FinalWin Prob.pScore
935%91
93
765%97
100
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
105.78896.0
DET logo DET
112.48982.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)93
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)93
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)93
5.8%
96
94.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)93
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
15.1%
95
84.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Lewis Layup93
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMagic Rebound93
16.1%
95
83.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
11.9%
95
88.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
13.2%
95
86.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
21.3%
95
78.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 293
25.5%
94
74.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
20.2%
94
79.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMISS Billups Layup93
29.9%
94
70.1%
Q4 - 1:03ORLHoward Tip Shot (22 PTS)93
20.9%
94
79.1%
Q4 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)91
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Lewis 9' Hook Shot91
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 1:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)91
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 291
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 1:23DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 1:28ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)91
14.1%
93
85.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
23.8%
93
76.2%
Q4 - 1:39DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
20.9%
93
79.1%
Q4 - 1:55ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)91
15.9%
93
84.1%
Q4 - 2:10DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 2:10DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 2:25DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 2:27ORLMISS Lewis 13' Running Jump Shot88
12.1%
91
87.9%
Q4 - 2:39DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)88
18.4%
91
81.6%
Q4 - 2:52DETPISTONS Rebound88
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 2:53DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot88
16.4%
91
83.6%
Q4 - 3:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q4 - 3:20DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
19.2%
91
80.8%
Q4 - 3:20DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
19.9%
90
80.1%
Q4 - 3:25DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
23.1%
89
76.9%
Q4 - 3:27ORLMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)88
26.6%
89
73.4%
Q4 - 3:36ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
34.3%
89
65.7%
Q4 - 3:38DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot88
31.7%
89
68.3%
Q4 - 3:50ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
26.1%
89
73.9%
Q4 - 3:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
23.6%
89
76.4%
Q4 - 3:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)86
19.9%
89
80.1%
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup86
15.9%
89
84.1%
Q4 - 4:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)86
19.8%
89
80.2%
Q4 - 4:03DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Bank Shot86
17.9%
89
82.1%
Q4 - 4:26ORLHamilton STEAL (2 STL)86
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 4:45DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)86
19.6%
89
80.4%
Q4 - 4:45DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
20.2%
88
79.8%
Q4 - 4:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
25.8%
87
74.2%
Q4 - 4:54DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot86
31.6%
87
68.4%
Q4 - 4:59ORLMaxiell STEAL (2 STL)86
25.8%
87
74.2%
Q4 - 5:24DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Maxiell 3 AST)86
33.9%
87
66.1%
Q4 - 5:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
49.7%
84
50.3%
Q4 - 5:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Running Jump Shot86
52.4%
84
47.6%
Q4 - 5:50ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
58.5%
84
41.5%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
52.5%
84
47.5%
Q4 - 6:16DETBillups 13' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
55.8%
84
44.2%
Q4 - 6:29ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
62.2%
82
37.8%
Q4 - 6:29ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
61.0%
82
39.0%
Q4 - 6:56DETWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)84
56.0%
82
44.0%
Q4 - 7:14ORLHoward Putback Dunk (18 PTS)84
59.7%
80
40.3%
Q4 - 7:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)82
53.8%
80
46.2%
Q4 - 7:16ORLMISS Nelson Layup82
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 7:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
53.9%
80
46.1%
Q4 - 7:30DETMISS Hamilton Layup82
51.5%
80
48.5%
Q4 - 7:49ORLLewis Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS)82
46.1%
80
53.9%
Q4 - 8:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
39.3%
80
60.7%
Q4 - 8:04DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot80
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 8:27DETRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q4 - 8:29ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q4 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
39.4%
80
60.6%
Q4 - 8:32ORLMISS Lewis 16' Fadeaway Jumper80
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q4 - 8:42ORLMagic Rebound80
39.4%
80
60.6%
Q4 - 8:43ORLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)80
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q4 - 8:47ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
39.4%
80
60.6%
Q4 - 8:51DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot80
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 9:19ORLLewis 10' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
33.1%
80
66.9%
Q4 - 9:33DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T9)78
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q4 - 9:45DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q4 - 9:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Fadeaway Jumper78
24.8%
80
75.2%
Q4 - 10:03DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)78
28.5%
80
71.5%
Q4 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P4.T15)78
33.0%
78
67.0%
Q4 - 10:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
38.6%
78
61.4%
Q4 - 10:29DETMISS Prince 11' Hook Shot78
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q4 - 10:49ORLHoward Putback Dunk (16 PTS)78
33.0%
78
67.0%
Q4 - 10:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
28.5%
78
71.5%
Q4 - 10:53ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot76
25.1%
78
74.9%
Q4 - 11:14ORLMagic Rebound76
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Ratliff 10' Hook Shot76
27.4%
78
72.6%
Q4 - 11:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q4 - 11:37ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot76
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q4 - 11:45ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Stuckey Layup76
27.4%
78
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETBillups 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)76
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
37.9%
75
62.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
37.2%
75
62.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)74
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLRatliff BLOCK (1 BLK)74
39.4%
73
60.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
42.9%
73
57.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 274
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)74
42.9%
72
57.1%
Q3 - 1:13DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
37.5%
72
62.5%
Q3 - 1:25ORLLewis Layup (14 PTS)72
46.9%
69
53.1%
Q3 - 1:28ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 1:29ORLMISS Howard Layup70
38.9%
69
61.1%
Q3 - 1:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 1:31ORLMISS Lewis 15' Running Jump Shot70
38.9%
69
61.1%
Q3 - 1:51DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)70
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 2:15ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)70
36.5%
69
63.5%
Q3 - 2:33DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q3 - 2:33DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
34.0%
68
66.0%
Q3 - 2:55ORLTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)68
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 3:09ORLMagic Rebound68
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 3:11DETMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot68
39.7%
67
60.3%
Q3 - 3:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 3:20ORLMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)68
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 3:41DETMaxiell 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)68
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 3:59ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)68
45.2%
65
54.8%
Q3 - 4:12DETBillups 15' Pullup Bank Shot (12 PTS)65
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 4:25ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)65
39.9%
63
60.1%
Q3 - 4:30ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
44.8%
63
55.2%
Q3 - 4:32DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot65
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 4:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
39.9%
63
60.1%
Q3 - 4:42DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot65
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 5:02ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)65
39.8%
63
60.2%
Q3 - 5:15DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)62
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 5:16DETPISTONS Rebound62
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 5:16DETMISS Hamilton Layup62
31.2%
63
68.8%
Q3 - 5:43ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)62
28.5%
63
71.5%
Q3 - 5:58DETMaxiell Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)59
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 6:21ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)59
25.3%
61
74.7%
Q3 - 6:32DETMaxiell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)56
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 6:54ORLHoward Tip Shot (12 PTS)56
22.4%
59
77.6%
Q3 - 6:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 6:56ORLMISS Lewis 12' Running Jump Shot54
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 7:15DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)54
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 7:41ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)54
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 8:09DETBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)51
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 8:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 8:21ORLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 251
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 8:21ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 8:22ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot50
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 8:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 8:33DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot50
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 8:55ORLEvans 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)50
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 9:19DETPrince 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)48
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q3 - 9:46ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q3 - 9:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 9:54DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 10:11ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)46
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q3 - 10:29ORLMagic Rebound43
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q3 - 10:30DETMISS Hamilton Layup43
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 10:34ORLPrince STEAL (2 STL)43
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q3 - 10:50DETHamilton Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q3 - 11:13ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)43
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q3 - 11:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q3 - 11:24DETMISS Billups 19' Running Jump Shot40
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q3 - 11:41DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)40
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL40
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound40
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Billups 19' Fadeaway Jumper40
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)40
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Running Jump Shot40
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 239
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 1:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 1:11DETMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Jump Shot39
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 239
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 1:26ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 1:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot38
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q2 - 2:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 2:03ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot38
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 2:12DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 2:31ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 2:31ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q2 - 2:35ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:36ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot36
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:49DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:49DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 3:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:03DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 3:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:20DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot36
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 3:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLMISS Lewis Layup36
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 4:01DETWallace Layup (12 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)36
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 4:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMISS Nelson 10' Jump Shot36
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 4:34DETPrince 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)36
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 4:59ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)36
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 5:14DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)34
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 5:27ORLAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)34
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 5:43DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot34
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 5:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:49DETMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot34
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 6:09ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 6:34DETPrince 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)31
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:49DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:02DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 7:16ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T9)31
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 7:32ORLMagic Rebound31
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 7:33DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot31
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 7:56ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)31
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 8:13DETAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)31
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 8:18DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 8:19ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 8:31DETPrince Driving Dunk (10 PTS)31
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 8:51ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)31
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 9:13DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)31
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 9:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 9:26ORLMISS Foyle Layup31
20.9%
36
79.1%
Q2 - 9:42DETPrince Layup (8 PTS)31
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 9:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 9:45DETMISS Stuckey Layup31
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 9:48ORLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)31
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 10:03DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 10:17ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 10:17ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
23.6%
34
76.4%
Q2 - 10:25DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 10:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q2 - 10:48ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 229
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 10:48ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 229
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 11:00ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 11:02ORLMISS Foyle Layup29
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 11:25DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 11:36DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 11:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound29
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Running Jump Shot29
31.0%
29
69.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)27
29.6%
27
70.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot24
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 1:05ORLTurkoglu 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 1:25DETWallace Layup (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)22
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 1:44ORLNelson Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
24.0%
25
76.0%
Q1 - 1:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 1:49DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 2:12ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 2:26DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)17
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 2:42ORLEvans Driving Dunk (7 PTS)17
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 2:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 2:51DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot15
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:26ORLLewis 15' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 3:39DETPrince Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 4:06ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)13
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 4:26DETPrince Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)11
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 4:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 4:32ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot11
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 4:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 4:45DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)11
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 5:14DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 5:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:28DETMISS Billups Layup11
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 5:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:40ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 6:01DETHamilton Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 6:05ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)11
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 6:20DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 6:20DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 211
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:20DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)11
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 6:36ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 6:46DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 7:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 7:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 7:15DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 7:32ORLEvans Putback Layup (5 PTS)7
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 7:33ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 7:35ORLMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot5
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 7:41DETHamilton 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 7:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 7:56ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot5
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 8:13DETWallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 8:32ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 8:32ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 8:48DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:07ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)3
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:17DETBillups 16' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS)3
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:30ORLPrince STEAL (1 STL)3
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 9:48ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot3
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)3
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:11DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)3
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:37ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:45ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 10:47DETMISS Billups Layup0
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:03ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:20DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:31DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:33ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:37ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 11:38DETMISS Hamilton 10' Fadeaway Jumper0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Maxiell0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DET
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
26
58%
DET
15
23
65%
Midrange
ORL
6
21
29%
DET
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
DET
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
18
23
78%
DET
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2273%11.0 / 15
J. Nelson2265%11.0 / 17
R. Lewis2042%10.0 / 24
M. Evans1381%6.5 / 8
H. Turkoglu1255%6.0 / 11
C. Arroyo467%2.0 / 3
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 3
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 1
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2858%14.0 / 24
T. Prince1765%8.5 / 13
R. Wallace1771%8.5 / 12
R. Hamilton1433%7.0 / 21
J. Maxiell1192%5.5 / 6
A. McDyess6100%3.0 / 3
R. Stuckey542%2.5 / 6
A. Afflalo233%1.0 / 3
T. Ratliff0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
69
+17
-19
86
DET
81
+11
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DET
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.5
106.4
ORL 105.7
DET 112.4 +6.7
Pace
88.0
85.9
ORL 96.0 +13.8
DET 82.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
17.7
ORL 15.0 +2.5
DET 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
48.5%
ORL 51.4% +1.4%
DET 50.0%
TO %
16.4%
13.6%
ORL 18.6%
DET 10.2% +8.4%
ORB %
28.9%
27.7%
ORL 35.7% +11.5%
DET 24.2%
FTrt
32.2
32.0
ORL 31.5
DET 36.8 +5.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.2%
60.6%
ORL 50.0%
DET 63.9% +13.9%
STL %
5.4%
8.5%
ORL 3.4%
DET 10.1% +6.7%
BLK %
7.5%
9.9%
ORL 3.1%
DET 10.6% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.0%
ORL 53.4%
DET 54.3% +0.9%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.9%
ORL 57.7%
DET 65.2% +7.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
42.2%
ORL 28.6%
DET 41.5% +12.9%
3P %
35.6%
34.1%
ORL 42.3% +9.0%
DET 33.3%
FT %
71.2%
80.2%
ORL 78.3%
DET 85.7% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
26.8%
ORL 35.6% +5.4%
DET 30.3%
Mid Att. %
28.9%
55.4%
ORL 28.8% +25.2%
DET 53.9%
3P Att. %
33.6%
17.9%
ORL 35.6% +19.8%
DET 15.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points93100
Rebounds4035
Assists1623
Steals39
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)27 (0)
Field Goals32-7336-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2615-23
Midrange FG6-2117-41
2-Point FG21-4732-64
3-Point FG11-264-12
Free Throws18-2324-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
44.6
22
73%
18
0
0
2
5
3
8
10
6-8
75%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
40.6
20
42%
5
2
0
0
6
1
2
3
6-6
100%
4-13
31%
2-8
25%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
40.4
12
55%
3
7
1
0
6
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
36.1
22
65%
7
4
0
0
2
6
0
7
3-3
100%
2-8
25%
5-8
63%
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
32.1
13
81%
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28
26.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
5
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 29
10.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
5.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 24
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
F · 6'9" 238 · 32
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
40
16
3
2
19
0
15
25
18-23
78%
21-47
45%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.