHMISS West 3' Layup56
39.4%
54
60.6%
Q3 - 11:45NOHHornets Rebound56
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q3 - 11:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot56
40.7%
54
59.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH56
38.3%
54
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)56
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHPeterson Backcourt Turnover (P3.T4)56
45.0%
52
55.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)56
47.4%
52
52.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)56
55.0%
49
45.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHHornets Rebound53
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup53
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)53
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASParker 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)50
37.8%
49
62.2%
Q2 - 1:07NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q2 - 1:07NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
41.4%
47
58.6%
Q2 - 1:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 1:11SASMISS Parker Layup48
36.9%
47
63.1%
Q2 - 1:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 1:24NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 248
36.0%
47
64.0%
Q2 - 1:24NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
37.6%
47
62.4%
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
34.4%
47
65.6%
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
34.8%
46
65.2%
Q2 - 1:49NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)47
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 2:11SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)45
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 2:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
40.9%
42
59.1%
Q2 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
42.9%
42
57.1%
Q2 - 2:39NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)45
41.0%
42
59.0%
Q2 - 2:49NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
37.7%
42
62.3%
Q2 - 2:50SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot43
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 3:08NOHStojakovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 3:22NOHHornets Rebound41
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 3:23NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
30.1%
42
69.9%
Q2 - 3:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot41
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 3:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 4:21NOHPaul 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)41
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 4:43NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
26.6%
42
73.4%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup39
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 5:07NOHWright 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)39
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 5:14NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 5:16NOHBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)37
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 5:31SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)37
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 5:50NOHChandler 3' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)37
29.1%
38
70.9%
Q2 - 5:53NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 5:55NOHMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot35
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:13SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)35
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 6:18SASSPURS Rebound35
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Parker 2' Layup35
33.3%
35
66.7%
Q2 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS Ely 8' Jump Shot35
32.2%
35
67.8%
Q2 - 6:50SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)35
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 7:09NOHWells 10' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
36.3%
33
63.7%
Q2 - 7:26NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot33
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 7:41NOHWells 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 7:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Parker 2' Layup31
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:03NOHWright 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 8:10NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q2 - 8:11NOHMISS Pargo 7' Jump Shot29
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 8:27SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)29
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q2 - 8:45NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)29
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 9:03SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)27
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 9:18NOHEly 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 9:19NOHEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 9:21NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot25
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 9:45SASGinobili 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 10:03NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)25
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 10:14NOHHornets Rebound23
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:14NOHMISS Ely 3' Layup23
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 10:14NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:16NOHMISS West 4' Jump Shot23
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 10:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q2 - 10:40NOHMISS Wells 1' Layup23
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot23
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q2 - 10:44NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 11:02SASSPURS Rebound23
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 11:02NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)23
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q2 - 11:21SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)23
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
29.0%
24
71.0%
Q2 - 11:33NOHMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot23
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 11:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Bank Shot23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot23
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHHornets Rebound23
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot23
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q1 - 1:06NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 1:06NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 222
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 1:31SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)22
34.8%
21
65.2%
Q1 - 1:48NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)22
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 2:06NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 2:08NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)20
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 2:18NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot20
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 2:46NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)20
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 2:55NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Oberto 2' Tip Shot18
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 2:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 2:58SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot18
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 3:16NOHMISS Wells 11' Jump Bank Shot18
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 3:29SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 3:43SASSPURS Rebound18
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 3:45NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 4:01SASParker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)18
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 4:18NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)18
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 4:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
38.3%
12
61.7%
Q1 - 4:55NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 5:12SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)16
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 5:18NOHPaul 4' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)16
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 5:31SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)14
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 5:49NOHPaul 3' Layup (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)14
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 5:53SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)12
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 6:04SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 6:06NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot12
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 6:22SASGinobili 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 6:42NOHPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 6:49SASGinobili 3' Layup (2 PTS)12
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 6:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot12
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 7:06NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 7:19SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 7:23SASSPURS Rebound12
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 7:24SASMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot12
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 7:29SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 7:31SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot12
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 7:53NOHPaul 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 8:09SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:09SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
42.6%
3
57.4%
Q1 - 8:22NOHPaul 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 8:33SASParker Layup (2 PTS)8
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 8:38NOHMISS West 9' Fadeaway Jumper8
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 8:59SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)8
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 9:09NOHWest 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 9:20NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 9:22NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot6
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 9:29NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot6
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 9:43NOHPaul 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 9:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup4
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 10:16NOHPeterson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:28NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Duncan 3' Turnaround Bank Shot4
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:39SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:41SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot4
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:56NOHMISS Paul 11' Pullup Jump Shot4
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:18NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:29NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 11:30SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot2
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 11:44NOHWest 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Paul0
31.1%
0
68.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
18
31
58%
SAS
17
32
53%
Midrange
NOH
21
41
51%
SAS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
SAS
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
Free Throws
NOH
15
21
71%
SAS
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul3565%17.5 / 27
D. West2352%11.5 / 22
T. Chandler1286%6.0 / 7
P. Stojakovic844%4.0 / 9
B. Wells638%3.0 / 8
J. Wright660%3.0 / 5
M. Ely440%2.0 / 5
M. Peterson350%1.5 / 3
J. Pargo214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3155%15.5 / 28
M. Ginobili3165%15.5 / 24
T. Duncan1650%8.0 / 16
B. Bowen1255%6.0 / 11
M. Finley1179%5.5 / 7
K. Thomas450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry3150%1.5 / 1
F. Oberto233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
78
+15
-10
93
SAS
80
+15
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
103.3
NOH 112.5
SAS 122.2 +9.7
Pace
86.8
90.1
NOH 93.0 +7.7
SAS 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.5
NOH 15.5 +1.4
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
49.3%
NOH 50.6%
SAS 54.7% +4.1%
TO %
9.4%
13.6%
NOH 9.8%
SAS 9.6% +0.2%
ORB %
24.2%
21.5%
NOH 28.6%
SAS 31.0% +2.4%
FTrt
25.0
26.1
NOH 25.3 +0.6
SAS 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
57.3%
NOH 36.6%
SAS 68.3% +31.7%
STL %
8.3%
5.9%
NOH 4.5% +1.2%
SAS 3.3%
BLK %
9.5%
6.2%
NOH 11.7% +2.0%
SAS 9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.7%
NOH 52.1%
SAS 57.3% +5.2%
Rim FG%
55.2%
58.4%
NOH 58.1% +5.0%
SAS 53.1%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
NOH 51.2% +4.8%
SAS 46.4%
3P %
41.1%
37.5%
NOH 18.2%
SAS 44.0% +25.8%
FT %
77.4%
74.5%
NOH 71.4%
SAS 81.0% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
31.1%
NOH 37.3%
SAS 37.6% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
52.9%
43.8%
NOH 49.4%
SAS 32.9% +16.5%
3P Att. %
17.3%
25.2%
NOH 13.3%
SAS 29.4% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points99110
Rebounds4143
Assists1528
Steals43
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals41-8341-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3117-32
Midrange FG21-4113-28
2-Point FG39-7230-60
3-Point FG2-1111-25
Free Throws15-2117-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.1
23
52%
12
2
2
3
2
2
1
11
3-6
50%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
41.9
35
65%
2
9
1
0
1
3
2
0
5-5
100%
15-23
65%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 26
35.8
12
86%
8
0
0
1
1
4
3
5
2-4
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
35.5
8
44%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
22.7
3
50%
2
0
0
1
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
17.1
6
38%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
15.6
2
14%
2
3
0
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
15.4
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
12.3
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
#1 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
41
15
4
7
10
0
12
29
15-21
71%
39-72
54%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.