FinalWin Prob.pScore
1613%86
85
187%101
110
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.08597.6
BOS logo BOS
129.48575.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLStoudamire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0BOSPowe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:04BOSDavis 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:26ATLJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35BOSDavis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLPerkins STEAL (3 STL)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ATLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47ATLPerkins STEAL (2 STL)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08BOSCassell 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garnett 7 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45BOSMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:07ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:30BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55ATLWilliams 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17BOSCassell 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:25BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:26ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38BOSGarnett 16' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 7:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:14BOSMISS Powe 13' Jump Shot74
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:36ATLHorford 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)74
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56BOSPosey 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:11ATLJohnson 22' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:25BOSPowe 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)70
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:44BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:45ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot70
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 9:01BOSGarnett 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)70
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18ATLHorford 1' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)70
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 9:35BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)68
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 9:45BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47ATLPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:56BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:56BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 268
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:16ATLChildress 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)68
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:28ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:30BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:48ATLRondo STEAL (1 STL)66
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 11:09BOSPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)66
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 11:31ATLJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:39ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 11:40ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 42' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)64
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLPowe BLOCK (1 BLK)64
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLSmith Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 1:26ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)62
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 1:31ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 1:32BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 1:50BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMISS Childress 1' Layup60
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 1:54ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 1:54ATLMISS Bibby 31' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 2:07ATLHawks Rebound60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 2:08BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot60
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 2:24ATLSmith Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)60
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 2:34BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 2:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 2:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 3:03BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)58
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 3:14ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 3:14ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 3:32BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)56
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 3:47BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 3:48ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot56
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:00ATLHawks Rebound56
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 4:00ATLGarnett BLOCK (3 BLK)56
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:16BOSPerkins 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)56
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 4:18BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 4:19BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup56
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 4:33ATLHorford 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)56
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 4:46BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)54
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:00BOSCELTICS Rebound54
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot54
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 5:26BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)54
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 5:37BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot54
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 6:06BOSGarnett 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)54
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 6:22ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)54
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 6:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 6:46BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup52
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 6:59ATLSmith 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)52
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 7:21BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)50
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 7:29BOSCELTICS Rebound50
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 7:31ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot50
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 7:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 7:39BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot50
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 8:01BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 8:02BOSMISS Garnett 8' Jump Shot50
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 8:16BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 8:17ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot50
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 8:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 8:26BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot50
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 8:39ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 8:39ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 8:43BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 8:55ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)48
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 9:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 9:13BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup48
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 9:29ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)48
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 9:33BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)45
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 9:40ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)45
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q3 - 10:06BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)43
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q3 - 10:25ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)43
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 10:49BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 11:10ATLPerkins STEAL (1 STL)43
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 11:24ATLHawks Rebound43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 11:25ATLRondo BLOCK (1 BLK)43
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 11:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 11:27ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot43
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 11:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 11:40BOSMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot43
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot43
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0BOSPierce 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)43
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0BOSAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)41
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup41
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSGarnett Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSGarnett Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 1:05ATLHorford 1' Putback Slam Dunk (6 PTS)41
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q2 - 1:08ATLMISS Childress 1' Layup39
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 1:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 1:16BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot39
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 1:32BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
3.1%
51
96.9%
Q2 - 1:33ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot39
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 1:53BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)39
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)38
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)37
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 2:30ATLHawks Rebound36
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 2:30BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 2:44ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 2:44ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 2:45ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 2:47BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup34
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 2:51ATLGarnett STEAL (1 STL)34
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 3:08BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 3:08BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 234
3.0%
47
97.0%
Q2 - 3:21BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 3:22BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 3:25ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)34
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 3:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 3:29BOSMISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot34
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 3:45ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 3:45ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 4:03BOSAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)32
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 4:15ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 4:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 4:31BOSRondo 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)30
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 4:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 4:37ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 4:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 4:45BOSMISS Garnett 8' Hook Shot30
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 5:02ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 5:08ATLHawks Rebound30
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 5:10ATLCassell BLOCK (1 BLK)30
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 5:23ATLHawks Rebound30
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 5:24BOSMISS Allen 10' Running Jump Shot30
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 5:36ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 5:52BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 6:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 6:08ATLGarnett BLOCK (2 BLK)28
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 6:29BOSCassell 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 6:46BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
3.0%
41
97.0%
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 7:10BOSPowe Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)28
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 7:22BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)28
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 7:23ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot28
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 7:43BOSCassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)28
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 8:05BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)28
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 8:05ATLMISS Law Free Throw 2 of 228
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 8:05ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:15BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 8:15BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 227
5.6%
35
94.4%
Q2 - 8:31ATLSmith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
5.4%
35
94.6%
Q2 - 8:59BOSCassell 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 9:14BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMISS Pachulia 9' Turnaround Jump Shot25
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q2 - 9:34BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)25
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q2 - 9:45ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Law 1 AST)25
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q2 - 9:57BOSPowe Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)23
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q2 - 10:10BOSCELTICS Rebound23
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 10:12BOSMISS Powe 2' Layup23
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q2 - 10:14BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)23
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 10:16BOSMISS Cassell 3PT Jump Shot23
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q2 - 10:34ATLLaw 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)23
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 10:50BOSCassell 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 11:05ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)21
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q2 - 11:11ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q2 - 11:13ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot19
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q2 - 11:30BOSPowe Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q2 - 11:31BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)19
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q2 - 11:33BOSMISS Powe 1' Putback Layup19
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q2 - 11:34BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q2 - 11:35BOSMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup19
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS19
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound19
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Rondo 6' Jump Shot19
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLWilliams 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)19
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0BOSPierce 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)17
5.0%
27
95.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot17
5.8%
25
94.2%
Q1 - 1:03ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 216
5.5%
25
94.5%
Q1 - 1:22BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)16
5.5%
25
94.5%
Q1 - 1:38BOSCELTICS Rebound16
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.2%
23
93.8%
Q1 - 1:58BOSPierce 20' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
6.5%
23
93.5%
Q1 - 2:14ATLChildress 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
7.2%
21
92.8%
Q1 - 2:33BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)14
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 2:51ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
7.2%
19
92.8%
Q1 - 3:05BOSPierce 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)14
7.9%
19
92.1%
Q1 - 3:22ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
8.5%
17
91.5%
Q1 - 3:40BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)12
7.9%
17
92.1%
Q1 - 3:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 3:57ATLHawks Rebound12
9.3%
15
90.7%
Q1 - 3:59ATLGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)12
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 4:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 4:07BOSMISS Powe Layup12
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 4:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
8.2%
15
91.8%
Q1 - 4:10BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup12
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 4:26ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
8.2%
15
91.8%
Q1 - 4:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 4:36BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 5:06BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 5:09BOSMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot12
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 5:16BOSCELTICS Rebound12
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 5:17BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup12
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 5:33ATLSmith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 5:36ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot10
7.1%
15
92.9%
Q1 - 5:46BOSRondo 1' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)10
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 6:01ATLWilliams 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
8.1%
13
91.9%
Q1 - 6:16BOSPierce 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 6:17BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
8.1%
11
91.9%
Q1 - 6:18BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup8
8.5%
11
91.5%
Q1 - 6:27BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.1%
11
91.9%
Q1 - 6:27ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot8
8.3%
11
91.7%
Q1 - 6:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 6:37BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
8.5%
11
91.5%
Q1 - 6:56ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
8.1%
11
91.9%
Q1 - 7:16BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)8
8.7%
11
91.3%
Q1 - 7:23BOSCELTICS Rebound8
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 7:24BOSMISS Garnett 3' Jump Hook Shot8
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 7:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 7:32ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot8
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 7:51BOSGarnett 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)8
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 8:04ATLJohnson 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)8
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 8:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 8:06ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup6
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 8:33BOSPierce 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)6
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 8:51BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.3%
5
89.7%
Q1 - 8:52ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot6
10.6%
5
89.4%
Q1 - 8:59ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 9:00BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:15ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)6
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 9:26BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)3
9.0%
5
91.0%
Q1 - 9:40ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)3
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.3%
3
91.7%
Q1 - 10:08BOSMISS Garnett 3' Tip Shot0
8.2%
3
91.8%
Q1 - 10:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 10:20ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot0
7.9%
3
92.1%
Q1 - 10:42BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)0
8.4%
3
91.6%
Q1 - 11:03BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
1
91.1%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot0
9.1%
1
90.9%
Q1 - 11:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.5%
1
90.5%
Q1 - 11:19BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 20
9.4%
1
90.6%
Q1 - 11:19BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
9.0%
1
91.0%
Q1 - 11:35BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.5%
0
90.5%
Q1 - 11:35ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot0
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
10.1%
0
89.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
BOS
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
21
57%
BOS
17
32
53%
Midrange
ATL
12
35
34%
BOS
19
32
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
BOS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
ATL
25
29
86%
BOS
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2175%10.5 / 14
J. Smith1850%9.0 / 18
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
M. Williams1250%6.0 / 12
M. Bibby638%3.0 / 8
J. Childress528%2.5 / 9
A. Law583%2.5 / 3
Z. Pachulia220%1.0 / 5
S. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2261%11.0 / 18
K. Garnett2063%10.0 / 16
R. Allen1968%9.5 / 14
S. Cassell1381%6.5 / 8
R. Rondo1240%6.0 / 15
L. Powe1050%5.0 / 10
J. Posey6100%3.0 / 3
G. Davis4100%2.0 / 2
K. Perkins2100%1.0 / 1
T. Allen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+14
-13
86
BOS
75
+17
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
BOS
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
108.2
ATL 100.0
BOS 129.4 +29.4
Pace
86.8
86.9
ATL 97.6 +22.3
BOS 75.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.7
ATL 14.8 +4.4
BOS 19.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
48.7%
ATL 43.5%
BOS 58.9% +15.4%
TO %
17.3%
14.1%
ATL 14.6%
BOS 10.8% +3.8%
ORB %
30.5%
29.5%
ATL 23.5%
BOS 39.4% +15.9%
FTrt
44.1
35.4
ATL 42.0 +24.1
BOS 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
64.0%
ATL 57.1%
BOS 62.2% +5.1%
STL %
4.9%
8.8%
ATL 7.1% +1.2%
BOS 5.9%
BLK %
9.1%
7.7%
ATL 4.7%
BOS 16.1% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
52.2%
ATL 49.4%
BOS 59.8% +10.4%
Rim FG%
55.0%
55.0%
ATL 57.1% +4.0%
BOS 53.1%
Mid FG%
34.4%
41.4%
ATL 34.3%
BOS 59.4% +25.1%
3P %
32.2%
35.9%
ATL 30.8%
BOS 45.0% +14.2%
FT %
78.2%
78.3%
ATL 86.2% +12.9%
BOS 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
33.1%
ATL 30.4%
BOS 38.1% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
44.5%
ATL 50.7%
BOS 38.1% +12.6%
3P Att. %
17.4%
22.4%
ATL 18.8%
BOS 23.8% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points85110
Rebounds2839
Assists1628
Steals65
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (3)26 (3)
Field Goals28-6945-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2117-32
Midrange FG12-3519-32
2-Point FG24-5636-64
3-Point FG4-139-20
Free Throws25-2911-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
41.5
14
58%
10
5
1
1
3
4
2
8
0-2
0%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 30
39.4
6
38%
2
1
0
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
37.1
12
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
35.1
18
50%
5
3
3
1
4
3
1
4
10-10
100%
4-9
44%
0-4
0%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
34.1
21
75%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
7-7
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
26.1
5
28%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
10.9
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
8.1
5
83%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
4.0
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
49%
28
16
6
3
13
0
8
20
25-29
86%
24-56
43%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.