FinalWin Prob.pScore
165%94
93
1835%89
102
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
109.48592.6
ATL logo ATL
120.08578.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0BOSBibby STEAL (2 STL)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0BOSGarnett Dunk (32 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)93
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:17BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)91
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 1:24BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49BOSGarnett 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:05ATLHorford Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)86
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 2:25BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 2:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 2:58BOSRondo Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Pierce 8 AST)86
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:15ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 3:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 3:59BOSSmith STEAL (2 STL)84
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:20ATLBibby 12' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 4:40BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P1.T9)84
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 4:51BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 5:20BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 5:40BOSCeltics Rebound82
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 5:42ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot82
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 6:08BOSPosey 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 7 AST)82
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 6:22ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)79
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 6:22ATLHAWKS Rebound79
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 6:22ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 6:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)79
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 6:48BOSMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot79
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 7:02ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)79
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 7:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 7:16BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 7:39ATLSmith Running Dunk (24 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)79
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 7:43BOSJohnson STEAL (1 STL)79
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 7:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q4 - 7:51ATLMISS Childress Layup79
11.1%
89
88.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 7:53ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot79
11.1%
89
88.9%
Q4 - 8:26BOSPosey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)79
11.3%
89
88.7%
Q4 - 8:42BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 8:43BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot76
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 8:51BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot76
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 9:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 9:12BOSMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot76
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 9:21BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 9:23ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper76
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 9:50BOSGarnett Layup (28 PTS)76
6.9%
89
93.1%
Q4 - 10:05ATLSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)74
6.7%
89
93.3%
Q4 - 10:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
9.9%
86
90.1%
Q4 - 10:20BOSChildress BLOCK (2 BLK)74
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 10:34ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)74
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 10:50BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)74
9.9%
86
90.1%
Q4 - 11:08ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)74
13.4%
86
86.6%
Q4 - 11:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 11:24BOSMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 11:39ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)74
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSRondo Driving Layup (6 PTS)74
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
15.3%
84
84.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0BOSDavis 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)72
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)70
15.1%
82
84.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q3 - 1:16ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)70
17.2%
82
82.8%
Q3 - 1:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
23.3%
79
76.7%
Q3 - 1:39ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot70
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q3 - 1:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)70
23.3%
79
76.7%
Q3 - 1:50BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q3 - 2:12BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
28.7%
79
71.3%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot70
27.4%
79
72.6%
Q3 - 2:35BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)70
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q3 - 2:35BOSCeltics Rebound70
28.6%
79
71.4%
Q3 - 2:36BOSSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)70
25.8%
79
74.2%
Q3 - 3:03ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)70
30.1%
79
69.9%
Q3 - 3:26BOSPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T5)70
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q3 - 3:40BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
38.0%
77
62.0%
Q3 - 3:43ATLMISS Horford 8' Running Hook Shot70
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q3 - 3:56BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)70
33.6%
77
66.4%
Q3 - 3:56BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)69
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 4:15ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)68
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q3 - 4:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
38.9%
74
61.1%
Q3 - 4:36BOSMISS Perkins Dunk68
40.3%
74
59.7%
Q3 - 4:53ATLHorford Layup (11 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)68
43.6%
74
56.4%
Q3 - 4:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
47.3%
72
52.7%
Q3 - 5:00BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup68
48.8%
72
51.2%
Q3 - 5:09BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
52.9%
72
47.1%
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot68
51.6%
72
48.4%
Q3 - 5:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
48.4%
72
51.6%
Q3 - 5:19BOSMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot68
49.8%
72
50.2%
Q3 - 5:39ATLSmith Layup (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)68
52.9%
72
47.1%
Q3 - 5:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
56.7%
70
43.3%
Q3 - 5:44BOSChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)68
58.0%
70
42.0%
Q3 - 5:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
61.1%
70
38.9%
Q3 - 5:49BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot68
58.0%
70
42.0%
Q3 - 6:13ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)68
61.5%
70
38.5%
Q3 - 6:31BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)68
64.9%
68
35.1%
Q3 - 6:31BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)67
64.3%
68
35.7%
Q3 - 6:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 6:33BOSBibby BLOCK (1 BLK)66
58.6%
68
41.4%
Q3 - 6:49ATLSmith Driving Layup (17 PTS)66
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 6:54ATLHAWKS Rebound66
64.9%
66
35.1%
Q3 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford Putback Layup66
67.6%
66
32.4%
Q3 - 6:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
64.9%
66
35.1%
Q3 - 6:57ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot66
67.6%
66
32.4%
Q3 - 7:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
64.5%
66
35.5%
Q3 - 7:09BOSMISS Pierce 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
65.7%
66
34.3%
Q3 - 7:18ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)66
68.5%
66
31.5%
Q3 - 7:37BOSPerkins Dunk (10 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)66
64.5%
66
35.5%
Q3 - 7:48ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
61.4%
66
38.6%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 264
62.3%
65
37.7%
Q3 - 8:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
61.6%
65
38.4%
Q3 - 8:04BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot64
62.8%
65
37.2%
Q3 - 8:22BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
65.5%
65
34.5%
Q3 - 8:23ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot64
64.3%
65
35.7%
Q3 - 8:38BOSPierce 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)64
61.5%
65
38.5%
Q3 - 8:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
54.6%
65
45.4%
Q3 - 8:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 9:08ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
58.7%
63
41.3%
Q3 - 9:10BOSMISS Garnett 6' Turnaround Jump Shot61
59.8%
63
40.2%
Q3 - 9:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
62.3%
63
37.7%
Q3 - 9:23ATLWilliams Putback Dunk (13 PTS)61
62.3%
63
37.7%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Bibby 13' Jump Shot61
67.9%
61
32.1%
Q3 - 9:43BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)61
65.5%
61
34.5%
Q3 - 9:43BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
58.8%
61
41.2%
Q3 - 9:43BOSMISS Garnett 7' Turnaround Jump Shot58
56.2%
61
43.8%
Q3 - 10:10ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)58
59.8%
61
40.2%
Q3 - 10:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
62.8%
59
37.2%
Q3 - 10:21BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot58
63.9%
59
36.1%
Q3 - 10:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
66.4%
59
33.6%
Q3 - 10:35ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot58
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 10:58BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
62.7%
59
37.3%
Q3 - 10:58BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 10:58BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
59.7%
59
40.3%
Q3 - 10:59BOSMISS Rondo 12' Running Jump Shot56
57.1%
59
42.9%
Q3 - 11:21ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
60.6%
59
39.4%
Q3 - 11:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 11:46BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot56
67.8%
56
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS56
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)56
69.6%
56
30.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0BOSGarnett Dunk (19 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)56
73.2%
54
26.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
69.6%
54
30.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
69.0%
54
31.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSAllen Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)54
67.6%
54
32.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHAWKS Rebound52
61.5%
54
38.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot52
63.1%
54
36.9%
Q2 - 1:07BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
62.1%
54
37.9%
Q2 - 1:07BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
61.5%
54
38.5%
Q2 - 1:21ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)50
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q2 - 1:28ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
65.1%
51
34.9%
Q2 - 1:30BOSMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q2 - 1:49BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
66.6%
51
33.4%
Q2 - 1:50ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 250
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q2 - 1:50ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)50
64.2%
51
35.8%
Q2 - 1:53BOSAllen Driving Dunk (11 PTS)50
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q2 - 1:57ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)48
63.6%
50
36.4%
Q2 - 2:07BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q2 - 2:07BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
60.8%
50
39.2%
Q2 - 2:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q2 - 2:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q2 - 2:28BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)46
61.8%
48
38.2%
Q2 - 2:50ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
58.5%
48
41.5%
Q2 - 2:50ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 3:07BOSGarnett Dunk (15 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)44
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q2 - 3:25ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)42
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 3:42BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 3:42BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q2 - 3:52BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 3:54ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper40
58.6%
44
41.4%
Q2 - 4:10BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
57.4%
44
42.6%
Q2 - 4:10BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q2 - 4:31ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Garnett: Tip to Pierce38
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 4:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 4:36BOSMISS Allen Driving Layup38
52.5%
44
47.5%
Q2 - 4:44ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 4:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot38
53.6%
44
46.4%
Q2 - 5:22BOSAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)38
52.1%
44
47.9%
Q2 - 5:44ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 5:44ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 235
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 5:51ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)35
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q2 - 5:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 235
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 235
50.0%
42
50.0%
Q2 - 6:14BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)35
50.1%
42
49.9%
Q2 - 6:39ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)33
47.8%
42
52.2%
Q2 - 6:46ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 6:48BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot33
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 7:12ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)33
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 7:40BOSGarnett 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)33
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 7:43BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 7:44BOSMISS Cassell 22' Jump Shot31
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 7:50BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 7:53ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper31
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 8:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 8:07BOSMISS Garnett 14' Turnaround Jump Shot31
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 8:20BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 8:22BOSMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 231
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 8:22BOSPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
58.7%
36
41.3%
Q2 - 8:38ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)30
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 8:51BOSAllen Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)30
54.0%
36
46.0%
Q2 - 8:58BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
51.7%
36
48.3%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot28
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 9:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
49.6%
36
50.4%
Q2 - 9:19BOSMISS Garnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot28
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 9:38BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
52.3%
36
47.7%
Q2 - 9:39ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 128
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 9:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
54.5%
34
45.5%
Q2 - 9:44BOSMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot28
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 10:02BOSCeltics Rebound28
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 10:02BOSMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot28
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 10:05BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 10:06BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 10:28ATLChildress Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)28
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 10:47BOSAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
59.5%
32
40.5%
Q2 - 10:54BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 10:55ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot26
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 11:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
55.2%
32
44.8%
Q2 - 11:24ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot26
56.9%
32
43.1%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
55.2%
32
44.8%
Q2 - 11:44BOSMISS Posey Layup26
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS26
57.6%
32
42.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
57.6%
32
42.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
56.9%
32
43.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
55.7%
32
44.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Pierce 17' Fadeaway Jumper26
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)26
57.5%
32
42.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 226
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
58.0%
31
42.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot26
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
58.0%
31
42.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot26
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q1 - 1:01BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)26
58.2%
31
41.8%
Q1 - 1:01BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)25
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q1 - 1:06BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot24
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q1 - 1:25BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)24
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q1 - 1:25BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q1 - 1:39ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
50.6%
31
49.4%
Q1 - 1:39ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
51.2%
30
48.8%
Q1 - 1:39ATLHAWKS Rebound22
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q1 - 1:39ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot22
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q1 - 1:57BOSCassell 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)22
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q1 - 2:25ATLHorford Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)20
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q1 - 2:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q1 - 2:35BOSMISS Garnett Layup20
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q1 - 2:57ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)20
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q1 - 3:10BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P2.T4)20
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q1 - 3:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q1 - 3:29ATLMISS Horford Dunk20
60.5%
25
39.5%
Q1 - 3:45BOSSmith STEAL (1 STL)20
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q1 - 3:46BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
60.5%
25
39.5%
Q1 - 3:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q1 - 4:01BOSMISS Pierce Layup20
60.1%
25
39.9%
Q1 - 4:18ATLChildress Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)20
61.8%
25
38.2%
Q1 - 4:25BOSHorford STEAL (1 STL)20
63.4%
23
36.6%
Q1 - 4:39ATLSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 4:55BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)20
69.3%
20
30.7%
Q1 - 5:13ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)18
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 5:32ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
71.5%
17
28.5%
Q1 - 5:33BOSMISS Allen 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
72.0%
17
28.0%
Q1 - 5:52ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
73.3%
17
26.7%
Q1 - 6:06BOSPerkins 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)18
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q1 - 6:25ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)16
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q1 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 6:28ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot16
74.2%
14
25.8%
Q1 - 6:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 6:44BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 216
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 6:44BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
74.4%
14
25.6%
Q1 - 6:49BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 6:50ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot15
72.6%
14
27.4%
Q1 - 6:59BOSPierce Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)15
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 7:13ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)13
70.2%
14
29.8%
Q1 - 7:17BOSBibby STEAL (1 STL)13
71.6%
12
28.4%
Q1 - 7:18BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
73.3%
12
26.7%
Q1 - 7:21BOSMISS Pierce 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 7:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
73.3%
12
26.7%
Q1 - 7:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 7:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 7:40BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot13
75.1%
10
24.9%
Q1 - 8:06ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)13
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 8:17BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 8:30ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)11
76.6%
8
23.4%
Q1 - 8:49BOSGarnett Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)11
77.8%
6
22.2%
Q1 - 9:09ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
76.6%
6
23.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 9:14BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot9
78.1%
4
21.9%
Q1 - 9:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 9:29ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper9
78.7%
4
21.3%
Q1 - 9:40BOSPierce 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)9
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 9:56ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 10:21BOSGarnett Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)6
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 10:27ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
75.1%
2
24.9%
Q1 - 10:47BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)4
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
72.4%
1
27.6%
Q1 - 10:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:00ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 11:18BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
73.6%
0
26.4%
Q1 - 11:18BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 11:39BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 11:40ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot0
71.6%
0
28.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Perkins: Tip to Johnson0
70.7%
0
29.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.4%
ATL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
25
64%
ATL
16
19
84%
Midrange
BOS
10
30
33%
ATL
10
39
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
ATL
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
BOS
23
25
92%
ATL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett3267%16.0 / 24
P. Pierce1757%8.5 / 15
R. Allen1343%6.5 / 15
R. Rondo1050%5.0 / 10
K. Perkins1071%5.0 / 7
J. Posey750%3.5 / 7
G. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
S. Cassell225%1.0 / 4
P. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2775%13.5 / 18
J. Johnson2357%11.5 / 20
A. Horford1753%8.5 / 16
M. Williams1365%6.5 / 10
M. Bibby1240%6.0 / 15
J. Childress675%3.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
75
+11
-10
86
ATL
74
+16
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.4%
ATL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
100.5
BOS 109.4
ATL 120.0 +10.6
Pace
86.9
86.8
BOS 92.6 +14.0
ATL 78.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.9
BOS 15.6 +2.8
ATL 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
43.9%
BOS 48.6%
ATL 53.9% +5.3%
TO %
14.1%
17.3%
BOS 11.7% +0.3%
ATL 12.0%
ORB %
29.5%
30.5%
BOS 22.5%
ATL 31.6% +9.1%
FTrt
35.4
44.1
BOS 34.7
ATL 35.5 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.0%
59.5%
BOS 75.0%
ATL 77.8% +2.8%
STL %
8.8%
4.9%
BOS 8.2% +1.1%
ATL 7.1%
BLK %
7.7%
9.1%
BOS 3.4%
ATL 7.3% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
49.6%
BOS 53.4%
ATL 56.0% +2.6%
Rim FG%
55.0%
55.0%
BOS 64.0%
ATL 84.2% +20.2%
Mid FG%
41.4%
34.4%
BOS 33.3% +7.7%
ATL 25.6%
3P %
35.9%
32.2%
BOS 35.3%
ATL 55.6% +20.3%
FT %
78.3%
78.2%
BOS 92.0% +17.9%
ATL 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
34.3%
BOS 34.7% +9.7%
ATL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
48.3%
BOS 41.7% +9.6%
ATL 51.3%
3P Att. %
22.4%
17.4%
BOS 23.6%
ATL 23.7% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSATL
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points93102
Rebounds3543
Assists2428
Steals76
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals32-7236-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2516-19
Midrange FG10-3010-39
2-Point FG26-5526-58
3-Point FG6-1710-18
Free Throws23-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
41.6
32
67%
10
3
2
1
2
3
4
6
10-11
91%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
41.4
13
43%
5
4
1
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-6
17%
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
36.2
17
57%
2
8
2
0
3
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
3-6
50%
G · 6'1" 186 · 22
29.7
10
50%
2
4
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 23
18.8
10
71%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 31
25.4
7
50%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22
16.0
2
100%
5
1
0
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
15.7
2
25%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 39
6.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 26
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#66 · C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'4" 170 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
35
24
7
2
10
0
9
26
23-25
92%
26-55
47%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.